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How to Use Personal Income and Personal Spending in Forex

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

This overview is devoted to two macroeconomic indicators — Personal Income and Personal Spending —and their influence on the currency market.

What is Personal Income

Personal Income represents monthly changes in the income of physical persons. This indicator assesses in percent the changes of the aggregate income of people in the country over a reporting month compared to the previous month. For calculations, income from several sources is used:

  • Wage/salary

  • Bonuses

  • Income from owning real estate

  • Income from holding financial assets

  • Income from enterprises

In the USA, Personal Income is calculated and published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), alongside Personal Spending.

Monthly changes of personal income is one of the key macroeconomic indicators that the BEA uses for assessing business activity in the country. Personal Income changes are published monthly in the Economic Calendar.

What is Personal Spending

Personal Spending demonstrates monthly changes in expenses of physical persons. It assesses in percent how aggregate expenses of people in the country have changed over the reporting month compared to the previous one. This includes all main expenses of the population:

  • Spending on services

  • Spending on durable and not goods

  • Spending on banking transactions, commission fees, etc.

This indicator is also calculated monthly and published by the BEA alongside Personal Income. Consumer expenses are part of the GDP, hence, PS helps forecast its growth. Also, it is one of inflation growth indicators. Changing Personal Spending is published monthly in the Economic Calendar.

How do these indicators influence the currency market?

For analyzing the influence on the economy of a country, Personal Income and Personal Spending are used together. If the actual data turn out to be dramatically different from the forecast, volatility in the currency market can increase.

On average, these indicators change within 1-2%. Unexpected growth or decline by 3% or more can influence the rate of the US dollar against other currencies.

Both indicators normally have a moderate influence on currency rates. The influence will be most prominent if they grow or fall simultaneously.

If the price dynamics are of different directions — one indicator grows, the second one falls — market reaction can be ambiguous. Let us see how the market can react to simultaneous growth or falling of the indicators.

Growth

Confident growth of Personal Income and Personal Spending makes the USD become stronger. Such growth can heat up consumer market, support the growth of the GDP and speeding up of inflation.

As a result, to hold back overheating of the economy and decrease inflation, the Fed can raise the interest rate. Expectations of this possible increase in the interest rate attracts investors who buy the dollar.

Falling

Steep falling of both indices can make the USD fall against other currencies as well. Decreasing Personal Income and Spending demonstrates some unfortunate trends in the economy, which result in a decline of the GDP and inflation.

Later on, the Fed can liven up and support the economy by various stimulation measures and a decrease in the interest rate (if possible). On these expectations, investors will be selling the dollar.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Explaining the Meaning of a Swap on Forex: Examples of Use

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this article, we will discuss the use of swap on Forex. Swaps can influence the dynamics of currency pairs significantly and form long-term trends on the market.

What is a swap and how it works?

A swap on Forex is an operation of money depositing or withdrawal for moving an open position to the next day. On Forex, a marginal system of trading is used, which allows using loaned money in the form of large leverage. Thus, when a position is moved to the next day, the rules of interbank crediting come into force.

Swaps on Forex directly depend on the interest rates of Central banks for each currency. In might be said that the currency in the pair that is bought is deposited while the currency that is sold is loaned. The bigger the difference between the rates of the currencies in the pair - the bigger the swap. Depending on whether we are buying or selling a currency pair, a swap will be deposited on or withdrawn from our account:

  • A positive swap is a swap that is deposited on the trader's account for each transfer of an open position. It emerges from buying a currency with a high interest rate against a currency with a low rate. For example, for selling USD/MXN, a positive swap will be deposited on your account. We sell the dollar with a low rate (of 0.25%) and buy the Mexican peso with a high rate (of 6.5%).

  • A negative swap is a swap withdrawn from the trader's account for each transfer of an open position. It emerges from buying a currency with a low interest rate against one with a high interest rate. For example, for buying USD/ZAR, a negative swap will be withdrawn daily. We buy the dollar with a low rate (of 0.25%) and sell the African (RSA) rand with a high rate (of 5.25%).

The size of swaps depends on the difference between the rates of the currencies and the conditions on which your broker works with crediting organizations. Thus, the size of swaps for the same pairs may differ significantly depending on the broker. In the case of currency pairs having more or less equal interest rates, both the swaps for buys and sells may be negative.

The swap for a currency pair is deposited/withdrawn every day (normally, at midnight server time). There is one peculiarity: Wednesday night, the swap is tripled, while Friday night, when the position is transferred to Monday, the swap remains single. This is since the position opened on Wednesday the valuation date (the date when the trade conditions are fulfilled) is Friday.

If you plan to hold your position for a rather long time, it will be wise to evaluate the influence of swaps on your position. Study the information on the website of your broker company carefully. In a popular trading terminal MetaTrader 4, to see the size of swaps, right-click the currency pair in the MarketReview window and choose the menu line "Contract specification".

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How to make money on swaps?

Thanks to the difference between the interest rates, swaps allow receiving extra profit and can even form long-term trends on the market. The strategy based on using positive swaps is called Carry trade. The idea of the strategy is in holding positions with a positive swap for as long as possible.

To get maximal swaps, we choose a currency pair with a large difference between the interest rates of the currencies it contains. Buying the currency with a high interest rate against the one with a low interest rate, you can every day receive a good positive swap for holding this position.

Carry trade works well when things go smoothly on the market, stock indices grow stably. Investors have no reason for worrying, so the enjoy the opportunity to make money investing in the high-yielding currencies of developing markets. Investing in profitable currencies may form a long-term market trend.

There was a time (before the crisis of 2008) when it was popular to buy GBP/JPY as an instrument of carry trade. The British pound is one of the leading world currencies and had quite a high interest rate of 5.0% at that time. The Japanese yen is a low-yielding currency and has had an interest rate of 0.0% for a long time.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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USD Forecast: Analysing the Trends of 2023 and Future Prospects

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

At present, the United States Dollar (USD) stands as the most highly sought-after currency in the global economy, also serving as a reserve asset for international trade and finance. In this article, we will examine the key factors influencing USD trends, analyse growth prospects in the current environment, and delve into expert projections for the immediate future.

Understanding the USD

The USD (United States Dollar) is the official currency of the United States of America and functions as a global reserve currency in international trade and financial markets. The US dollar is represented by the symbol $ or US$ to distinguish it from other currencies with similar names. The Federal Reserve System, functioning as the central bank of the US, holds the authority to issue currency.

The USD's status as the world reserve currency was officially established at the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference in 1944. In the same year, the Bretton Woods currency system was approved, which was based on equating USD to gold and limiting the emission of money within the bounds of its own international reserves. A fixed rate of 35 USD per troy ounce of gold was set.

However, the rapid expansion of the dollar supply exceeded the capacity of its own gold and foreign currency reserves, leading the US to abandon the Bretton Woods agreement. In 1976, developed countries adopted the Jamaican Monetary System, under which currency exchange rates are determined by the market rather than governments. The new rules allowed the Fed to print as many dollars as necessary. At present, the dollar's value is governed by market mechanisms.

Today, the US stands as a leader in the global economy, with the US dollar regarded as the benchmark currency and the most widely used asset in transactions worldwide. It also functions as the official currency in many territories beyond the US, while numerous other countries use it alongside their own as an unofficial currency.

Key factors influencing the USD

The US dollar, as the most traded currency in the world, is influenced by several factors, including economic and political ones. Among the most significant is the current monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve System (FRS), the central bank of the US. Decisions regarding interest rate changes significantly influence the value of the US dollar.

The Bureau of Labour Statistics publishes data on unemployment and nonfarm payrolls (Nonfarm Payrolls), typically on the first Friday of each month. Traders closely monitor this data, as it can dramatically increase the volatility of the US dollar and, of course, affect currency pairs in which it takes part.

Recent trends impacting the USD

The US Federal Reserve has recently been actively combating inflation by tightening its monetary policy. Since 2022, the interest rate has been gradually raised from 0.25% to 5.5% – the highest in 22 years. The rate hike cycle has had a noticeable impact on USD quotes, which have managed to significantly strengthen against numerous global currencies during this time.

Recent statements from Jerome Powell, the head of the regulator, suggest that the Fed is preparing to conclude the interest rate hike cycle. Experts are forecasting a maximum of two more rate hikes in 2023. Subsequently, the rate is expected to remain steady for a specific duration, and there is even the possibility of a decline if economic conditions call for it.

The policy of raising rates is putting significant pressure on the US economy. High inflation and slowing economic growth, combined with concerns about the sustainability of the banking sector, could contribute to the conditions for the onset of a recession – a significant and prolonged economic growth slowdown.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Top 3 Stocks From the S&P 500 List with the Highest Dividend Yields in 2023

Author : Eugene Savitsky

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In June 2022, the annual inflation in the US reached 9.1%, a level not witnessed by Americans since the 1980s. The Federal Reserve System (Fed) began swiftly increasing the interest rate, leading to a reduction in inflation to 3% by August 2023. While this value still exceeds the regulator's target by 1%, it can be acknowledged that the efforts of Jerome Powell, the head of the Fed, have proven effective.

Nevertheless, it is crucial to note that even a 3% inflation rate will yearly erode the purchasing power of money. One of the tools capable of generating returns equal to or surpassing the inflation rate is stocks. There are two ways to profit from this asset class: firstly, through the appreciation in the stock value, and secondly, through dividend payments.

Identifying a company whose stock value will significantly increase is notably more challenging than finding a company that offers substantial dividends. Today, we will delve into three issuers that are part of the S&P 500 list and pay dividends exceeding the inflation rate, namely Pioneer Natural Resources Company (NYSE: PXD), Coterra Energy Inc. (NYSE: CTRA), and Diamondback Energy Inc. (NYSE: FANG).

Criteria for selecting companies with the highest dividend yields

1. Dividend Yield: This signifies the ratio of the annual dividend per share to its cost, expressed as a percentage. It serves to assess the attractiveness of a security in terms of receiving passive income from owning it – higher percentage values denote enhanced attractiveness.

2. Debt Load: A minimal or absent debt load indicates that the company's profits are ample both for business development investments and dividend disbursements. This can be gauged through the Long-Term Debt/Equity ratio.

This ratio mirrors the issuer's financial risk and leverage degree, revealing its reliance on borrowed funds. A lower ratio indicates a better scenario, as it implies the company relies more on its equity capital rather than borrowed funds. The optimal Long-Term Debt/Equity ratio varies by industry and business specifics, but a ratio of 0.5 generally indicates financial stability.

1. Pioneer Natural Resources Company

  • Dividend yield – 10.18% per annum

  • LT Debt/Eq ratio – 0.23

  • Founded in – 1997

  • Included in the S&P 500 – 2008

  • Registered in – the US

  • Headquarters – Irving, Texas

  • Market capitalisation – 54.5 billion USD

Pioneer Natural Resources Company is engaged in hydrocarbon exploration and production and is one of the largest independent oil and gas companies in the US in terms of reserves and production.

Due to the decline in oil prices, Pioneer Natural Resources Company’s net profit for Q2 2023 decreased by 53% to 1.1 billion USD compared to the corresponding period last year, and earnings per share dropped 47% to 4.42 USD.

Pioneer Natural Resources Company pays two types of dividends: fixed and variable. Based on the Q2 results, the fixed dividend amounted to 1.25 USD per share, and the variable one was 0.59 USD.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Demonstration and Real Accounts: Psychological Differences

Author : Timofey Zuev

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Dear Clients and Partners,

It is no secret that trading results on real and demo accounts always differ, the former results usually being worse. In other words, if you succeed in trading on a demo account, you should always make allowance for the real situation. Some details of the execution of real trade orders, which were not visible on the demo accounts, may lead to this difference; however, such details are not significant enough to lead to serious deviations of the results.

Working on a demo account, the trader has already chosen the timeframe, the instruments, the volume of the opening positions, the instruments of analysis, the levels of entrance and exit — all trading principles and approaches. Yes, the trader is ready to start working with real money, as, in essence, trading on a demo account is in no way different to the real one. However, the one exception here is the real psychological readiness of the trader. The devil is in the different attitude to trading demo money and the trader's own money.

Difference between real and demo trading

1. The trader treats their demo account with ease because they know that they can open another one with new starting capital any moment. As usual, there are lots of explanations to the failures on the previous account, among which one of the most popular one is: the price made a reversal when I was absent from the computer, so I could do nothing.

There is yet another category of traders who open a new account upon receiving a loss on the previous one — they just like it to begin trading from a profitable trade, and no other way. However weird it is, but they do not even realize that it will not be possible on a real account, as they will not be forgetting losses there with such ease.

It would be much wiser to allow for a limited number of paid demo accounts. In this case it is unlikely that traders were so light-minded.

2. Trading strategy is better visible on a demo account. Why? Because there is nothing easier than receive a planned Stop Loss so long that the money is not real. And nothing easier than wait for a Take Profit with the whirlpool of ideas of what you could buy on that money if you closed the position now. There is no need to change the volume of the position during trading on a demo account, as there is no fear of another loss or a decrease of the profit. That is why the trader can execute their trading plan without altering and impulsive correcting.

Reasons for losing the deposit

The reasons for losing the deposit are mostly psychological, including:

Greed. Upon reaching their goal, the trader cannot brace themselves and keeps trading, willing to earn more or make the sum tidy. They may go even further and try to make enough profit for both life and trading

Proceeding to the next goal without reaching the first one. If the trader starts receiving stable profit, their vigilance fades, and they relaxes, believing in their professionalism. Their appetite grows accordingly, so the trader thinks: what do I need a bike for if I can earn for a car? However, they are likely to get none: goals are to be chosen and reached subsequently.

Reinvesting. Reinvesting itself is good for it helps increase the working capital and the profit by increasing the volume of trades. However, this method should be used with much care. Just a part of the profit should be left for growing the deposit, no the whole of it. Why? Because a series of losses or an unstable profit may follow, and the trader, willing to increase the deposit (if it is small) or get more profit (if the deposit is large), is likely to lose all that they have earned. As a result, they will get back to the starting point.

Summary

I would like to mention that, working on a demo account, the trader will not feel the influence of these factors. Call it the charm of money.

Real and demo accounts have a too big difference, and the transition requires psychological adapting. One way to make the transition to real trading easier is using cent accounts. It is advised to have the same volume on the cent account as it is planned to open the main account with.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Economic Indicators - The Basis for Forex Trading Strategy

Author : Timofey Zuev

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Let us have a look at the main economic indicators and their influence at the currency rates. The knowledge and understanding of these indicators are the basics of fundamental analysis and forecasting of price movements.

Interest Rate

Interest rate is an efficient instrument of credit and monetary policy of the state. Increasing interest rates, Central banks regulate demand for loans, reducing it, which decreases the expenses of people and impedes economic development. This measure is meant, first and foremost, for reducing the inflation rate and for prevention of overproduction of goods.
Decreasing interest rates leads to an increase in demand for loans, enhancing economic development.

The size of the interest rate is the basis for other economic parameters — rates of state and corporate bonds, credit rates for individuals and legal entities, etc. Central banks do not frequently change interest rates: this is a major market event, and all market players track such changes very carefully.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

The GDP is generalized data about the sum of the added value, produced by all producers in the country during a set period of time. The GDP surplus demonstrates the economic development of the country, its speed. Stable growth of the GDP is characteristic of stable economic development and also strengthening of the national currency, while a slowdown of the GDP growth means problems with the country's economy. The market reaction on the news about the GDP, the initial as well as corrected, is rather active and usually leads to serious movements of currency rates.

A report on the GDP is a wide analysis of all sectors of a country's economy. That is why different market players pick up the paragraphs that are of interest to them and make conclusions about the state of development of this or that country.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Consumer price index (CPI) is the main indicator of inflation in the country. For its calculation, the prices of the consumer goods basket during a certain period of time are used. In each country, the set of goods in the basket is different and is formed on the basis of statistical data. Such goods may be food, everyday objects, services, etc.

The prices for food and energy sources are the most volatile, so along with the CPI a so-called Core CPI is calculated, the latter including this category of goods from the consumer goods basket.

The CPI data is normally published on the tenth workday of each month as the percentage of the changes that have happened. In other words, what is published is the information by how many percent the current values have changed in comparison with the previous ones. The news about a change of a CPI value by just 0.2% leads to rather strong fluctuations of currency rates.

Producer Price Index (PPI)

Producer price index (or PPI) is an indicator of the price changes for the goods produced by national producers. The index includes the price for the raw materials, produced in the country and imported, on the intermediate products, on the finished products. The index includes all stages of goods production, as well as all spheres of production and agriculture. The difference from the CPI is that it does not include services and provides the analysis of price changes only at the level of primary wholesale trade.

Along with the PPI, the Core PPI data is also published; it does not include the prices for the goods of food and energy industries due to their high volatility. The PPI is published monthly on the tenth workday simultaneously with the CPI.

Trade Balance

Trade Balance, or International Trade, is the difference between the sum of export of goods and services and the sum of the import.

It influences exchange rates directly and reveals the competitiveness of the goods and serves, produced in the county, on the international market. Favorable trade balance (the situation when export surpluses import) signifies inflow of capital into the country, production development and, on the whole, has a positive influence on the economy.

Conversely, a deficit of trade balance, i.e. the situation when import surpluses export, signals low development of production, a lack of competitiveness of the national goods and is a generally negative factor for the country. This leads to the growth of the national debt as well as has a negative influence upon the exchange rate of the national currency, because its supply increases due to the necessity to buy more currency of the exporting state.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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RoboForex: upcoming changes to the trading schedule in view of the Labor Day holiday in the US

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Dear Clients and Partners,

We are informing you of the upcoming adjustments to the trading schedule due to the Labor Day holiday in the US.

This schedule is intended for informational purposes only and may be subject to further amendments.

MetaTrader 4 / MetaTrader 5 platforms

Schedule for trading on CFDs on the US indices (US30Cash, US500Cash, USTECHCash) and the Japanese index JP225Cash

  • 4 September 2023 – trading stops at 7:45 PM server time

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on Metals (XAUUSD, XAGUSD) and CFDs on Oil (Brent, WTI)

  • 4 September 2023 – trading stops at 7:45 PM server time

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US stocks

  • 4 September 2023 – no trading

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US futures

  • 4 September 2023 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

R StocksTrader platform

Schedule for trading on US stocks and ETFs

  • 4 September 2023 – no trading

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US stocks and ETFs

  • 4 September 2023 – no trading

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on the US indices (US500, US30, and NAS100) and the Japanese index JPY225

  • 4 September 2023 – trading stops at 7:45 PM server time

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on Metals (XAUUSD and XAGUSD) and CFDs on oil (WTI.oil, BRENT.oil)

  • 4 September 2023 – trading stops at 7:45 PM server time

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US futures

  • 4 September 2023 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time

  • 5 September 2023 – trading as usual

Please take note of the above amendments to the trading schedule as you plan your trading activity.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex team

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GBP/USD Analysis: Will Downward Momentum Persist in Autumn 2023?

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

GBP/USD (British pound versus US Dollar) experienced steady growth since the beginning of 2023, hitting an annual high of 1.3142 in July, followed by a downward reversal and a correction. Today we will examine the key factors influencing the GBP/USD pair’s trajectory under the current conditions and analyse whether the downward trend is expected to continue.

Overview of the GBP/USD currency pair

GBP/USD is one of the major currency pairs and ranks among the top three most demanded and traded pairs in the foreign exchange market alongside EUR/USD and USD/JPY. The base currency is the pound sterling, and the quote currency is the US dollar.

The behaviour of the GBP/USD quotes reflects the comparative state of the current economic conditions in the US and the UK. A rise in quotes indicates the strength of the pound and the weakness of the US dollar.

Given that the pound sterling is considered one of the most aggressive currencies in the financial market, the GBP/USD pair is characterised by a high level of volatility, which attracts traders and investors.

Trading characteristics of the GBP/USD pair

  • The pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with significant trading volumes during the European and American sessions, leading to major movements

  • The currency pair is characterised by high average daily volatility within the range of approximately 1,000-1,300 pips. During times of market force majeure, it has the potential for strong movements exceeding 2,000 pips per day

  • The spread for GBP/USD is considered minimal, thanks to its high liquidity, and typically ranges around 10 pips in a calm market

GBP/USD dynamics in 2023

This year, the GBP/USD currency pair showed a moderate upward trend, starting 2023 at the 1.2070 mark. The pair later reached its lowest value near 1.1800, followed by a rise to the annual high of 1.3142. However, this gave way to a subsequent downward correction, with the quotes currently hovering around 1.2600. At the time of writing, it can be concluded that the pound sterling has been showing growth against the US dollar from January to August inclusive.

This year, the GBP/USD currency pair showed a moderate upward trend, starting 2023 at the 1.2070 mark. The pair later reached its lowest value near 1.1800, followed by a rise to the annual high of 1.3142. However, this gave way to a subsequent downward correction, with the quotes currently hovering around 1.2600. At the time of writing, it can be concluded that the pound sterling has been showing growth against the US dollar from January to August inclusive.

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Factors influencing the GBP/USD exchange rate

The Bank of England’s monetary policy

This is the pivotal factor influencing the valuation of the pound sterling in the global currency market. The main tool of the Bank of England, the country’s central bank, to control inflation and affect the national currency exchange rate is the decisions on interest rates. If the interest rate increases, the exchange rate appreciates, while a decrease in the interest rate leads to a decline in the exchange rate.

Since December 2021, the UK regulator has been tightening the monetary policy in an attempt to curb rapidly rising inflation. The interest rate has increased from 0.1% to 5.25% over this period. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee is focused on achieving the inflation target of 2%. In June 2023, the CPI inflation index rose by 7.9% compared to last year’s statistics.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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7 Effective Trading Strategies for Beginners and Advanced in 2023

Author : Andrey Goilov

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In R Blog, we have discussed a whole range of forex trading strategies — from the simplest to the most intricate ones, from those suitable for beginners to those meant for experts, those with and without indicators. Today, I will try to enumerate 7 trading strategies of 2022, which will be especially useful for you if you have not tried some of them yet.

Always keep in mind that however beautiful trading strategies may seem, never rush at using it on real money. Start with a demo account where you can painlessly master the strategy, detecting its strong and weak sides. Only after you reach good results try trading on a real account.

Explore a world of diverse trading strategies in the list below, each accompanied by a comprehensive post featuring profound descriptions and clear trading rules. Simply click on the links corresponding to the strategy names to unlock all the essential information you need to confidently apply them in the financial markets.

1. The Fishing trading strategy

The Fishing trading strategy is meant for D1, however, you may try it on timeframes no smaller than H1. The strategy uses special indicators that you may download from the detailed description of Fishing.

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The trading strategy gives two main signals for opening a position: a breakaway of the trendline drawn by the indicators and breakaways of the special sales and buy levels. In short, the whole work of Fishing is based on the indicators built in the strategy.

An obvious advantage f the method is trading on D1: you do not need to spend all of your time at the trading terminal; another advantage is that you trade the trend. The drawbacks are the lack of back-testing because the indicator draws the lines for the current moment only.

2. Woodies CCI trading strategy

The Woodies CCI trading strategy is based on an indicator with the same name — Woodies CCI. It will suit those who prefer analyzing the price chart themselves. The author offers various ways of trading by the indicator: using breakaways of trendlines, graphic levels, bounces off the zero line.

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The author gives an interesting variant of trading the indicator chart; in essence, we do not need the price chart at all, you may open positions by the Woodies CCI signals only. The drawback is exactly the difficulty of such a system for beginners; for good work of the trading strategy, you still need to know the basics of tech analysis. On the other hand, you can back-test all the signals, gaining useful experience of work with the indicator.

3. Three Moving Averages strategy

Moving Averages are the oldest instrument of tech analysis. As soon as a strong trend begins, virtually no indicator will give better signals by the trend.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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NZD/USD Forecast: Will the Decline Continue in 2023?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar versus US Dollar) has been on a decline since the beginning of 2023. On 2 February, the pair reached a yearly high at 0.6534, followed by a gradual drop in price and eventually hit a low of 0.5887 on 29 August. At the time of writing, the quotes are within a correction phase at the level of 0.5979.

In this article, we will examine the key factors affecting the NZD/USD movements. We will conduct a technical analysis of the chart, share expert forecasts for 2023-2024, and aim to understand whether the decline of the pair will continue.

Overview of the NZD/USD currency pair

NZD/USD is one of the major currency pairs, with the New Zealand dollar ranking as the 14th most traded currency in the world according to a survey by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), published in October 2022. It has held the number 10 spot since 2010 but was eventually overtaken by the Singapore dollar, Swedish krona, Korean won, and Norwegian krone.

The base currency in the NZD/USD pair is the New Zealand dollar, the country’s monetary unit and the quoted currency is the US dollar. The behaviour of the pair’s quotes depends on economic and political events in the two countries.

Trading characteristics of the NZD/USD pair

  • The currency pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with the highest activity observed between the American and Asian sessions

  • The pair is characterised by low average daily volatility within the range of 700-1,000 pips, with maximum movements in 2023 reaching 1,600 pips per day

  • It is considered quite liquid in the foreign exchange market, which is why the spread for NZD/USD is minimal

Dynamics of the NZD/USD currency pair in 2023

The NZD/USD currency pair has been demonstrating a moderate downward trend, starting the year at the 0.6337 mark, and hitting an annual high near 0.6534 on 2 February. By March, the quotes had reached 0.6084, which was followed by a prolonged correction that lasted for 5 months. During this correction phase, the upper boundary was at the 0.6380 level, while the lower boundary hovered near 0.6065.

In July 2023, following the third test of the 0.6380 level, the NZD/USD quotes headed downwards and gained a foothold below 0.6065 on 11 August. At the time of writing, it can be concluded that the New Zealand dollar has been experiencing a gradual decline against the US dollar from January to August inclusive.

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Factors influencing the NZD/USD price

Economic data

According to an economic review by the New Zealand Parliament, the country’s economy contracted by 0.1% in Q1 2023. Data for Q4 2022 was revised upwards with the contraction value increasing from 0.6% to 0.7%.

According to Stats NZ, in Q1 2023, 9 out of 16 industries saw a decline in economic activity, with the business services sector shrinking by 3.5%. It is worth noting that the country’s economy has been contracting for the second consecutive quarter.

This is primarily driven by high inflation. For example, prices of fruits and vegetables rose by 18.4% over a year, while prices of meat, poultry, and fish added 11.7% with inflation on food products remaining over 12%. According to economists, other reasons include reduced consumer spending and a weakening real estate market.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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USD/JPY Forecast: Is the Japanese Yen’s Decline Set to Persist?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

USD/JPY ranks among the top three most traded currency pairs in international trading. In this article, we will examine the key factors affecting the USD/JPY exchange rate, analyse the dynamics of price changes in 2023, and explore the short-term and medium-term forecasts provided by experts.

Overview of the USD/JPY currency pair

The base currency in this pair is the US dollar (USD), the official currency of the US. In addition, it serves as the global reserve currency in international trade and financial markets. The US dollar is considered a benchmark currency and the most widely used asset in transactions worldwide. The Federal Reserve System (the Fed), functioning as the central bank of the US, holds the authority to issue currency.

The second currency in this pair is the yen (JPY), the national currency of Japan. It ranks third by popularity in the foreign exchange market, following the US dollar and euro. The Bank of Japan, the country’s central bank, holds the exclusive right to issue banknotes and coins.

The USD/JPY exchange rate shows how many Japanese yen the market gives for one US dollar. Fluctuations in the pair exchange rate reflect the comparative state of the current economic conditions in the US and Japan. USD/JPY is one of the major currency pairs, known for its high liquidity. Together with EUR/USD and GBP/USD, it ranks amongst the top three most traded currency pairs in the foreign exchange market, accounting for approximately 13% of the total trading volume.

Key trading characteristics of the USD/JPY pair

  • The currency pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with significant trading volumes during the Asian and American sessions, leading to major movements for USD/JPY

  • The pair is characterised by moderate average daily volatility within the range of 700-800 pips. However, during times of stock market declines, it has the potential for strong movements exceeding 2,000 pips per day

  • The spread for USD/JPY is considered minimal thanks to its high liquidity and moderate volatility

USD/JPY movements in 2022-2023

In 2022, the US dollar was greatly supported by steady growth of the key interest rate in the country and strengthened significantly against the yen. The pair rose from 115.00 to 152.00, which was the highest reading over the last 32 years. After the price hit a high of 152.00 at the end of 2022, a downward correction followed, which was caused by expectations of the potential tightening of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy.

In 2023, the weakening of the yen exchange rate against the US dollar persisted with the currency pair trading at 130.00 at the beginning of the year. The yen is under pressure due to the lack of clear signals from the Bank of Japan indicating when the tightening of the monetary policy will start, which contributes to further growth of the USD/JPY quotes.

At the same time, the Fed continued its interest rate hiking policy in response to increasing inflationary pressure. The difference between the rates resulted in the further weakening of the yen and the gradual growth of the pair exchange rate. On 16 August, at the time of writing, the quotes managed to rise above the local daily high of 145.00.
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USD/JPY technical analysis

USD/JPY has been showing steady growth since January 2023, moving in the ascending daily channel. In early July, the price demonstrated a sharp downward reversal from the upper boundary of the channel and the resistance level at 145.00, where there was the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the previous fall. Following this, the quotes rebounded from the lower boundary of the channel and continued to rise.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Basics of Risk Management in Trading. How to Avoid Losing Money?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Sooner or later, all traders who make deals on financial markets have second thoughts and ask themselves a question: “How do I more efficiently use my trading account in order to get profit and avoid losing money?”

As a rule, these thoughts don’t go any further and when beginner traders make transactions, they often risk all their money, “at full throttle” so to say, without following important rules for market operations. As soon as they get a little free money, beginners open another position and, when it comes to the crunch, lose all their orders and entire deposit. To avoid such situations, people created and developed some specific rules to manage their capital and risks. No matter how much money you have on your account – losing all will be unpleasant anyway.

Rules of risk management

Let’s see into all these rules and recommendations, which are intended to help us save money and avoid unnecessary risks.

Use available amount of money

First of all, one should open a trading account at one’s own available money. This is a sum, which a trader can afford to lose without any drastic consequences to their personal or family budget. At the same time, the amount of money should be enough to provide a trader with a freedom of making trading decisions. A deposit opened with borrowed funds or the last of a trader’s money is “doomed” from the start. The reason is very simple: in case of losses, a trader will try to win back their money, which means that a well-thought strategy will transform into a reckless pursuit with logical sad results. Hardly anybody wants to face such outcome in their trading careers.

Use Stop Loss orders

Secondly, one should understand the Stop Loss system. Ignoring Stop Loss orders is one of the most common mistakes made by both beginners and experienced traders. Many traders think that they can “outlast” a loss-making deal and the price may return to previous levels. In reality, these expectations often fall short and after losing time and money, a trader closes this position in the red. Or it might be much worse – the positions is automatically closed after Stop Out.

There is a simple approach that helps avoid such situations. All you have to do is follow the rules below:

1. Don’t open a position using all your money.
2. Before opening a position, one should estimate not only possible profit, but possible losses as well. Ideally, it should be 1 to 3 ratio or more, where there is 1 USD of possible loss to 3 USD of potential profit. At the same time, Stop Loss value in the account currency shouldn’t be more than 2% of the account funds. For example, there are 10,000 USD of funds on the account, which means that in the first transaction the loss amount for a single open position shouldn’t exceed 200 USD. The same math is applied further: after losing 200 USD, there will be 9,800 USD left on the account, so the next time the loss amount shouldn’t be more than 196 USD. In this case, you should estimate the loss amount based on 9,604 USD on the account (minus 2% again, etc.). A possibility that all positions will be loss-making is rather low, and while a trader has a reasonable approach to trading and follows the above-mentioned ratio, they have more chances to find themselves “in the black”. It’s definitely not difficult. In no way one should ignore Stop Loss and in no way one should change the Stop Loss level downwards in hopes of reverse. However, Stop Loss orders may and should be modified, but only in cases when the price is moving in favorable direction.

Typical mistakes of traders

Sometimes traders come up with an idea to average out when a position is in drawdown. However, this is another trap: such strategy will surely result in increase of the current loss amount, although there might be some very rare cases when this method helps traders avoid losses and get profit. Still, in most cases investors, who use this approach, are moving towards failure in quantum leaps. Not less and sometimes more problems may be delivered by so called locks (locking an open position with an order of the same volume but different direction). I don’t mind this method, but for successful outcome it requires rich trading experience and careful planning, that’s why inexperienced traders may only stave off their inevitable failure.

Attempts to win back their money ruined trading careers of many beginners. To avoid this, one should clearly define goals for the current trading session before starting to trade. Everything should be very concrete and specific: goals should consider not only forecasts on profit, but on losses as well. In case any of the planned scenarios turns into reality, one should stop all trading operations for the day.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Create Your Own Trading System?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

It happens very often that beginners start trading on financial markets and take these operations as some kind of a game of luck or gambling, but not as a serious, systematic, and sometimes routine work. For the first little while, a “newly-made” trader is in the habit of using gambling methods and tactics, such as Martingale system, when a gambler doubled their bets after every loss.

Quite often, there are approaches, which imply the transaction price averaging by buying or selling an asset at a better price when the market moves against the direction chosen in the beginning. Another thing worth paying attention to is the way of choosing entry points by beginners. In many cases, entry points are chosen in a random way and as a rough guess. Other signals may be different technical indicators.

After a while, having gained some painful experience, a trader starts learning basics of fundamental and technical analysis, take part in different seminars and webinars held by experts in trading and analyzing financial markets, buy subscriptions to trading recommendations and signals. As time goes by, a trader gets mixed results along with knowledge and skills, and, as a result, is led to the realization that trading is a serious activity, which requires a systematic approach, that’s why it may be necessary to develop their own comprehensive trading system.

What is a trading system?

The definition of a trading system implies a method or a scope of rules, which allows traders to understand in a very short period of time what is happening on the market at the moment and assess whether there are chances to open a position, and if yes – what position, long or short. In other words, a system should answer such questions as:

  • Is it okay to buy right now?

  • Shall I sell?

  • Should I trade at all right now or it would be better take a break?

A trading system should contain elements of strategies, tactics, and money management. Strategies are defined by the market segment, where a trader is going to trade: Forex, stock market, commodity market, or all of them together. After deciding on the market, it is necessary to choose trading instruments and timeframes. However, the most important thing in the strategy is a trader’s perspective on the market. It can be either a logical (not necessarily linear) sequence of events and a regular asset pricing policy or some chaotical form of existence of finances. This is where a trader should specify the logic for the market behavior patterns and regularities, which will form signals for opening and closing positions.

Tactics should help to define how positions would be opened and closed: according to indicator signals, after the price breaks some particular level, upon a pullback, whether a loss-making position should be locked, how big the profit should for closing a position, how Stop Loss Level is defined, or whether a position would be trailed.

Many people think that money/risk management is the core of the entire system, which is to guarantee permanent profit in the long-term. Here a trader should specify the amount of their initial capital, a procedure (and periodicity) of profit withdrawal or reinvestment. Also, in this part a trader should decide on the minimum lot and the maximum position volume, whether they are going to use “Martingale” system or not, or implement the price averaging approach. Still, some of the most essential questions to be answered are Stop Loss and Take Profit levels for every transaction, of course if the system implies using Stop Loss and Take Profit orders in the first place.

What about your own trading system?

The question is surely very logical, but the answer is very simple: over the years, hundreds and thousands of trading systems have been created, but none of them can be considered as a perfect one for everybody. Trading is a very personal, if not to say private, thing for every trader, so it is impossible for everyone to use the same methods and approaches. However, one can’t deny the fact that newly-developed systems use ideas implemented in old ones and quite often blend into each other.

A recipe for creating your own trading system is quite simple. You should understand that it is impossible without knowledge and skills – these things are “must have”. Every trader should create a system based on their own nature. If you like to sleep in, create a system for intraday or mid-term trading. If you want to earn a million in a short period of time, be ready to invest at least half a million – as a result, you need to plan your profit based on actual money that you have. But first of all, a trader has to decide on how much money they want to make a day, a week, a month, and how much money they are willing to risk. And the last, but not the least – a trader should strictly follow their system and avoid any emotional outbursts.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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RoboForex: upcoming changes to the trading conditions

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Dear Clients and Partners,

We are informing you that, starting from 9 October 2023, revised trading conditions will be implemented for specific account types.

New trading conditions from 9 October 2023

ProCent accounts

  • Stop Out value: set at a 30% margin level

  • Maximum order volume: 1,000 cent lots*

*- Larger positions opened before these changes take effect will remain open until closed by the client or Stop Out. At the same time, orders to open new positions with a volume exceeding 1,000 cent lots will be rejected.

Pro accounts

  • Stop Out value: set at a 40% margin level

ECN accounts

  • Stop Out value: set at a 50% margin level

Please take note of the above information as you plan your trading activity, and use it to make timely adjustments to your strategies, algorithms and expert advisors.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex team

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USD/CAD Forecast: Will the Canadian Dollar Rise in 2023?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

The USD/CAD is one of the most demanded currency pairs in international trading. In this article, we will examine the key factors affecting the pair’s exchange rate, analyse the dynamics of price changes in 2023, and explore the short-term and medium-term forecasts provided by experts.

Overview of the USD/CAD currency pair

USD/CAD shows the ratio of the US dollar (USD) to the Canadian dollar (CAD). Its quotes indicate how many Canadian dollars need to be paid for one US dollar. When the pair exchange rate rises, this means that the US dollar is strengthening against Canada’s currency. When the exchange rate drops, this signals that the Canadian dollar is on the rise against the US dollar.

Trading characteristics of the USD/CAD pair

  • The currency pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with significant trading volumes and maximum volatility during the American trading session. During this period, the US and Canada release the most crucial economic statistics that have a great impact on the pair exchange rate

  • USD/CAD can be considered quite a volatile pair, characterised by average daily movements ranging from 800 to 1,000 pips. During periods of strong global market movements, its volatility may increase to 2,000-3,000 pips per day in the short term

  • USD/CAD is one of the major currency pairs, which is why the spread is small thanks to its popularity and high liquidity. In a normal market environment, the spread ranges from 10 to 15 pips in popular ECN accounts

Fundamental factors influencing the USD/CAD quotes

The Bank of Canada’s monetary policy

The Bank of Canada has been tightening its monetary policy since March 2022 to bring down inflation. Over this period, the interest rate has been raised nine times and is standing at 5% at the time of writing on 21 September 2023.

When making decisions on interest rate hikes, the country’s central bank assesses how much trends in excessive demand, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing are in line with achieving the inflation target of 2%.

Inflationary pressure has been easing in the country since June 2023. Therefore, the Bank of Canada took a pause in a series of interest rate hikes to assess how steady a fall in inflation will be. It is keeping a close eye on economic indicators, and if inflation continues to rise, it may raise the interest rate, thereby supporting the Canadian dollar.

USD/CAD forecast for 2023

  • Analysts at J.P. Morgan Research predict that the USD/CAD quotes will hover around 1.3500 by the end of 2023

  • Citibank specialists suggest that the pair reaches 1.3400 by the end of 2023 and the beginning of 2024

  • ING Group economists believe that the Canadian dollar will be on the rise with the currency pair dropping to 1.2700 by the end of the year

Long-term USD/CAD forecast

  • HSBC experts presume that the US dollar is currently overvalued and will revert to fair value within five years as US yields decline and equity markets gain. They expect the USD/CAD exchange rate to stand at 1.2700 by mid-2024 and fall further to 1.2500 by 2026

  • Analysts at the Economy Forecast Agency (EFA) forecast that the rate will be 1.3580 by the end of 2024, 1.4050 by the end of 2025, and 1.2840 by the end of 2026

  • According to the Wallet Investor portal, USD/CAD will reach 1.3780 by the end of 2024 and 1.3870 by the end of 2025

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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USD/CHF Forecast: Will the Swiss Franc Rise in 2023?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

USD/CHF is one of the major currency pairs in the international foreign exchange market. In this article, we will examine the key factors affecting the pair’s exchange rate, analyse the USD/CHF performance in 2023, and explore the short-term and medium-term forecasts provided by experts.

Overview of the USD/CHF currency pair

USD/CHF shows the ratio of the US dollar (USD) to the Swiss franc (CHF). Its quotes indicate how many Swiss francs need to be paid for one US dollar. When the exchange rate of the pair rises, this means that the US dollar is strengthening against Switzerland’s currency. When the exchange rate drops, this signals that the CHF is on the rise against the US dollar.

Trading characteristics of the USD/CHF pair

  • Trading hours – The USD/CHF pair is traded round the clock from Monday to Friday, with the highest trading volumes observed during the European and American trading sessions when key economic indicators are released, potentially impacting the pair's exchange rate and leading to significant movements for USD/CHF

  • Volatility – USD/CHF is a moderately volatile pair, characterised by average daily fluctuations ranging from 500 to 800 pips. However, during times of crises and stock market declines, the pair can experience substantial movements exceeding 1,500 pips per day

  • Spread – As one of the major currency pairs, USD/CHF benefits from high liquidity and moderate volatility, resulting in minimal spreads. In popular ECN accounts, spreads commonly remain below 10 pips

Fundamental factors influencing the USD/CHF quotes

The Swiss central bank’s monetary policy

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has been tightening its monetary policy since 2022 to combat inflation. During the tightening cycle, the Swiss central bank raised the key rate by 250 basis points from -0.75% in March 2022 to 1.75% in June 2023. At the last meeting on 21 September, the rate remained unchanged at 1.75% despite expectations of another hike to 2%.

The SNB’s decision to leave the interest rate at the same level shows that the central bank does not see strong reasons for further increases, and the pause may extend. Some analysts note that the SNB has every reason to gradually end the tightening cycle given low inflation in the country, a strong franc, and slowing economic activity in Switzerland and the world.

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy

The US Federal Reserve is also looking to bring down mounting inflation by tightening monetary policies. Since the beginning of 2022, the interest rate has gradually risen from 0.25% to 5.5%, significantly affecting the exchange rate of the US dollar, which had strengthened against a number of world currencies over this period.

On 20 September 2023, the Fed left the interest rate unchanged at 5.5%. The central bank of the US noted that economic activity continues to grow steadily, and although job gains have slowed, it is still impressive. The Fed’s chair emphasised that the inflation rate remains high with inflation risks being the focus of attention. Analysts predict that the US will see one more interest rate hike by the end of 2023.

USD/CHF performance in 2023

The USD/CHF pair shows mixed trends in 2023, trading within a wide sideways range. In March 2023, the upper boundary of this range was set at the 0.9440 mark while the lower formed in July at 0.8555. At the time of writing, USD/CHF quotes are experiencing a robust upward momentum on the daily chart, hovering at approximately 0.9200, the same level as at the beginning of 2023.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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RoboForex increases Partner payouts for select instruments as part of a promotional offer


Dear Clients and Partners,


RoboForex continually offers its partners opportunities for growth, and here is another exciting one for you: we are launching a promotion that boosts affiliate payments for selected instruments!

Partners enrolled in the VIP programme , whose clients trade on Pro Standard and Cent accounts , are eligible to participate. This commission increase will last until 31 March 2024.

The following instruments are eligible for this promotion:

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Join one of the best Partner programmes in the market

  • Loyalty programme
    Up to 20% extra profit on your total monthly revenue.

  • No Payout Limits
    No restrictions on the maximum payments per month or per client.

  • Daily Payments
    Automatical transfer of the commission to your account on a daily basis.

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How to become a Partner:

  1. Open a Partner account

  2. Utilise our promotional materials to attract clients

  3. Receive a commission for your referrals' transactions

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Sincerely,
The RoboForex team

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Which Market to Choose?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

If you are a beginner trader, you are sure to be asking a question to yourself: Which market to choose for trading? The options are actually scarce: you can choose from Forex and stock market. Each of the above are virtually the same in terms of difficulty level, and each of the assets you can find there, be it a stock, a currency or a futures contract, acts in the same way for building an investment portfolio. In order to decide where to trade, you as a trader have to be knowledgeable not only about the markets as such, but also about your counterparts, or trading partners.

Trading is all about buying and selling assets, and you can either trade Forex or stocks only or trade all markets at the same time. It is worth mentioning that all these markets are highly liquid, which means a trader may buy or sell any asset at any time, within the trading hours. The traditional exchanges, however, work only specific hours Monday to Friday, which somewhat limits the way you can trade, while the decentralized Forex market works 24/5.

In terms of choosing the asset to trade, stock market is well ahead of the others, as you can pick any of dozens of thousands of company stocks and their derivatives. Forex is number two here, as the number of major pairs and crosses is not that large.

If you ask where you can make the most money in the easiest way, you won't get any answer. Everything depends on your strategy, discipline, and the current market conditions. After all, there are no bad markets out there, one can trade and earn everywhere.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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What is Trading and Who are Traders?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

What is trading?

Let’s consider the etymology of the word “Trading”. It is derived from English “to trade”. Thus, we may come to the understanding that trading is some kind of activity, which is related to buying or selling something.

Surely, many of you have heard such expressions as “grain trading” or “oil trading”, but the most popular one is “online trading”, which means trading different types of assets in the Internet. In the past, a person who wanted to make money on trading stocks, currencies, or any other derivative financial instruments (futures, for instance) had to open an account with a broker.

They could send orders to sell or buy only over the phone, hence often wasting valuable seconds and minutes and, as a result, losing money. With the development of internet technologies, the mankind got an opportunity to buy stocks of companies and currencies of countries that are located halfway around the world without leaving their homes.

Thanks to the modern brokerage services and state-of-the-art computer technologies, one can trade Apple stocks from a Paris attic, corn futures from a cozy New York office, or sell/buy Euros for US Dollars travelling by car or train anywhere in the world. The only thing that matters is a stable internet connection. For a large number of people throughout the world trading has become not just a business or a way to make money, but also a lifestyle.

Who are traders?

Those who are engaged in this type of activity are called traders. A Trader is an occupation not only of the present, but of the future as well. Reasons for this are quite obvious:

  • First of all, this job offers a great deal of ways and opportunities for making money.

  • Secondly, the number of available trading instruments is constantly expanding.

  • Thirdly, considerable increase of quantity and quality of infrastructure services.

  • In the fourth place, continuously growing number of new market players, not only professionals (such as investment and hedge funds), but private investors and retail traders as well, which may suggest stable prospects of further development of online trading.

What is algorithmic trading?

Another important factor that accelerates the online trading industry is constant improvement of software for algorithmic trading.

Summarizing this information on online trading, it would be safe to say that this occupation is currently one of the most popular business activities in the Internet. If you dream of being a freelancer and prefer making your own decisions instead of taking orders from others, incurring expenses for office space, staff, suppliers, and rent, then online trading is surely a way out for you. Apart from this, online trading is an intellectual business where all best and strongest features of your character may be applied in the most appropriate way.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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RoboForex added new commission schemes for CopyFX Traders on MT5 accounts

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Dear Clients and Partners,

We are thrilled to announce that two new commission schemes, the "Performance Fee" and "Subscription Fee", are now available for CopyFX Traders using MT5 accounts.

Under the "Performance Fee" scheme, Traders receive a share of the overall profit generated by subscribed Investors through all copied deals.

With the "Subscription Fee" scheme, Traders receive a fixed commission once a week if Investors have made a profit from copying deals.

What's beneficial for Traders and Investors?

  • Popular and familiar schemes for earning and sharing from MT4 CopyFX are now available in MT5 CopyFX

  • Skilled traders who were earning money in MT4 CopyFX can start earning in the new MT5 CopyFX

  • New growth opportunities: bringing in new Investors for Traders and expanding a variety of strategies for Investors

  • The commission earned depends on whether Investors' profits were achieved by copying Traders’ transactions

  • Investors have the freedom to select the Top Traders, while Traders are motivated to improve their trading performance

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Why choose CopyFX in MT5?

  • It's convenient - you can trade using one of the best terminals on the market with cutting-edge analytical tools and lowest ping VPS from MetaQuotes available for you

  • It's easy - all you need is an MT5 hedge account

  • It's flexible - offering user-friendly investment management

Are you ready to start earning from your investments?

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Sincerely,
The RoboForex team

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What are the Rules of Fundamental Analysis

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Macroeconomic data

First and foremost, a trader should comprehensively learn and understand all macroeconomic data, political indicators, and other events that involve any governments, countries, currencies, or assets, such as sanctions, formal talks, summits, etc. One should also bear in mind that different indicators may influence the market differently. Sanctions, for instance, bring stress and are long term, which means you should first take this into account and consider monthly reports, such as exports or inflation, only at the next stage. Conversely, a rising VAT would strongly influence the consumer price index (CPI) and, therefore, the currency in question, but not for very much long, i.e. for two or three months. This means you need to study all factors but understand that they all have different kind of influence.

Data sequence

Secondly, fundamental analysis does not have a basing strategy; one has to understand the current market situation on the whole, yet learn all the details. There are no step by step guides to run fundamental analysis either, so keep an eye on everything: what kind of political regime a country has, how the government takes its decisions, and so on.

Combining fundamental analysis and tech analysis

Another rule says that combining fundamental and technical analysis is not a bad idea. This is not an easy task, but the rewards may be great.

Trading the news

Some people use news trading, which is similar to scalping. In order to get it work, however, one has to very well understand the macroeconomic news, analyze them quickly, and drive right conclusions. First off, you've got to have the economic calendar at hand; thus, you will always know which news are being released today, what are the key data, and what the analysts expect. As a rule, news trading involves only global indicators, such as the US or Chinese GDP, US job data, Fed or ECB meeting results, etc. The way it works is quite simple: you analyze the expectations, get the conclusion, and go long or short, depending on what you have decided.

Correlation of trading instruments

Some also apply knowledge about a certain currency, which works in any market conditions. The US dollar, for instance, has a strong negative correlation with the crude and the gold. When the greenback is strong, these major commodities are down; conversely, when the crude rises, the currencies of the oil-exporting countries follow it. This always works, unless the market is populated with large speculators or institutional players that drive the prices their way.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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What is Margin and How to Trade with Leverage?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

When it comes to margin, people who are not knowledgeable in trading usually think it's the difference between the buying and the selling price. While this is true for most other cases, in trading, margin means a collateral you've got to pay in order to open your position.

In the trading window on your terminal, you will see Margin and Free Margin sections, among others. Not all understand what it is, though. Let's see then.

What is Margin in trading

Margin is an amount that represents a collateral to keep your positions open. In the trading platform, it is usually shown in the base account currency as a single figure, even if you have quite a few active positions. If you opened a long one-lot trade on EUR/USD, you'll have the respective collateral amount in the Margin section. If your account currency is the dollar, and the EUR/USD pair is now at 1.2000, your margin is 1.2000 x 100,000 (one lot) = $1,200. Your leverage is not shown here. (Don't worry, we'll cover it a bit later on). Once you've closed your position, you are getting your margin collateral back, adjusted on profit and loss. So, in case you got a $100 profit, you will get $1,300.

Your free margin is the amount you still can use as collateral to open new positions. Say, if you've got $10,000 on your account and opened a trade for $1,200, you still have $8,800 as your free margin. This is floating, however, as it depends on your active positions profits and losses. When your open positions are losing, your free margin will be down, and, conversely, with profiting positions, you will have more free margin. Many open a lot of positions at a time, using nearly all of their free margin. This may often lead to a margin call, and the positions being automatically closed.

What is leverage

Leverage is the amount of money your broker is willing to loan you for trading in the market. The leverage depends on the market you are operating in, as well as on the broker and the trader themselves. In the stock market, you can have 1:1 or 2:1 leverage or more, but very rarely can it be over 20:1. In Forex, however, a 500:1 or even 1000:1 leverage is not something beyond understanding. But wait, what do these figures actually mean, you may ask. Well, let's see.

Leverage is a very important vehicle for most retail traders. Few are those who can open a few-thousand-dollar account; with leverage, however, you'll be able to operate large amounts even with a few hundreds of bucks. Whether this is good or bad, is disputable. With such a tool, a trader gains an opportunity to actually trade the markets, but there's a downside: with leverage, the potential loss is magnified, too. So, you've got to be sensible when trading with leverage.

Leverage amount

The most popular leverage on FX out there is 100:1. This means, you can operate with $100,000 having just $1,000 on your account. Thus, the number of instruments you can trade increases drastically. On the other hand, you can't lose money that is not yours, so once you've reached your limit (that is determined by every broker individually), your positions will be closed automatically, because the broker will want their money back.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

Re: RoboForex - Company news and official support

RoboForex: upcoming changes to the trading schedule due to reverting to Standard Tim

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Dear Clients and Partners,

We are informing you that European countries will revert from Daylight Saving Time to Standard Time on 29 October 2023. The US will make this transition on 5 November 2023. Consequently, there will be some adjustments to the trading schedule.

This schedule is intended for informational purposes only and may be subject to further amendments.

MetaTrader 4 / MetaTrader 5 platforms

Schedule for trading on Metals (XAUUSD, XAGUSD)

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading on CFDs on Metals will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 12:05 AM - 10:59 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2022, CFDs on Metals will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on the US indices

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading on CFDs on US indices will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 02:00 AM - 10:15 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2022, CFDs on US indices will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on Oil (Brent, WTI)

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading on CFDs on oil will be opened and closed 1 hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 02:00 AM - 10:15 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, CFDs on oil will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US stocks

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading CFDs on US stocks will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 03:31 PM - 09:59 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, CFDs on US stocks will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US futures

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading CFDs on US futures will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 12:00 AM - 10:59 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, CFDs on US futures will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on all instruments including CFDs on Cryptocurrencies

  • On 3 November 2023, trading on all instruments will be closed at 11:00 PM server time.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, the above-mentioned instruments will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

R StocksTrader platform

Schedule for trading on US stocks and ETFs

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading US stocks and ETFs will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 03:31 PM - 9:59 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, the above-mentioned instruments will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US stocks and ETFs

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading CFDs on US indices will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 03:31 PM - 9:59 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, the above-mentioned instruments will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on the US indices

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading CFDs on US indices will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 02:00 AM - 10:15 PM

  • Starting 6 November 2023, CFDs on the US indices will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on Metals (XAUUSD and XAGUSD)

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading CFDs on Metals will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 12:05 AM - 10:59 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, CFDs on Metals will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on oil (WTI.oil, BRENT.oil)

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading on CFDs on oil will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 02:00 AM - 10:15 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, CFDs on oil will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US futures

  • From 30 October to 3 November 2023, trading on CFDs on futures will be opened and closed one hour earlier than usual (server time).

  • Trading session (server time): 12:00 AM - 10:59 PM.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, CFDs on US futures will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Schedule for trading on currency pairs and CFDs on Cryptocurrencies

  • On 3 November 2023, trading on currency pairs and CFDs on Cryptocurrencies will be closed at 11:00 PM server time.

  • Starting 6 November 2023, the above-mentioned instruments will be available for trading within the operating range of the contract specifications.

Also, please note that from 30 October to 3 November 2023, the bank rollover time will be from 10:45 PM to 11:15 PM server time. This might lead to short-term interruptions in quoting and a significant widening of spreads.

Please take note of the above amendments to the trading schedule as you plan your trading activity.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex team

Re: RoboForex - Company news and official support

How Much Should Be the First Deposit Amount?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

After doing some demo trading and conquering the virtual market, every trader starts sooner or later thinking about opening a real account and depositing their hard-earned money. The question of 'How much should I deposit?' arises soon, and the answers are many. The first one may think of is funding the account with the minimum deposit amount or the minimum investment amount defined by the broker. However, when choosing this option, one should understand this may lead to losing the deposit quickly if the market goes against you. Meanwhile, the losses at early stages are very bad for any trader's psychology, and overcoming such losses is not an easy task. Thus, sometimes, continuing demo trading is much better than investing a minimum amount.

Setting goals for trading

Another popular option described across the web is that a trader should invest so much money as they are willing to lose. In other words, a trader ought to believe they will be wagering their money, rather than investing. This could be partly true, as deeming this money lost from the very beginning will solve any future emotional problems in case this money is really lost. On the other hand, however, this may make the trader think their trading activity is unimportant, as if it were a mere game of chance. This is actually why most novice traders do not trade but rather wager, and only one out of ten, on average, is successful.

We believe everyone asking themselves the How Much Should I Deposit? question should first understand their purpose. If you are in the markets only to play a game, it does not matter how much (or little) you are going to invest. Whether you play with a hundred or two of bucks in a cent account or even continue demo trading, makes virtually no difference.

Typical mistakes of a trader

Many beginner traders think they could turn $100 into millions in a month. Is it realistic? Long story short, you will have to double your deposit every single day. This is barely possible, even mathematically. So, every time you start thinking on saving up your cash and putting in a minimum deposit, multiply this amount by 10 or even 20. This won't guarantee you any profits either, but will at least allow your account to have some financial support, preventing it from getting 'blown' in a flash.

Conclusion

Rationally thinking, the first deposit amount should be in line with the average weekly or monthly gain the trading system is ready to provide you with. Thus, if you want to earn, say, $1,000 per month, and your system gives you 10% to 20% monthly, you should deposit between $5,000 and $10,000.

We all understand, however, that financial conditions of every single trader matter, too. Some would say $1,000 is a large amount, while for others 100,000 won't be enough. Everyone has to make their own choice, and should remember at all times that even a huge deposit does not guarantee profits without the appropriate attitude to trading.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

Re: RoboForex - Company news and official support

How to Hedge Your Risks?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Hedging risks is an essential ability for both new and advanced investors. Risk hedging is used when a trading system no longer works, and you've got to secure your capital against the volatile market conditions.

Hedging on Forex

The most simple and popular way to hedge risks in Forex is opening an opposite position. For instance, if you've got a losing long position which you don't want to close, you can just go short, opening a sell position with the same size. Thus, your losing position will get compensated with a winning one.

This is not that perfect, though. When doing so, you've got very little free margin to trad with, which limits your trading and may lead to loss of potential profits. Besides, you will spend money on spread, and this is not less important. You can think of it as 'a little money here and a little there', but this finally may lead to permanent losses.

Accepting losses

What is the best way to act then? Sometimes, it is a good idea to just close a bad trade before it ruins your deposit. A mistake, yes, but not a catastrophic one. Such mistakes are good to learn on as long as you get more experienced.

More seasoned traders may choose an index that monitors a few currencies instead of sticking to a single pair. Thus you will be able to see a pair that stands out of the market noise. For example, you can track the dollar index that will help you to monitor both EUR/USD and other currencies. Having a look at the overall market picture is also a way of hedging your risks.

Sometimes, too much hedging and in-depth trading is also bad. In these cases, one had better stick to the simplest strategies without too much analysis or searching magic robots, signals, or signs.

Conclusion

Very often a trader understands why the hedging strategies are good only after they have faced losses. In the worst scenario, this will happen only when the deposit is already blown. This makes using the hedging techniques essential since your first trading day, before you lose too much money.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team