EURUSD Technical Analysis

The EURUSD pair touched 0.97 level and attempts to break it, reinforcing the expectations of continuing the bearish trend in the upcoming sessions, reminding you that breaking this level will push the price to 0.9550 as a next main station, while the expected decline will remain valid unless the price rallied to breach 0.9790 and hold above it.

The expected trading range for today is between 0.9650 support and 0.9800 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bearish

EURUSD - A fall is possible.

On the daily chart, the downward wave of the higher level А develops, within which the fifth wave (5) of А forms. Now, the fifth wave of the lower level 5 of (5) is forming, within which the formation of the local correction as the wave iv of 5 of (5) has ended and the development of the wave v of 5 of (5) is going.

If the assumption is correct, the EURUSD pair will fall to the area of 0.9470–0.9300. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.9997.

NZDUSD Technical Outlook

The NZDUSD pair provided more negative trades to touch our second target at 0.5564 and presses negatively on it, in attempt to confirm breaking it now, reinforcing the expectations of extending the bearish wave on the intraday and short term basis, waiting to test 0.5500 as a next target.

The EMA50 keeps pressing negatively on the price to support the continuation of the expected bearish trend scenario, noting that holding below 0.5610 is important to continue the suggested decline. The expected trading range for today is between 0.5480 support and 0.560 resistance

The expected trend for today: Bearish

USDCHF Technical Outlook

The long-term trend remains upward. Yesterday, the traders broke through the resistance level of 0.995, which opens up the target for buyers around the June high of 1.0040. If it is broken, the next target will be 1.0120. If the price returns below the resistance level of 0.9950, a correction is likely with the nearest target at 0.9840.

The medium-term trend is up. Last week, quotes overcame target zone 3 (0.9903–0.9890), and the target for purchases for this week was zone 4 (1.0049–1.0034). Today, the traders renewed the high around 1.002, and a correction is developing. If within its framework, market participants test the key trend support 0.9876–0.9862, then new long positions from today's high at 1.002 should be considered.

Resistance levels: 1.004, 1.012 | Support levels: 0.994, 0.984

ETHUSD - Murray analysis

The ETHUSD pair continues to trade within the mid-term descending channel. Currently, the decline has slowed down as the price has formed a sideways range of 1375 - 1250 (Murray [3/8]-[2/8]), in which it has been for more than three weeks.

This week, the quotes are approaching the lower limit of the 1250 range, with consolidation below which further downward dynamics to the levels of 1125 (Murray [1/8]) and 1000 (Murray [0/8]) is possible. The 1375 mark remains key for the "bulls", its breakout will give the prospect of growth to the levels of 1450 (Fibo retracement 50.0%), 1500 (Murray [4/8]) and 1575 (Fibo retracement 38.2%).

Resistance levels: 1375, 1450, 1500, 1575 | Support levels: 1250, 1125, 1000

USDJPY - The US dollar updates record highs

The USDJPY pair is developing an uptrend, renewing record highs. After some decline last week, the dollar resumed active growth against the yen, despite the risks of new currency interventions from the Bank of Japan: the instrument consolidated above 146.00, and the "bulls" are waiting for the publication of the September minutes of the US Federal Reserve meeting during the day.

Additional pressure on the positions of the yen today is exerted by uncertain macroeconomic statistics from Japan. Machinery Orders in August showed a sharp decline of 5.8% after an increase of 5.3% in the previous month, while analysts expected –2.3%, and in annual terms the indicator increased by 9.7% after 12.8%, shown a month earlier, which also turned out to be worse than forecasts at the level of 12.6%. The day before, August data recorded a surplus in the Trade Balance, which decreased by 96.1% compared to the same period last year and amounted to 58.9 billion yen due to the fact that a weak national currency causes an increase in the cost of imports into the country, while increasing prices Japanese goods sold abroad are not so significant.

During the week, the market's attention will be drawn to publications from the US. In particular, key inflation statistics for September will be released tomorrow, where current forecasts suggest a slowdown in the Consumer Price Index from 8.3% to 8.1%, while the Core CPI excluding Food and Energy may again adjust from 6.3% to 6.5%.

Resistance levels: 147, 148, 149, 150 | Support levels: 146, 145, 144, 143.51

EURUSD Ends the Temporary Rise

The EURUSD pair bounced downwards clearly after the temporary rise that it witnessed yesterday, as the EMA50 (BOA middle bankd) formed solid resistance barrier against the price, to start pressing on 0.9670 level again, which keeps the bearish trend scenario active on the intraday basis, waiting to visit 0.9630 (Fibo 78.6) followed by 0.9550 levels as next main targets.  Stochastic provides negative signal that supports the continuation of the expected decline, which will remain valid conditioned by the price stability below 0.9790.

The expected trading range for today is between 0.9600 support and 0.9760 resistance. The expected trend for today is Bearish.

USDCAD - Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the fifth upward wave of the higher level 5 develops, within which the wave (1) of 5 formed, the correctional wave (2) of 5 ended, and the wave (3) of 5 develops. Now, the third wave of the lower level 3 of (3) is developing, within which a local correction has ended as the fourth wave iv of 3, and the development of the wave v of 3 has started.

If the assumption is correct, the USDCAD pair will grow to the area of 1.41 – 1.43. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3507.

Crude oil price approaches the extended target

Crude oil price shows positive trades to approach testing the key resistance 88.65, which represents one of the next trend keys besides 86.65 support line, as the price needs to surpass one of these levels to detect its destination clearly, which makes us continue with our neutrality until now.

To review the details of the expected targets of the beach, the expected trading range for today is between 85.50 support and 89.50 resistance. The expected trend for today: Neutral

EURUSD builds bearish channel

The EURUSD pair continues to fluctuate around 0.97 level, and finds difficulty to confirm breaking it, noticing that the price moves inside intraday bearish channel that supports the chances of continuing the expected bearish wave for the upcoming period, which targets 0.963 followed by 0.955 levels as next main stations.

In general, we will continue to suggest the bearish trend unless breaching 0.9790 level and holding above it, noting that stochastic loses its positive momentum now to support the chances of resuming the suggested decline.

The expected trading range for today is between 0.96 support and 0.976 resistance. The expected trend for today: Bearish.

USDCAD Within Positive Pattern

The USDCAD pair’s recent trades are confined within bullish pennant pattern, thus, breaching 1.3855 will activate the positive effect of this pattern and push the price to resume the main bullish wave, to open the way to rally towards our next main target at 1.3900.

Therefore, the bullish trend scenario will remain valid and active for the upcoming period, supported by the EMA50 (BB Middle band), taking into consideration that the continuation of the bullish wave requires holding above 1.3700. The expected trading range for today is between 1.3760 support and 1.3900 resistance.

The expected trend for today: Bullish.