Re: Forex Analysis by LiteForex
Morning Market Review
EUR/USD
EUR has shown moderate growth against USD during today's Asian session, again approaching its highs since early March, updated on July 15. EUR ended last week's trading with moderate growth, receiving support from weak USD. At the end of the week, USD was under pressure from disappointing consumer confidence data. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in July fell from 78.1 to 73.2 points, while analysts had expected growth to 79 points. Today, European investors are focused on the publication of data on Producer Price Index from Germany for June. Also, German Bundesbank Monthly Report is expected during the day.
GBP/USD
GBP declines against USD during today's morning trading, preparing to test 1.2500 for a breakdown again. Investors are selling GBP amid the publication of mixed macroeconomic statistics from the UK and uncertain prospects. Last week, the UK reported on the growth rate of GDP, which in May was significantly worse than market expectations. In this regard, analysts believe that the previously adopted measures to support the country's economy may not be enough and soon the Bank of England will be forced to return to the issue of new incentives. Investors are also concerned about the prospect of a trade agreement between the UK and the EU, which should be signed before the end of the year. Due to the pandemic, no notable progress on the issue was achieved, despite a series of very optimistic statements by officials.
NZD/USD
NZD shows ambiguous dynamics of trading against USD during today's Asian session, located near the opening level of 0.6550. Investors expect new drivers to appear on the market to form trends for the instrument, but so far NZD has not been able to demonstrate growth even against the backdrop of strong macroeconomic signals. Last Friday, Business NZ PMI in June rose sharply from 39.7 to 56.3 points against the forecast of a decrease to 35.6 points. Today, attention is drawn to Business NZ Performance of Services Index. In June, the indicator increased from 37.2 to 54.1 points, which also turned out to be better than the market's average expectations. In turn, USD remains under pressure from alarming statistics on the incidence of coronavirus and uncertain prospects around the upcoming US presidential elections scheduled for autumn.
USD/JPY
USD shows moderate growth against JPY during today's Asian trading. The instrument adds more than 0.20% and is testing the level of 107.30 for a breakout. Pressure on JPY on Monday is exerted by weak statistics on exports. In June, exports from Japan decreased by 26.2% YoY after a decrease of 28.3% YoY in the previous month. Analysts had expected decline by 24.9% YoY. Imports for the same period fell by 14.4% YoY, which turned out to be better than forecasts of –16.8% YoY and previous dynamics at the level of –26.2% YoY. The trade balance in June showed a deficit of 268.8B yen, which turned out to be significantly worse than market expectations of –35.8B yen. In May, the balance showed a deficit of –833.5B yen.
XAU/USD
Gold prices are stable at the beginning of the new week and are trying to consolidate above 1800.00. The instrument recovered noticeably in trading last Friday, receiving support from the continuing risk aversion of investors. The United States again reported a record increase in new cases of coronavirus infection, which raises doubts about the previously announced pace of the American economic recovery. The country has not announced the return of large-scale quarantine measures, but some states are forced to lock down, which could lead to a sharp deterioration in the labor market. An additional source of market uncertainty is the relationship between the United States and China. The parties continue to exchange mutual sanctions, and at the end of last week it became known that Donald Trump's administration is considering the possibility of banning persons associated with the activities of the Chinese Communist Party from entering the United States.