Netflix Inc.: technical analysis 12.06.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Netflix Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Netflix Inc., an American entertainment company and movie and series streaming service, are trending correctively at 420.00.

On the daily chart, the price is forming a wave of growth within the global ascending corridor with dynamic boundaries of 350.00–460.00.

On the four-hour chart, upside potential remains high as the stock consolidated above the initial 61.8% Fibonacci extension trend at 418.00, which allows the stocks hit a global high of 470.00.

Technical indicators keep a stable buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are moving away from the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming rising bars in the buying zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 430.00 with the target at 470.00. Stop loss – 415.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after a reversal, reduction, and consolidation of the price below 416.00 with the target at 379.00. Stop loss – 425.00.

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Apple Inc.: technical analysis 16.06.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Apple Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Apple Inc., the global giant in the development and sale of personal and tablet computers, are moving within a corrective trend at 186.00.

On the daily chart, the price remains within the global ascending corridor with dynamic boundaries of 180.00–205.00, forming another ascending wave.

On the four-hour chart, the upward movement has high prospects for continuation, as evidenced by the breakout of the previous global high of June 5 around 185.00, after which there is practically no resistance left, and the instrument can continue moving up to the channel resistance line around 205.00.

Technical indicators confirm the high probability of growth: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are above the signal line, and the AO histogram forms corrective bars above the transition level.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 188.00 with the target at 196.00 and stop loss 184.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price drops and consolidates below 182.00 with the target at 174.00. Stop loss – 186.00.

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Johnson & Johnson: technical analysis 21.06.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Johnson & Johnson for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Johnson & Johnson, one of the world’s leading retail holdings, are trading at 164.00.

On the daily chart, the price is holding within a corrective trend, trying to consolidate above 165.00.

On the four-hour chart, the quotes are locked within a local Triangle pattern with dynamic boundaries of 164.00–154.00, within which the asset is testing the resistance line of 164.00, preparing to start the pattern implementation, the first target for working out of which is the local resistance level of 172.00.

Technical indicators keep a buy signal: the EMA fluctuation range on the Alligator indicator is actively expanding, and the AO histogram is forming rising bars in the buy zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 166.00 with the target at 172.00. Stop loss – 163.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price drops and consolidates below 162.00 with the target at 157.00. Stop loss – 164.00.

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Walmart Inc.: technical analysis 26.06.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Walmart Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Walmart Inc., the US company that operates the world’s largest wholesale and retail chain, are trading at 155.00.

On the daily chart, the price is correcting within the global ascending corridor with dynamic boundaries 161.00–148.00.

On the four-hour chart after the implementation of the local reversal Head and shoulders pattern, the quotes consolidated above the Head of the formation around 154.00, denoting a new upward impulse. Now, the reverse testing of this level is ending, and after the asset consolidates above the local high of 158.00, the positive dynamics may continue.

Technical indicators reinforce the upward signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are in the buying zone, keeping at a sufficient distance from the signal line, and the AO histogram forms corrective bars above the transition level.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates at 158.00 with the target at 165.00. Stop loss – 154.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after a reversal, reduction, and consolidation of the price below 153.00 with the target at 145.00. Stop loss – 156.00.

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EUR/USD: President the ECB believes that the peak interest rate has not yet been set 30.06.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/USD pair shows a slight increase, recovering from an active decline for two trading sessions in a row, as a result of which the local lows of June 23 were updated. The instrument is testing the level of 1.0870 for a breakout, waiting for new drivers for the upward dynamics.

May statistics from Germany is in the focus of investors' attention today. In annual terms, Retail Sales decreased by 3.6%, while analysts assumed that the indicator would remain at the same level of -4.3%, and on a monthly basis it added 0.4% after 0.8% a month earlier, while experts expected zero dynamics. At the same time, the Unemployment Change in Germany may increase from 9.0 thousand to 13.0 thousand, and the Unemployment Rate may remain at the same level of 5.6%.

In addition, in the euro area today at 11:00 (GMT+2) June data on inflation will be published. Forecasts suggest that the Consumer Price Index will slow down from 6.1% to 5.6% in annual terms and show zero dynamics in monthly terms. The Core CPI for the same period, on the contrary, may rise from 0.2% to 0.7% in monthly terms and from 5.3% to 5.5% in annual terms. The day before, Germany reported on the acceleration of the Consumer Price Index in June from 6.1% to 6.4%, which was worse than market expectations at 6.3%.

Earlier, the President of the European Central Bank (ECB), Christine Lagarde, noted that inflation in the region is still kept well above the target level of 2.0%, increasing the likelihood of a 0.25% adjustment in the cost of borrowing at the regulator's July 27 meeting. The official stressed that the economy continues to experience the effects of inflationary shocks since the end of the pandemic and the rapid correction in energy prices. By gradually raising the interest rate from -0.50% last year to 3.50% this month, the regulator has made significant progress, she said, but cannot yet declare a victory over inflation.

In turn, pressure on the positions of the single currency is exerted by macroeconomic statistics from the US, presented yesterday. Revised data on the dynamics of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter revised upward from 1.3% to 2.0%, while analysts did not expect any changes at all.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart Bollinger Bands are trying to reverse horisontally. the price range is narrowing, reflecting the mixed nature of trading in the short term, the MACD is decreasing, maintaining a relatively strong sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic is showing similar dynamics, rapidly approaching its lows, pointing to the risks of the single currency being oversold in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.0891, 1.0930, 1.0969, 1.1000.
Support levels: 1.0850, 1.0800, 1.0765, 1.0700.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1.0850 with the target at 1.0765. Stop-loss — 1.0891. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 1.0850 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.0891 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 1.0969. Stop-loss — 1.0850.

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EUR/USD: inflation in the eurozone fell to the January lows of last year 05.07.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/USD pair shows near-zero dynamics, holding near 1.0875 and waiting for new drivers to appear on the market.

Investors continue to evaluate the preliminary June data on inflation in the euro area. The Consumer Price Index on a monthly basis rose from 0.0% to 0.3%, and on an annual basis it fell to the lows of January 2022 from 6.1% to 5.5%, while experts expected 5.6%. In turn, the Core CPI on a monthly basis corrected from 0.2% to 0.3% instead of the projected 0.7%, and on an annual basis it went up from 5.3% to 5.4%, falling short of the expected 5.5%. In general, inflationary pressures in the euro area remain stable, while the pace of growth in prices for essential goods is even accelerating.

The day before, the single currency showed a moderate decline, reacting to the emergence of data from Germany, which reflected a decrease in Exports by 0.1% in May after the index added 1.2% in April, while analysts expected -0.5%, and Imports rose by 1.7% after falling by 1.7% a month earlier, while an increase of 3.1% was expected. Against this backdrop, Germany's Trade Surplus in May fell from 18.4 billion euros to 14.4 billion euros, while analysts had expected a figure of 17.0 billion euros.

The focus of investors today will be statistics on S&P Global Services PMI: forecasts suggest that the indicator will remain at 52.4 points in June. Also during the day May data on the dynamics of producer prices are expected to be released.

In addition, investors today will evaluate the minutes of the US Federal Reserve, from which they expect more evidence in favor of further tightening of monetary policy. Currently, more than 87.0% of analysts expect that in July the interest rate will be increased by 25 basis points to 5.50%.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart, the Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing into a descending plane. The price range expands from below, making way for new local lows for the "bears". MACD is falling, keeping a relatively strong sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic shows oscillatory dynamics in the middle of its area, indicating a mixed nature of trading in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.0891, 1.0930, 1.0969, 1.1000.
Support levels: 1.0850, 1.0800, 1.0765, 1.0700.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1.0850 with the target at 1.0765. Stop-loss — 1.0891. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

A rebound from 1.0850 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.0891 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 1.0969. Stop-loss — 1.0850.

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XAU/USD: statistics on the US labor market supported the position of gold 10.07.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on XAU/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The XAU/USD pair is declining, correcting around 1919.58 after Friday's growth caused by the publication of the June report on the US labor market. Nonfarm Payrolls did not live up to analysts' expectations and increased only by 209.0 thousand after 306.0 thousand in the previous month, while analysts had expected an increase of 225.0 thousand. At the same time, the Unemployment Rate fell from 3.7% to 3.6%, coinciding with the average estimate of analysts, and the Average Hourly Earnings was 4.4% against the previous figure of 4.3%, which was then revised to 4.4%.

Uncertain statistics on the US labor market led experts to revise their forecasts regarding further tightening of monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve. It should be noted, however, that this forecast concerns only the second expected increase in borrowing costs this year. At the July meeting, analysts still expect an interest rate adjustment of 25 basis points with a 90.0% probability. The ongoing uncertainty in the market, expressed in the decline of stock indices on fears about the state of the global economy, is forcing investors to keep protective assets in their portfolios.

On Wednesday, June data on consumer inflation will be published, which may also affect the future decision of the US regulator. In the previous month, the indicator slowed to 4.0%, which is still well above the target levels of 2.0%. In addition, the publication of the so-called "Beige Book", a monthly economic review from the US Federal Reserve, is expected on this day.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing, reflecting ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD indicator is growing, while preserving a rather stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic reversed into a horizontal plane again after a short decline last week. To open new positions, it is necessary to wait for the trade signals to become clear.

Resistance levels: 1930.00, 1940.00, 1952.53, 1960.00.
Support levels: 1915.00, 1907.55, 1900.00, 1892.75.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1915.00 with the target at 1900.00. Stop-loss — 1923.00. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

The return of the "bullish" trend with the breakout of 1930.00 may become a signal for new long positions with the target of 1945.00. Stop-loss — 1920.00.

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AUD/USD: the instrument is preparing to end the week with a strong growth 14.07.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The AUD/USD pair is holding near local highs from June 16, trading at 0.6884. The instrument showed steady growth in the last two sessions, which was the market's reaction to the publication of US statistics.

The annual Consumer Price Index slowed down from 4.0% to 3.0%, while analysts expected 3.1%. Against this background, investors have revised their forecasts for further tightening of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy and now expect only one interest rate increase during the July meeting, while a scenario with another adjustment of the rate before the end of this year was previously considered. Moreover, traders are returning to the discussion of monetary easing, predicting that the regulator will switch to "dovish" rhetoric in early 2024.

At the same time, the Australian dollar reacted negatively to data on Exports from China, which continue to indicate problems in the recovery of the national economy after the coronavirus pandemic. Against the backdrop of reduced global trading activity and growing geopolitical tensions, the indicator was -12.4% in June after -7.5% in the previous month, declining at the fastest pace in the last three years, while analysts expected -9.5%. In turn, expectations for consumer inflation in Australia have not changed compared to the previous estimate of 5.2%, so the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is still expected to take steps towards tightening monetary policy in the future. Experts estimate the probability of an increase in the cost of borrowing by the regulator at the August meeting below 50.0%, and futures markets estimate this only with a 37.0% probability.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart Bollinger Bands are rapidly reversing into the ascending plane. The price range is actively expanding, but at the moment it is not keeping up with the development of the "bullish" dynamics. MACD grows, preserving a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic, having reached its highs, reversed into a horizontal plane, indicating overbought Australian dollar in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000, 0.7050.
Support levels: 0.6850, 0.6800, 0.6750, 0.6700.

Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 0.6900 with the target of 0.7000. Stop-loss — 0.6850. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.6900 as from resistance, followed by a breakdown of 0.6850 may become a signal for opening of new short positions with the target at 0.6750. Stop-loss — 0.6900.

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ExxonMobil Corp.: technical analysis 19.07.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on ExxonMobil Corp. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of ExxonMobil Corp., an American oil company, are trading near the level of 100.00 within a local corrective trend.

On the daily chart, the price is moving within a downward corridor with dynamic boundaries of 114.00–93.00.

A downward wave is developing on the four-hour chart, and consolidation below the local low of 100.00 will significantly increase the possibility of further decline, confirmed by the proximity of the asset to 99.00, the low of March 16, which may be broken soon.

Technical indicators reflect a possible continuation of a downward correction: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator move away from the signal line, and the AO histogram forms correctional bars, falling below the transition level.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the price drops and consolidates below 99.00 with the target at 93.00. Stop loss – 102.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Long positions may be opened after a reversal, growth, and consolidation of the price above 103.00 with the target at 108.00. Stop loss – 100.00.

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Netflix Inc.: technical analysis 24.07.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Netflix Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Netflix Inc., an American entertainment company and movie and series streaming service, are trading at 427.00.

On the daily chart, the price is correcting within the global ascending corridor with dynamic boundaries of 368.00–490.00, turning around at the resistance line.

On the four-hour chart, growth slowed down after the formation of a price gap of 478.00–447.00, and now it is expected to decline to the global channel support level of 368.00.

Technical indicators maintain a buy signal, preparing for a reversal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are actively approaching the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming downward bars, falling in the buying zone.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a reversal, reduction, and consolidation of the price below 411.00 with the target at 368.00. Stop loss – 420.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 447.00 with the target at 478.00. Stop loss – 440.00.

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Alphabet Inc.: technical analysis 28.07.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Alphabet Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of the American holding company Alphabet Inc. are trading within a global corrective trend at 130.00.

An ascending channel is forming on the daily chart with dynamic boundaries 120.00–144.00, within which the price is moving toward the resistance line.

On the four-hour chart, it is clear that the quotes have overcome the local maximum at 129.00 with a price gap of 122.50–129.50, which indicates the strength of the upward momentum, and after a short consolidation, growth to the global channel resistance line at 144.00 will continue.

Technical indicators hold a buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are moving away from the signal line, actively expanding the range of fluctuations, and the AO histogram is forming rising bars above the transition level.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 134.00 with the target at 144.00. Stop loss – 130.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price drops and consolidates below 126.00 with the target at 116.00. Stop loss – 130.00.

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Starbucks Corp.: technical analysis 02.08.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Starbucks Corp. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Starbucks Corp., one of the largest companies in the world, which owns the chain of coffee houses of the same name, are moving within a corrective trend at 101.00.

On the daily chart, the price is moving within the global Expanding formation pattern with dynamic boundaries of 119.00–95.00, starting a new wave of growth.

On the four-hour chart, after breaking the local high of June 16 at 102.00, the quotes corrected before continuing the upward movement to the current high of 103.00, in case of consolidation above which the global growth will continue to the resistance level of January 27 at 110.00.

Technical indicators reversed upwards: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are above the signal line, expanding the range of fluctuations, and the AO histogram is forming corrective bars in the buying zone.

Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 103.00 with the target at 107.00. Stop loss – 100.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after a reversal, reduction and consolidation of the price below 99.00 with the target at 95.60. Stop loss – 101.00.

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