Topic: In Sample + OOS vs 100% In Sample: misleading results from comparison!
Dear Popov,
this happen always in my test.
By generating strategies with the following data:
TEST 1
4 weeks (but it could be another data period)
M15
OOS 50%
Method: SQN or Net Balance
the portfolio results are impressive for the OOS 2 weeks. The balance is growing and it seems to have find a profitable portfolio generation approach.
TEST 2
BUT, if you generate only in SAMPLE for the 2 weeks (no until today but let' say until 2 weeks ago), the portfolio result is highly negative, compared to test 1.
Of course I've used the sames acceptance criteria: Test 1 In Sample = Test 2 Complete Backtest.
Same weeks of course.