Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 1, 2020

EUR/USD
According to news agencies, stock market participants took profits yesterday, due to which the S&P 500 fell by 0.46%, and the Dow Jones -0.91%. Trading volumes were large, a sign of flight from the stock market before the announcement of the UK's exit from the EU without a deal. The euro lost 35 points on the same expectations, falling from the day's high with 77 points. The price slightly fell short of the target level 1.2010/40. Divergence on the daily chart is gaining strength

Taking the high volumes of yesterday's trading into account, which were the highest for the euro over the past two weeks, investors are unlikely to want to try to take it a second time. Now we are waiting for the price to move under the MACD line (1.1896) and the attack on support at 1.1750. If successful, it will be followed by - reaching the lower embedded line of the price channel in the 1.1620 area.

The four-hour chart shows that the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has returned to the lower border of its own range. At the same time, the price reached the support of the MACD indicator line. Since the price overcame yesterday's low of 1.1926, it is possible to open short deals while aiming for 1.1750 and 1.1620.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 3, 2020

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar managed to show yesterday another maximum of the last 3 months, which was caused by the growth of the Euro. But this "Australian" strengthened only the spring that is preparing to push down – the Marlin divergence has already become triple. The decline target is seen in the range of 0.7222 / 52, formed by the November 12 low and the Kruzenshtern line.

Based on the four-hour chart, the price is fixed above both the indicator lines - the balance line and the Kruzenshtern line, Marlin indicates growth. But here we see a repeat of the situation in recent weeks, when the price was freely wound on this indicator line in a relatively thin speculative market.

Fixing the price below 0.7384 could mean a start to overcome the level of 0.7340, which will already reveal the downward potential to the full. It is worth noting that the Australian dollar did not react to the excellent trade balance of Australia published this morning and the trade balance for October was 7.46 billion dollars against the forecast of 5.83 billion. Exports increased by 5.0%.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Gold to end the week near intra weekly highs.

Gold price made another attempt towards $1,850 today but price got rejected once again. Bulls should get worried if after a rejection price moves away too far from $1,850. Bulls should be worried if after the rejection price breaks below short-term support of $1,820.

Blue rectangle - resistance area
Black lines -Fibonacci retracements

Gold price is trading near but below the key resistance of $1,850-60. This area was once key support and is now key resistance. I do not expect Gold to break this level, at least not now. I believe we will first see a pull back at least towards the 38% Fibonacci level if not towards the 61.8% before the resumption of the bullish move that started last week at $1,763. At current levels I prefer to be neutral if not bearish. Before weekend I avoid opening new positions. That is why I prefer to wait and see how Monday starts before jumping in the market and before choosing sides.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 9, 2020

EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro dropped another 6 points after losing 13 points on Monday. Brexit negotiations are ongoing, but investors have already quit the recent frenzied speculation. In addition, the European Central Bank meeting will take place tomorrow after which the monetary policy adjustment will be announced, as expected, towards easing. The German trade balance for October will be released today, the forecast for which is 17.0 billion euros against 17.8 billion a month earlier. There is simply no reason for the euro to grow.

The daily chart shows that the price has settled below the target level of 1.2117, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is heading towards the rising trend zone for the medium term. Getting the price to settle under the line of the increasing green channel in the area of 1.2037 and Marlin's departure into the zone of negative values will change the medium-term rising trend to a downward one. The closest target in this case will be the MACD line in the 1.1934 area.

The four-hour chart shows that the MACD line and the price are closer. Now, getting the price to settle below yesterday's low will correspond to doing so below the MACD line. After that, we are waiting for an attack on 1.2037. Marlin is already in the downward trend zone and is waiting for the price.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading signal for GBP/USD for December 10-11, 2020. Focus on Brexit.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and their negotiating teams did not achieve a much-desired breakthrough on Brexit. After concluding that they remain "very separate," the EU and the UK agreed to extend the talks until the end of the weekend. This can further weaken the British pound if they do not reach a deal before the transition period expires.

As talks continue in Brussels, the news is likely to move the British pound. Due to this, the British pound is under downward pressure on the 4-hour technical chart. However, it is facing an upward channel on the 4-hour timeframe and at the 200-day EMA.

Looking up, the resistance is at 1.3360, where the 21-period moving average is located, followed by 1.3427, 6/8 Murray. At the upper target of 1.3549 (7/8 Murray), we should wait until the pound breaks above the 21 day EMA. If so, we can place buy positions with a final target at 1.3670. This boost is sure to appear if good news about Brexit is released.

We gave detailed recommendations and made analysis on Monday and Tuesday. We will leave the links below so that you can review our statistics on GBP/USD. Now if you open a bearish position, you can still hold it until the price touches the 200-day EMA. If the price bounces in this area, we can expect a new upward momentum. If the bearish trend is too strong, we recommend selling the pair with targets at 1.3180 and 1.3060.

The market sentiment in the early American session shows that there are 56% of investors who are selling the pound sterling. If this figure decreases, we could see a bearish breakout of the key level of 1.3220, and the price could fall to the area of 1.3060 in the coming days. So please be careful if you enter the market with to buy. The last opportunity to buy is above the 200 EMA, below this level, the downward pressure may accelerate.

Trading tip for GBP/USD for December 10 – 11
Buy above 1.3360 (EMA 21), with take profit at 1.3427, stop loss below 1.3320.
Buy if the pair rebounds around 1.3255 (trend channel), with take profit at 1.3310 and 1.3360, stop loss below 1.3210.(EMA 200)
Buy if the pair rebounds around 1.3220 (EMA 200), with take profit at 1.3270 and 1.3305 (5/8), stop loss below 1.3180.
Review our analysis for December 08, GBP/USD.
Review our analysis for December 09, GBP/USD.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on December 15, 2020

AUD/USD
Over the past day, the situation for the Australian Dollar has not changed. The quote is at the closing level of Friday last week. But in the technical picture, this increased the reversal potential. On the daily scale chart, the divergence from the Marlin oscillator becomes more distinct. To maintain this scenario, the price will need to be fixed under the nearest support of 0.7500.

The four-hour chart has its own divergence, which increases the probability of a reversal from the current levels.
With the price moving below 0.7500 (December 2017 low), the target of 0.7440 opens with intermediate support on the Kruzenshtern line at 0.7468. I think that in the current situation, we can overcome this line without difficulty. If the price moves below 0.7440, the next target would be at 0.7340.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Ichimoku cloud indicator analysis of Gold

Gold price is once again moving higher above the key resistance of $1,850. If bulls manage to hold above $1,850 and break above recent highs at $1,874, we should then expect a move towards $1,900 and higher.

Gold price has made an important higher low at $1,820 and is now breaking above the Ichimoku cloud once again. This is a bullish sign. Support is at $1,847 and next at $1,820. Gold bulls need to defend these two levels. Breaking below $1,820 will bring Gold price below $1,800. However so far this is not the most probable scenario. The most probable scenario for now is a move above $1,874 towards $1,913-31. Both tenkan-sen (Red line indicator) and the kijun-sen (yellow line indicator) are below price. The Chikou span (black line indicator) is above the candlestick body. This is also bullish. All signs in the 4 hour chart support the bullish case.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 22, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro fell by 126 points on Monday and by the end of the day it practically won back the entire fall. The fall was bought out in large volumes by the largest players in order to avoid an uncontrolled collapse. All this happened on the news about the readiness of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to back down in the fishing dispute with the EU, setting the quota at 66% of the current volume.

The daily chart shows that the reversal divergence of the price and the oscillator remains. Marlin continued to move down, trying to get out of the growth zone. The downside target at 1.2040 that was formed by the price channel line is still present. However, there is a possibility of forming a double divergence. At the same time, the price will try to rush to the target level of 1.2330 and only then will it reverse into a medium-term decline.

The four-hour chart shows that the price fell below the MACD line, then went back above it, and is currently preparing to move below it. Also, the Marlin oscillator, after the signal line went into the negative area, returned to the growth area and intends to fall again. The condition for accomplishing this move is for the price to fall below the MACD line, under 1.2205. If this condition is not met, then the double divergence option is implemented.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 24, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro gained 23 points on Wednesday, correcting Tuesday's fall. Trading volumes were above average, which may indicate a rapid recovery of long positions. Such a high speculative interest during the Christmas period has not been observed for a very long time. It is a holiday today in Germany and Switzerland, meanwhile, there is a shorter working day in a number of other European countries and in the US. The market is thin, and due to the geopolitical situation, there are good conditions for a strong speculative breakthrough. Almost any reason can be used. It is quite possible to try and make the euro fall towards the target range of 1.1985-1.2042. Of course, there may not be such an attack, but this year, the situation itself has been pushing market players to organize fireworks for the market.

The daily chart shows that the situation has not changed over the day - the Marlin oscillator also tends to go into the negative zone.

The four-hour chart shows that the price is trying to break out of the resistance of the MACD line, the Marlin oscillator is still in the downward trend zone, but shows an intention to move into an upward trend. If such a pattern does occur, it will most likely turn out to be false, since there are no fundamental conditions for targeted purchases. Even today, US durable goods orders for November are forecast to rise 0.7%.

In general, we recommend skipping buy signals and waiting for a reverse sell signal.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 28, 2020

EUR/USD
No significant changes in the market over the past four holidays. The market is thin, and after tense expectations about Brexit, investors want to be compensated for their efforts. Therefore, the price breakdown, which we expected earlier, is possible. If there is no breakout, then we are waiting for calmer movement to the first target of 1.1995 - this is the support of the MACD line on the daily chart. For a more stable decline in price, the transition of the Marlin oscillator to the zone of negative values is not enough. This may happen after the quotes drop below 1.2150.

The four-hour chart shows that the euro's general sentiment is for it to fall, but the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is bent up suspiciously strongly, indicating an intention to enter the positive zone. If this happens, then the price will also surpass the MACD indicator line to the upside, which will entail some more growth in the free roaming area, because the market remains thin. Until it ceases to freely roam around (which will not be long), we are waiting for the downward trend to resume for all indicators.

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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for EUR/USD on December 31, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro decided to leave the final days of the outgoing year more beautifully than expected. It continues to grow throughout the week, very little is left to the target level of 1.2330, afterwards a double divergence will be formed on the daily chart and the euro will go into the unknown in 2021.

The first task in the new year is to reach the consolidation range of August-November at 1.1750-1.1885. The first target in order to fall to 1.2035 is the MACD line.

Growth continues on the four-hour chart. There is a possibility of forming a divergence, due to which the signal line of the Marlin oscillator has clearly slowed down its growth and lies a little in the horizon.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.

Forex Analysis & Reviews: Forecast for AUD/USD on January 5, 2021

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar lost around 40 points yesterday, stopping exactly at the December 17 high of 0.7641. We took this level in the last review as a signal to switch to a downward short-term trend with the target of 0.7465. Testing this level confirms its significance.

The signal line of the Marlin oscillator stopped at the lower border of its own downward channel. Obviously, the market did not have enough strength to continue yesterday's trend. Buyers, albeit short-term speculators, still believe in the positive development of risky and commodity currencies, although oil fell by 1.74% (CL) yesterday . We expect the price to drop below the signal level and move towards the target of 0.7465 (December 21 low).

The four-hour chart shows that the price slightly pierced the MACD line and rebounded off the signal level of 0.7641. The Marlin oscillator has entered the downward trend zone and is staying there this morning. We are waiting for the price's second attempt to overcome support at 0.7641.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.