Bitcoin Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

The BTCUSD is currently trading above the 28,099 support level within a declining channel. Despite the bearish channel, the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish. However, in order for this bullish trend to continue, the bulls must break out of the channel and surpass the key psychological level of 30,000. If this scenario plays out, the BTCUSD pair could target 31,111 and test the previous high for a break.

Market uncertainty can be observed by analyzing the candlestick patterns on the daily time frame. Over the past 11 days, a mix of doji candles and long wick shadow candles have formed, indicating indecision among traders.

On the other hand, if bears manage to close below the 28,099 support level, the BTCUSD price could fall to 26,968 followed by 25,000. As such, HubuFX's analysis team suggests keeping a close eye on market behavior within the downward channel.

In summary, while the overall outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, there are key levels to watch on both the upside and downside. A breakout above 30,000 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a close below 28,099 could indicate further downside potential. Traders should remain vigilant and monitor market behavior closely.

EURUSD May Break the Channel as RSI Indicator Crosses Signal Line

The EURUSD currency pair has recently responded to the support level at 1.093. It is now testing the weekly pivot at 1.099, which coincides with the upper band of the declining channel in the 4-hour time frame. The RSI indicator has crossed the signal line and is hovering above the 50 line. This suggests that the rise that started yesterday may lead to a break of the channel upward.

It is important to note that horizontal support and resistance levels are generally considered more valid and reliable than trend lines or channels. With this in mind, the main resistance level for bulls is the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is around 1.105. As long as this level is not breached, the market outlook will remain bearish. The decline may continue to test the previous low around 1.093, followed by 1.086.

What is a Channel in Forex Technical Analysis?

In forex technical analysis, a channel is a trading range. It is defined by two lines: a trend line and a concurrent line. These lines are plotted through opposite peaks or troughs. There are three types of channels based on price direction: ascending, descending, and sideways (also known as ranging). Channels are commonly used in technical analysis to confirm trends and identify breakouts and reversals.

GBPJPY Sets for Gains as Bears Offer Little Resistance

The GBPJPY currency pair has recently closed above the key resistance level of 183.26, indicating that a rise is imminent. In fact, the pair is now poised to test the second weekly resistance at 184.28. Furthermore, there appears to be little resistance from the bears, suggesting that the uptrend is likely to continue. This is certainly an exciting development for traders and investors alike.

Fundamental Highlights for JPY

Japan's economy grew at a slower pace in the second quarter of 2023, as rising inflation and a weak yen weighed on consumer spending. The economy expanded at an annualized rate of 0.5% in the April-June quarter, down from 2.5% in the previous quarter.

The Japanese government is considering raising the minimum wage by a record 4.3%, in an effort to boost consumer spending. The current minimum wage in Japan is around $9 USD per hour, and the government believes that a higher minimum wage would help to improve the purchasing power of low-income workers.

The Japanese yen has fallen to its lowest level against the US dollar in 20 years, as investors have lost confidence in the Japanese economy. The weak yen is making it more expensive for Japanese companies to import goods and raw materials, which is raising costs and could lead to further inflation.

GBPUSD Analysis From Daily to 4-Hour Charts

Upon a detailed examination of the GBPUSD daily chart, it's evident that the trend has shifted sideways following the pair's break from the upward channel. The resistance zone is currently situated at 1.26, a critical level that the market must surpass to maintain the downward trend initiated on July 14th.

Taking a closer look at the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that GBPUSD has managed to close above the 1.2773 pivot and exit the downward channel. This development has led to an increase in bearish pressure, causing the currency pair to test the previously broken resistance, which now serves as a minor support. The primary resistance is firmly established at 1.2785. As long as this level remains intact, we can consider the downtrend to be valid. Consequently, we can anticipate the market would target  the 1.26 support and potentially attempting to breach this level.

Bitcoin's Double Bottom Pattern: A Sign of Hope?

Bitcoin is back in a key area of support, which ranges from 28,484 to 28,266. This happened after the bulls failed to overcome the strong resistance at 30,000. This point is not just a pivot point, but also a level that carries a lot of psychological importance. The bears have taken over and pushed the price down from the pivot area. They are currently testing the high of May 28th, which is between 28,484 and 28,266.

Our team of analysts at Hubufx suggests being patient at this stage. They advise against rushing into a long trade. The important thing is to watch if the bears can close below the low of August 1st. If they can't, we might see a double bottom pattern forming in the support area.

When we look more closely at the 4-hour timeframe, we see a long wick candlestick. This shows that the bulls are trying to keep the price above 28,000. So far, they have stopped the bears from closing below this important level. If a double bottom pattern does form, Bitcoin's market price could surge to test the psychological resistance at 30,000. The minor resistance at 28,794 is crucial in this situation. For the uptrend to continue and for confirmation of a double bottom pattern, it's vital for the market to close above this resistance.

On the flip side, if the bears manage to break through the support at 28,240, we could see Bitcoin's value continue its downward trend towards lower support levels as shown on the daily chart.

GBPUSD: A Close Look at Resistance and Support

The GBPUSD currency pair failed to breach the 1.2785 resistance level once again and declined from the resistance, closing below the 1.273 pivot. There is a minor support for GBPUSD at 1.2704. With the RSI hovering below the 50 line, there is a high chance for the bears to break this level and continue the downtrend.

The HubuFX analysis team suggests waiting for the price action around this level before making a decision. It is wise to wait since the GBPUSD price around the 1.2704 support has been erratic, as seen in the 1-hour chart. A close below the 1.27038 support will be considered a continuation of the downtrend, and the GBPUSD price is likely to target the 1.2622 supply zone.

The resistance level remains at 1.2785. The bulls must break this level in order to rise the price to upper levels.

It is important to note that the forex and stock markets always move between support and resistance levels. Therefore, it is vital to trade the assets based on when and how these levels are breached.

EURUSD Near Resistance: Short Opportunities Ahead

The EURUSD currency pair has recently bounced from the support zone at 1.085 and is currently testing the resistance area between 1.0915 and 1.0935. Interestingly, the EURUSD formed a bullish engulfing candlestick on its daily chart, which is usually a signal for the start of an uptrend or the end of a downtrend. However, it is important to note that based on price action trading, the 1.0915 - 1.0935 area is a significant barrier for the bulls and the market must close above this level on EURUSD before we can confirm the bullish scenario.

Despite this, the overall outlook for the EURUSD remains bearish as long as it is trading below 1.0935.

On the other hand, the EURUSD is currently hovering near a demand zone where selling pressure is likely to increase. As such, traders looking to go short on EURUSD should consider placing a stop loss above 1.0935 with a potential reward target at the previous low around 1.085.

In summary, while there are some bullish signals for the EURUSD currency pair, it remains in a bearish trend and traders should exercise caution when considering going long on this pair. As always, it is important to manage risk carefully and use appropriate stop loss levels when trading.

Shorting AUDUSD on Bearish Engulfing Pattern

The AUDUSD currency pair recently returned from the resistance zone near the 0.65 area and began trading in a declining channel, as illustrated in the daily chart. Upon closer inspection of the 4-hour time frame, a bearish engulfing pattern emerges, indicating that the bears have gained control over the bulls. At the time of writing this technical analysis, the AUDUSD is approaching the 0.643 pivot. It is highly probable that the breakout from the channel was a false alarm and that the decline will persist, starting with the recent lower lows.

The resistance for AUDUSD stands at 0.65, and bulls must overcome this threshold to pave the road to 0.66.

Trade Idea
The bearish engulfing pattern near the critical resistance area presents a favorable opportunity to enter a short trade, with a risk of being stopped at 0.65 and a potential reward around the 0.63 area.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals for BTCUSD

The crypto market has experienced a growth of 1.6% in its capitalization over the last 24 hours, reaching a total of $1.066 trillion. This impressive growth was observed on Wednesday afternoon. Following the strong rally in US tech stocks, buyers are now cautiously investing in cryptocurrencies after the recent sell-off.

In addition, the decline of Bitcoin has halted near the $25,000 support and it is currently trading in a range area between 25K and 27K.

From a technical analysis standpoint, we see a hammer and a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern in the daily chart which signals that bulls might take the role in the upcoming sessions. The RSI indicator is still hovering in the oversold zone under the level 30, making it 3 bullish signals for BTCUSD.

It is important to note that these bullish signals are formed in the daily chart which augments the bullish scenario. However, there is a minor resistance around the 27K that needs to be breached by the bulls in order to confirm the bullish scenario. If this breach happens in the following sessions, the target for buyers at Bitcoin will be the 28K resistance.

On the other hand, for the decline to continue, bears on Bitcoin need to close below 25K.

EURUSD Analysis: Can the Bears Hold Below 1.083 Pivot Level?

The EURUSD Currency pair is currently trading near the 1.083 pivot level. A bearish long wick shadow candle has formed near this level, indicating potential downward pressure on the pair. Additionally, the RSI indicator is hovering below the signal line, further supporting the bearish market outlook for EURUSD.

If the 1.083 pivot level holds, a decline to 1.073 is likely. However, on the flip side, if the bulls can close above the 1.083 pivot, a target of 1.089 can be considered.

A long wick shadow candle is a line on a candlestick chart that shows the highest and lowest prices a stock has traded at during a specific time period. It helps to show how the price of the stock has changed compared to its opening and closing prices. In simpler terms, it’s a way to see the range of prices a stock has had over a certain time.

Crucial GBPUSD Levels to Watch: 1.255 Support and 1.274 Resistance

The GBPUSD currency pair experienced a strong bounce from the 1.255 area, with an upbeat halt at the 1.264 pivot, which consequently serves as the main resistance area for the bulls.

However, upon closer examination of the 1-hour chart, we can observe three bearish engulfing candle patterns signaling the pressure of bears near the pivot. The bearish scenario appears stronger, given that the overall outlook of the GBPUSD is bearish.

It is important to note that, as long as the 1.264 pivot holds, the market’s primary objective is to retest the 1.255 support level, followed by a potential further decline to the 1.248 level. This information is crucial for traders and investors who are closely monitoring the market’s movements and seeking to make informed decisions.

On the other hand, if the bulls manage to close above the 1.265 pivot on GBPUSD, it would pave the way for a potential rise to the 1.274 resistance level.

Missed Data and Falling Dollar in Gold Analysis: How Gold Prices are Rising

Gold prices have been rising this week due to two key factors. Firstly, there was a miss in the US JOLTS job openings data, which measures the number of job openings in the US economy. Secondly, there was a miss in the US consumer confidence data, which measures how confident consumers are feeling about the economy. These two misses indicate that the US job market is slowing down, which is in line with the Federal Reserve's objectives. The Federal Reserve wants to cool down the US economy by raising interest rates. As a result of these misses, gold prices surged higher on Tuesday as yields and the dollar fell.

On Thursday, there will be another important data release that could impact gold prices: the PCE print. The PCE print measures inflation in the US economy and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve. If the PCE print comes in below market expectations, it could cause yields and the dollar to fall again, which would lift gold prices. The Core PCE print is expected to come in at 4.2%, slightly higher than the previous reading of 4.1% for June. The headline print is expected to come in at 3.3%, up from the previous reading of 3%. It's important to remember that the PCE inflation data is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, so they will be paying close attention to this data release.

Gold is currently testing the broken trend line, which is also near the 1,951 pivot. The bulls must break the pivot to push the price to higher levels such as 1,979 - 1,986. On the flip side, monitoring the price action and candlestick pattern in the pivot zone may provide decent opportunities to go short on XAUUSD.

The bearish candlestick patterns you want to look for are Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star, and Dark Cloud Cover. These patterns can indicate a potential reversal in the market and provide traders with an opportunity to enter a short position on Gold. By carefully analyzing the price action and candlestick patterns in the pivot zone, traders can make informed decisions about their trades and potentially profit from market movements.