USDCAD Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 17.06.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
USDCAD is influenced by several economic factors from both the US and Canada. For the USDCAD news forecast today, the focus is on the Empire State Manufacturing Index from the US, which is forecasted to be -12.5. This high-impact data could significantly affect the US Dollar if the actual figure deviates from expectations, indicating either a strengthening or weakening of the manufacturing sector in New York. On the Canadian side, Housing Starts are forecasted at 247K and Foreign Securities Purchases at 12.30B. Both these low-impact data points provide insights into Canada's economic health, with better-than-expected figures potentially strengthening the CAD. Monitoring the USDCAD news analysis today live is crucial for understanding the impact of these data releases.

Price Action:
The H4 chart for USDCAD indicates a recent period of volatility with significant price swings. The technical analysis today, shows the pair has been moving within an ascending channel, suggesting an overall bullish trend. However, recent candles show mixed sentiment with both bullish and bearish pressures evident. The price is currently above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating potential support, while resistance levels are being tested frequently.

Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud: The price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bullish sentiment. The cloud's future projection is flat, indicating potential consolidation or a slowdown in the upward momentum.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram is slightly positive, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating a bullish momentum. However, the difference between the two lines is minimal, suggesting cautious optimism.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 49.18, close to the neutral 50 level, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This suggests that the market could move in either direction depending on upcoming data releases or market sentiment.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels: Immediate support is at 1.36991, aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and Ichimoku cloud.
Resistance Levels: The resistance is observed at 1.37408, which coincides with recent highs and the upper boundary of the channel.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The USDCAD pair on the H4 chart presents a cautious bullish outlook with key support and resistance levels closely watched. The indicators suggest a potential continuation of the upward trend, provided the price remains above the Ichimoku cloud and the MACD stays positive. Traders should monitor today's economic releases, particularly the Empire State Manufacturing Index, for cues on market direction. Appropriate risk management, including setting stop-loss levels near support at 1.36991, is advised given the potential volatility from the upcoming data.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
17.06.2024

NZDCAD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 19.06.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:

The NZD/CAD news analysis today highlights the impact of various economic factors and central bank policies. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has recently adopted a more dovish stance due to concerns over economic growth, while the Bank of Canada (BoC) is focusing on inflation control, supported by recent positive economic data. These divergent approaches are key to understanding the NZD/CAD dynamics. The RBNZ’s dovish tone could weaken the NZD, whereas the BoC’s hawkish policies might strengthen the CAD.

Price Action:

The NZD/CAD H4 chart reveals a market that was initially bearish but has shown signs of a bullish reversal after a Change of Character (CHOCH). The price action demonstrates a shift from lower lows to higher highs, confirming the trend reversal. The current price suggests a bullish trend with a target set above the previous order block. For further confirmation, we use the RSA Parabolic indicator, where the dots below the candles indicate a buy signal.

Key Technical Indicators:

RSA Parabolic:

The dots below the candlesticks provide a clear buy signal, suggesting bullish momentum. This indicator is essential for confirming the trend reversal and potential upward movement.

Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:

Immediate support is at 0.8410, aligning with the recent lows. Additional support can be found at 0.8380.

Resistance Levels:

Immediate resistance is at 0.8450, followed by significant resistance at 0.8480 and 0.8500.

Conclusion and Consideration:

The NZD/CAD chart forecast is bullish, as indicated by the recent CHOCH and supporting technical indicators. Traders should consider going long, targeting the order block levels mentioned above. The NZDCAD forecast is strengthened by the bullish signals from the RSA Parabolic. Fundamental factors, such as the policies of RBNZ and BoC, will continue to influence the pair’s movements. Traders should use risk management strategies and be mindful of the volatile nature of the forex market. Staying updated with the latest NZD CAD analysis on TradingView and monitoring NZD CAD news analysis can provide further insights.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
19.06.2024

EURCAD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 21.06.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The EUR/CAD currency pair reflects the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Today, the market expects several news releases for both currencies. For the EUR, significant events include the German Flash Manufacturing PMI (forecasted at 46.4) and the French Flash Services PMI (forecasted at 50.0), both indicating varying degrees of economic activity. Additionally, speeches from key officials like German Buba President Nagel and ECOFIN meetings could provide further market direction. For the CAD, the focus will be on the Core Retail Sales m/m (forecasted at 0.5%) and Retail Sales m/m (forecasted at 0.7%), which are essential indicators of consumer spending and economic health.

Price Action:
Analyzing the EURCAD H4 chart, the pair has shown a sharp bearish trend. The last five bearish candles have driven the price down from the 50.0 Fibonacci retracement line towards the 23.6 Fibonacci retracement line, with the latest candle being green and bullish, indicating a potential pullback. This recent bullish candle at the 23.6 Fibonacci level suggests that this support level might hold, at least in the short term.

Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud: The Ichimoku Cloud indicator shows that the EUR-CAD forex pair is currently in a bearish trend. The price is below the Kumo (cloud), indicating a bearish bias. The Tenkan-sen (red line) and Kijun-sen (blue line) lines are both above the price, reinforcing the bearish outlook. The Senkou Span A and B (cloud boundaries) are also indicating resistance ahead.
Williams %R: The Williams %R (14) is currently at -94.54, which is in the oversold territory. This suggests that the pair might be due for a short-term rebound or consolidation as the selling pressure may have been exhausted.
Bears Power (13): The Bears Power indicator shows negative values, indicating that the sellers are still in control. However, the indicator has shown a slight uptick recently, which could suggest that the bearish momentum is weakening slightly.

Support and Resistance:
Support: The immediate support level is at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement line (1.4645), which coincides with the recent green candle and could act as a strong support level.
Resistance: The nearest resistance level is at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line (1.4710), which aligns with a previous consolidation area and could pose a challenge for the bulls if the price attempts to recover.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The EURCAD pair on the H4 chart shows a strong bearish momentum supported by the Ichimoku Cloud, %R14, and Bears Power indicators. The recent bearish candles indicate that the selling pressure is still present, but the oversold condition of %R14 and the latest bullish candle suggest a possible short-term pullback or consolidation at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Traders should watch the key support and resistance levels closely, as any breach could indicate the next potential move. Given the upcoming economic releases and speeches, increased volatility can be expected, and traders should stay updated with the latest information.

Disclaimer: The EURCAD technical and fundamental analysis provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.

FXGlory
21.06.2024

EURUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 27.06.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The EUR/USD news analysis today is influenced by significant economic indicators and news releases. For the Euro, the M3 Money Supply and private loans data provide insights into economic health and lending trends within the Eurozone. For the US Dollar, today's high-impact news includes the Final GDP q/q, expected at 1.4%, and Unemployment Claims forecasted at 236K. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth and lower unemployment claims are likely to support the USD, while weaker data could benefit the Euro. Additionally, medium-impact releases such as Core Durable Goods Orders and Durable Goods Orders will further influence the EUR/USD market sentiment and direction.

Price Action:
The EUR/USD H4 chart exhibits a bearish trend for the pair, with the price making lower highs and lower lows. The pair has recently been trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating sustained bearish momentum. The “Fiber’s” price action shows a potential descending triangle pattern, which could signal further downside if support levels are breached.

Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud: The price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bearish trend. The future cloud is also red, indicating potential continued bearish sentiment.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 35.96, indicating that the pair is approaching oversold territory. This could suggest a potential for a short-term reversal if the RSI dips further but fails to break the oversold threshold.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels: The immediate support level is at 1.06650, followed by a secondary support at 1.06550.
Resistance Levels: The nearest resistance is at 1.07139, with further resistance at 1.07640 and 1.08000.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The EUR/USD forecast live shows strong bearish momentum, as evidenced by the position below the Ichimoku Cloud and the descending RSI. Traders should monitor the key support level at 1.06650; a breach below this level could signal further downside. Conversely, if the RSI indicates oversold conditions, a short-term bounce to the resistance levels could occur. Fundamental factors, including today's economic releases, will play a crucial role in determining the pair's direction. Proper risk management, including setting stop losses, is essential due to potential market volatility around high-impact news.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
27.06.2024

GBPUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 01.07.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:

The GBP/USD news analysis today is influenced by various economic indicators and geopolitical factors. Recently, the pair's performance has been under pressure due to a stronger US Dollar driven by positive economic data, including expectations for the upcoming Final Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing PMI. The UK's economic outlook remains uncertain amidst concerns over inflation and slower-than-expected economic growth. Bank of England’s monetary policy and the broader macroeconomic environment continue to play pivotal roles. The USD has shown resilience due to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, while the GBP faces headwinds from domestic economic challenges and Brexit-related uncertainties.

Price Action:

The GBP/USD H4 chart shows that the “Cable” has been in a bearish trend, evident from the price moving below the Ichimoku Cloud. The pair recently attempted a minor recovery but encountered strong resistance at key levels. The downward trendline in the pair’s technical analysis today further confirms bearish momentum, with lower highs and lower lows being formed.

Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud: The price is trading below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a prevailing bearish trend. The cloud itself acts as a significant resistance zone.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is currently at 50.63, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish momentum. It indicates that the market is not overbought or oversold, leaving room for potential downward movement.

Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:

Immediate support is observed at 1.26314, followed by a stronger support level at 1.25670. These levels are crucial for maintaining the bearish structure.

Resistance Levels:

The nearest resistance is at 1.26538, with a more significant resistance level at 1.26850. Breaking above these levels could signal a potential trend reversal.

Conclusion and Consideration:

The GBP/USD forecast today on the H4 chart continues to exhibit a bearish trend for the pair, with key indicators and price action supporting this outlook. Traders should monitor the support levels closely, as a break below 1.26314 could lead to further declines towards 1.25670. Conversely, a sustained break above 1.26538 may challenge the bearish trend, but significant resistance lies at 1.26850. The Cable’s fundamental factors of the day, such as economic data releases from both the UK and the US, will be crucial in determining the pair's next move. Risk management strategies, including appropriate stop-loss levels, are essential given the current market volatility.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
01.07.2024

EURAUD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 07.03.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:

The EUR/AUD news analysis, often influenced by economic indicators and policy decisions from both the Eurozone and Australia, sees varying volatility based on such releases. Recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show a promising increase in retail sales and new building approvals, suggesting a potential boost in economic activities that may strengthen the Australian Dollar. On the European front, the French Treasury reports a budget surplus and upcoming PMI data indicate healthy service sector growth. These factors collectively enhance the fundamental landscape, offering a mixed outlook for the EUR/AUD forecast today as both currencies find robust support from their respective economies.

Price Action:

The EUR/AUD H4 chart depicts a consolidation phase within a rising channel, indicating a bullish undercurrent tempered by recent hesitations in price movements. The currency pair has consistently tested the channel’s support and resistance boundaries, with the latest of the pair’s technical analysis hinting at a slight bearish retracement from the upper channel line. This typical reaction at upper resistance levels may lead to short-term pullbacks but maintains the overall upward trend.

Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:

The price is currently trading within the Ichimoku Cloud. This positioning indicates a neutral zone where buying and selling pressures are balanced, but also suggests potential volatility as the price tests the cloud’s boundaries for either a breakout or a rejection.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI on the chart is near 51.38, indicating a neutral momentum with neither overbought nor oversold conditions, suggesting that there is room for the price to move in either direction without immediate pressure from momentum extremes.

Stochastic Oscillator:

The Stochastic lines are converging around the 30 level, which typically signals a potential upward reversal if they turn upwards, marking a key watch-out for buyers.

Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:

The immediate support is visible at the lower boundary of the trading channel and further strengthened by another support near 1.60745, which previously acted as both support and resistance.

Resistance Levels:

The upper channel line currently acts as the primary resistance level, with further resistance potentially forming near recent highs at around 1.62500.

Conclusion and Consideration:

As the EUR/AUD analysis today navigates through significant economic releases, the technical setup favors a cautiously bullish outlook with considerations for potential pullbacks. Traders should remain alert to breaking above the cloud or a reversal at key support levels. Monitoring upcoming economic indicators will be crucial in guiding short-term trading strategies.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
07.03.2024

USDCAD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 05.07.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The USD/CAD currency pair reflects the exchange rate between the US Dollar (USD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). Today, the USD is set to be influenced by several key economic data releases, including Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate. These high-impact events are crucial as they provide insights into labor market conditions and inflation, likely causing significant USD volatility. On the CAD side, the Employment Change and Unemployment Rate data are also due, which are essential indicators of economic health and could influence the CAD's strength.

Price Action:
The USD/CAD pair on the H4 timeframe is in a clear bearish trend. The price is moving within the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, indicating sustained downward momentum. Despite occasional bullish corrections, the overall trend remains negative. Recent candles show a steady decline, aligning with the general bearish sentiment.

Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands have been widening, indicating increasing market volatility. The price has been predominantly in the lower half of the bands, which reinforces the bearish trend. The price nearing the lower band suggests potential oversold conditions, but the trend remains downward.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is in bearish territory, with the MACD line below the signal line and a negative histogram. This setup confirms the ongoing bearish momentum and suggests further downward movement unless a bullish crossover occurs.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently around 31, approaching the oversold region. This low RSI value indicates that the price could be due for a short-term corrective bounce, but the overall bearish trend remains dominant.

Support and Resistance:
Support: Immediate support is at 1.3600, a key psychological level and recent low. Further support is at 1.3500, another significant level observed on longer timeframes.
Resistance: Immediate resistance is at 1.3700, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Additional resistance is at 1.3750, near the 38.2% Fibonacci level.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The USD/CAD pair on the H4 chart shows a strong bearish trend supported by key technical indicators such as Bollinger Bands, MACD, and RSI. The increasing volatility and bearish momentum suggest caution for traders looking to enter long positions. Upcoming high-impact economic data from both the US and Canada could introduce significant volatility, making it crucial for traders to stay informed and ready to react to new information.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should perform their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.

FXGlory
05.07.2024

AUDUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 07.09.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The AUD/USD news analysis today is influenced by a combination of economic indicators and geopolitical factors. For the Australian dollar, key factors include the Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index and the NAB Business Confidence survey. Both indicators reflect the economic health and confidence levels within Australia, affecting the currency's strength. Additionally, the upcoming testimony from Federal Reserve officials and other USD-related economic data, such as the NFIB Small Business Index, will significantly impact the US dollar. Statements from Federal Reserve members can provide insights into future monetary policy, influencing the USD and, consequently, the AUD/USD forecast today.

Price Action:
The AUD/USD H4 chart is displaying an uptrend characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The price has been moving within an ascending channel, currently consolidating near the upper boundary. This indicates that the bullish momentum of the “Aussie” is still intact, but the pair is facing some resistance. The price action of the pair suggests a potential breakout above the current resistance levels if the bullish pressure persists.

Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is trading above the Kumo (cloud), indicating a bullish trend. The Senkou Span A is above Senkou Span B, further supporting the bullish sentiment.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is currently at 58.79, which is in the bullish territory but not overbought. This suggests there is still room for the price to move higher.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic (5, 3, 3) is at 21.83, indicating that the pair might be oversold in the short term, potentially leading to a reversal or continuation of the bullish trend if it crosses above 20.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
The nearest support level is at 0.67126, followed by a more substantial support at 0.66892.
Resistance Levels:
The immediate resistance level is at 0.67355, with a significant resistance level at 0.67515, which aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The AUD/USD technical analysis today shows the pair’s strong bullish trend on the H4 chart, supported by the Ichimoku cloud analysis and the current position of the RSI. The Stochastic indicator suggests potential short-term oversold conditions, which might lead to a continuation of the bullish trend if the pair finds support at current levels. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels, especially the 0.67355 and 0.67515 resistance levels, for potential breakout opportunities. Given the upcoming economic data releases and speeches from Federal Reserve officials, traders should remain cautious and employ proper risk management strategies.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
07.09.2024

GBPUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 07.11.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:

The GBP/USD news analysis today is influenced by various economic indicators and news events from both the United Kingdom and the United States. The UK economy is currently facing challenges related to inflation, GDP growth, and trade balance, while the US is experiencing fluctuations due to inflation data, employment figures, and Federal Reserve policies. Today's economic calendar for the USD includes high-impact events such as the Core CPI, CPI m/m, and CPI y/y reports, which are critical indicators of inflation and can significantly impact the USD's value. Additionally, the Unemployment Claims report is expected, which will provide insights into the US labor market. For the GBP, recent releases include GDP, construction output, and trade balance data, which collectively shape the market sentiment toward the GBP.

Price Action:

The GBP/USD H4 chart reveals the pair’s strong bullish trend with the Cable’s price action moving within an ascending channel. The pair has recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a potential continuation of the upward movement. The price is currently testing a key resistance level around 1.2850. A breakout above this level could lead to further gains, while a rejection might see the price retrace towards the support level.

Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is above the kumo (cloud), indicating a bullish trend. The Tenkan-sen (red line) is above the Kijun-sen (blue line), further supporting the bullish momentum. The Chikou Span (green line) is also above the price, confirming the uptrend.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is currently at 72.63, indicating overbought conditions. This suggests that the price may face some resistance and could potentially see a pullback or consolidation before resuming its upward trend.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD histogram is positive, and the MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum. This supports the continuation of the upward movement in the GBP/USD pair.

Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:
The nearest support level is at 1.2806, followed by a stronger support around 1.2700, which is aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel.

Resistance Levels:
The immediate resistance level is at 1.2850. If the price breaks above this level, the next significant resistance is around 1.2940.

Conclusion and Consideration:

The GBP/USD forecast today on the pair’s H4 chart is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, supported by positive signals from the Cable’s technical analysis today, and key indicators such as the RSI, Ichimoku Cloud, and MACD. Traders should monitor the price action around the 1.2850 resistance level for potential breakouts or reversals. Given the overbought condition indicated by the RSI, a pullback to support levels around 1.2806 or 1.2700 is possible before the pair resumes its upward trend. It's crucial to stay updated with the upcoming high-impact economic releases from the US, particularly the CPI reports and Unemployment Claims, as they can significantly influence the USD and, consequently, the pair itself.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
07.11.2024

EURUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 07.15.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:

The EUR/USD news analysis today is influenced by several fundamental factors. Recent data from Eurostat indicates changes in the industrial production of the Eurozone, with the latest figures showing a positive trend, suggesting economic recovery. The upcoming Eurogroup meeting could further impact the EUR/USD forecast today as finance ministers discuss economic policies. On the USD side, key events include the Empire State Manufacturing Index, which provides insights into business conditions in New York state, and speeches by Federal Reserve officials, including Jerome Powell and Mary Daly, which could provide clues about future monetary policy.

Price Action:

The EUR/USD H4 chart shows a consistent uptrend within a rising channel. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, indicating the Fiber’s strong bullish trend. Currently, the pair’s price action shows that it is testing the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting potential resistance. A correction may occur before the pair continues its upward trajectory.

Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:

The price is trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating the bullish trend of the pair. The cloud itself is also rising, further supporting the bullish outlook. The conversion line (blue) is above the baseline (red), which is another bullish signal.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is at 63.47, which is in the bullish territory but not yet overbought. This suggests that there is still room for the price to move higher before hitting overbought conditions.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

The MACD line is above the signal line, and the histogram shows positive values, indicating bullish momentum. However, the histogram bars are decreasing, which may suggest a weakening in the bullish momentum.

Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:

The immediate support is at 1.0843, followed by a stronger support level at 1.0750.

Resistance Levels:

The immediate resistance is at 1.0987. If the price breaks above this level, the next target would be 1.1050.

Conclusion and Consideration:

The EUR/USD technical analysis today shows the Fiber’s strong bullish signs on the H4 chart, supported by key technical indicators like the Ichimoku Cloud, RSI, and MACD. While the RSI indicates there is still room for growth, traders should watch for potential resistance at the current levels. The pair’s Fundamental factors such as economic data releases from the Eurozone and the US, as well as comments from Federal Reserve officials, could impact the pair's movement. Traders should consider these events and use proper risk management techniques, including stop losses, given the potential for volatility.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
07.15.2024

AUD/USD H4 Technical and Fundamental An … 07.16.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The AUD/USD forecast today is shaped by the economic health and policy decisions in both the United States and Australia. For the US, today's data releases include Building Permits and Housing Starts, both crucial indicators of the housing market's strength. Additionally, the Industrial Production m/m and Capacity Utilization Rate are key economic indicators to watch. Statements from FOMC Members Barkin and Waller, as well as the release of the Beige Book, will provide insights into the Fed's economic outlook and potential policy changes. Crude Oil Inventories will also be monitored, given their influence on market sentiment and the broader economy.

Price Action:
The AUD/USD H4 chart shows a mixed sentiment, with the price recently breaking below a significant support zone. Despite this, the pair has maintained a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a still-bullish trend overall. However, the recent break suggests potential for a trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the price action for further signals of a change in trend.

Key Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 46.54, slightly below the neutral 50 level, indicating weakening bullish momentum. This supports the potential for further bearish moves unless the RSI rebounds above 50.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line. This bearish crossover confirms the downside risk indicated by the price action and Parabolic SAR.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels: The nearest support is at 0.6600, with additional support at 0.6550. These levels are crucial for maintaining the broader uptrend.
Resistance Levels: The pair is facing resistance at 0.6700, with stronger resistance at 0.6750. A break above these levels could signal a continuation of the bullish trend.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The AUD/USD H4 chart presents mixed signals, with the recent price action and technical indicators suggesting a potential trend reversal. The Parabolic SAR and MACD indicate bearish momentum, while the overall trend remains bullish. Traders should watch key support and resistance levels closely for potential breakouts or further bearish developments. Fundamental news releases for both the US and Australia will be crucial in influencing market sentiment and price direction. Monitoring these developments can provide valuable insights for trading decisions.

Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FXGlory
07.17.2024

USDCAD Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 19.07.2024

Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The USD/CAD forex pair, reflecting the exchange rate between the US Dollar (USD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD), is poised for a volatile session given today's economic data releases. The USD is under scrutiny with low-impact events such as TIC Long-Term Purchases, which came in significantly lower than forecasted at -54.6B versus the expected 98.4B. Additionally, speeches from multiple FOMC members, including Daly, Bowman, Williams, and Bostic, are expected to provide further insights into future monetary policy, potentially influencing USD volatility. On the CAD side, high-impact data such as Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales, both forecasted at -0.5%, will be pivotal. These indicators are key gauges of consumer spending and economic health, likely to cause significant market movements if the actual figures deviate from expectations.

Price Action:
The USDCAD H4 chart shows a clear bullish trend. Over the past five candles, all have been bullish, indicating strong upward momentum. The price has broken through and passed the Ichimoku cloud, signifying a potential shift to a stronger bullish phase. The bullish candles suggest that the buyers are in control, pushing the price higher with each session.

Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud: The USDCAD price has moved above the Ichimoku cloud, a strong bullish signal suggesting that the trend might continue upwards. The cloud acts as a support zone, and breaking above it indicates a shift in momentum.
Volumes: The last three volume bars are red, indicating selling pressure despite the bullish price action. This divergence suggests caution, as increasing volume on bearish candles could signal potential weakness in the uptrend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 64.78, which is below the overbought level of 70. This suggests that there is still room for further upward movement before the market becomes overbought, supporting the bullish scenario.
Parabolic SAR: The Parabolic SAR dots are positioned below the last four candles, indicating a bullish trend. This indicator confirms the upward momentum and supports the continuation of the current trend.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels: Immediate support is located at 1.3650, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the lower boundary of the recent bullish channel.
Resistance Levels: The nearest resistance level is at 1.3785, which corresponds with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the upper boundary of the bullish channel.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The USDCAD H4 chart analysis shows a strong bullish trend, supported by the Ichimoku cloud, Volume, RSI, and Parabolic SAR indicators. The pair is currently experiencing robust upward momentum, with potential to reach higher resistance levels if the bullish trend continues. However, traders should remain cautious of upcoming economic data releases and FOMC member speeches, as these could introduce volatility and impact the current trend.

Disclaimer:
The analysis provided for USDCAD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should perform their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is crucial to stay updated with the latest information.

FXGlory
19.07.2024