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NZD/USD: New Zealand dollar is in the correction 28.11.2018

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday, NZD rose against USD, continuing the development of the corrective “bullish” impulse formed at the beginning of the week, due to quite strong data on New Zealand exports and a weak US macroeconomic background.

Thus, in October, exports from New Zealand increased from 4.25 billion dollars to 4.86 billion, which was slightly better than the average market forecasts. Imports increased even more: from 5.85 billion dollars to $6.15 billion, which led to a worsening of the trade deficit. The October figure reached –5.79 billion YoY against –5.33 billion YoY in September.

Today, the pair is strengthening, waiting for new drivers to appear. Investors are focused on the speech of the head of the RBNZ, Adrian Orr, and a block of US statistics, followed by the speech of the Fed Governor Jerome Powell.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands reverse horizontally. The price range narrows, reflecting the ambiguous trade nature of the recent days. MACD indicator is reversing upwards, keeping the sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). The dynamics of Stochastic are similar, which indicates the potential for the development of corrective growth in the super-short term.

It is better to wait for the final formation of the "bullish" signal.

Resistance levels: 0.6815, 0.6849, 0.6882.

Support levels: 0.6760, 0.6748, 0.6704, 0.6662.

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Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after the breakout of the level of 0.6815 with the target at 0.6882 or 0.6900. Stop loss is 0.6780.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 0.6748 with the targets at 0.6662–0.6650. Stop loss is 0.6780.

Implementation period: 2–3 days.

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AUD/USD: wave analysis 30.11.2018

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The pair may grow.

On the 4-hour chart, the upward correction develops as a wave 2 of (5). Now wave a of 2 is developing, within which the waves (i) and (ii) of a have formed. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the levels of 0.7450–0.7587. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.7197.

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http://businesspr-finance.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/6-6.jpg

Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 0.7197 with the targets at 0.7450–0.7587. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.7197 will let the pair go down to the levels of 0.7020–0.6950.

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GBP/USD: wave analysis 03.12.2018

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The pair may decrease.

On the 4-hour chart, the downward correction of the higher level develops as a wave 2. Now the wave C of 2 is developing, within which the fifth wave of the lower level v of C is forming. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the level of 1.2600. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.2850.

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Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.2850 with the target at 1.2600. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.2850 will let the pair grow to the level of 1.3305.

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EUR/USD: wave analysis 06.12.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The pair may grow.

On the 4-hour chart, a downward correction of the higher level develops as a wave (2), within which the wave C of (2) forms. Now an upward correction is developing as a second wave ii of C, within which the wave (c) of iii is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the levels of 1.1511–1.1586. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.1266.

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Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 1.1266 with the targets at 1.1511–1.1586. Implementation period: 5–7 days.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 1.1266 will let the pair go down to the levels of 1.1200–1.1150.

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USD/JPY: wave analysis 07.12.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The pair may fall.

On the 4-hour chart, a local downward correction of the higher level develops as the wave 2 of (C). Now the wave c of 2 is forming, within which the third wave of the lower level (iii) of c is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the level of 111.35. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 113.83.

http://businesspr-finance.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/8-1.jpg

http://businesspr-finance.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/9-1.jpg

Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 113.83 with the target at 111.35. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 113.83 will let the pair grow to the level of 115.50.

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USD/CHF: wave analysis 10.12.2018

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The probability of downward movement remains.

On the H4 chart, the downward correction of the higher level is developing as a wave (2), which includes the formation of the wave C of (2). At the moment, it seems that the local correction as a wave ii of C was completed, and the third wave iii of C has begun. If the assumption is correct, the pair will continue to decline to the levels of 0.9724–0.9618. The critical level for this scenario is 1.0008.

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http://businesspr-finance.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/8-2.jpg

Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant below the level of 1.0008 with a target in the range of 0.9724–0.9618. Implementation period: 7+ days.

Alternative scenario

Breakout and consolidation of the price above the level of 1.0008 will allow the pair to rise to the level of 1.0122.

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NZD/USD: New Zealand dollar strengthens 12.12.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

NZD showed uncertain growth against USD on Tuesday, having corrected after four "bearish" sessions in a row. Active "bullish" dynamics can be traced during the Asian session on December 12.

The traders are focused on US-China trade talks. Despite the condemnation by the Chinese side of the arrest of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou, there was no breakdown in the negotiations. Yesterday, Liu He, Vice-Premier of the State Council of the People's Republic of China, Stephen Mnuchin, the US Treasury, and Robert Lighthizer, the American sales representative, held telephone talks to discuss the supply of American agricultural products to China and the changes in support of Chinese industry "Made in China 2025". A schedule for further trade advice was also reviewed. Recall that on the eve of Lighthizer, citing President Donald Trump, said that the agreement with Beijing should be concluded before March 1, otherwise a new increase in US export duties is likely.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show stable growth. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the ambiguous nature of trading of recent days. MACD is reversing upwards preserving a sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic has reversed upwards near its minimum levels, indicating a sufficient potential for the development of the corrective growth in the short and/or ultra-short term.

The development of "bullish" trend is possible in the near future.

Resistance levels: 0.6910, 0.6940, 0.6968, 0.7000.

Support levels: 0.6865, 0.6838, 0.6815, 0.6780.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 0.6910. Take profit — 0.6968 or 0.7000. Stop loss — 0.6880.

A breakdown of 0.6865 with the target at 0.6815 or 0.6800 could be an alternative. Stop loss — 0.6890.

Implementation period: 2-3 days.

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