USD/CAD: general analysis

Current trend
Today the major event is the US presidential election. Strengthening of the Canadian Dollar, however, is caused mainly by a growth in oil prices. Thus, Brent crude oil managed to overcome the psychological level of $46 per barrel.
At present, dynamics of the pair depend largely on information about the process of the US presidential election, and any news about the high chance of Hillary Clinton winning could support the US Dollar. Markets are now stuck as investors are refraining from entering trades due to the high level of risk.

Support and resistance
The instrument is correcting in the upper part of Bollinger Bands. The indicators has turned up while the price range is widening that suggests the trend continuation. MACD histogram has reached its high in the positive zone and is keeping a buy signal. Stochastic is about to enter the oversold zone.
The indicators recommend long positions.
Support levels: 1.3327, 1.3298, 1.3250, 1.3206, 1.3165, 1.3110.
Resistance levels: 1.3390, 1.3427, 1.3460, 1.3507.

Trading tips
Long positions can be opened from the level of 1.3385 with the target at 1.3460 and stop-loss at 1.3360. Validity – 1-3 days.
Short positions can be opened from the level of 1.3340 with the target at 1.3250 and stop-loss at 1.3360. Validity – 1-2 days.

BRENT: technical analysis

BRENT, H4

On the 4-hour chart, the price rebounded from the strong support level of 46.05. Bollinger Bands is trying to turn down while the price range keeps on widening that portends a continuation of upward dynamics. MACD histogram is in the negative zone, its volumes are falling. Stochastic is leaving the overbought zone with a strong sell signal.

BRENT, D1

On the daily chart, the instrument is correcting in the lower part of Bollinger Bands. The indicator is directed down while the price range is widening that marks a strong chance of a continuation of the current trend. MACD histogram is in the negative zone, its volumes are growing and forming a strong sell signal. Stochastic is moving towards the overbought zone.

Key levels

Support levels: 46.01, 45.41, 45.02, 44.35.
Resistance levels: 47.00, 47.77, 48.34, 48.84, 49.44, 50.00.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened from the current level with targets at 47.50, 48.00 and stop-loss at 45.80. Validity – 1-2 days.
Short positions can be opened from the level of 47.05 with the target at 45.50 and stop-loss at 47.50. Validity – 1-2 days.

XAU/USD: technical analysis

XAU/USD, D1

On the daily chart, the instrument is trading below the lower line of Bollinger Bands. The price remains below its moving averages that start turning down. The RSI entered the oversold zone. The Composite is approaching its October support. Both indicators are forming a divergence with the price suggesting a growth possibility.

XAU/USD, H4

On the 4-hour chart, the instrument is trading on the lower line of Bollinger Bands. The price remains below its moving averages that turned down. The RSI is forming a “double bottom” having entered the oversold zone, suggesting a growth possibility. The Composite is about to retest its longer MA.

Key levels

Support levels: 1212.84 (50% Fibonacci retracement), 1205.65 (June lows), 1174.04 (38.2% retracement).
Resistance levels: 1235.55 (local highs), 1250.75 (61.8% retracement), 1261.03 (local highs).

Trading tips

The price is testing its 50% retracement. There is a chance of an upward rebound.
Long positions can be opened form current prices with targets at 1235.55, 1250.75 and stop-loss at 1212.84. Validity – 3-4 days.
Short positions can be opened from the level of 1205.65 with the target at 1174.04 and stop-loss at 1212.84. Validity – 3-4 days.

XAG/USD: technical analysis

XAG/USD, D1

On the daily chart the pair is trading near the lower boundary of the indicator "Bollinger
Bands", a correction of downward movement is expected. MACD histogram is close to zero line,
its volume is gradually increasing, the signal line moves horizontally, crossing the body of
histogram – the indicator gives a weak sell signal. Stochastic is in the oversold zone on the
border with neutral zone, the oscillator is ready to reverse the lines, so we will get a strong buy
signal soon.

XAG/USD, H4

On the 4-hour chart the tool is growing towards the middle line of the indicator "Bollinger
Bands". MACD histogram is in the negative zone, gradually reducing the volume; the signal line
is outside of the body of the histogram. The indicator doesn’t give any specific signal for action.
Stochastic is in the neutral zone near the border with the overbought area, in case of breaking
the border and further reverse of the oscillator lines, we’ll receive a signal to sell.

Key levels

Support levels: 16.65, 16.30, 15.80.
Resistance Levels: 17.20, 17.85, 18.20, 18.85, 19.25, 19.60, 20.10, 20.95.

Trading tips

According to technical indicators, it is preferable to open long positions at the price of 17.25
with the targets 17.85, 18.20, 18.85. Stop-loss should be placed at 16.90. Implementation
period: 1-3 days.
Positions to sell can be opened at the level of 16.60, with target at 16.00 and stop-loss at 16.90.
Implementation period: 1-3 days.

SPX: technical analysis

SPX, D1

On the daily chart the index is rising alongside the upper border of the Bollinger Bands indicator, trading range has expanded. The MACD histograms lays in positive area, its volumes are growing, the signal line crosses the zero line and the histogram body downwards, giving a strong buy signal. The Stochastic is in overbought area and goes alongside the neutral zone border, the oscillator lines are directed downwards. In case of border crossing there will be a strong sell signal.

SPX, H4

On the 4-hour chart the index lays between middle and upper borders of the Bollinger Bands indicator, still rising. The MACD histograms is in positive area, its volume almost stagnated at the level of 6.7, the signal line lays outside the histogram body, giving no clear signal. The Stochastic is in overbought area near the neutral area border. In case of breakout of the border there will be a strong sell signal.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 2165.1, 2151.1, 2127.3, 2106.7, 2081.2.
Resistance levels: 2195.0.

Trading tips

It is recommended to open long positions at the level of 2183.0 with the target at 2195.0. Stop loss is at 2180.0. Implementation period: 1-3 days.
It is recommended to open short positions at the level of 2165.0 with the target at 2151.0. Stop loss is at 2172.0. Implementation period: 1-3 days.

FDAX: general analysis

Current trend

Germany’s DAX is trading slightly up. The European stock markets came under pressure after Mario Draghi, ECB President, said that inflation remained far from the target level and eurozone’s economy was teetering on the edge of deflation. The regulator continues keeping an eye on the situation and can provide additional stimulus if the need arises. It should also be noted that news about Volkswagen’s plans to cut 30,000 jobs has had a negative impact on the German index.

Today amid the lack of important macroeconomic statistics, no high volatility is expected. Attention needs to be paid to data on consumer confidence in the eurozone, due at 5:00 pm (GMT+2). However, preliminary estimate for November is unlikely to have any strong influence on the market.

Support and resistance

The nearest support level is at 10648.6.
The nearest resistance level is at 10748.4.

Trading tips

Short positions can be opened from the level of 10648.6 with the target at 10582.0 and stop-loss at 10748.4.

XAG/USD: general analysis

Current trend

During today’s trading session the pair reached the 5-month minimum (16.15) and was corrected up to 16.50. The volatility of silver is low due to the absence of investors in the market because of the holidays in the USA.

US dollar continues to pressure silver. The traders are waiting for the interest rate increase in December. Yesterday the Open Market Committee’s record showed that the Committee majority is sure that the US economy is strong enough for this step.

Support and resistance

XAG/USD is falling within the downward channel. On the daily chart the MACD histogram is in negative zone, its volumes are growing. The %K line of the Stochastic indicator has crossed the %D upwards on the border of the oversold area, showing that the correction is possible.

Support levels: 16.15, 15.80, 15.30.
Resistance levels: 16.50, 16.80, 17.20.

Trading tips

It is recommended to open short positions at the level of 16.10 with the target at 15.80 and 15.30. Stop loss is at 16.20.

It is recommended to open long positions at the level of 16.60 with the target at 17.20. Stop loss is at 16.40. Implementation period: 1 day.

AUD/USD: general analysis

Current trend
There are a lot of fundamental factors that will affect the dynamics of the Australian dollar this week. First of all, important data on inflation and unemployment will be published in USA on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, especially Friday. Don’t forget about important releases scheduled on the night from Wednesday to Thursday: leading economic indicators from China, which is known to be one of Australia's major trading partners.

On the daily chart we can see a long-term downward trend, confirming the BOA's policy to reduce AUD rate against US dollar. Such policy is determined by the factor that 75% of the economy of the country is aimed at export.

Support and resistance
Resistance levels: 0.7837 (annual maximum), 0.7779 (monthly and weekly maximum), 0.7600, 0.7550, 0.7489.
Support levels: 0.7420, 0.7309.

Trading tips
The reasons for the global downward trend of the Australian currency is still there, so be careful when working in the "bull" corrections. Long position can be opened at the level of 0.7489 with the targets of 0.7550 and 0.7600 and stop-loss at 0.7430.
Short positions can be set at the level of 0.7600 with the targets of 0.7489 and 0.7420 and stop-loss 0.7750.

AUD/USD: general analysis

Current trend
All this week the driver for pair’s motion was US dollar. Today is the first Friday of the month, which means that at the beginning of the American session Non-Farm Payrolls will be released. Statistics promise to be positive, which will put pressure on the pair AUD/USD.

From the technical point of view, the pair broke out of long-term downtrend channel last week. Let us consider two basic scenarios. The first is a continuation of the trend down, which is plausible in light of the strengthening of the dollar in recent years. The second scenario will happen if the breakout is the false one and it only serves to close the stop-loss order of players who trades up. It is not difficult to guess that most of the "bull" stops are in a range between the levels of 0.7309 and 0.7132, so the downward movement may continue to these levels.

Support and resistance
Resistance levels: 0.7837 (annual maximum), 0.7779 (monthly and weekly maximum), 07600, 0.7545, 0.7489, 0.7420.
Support levels: 0.7309, 0.7132 (the level of accumulation of stop-losses).

Trading tips
The reasons for the global downward trend of the Australian currency are still in force, so be careful when working in the "bull" corrections. Buy the pair from the level of 0.7420 with the targets at 0.7489, 0.7545 and 0.7600 and stop loss at 0.7370.
If the alternative scenario develops, the pending orders to buy can be set at the level of 0.7309 with the target at 0.7132 and stop loss at 0.7360.

XAU/USD: general analysis

Current trend

Gold has been falling against the USD during the last five weeks. During the trading session on Friday the pair was at the level of 1176.70 — close to the year minimum reached in March. The market is under pressure due to USD growing in anticipation of the possible FRS interest rate increase on December, 14. The stable growth of the American stock market which became more attractive to the investors, also pressures the gold.

Key levels

On the daily chart the pair is lowering towards the lower border of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD histogram is in negative zone, its volumes are the same on the level of -23.640. Stochastic is in neutral zone, lines are pointed downwards, if it crosses the border of the oversold area, the sell signal will appear.
Support levels: 1147.30, 1130.75.
Resistance levels: 1176.30, 1187.70, 1229.70.

Trading tips

It’s recommended to open short positions from the current level 1155.00 with the target at 1147.00 and stop loss at 1160.00.
It’s recommended to open long positions from the level of 1177.00 with the target at 1187.00 and stop loss at 1172.00.

NZD/USD: technical analysis

NZD/USD, D1
On the daily chart the tool is steadily growing along the upper border of the indicator "Bollinger Bands". Indicator is pointing up, while the price range continues to grow, which is the basis for the continuation of the current trend. The MACD histogram is getting closer to zero line from below, its volumes are growing, maintaining a buy signal. Stochastic is going to enter the overbought zone.

NZD/USD, H4
On the 4-hour chart the pair is trading in the upper Bollinger band. Indicator is pointing up, while the price range has increased, pointing to the preservation of the current trend. Histogram MACD is in the positive zone, its volumes continue to grow, while maintaining a strong buy signal. Volume line of Stochastic is pointing up, while the signal line is oriented downwards.

Key levels
Support levels: 0.7203, 0.7194, 0.7182, 0.7165, 0.7153.
Resistance levels: 0.7222, 0.7230, 0.7238, 0.7246.

Trading tips
Long positions may be opened at the current price with the targets at 0.7238, 0.7250 and stop loss at 0.7200. Implementation period 1 day.
Short positions can be placed at the level of 0.7205 with the targets at 0.7180, 0.7170 and stop loss at 0.7195. Implementation period 1 day.

XAG/USD: silver is falling

Current trend

Yesterday the price of silver significantly declined amid a continuous strengthening in the US Dollar that was supported by strong data from the US.

The Consumer Price Index excluding Food and Energy in November rose by 2.1% that matched the figure from the previous month but came out a 0.1% worse than forecasts of economists. On a month-to-month basis, the index added 0.2% that matched the expectations. Additionally, the number of Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending 9 December fell from 258 thousands to 254 thousands that exceeded the expectations by 1 thousand claims. The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index in December grew from 1.5 to 9.0 points, more than twice beating the forecasts. The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index rose from 7.6 to 21.5 points, against the expectations of a growth to only 9.0 points.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands on the daily chart turned down while the price range is widening. The price, however, is trading underneath its lower border. MACD is falling having formed a sell signal. Stochastic continues falling having reached the oversold zone.
The indicators recommend waiting for clearer trading signals.

Support levels: 15.87 (local low), 15.65, 15.51 (11 April low).
Resistance levels: 16.00 (local high), 16.15 (25 November low), 16.30, 16.42 (18 November low), 16.62, 16.73 (local high), 16.87, 17.00, 17.22 (16 November high).

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after the price consolidation above the level of 16.15 with targets at 16.62, 16.73, 17.00 and stop-loss at 15.80. Validity – 2-3 days.
Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 15.87 with targets at 15.51, 15.25, 15.00 and stop-loss at 16.15. Validity – 2-3 days.