Europe’s Banking Lobby Raises Concerns in Financial Stability Over Brexit

If Brexit negotiations did not end well could affect the wholesale banking and financial stability according to the banking lobby in Europe. The Association for Financial Markets in Europe (AFME) emphasized concerns faced in Brexit including access to the bloc but at the same time aiming to maintain being part of the single market.

On the other hand, the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) is said to be important in resolving the issue of maintaining the “equivalence” operation between E.U. and
non-E.U. firms, according to the AFME.

In the part of E.U., they also need to manage policies in the financial markets, gain the trust of financial firms from London while mediating the negotiation with Britain and curbing undiversifiable risk inherent to the process. It makes the whole system complicated and harder to manage systematically.

Indian Economy to Accelerate by 7.4%, says ADB

The Indian economy is projected to increase by  7.4% amid the fiscal year 2017-2018 versus its previous growth of 7.1%. The boost occurred due to lift in public investment and demand in consumption goods based on the statement of Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Thursday.

According to the latest 2017 report of  Asian Development Outlook (ADO), 2016-17 GDP data failed to obtain the demonetization effects and the decline influenced the continuous slide of investments.

Moreover, ADO anticipates for the consumption to climb higher since there are additional bank notes set in the circulation following the shock withdrawal on highest-valued currencies happened on the 8th of November. The plan for an increase in salary and state employees pension were already implemented.

The ADB further expected the acceleration to 5.2% in the current year till 2018 while 5.4% in the coming 2018-19 considering the economic recovery along with the rebound of commodity prices.

U.K. Consumer Spending Sluggish Rate Amid Brexit

The U.K. consumer spending rose but in a sluggish manner that is considered to be the slowest in more than three years in March 2017. With the Brexit preparations began its process, the economy has lost its impetus.

The data in March alone dropped to 0.7 percent lower than the prior month after reaching a flat status in February. Another data from Visa also indicates that the consumer spending tumbled after raising its levels in late 2016 as the household purchasing power becoming tight with rising prices. The consumer prices are predicted to ascend by 2.3 percent annual rate similar to February’s rate according to Reuters survey of economists.On the other hand, the National Statistics Office released their inflation data for the previous month on Tuesday.

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March and June Fed Rate Hikes Possible, According to Economists

    Several economists are speculating that the US Federal Reserve could possibly be in for two more rate hikes this coming March and June, with the central bank possibly increasing its short-term rates within the week and another rate increase during the Fed’s meeting this coming June. Fed officials have maintained their current rates after they increased their federal funds rate last December 2016. The central bank had already penciled in a total of three possible hikes for this year but refused to indicate the exact date of the implementation of these said rate hikes.

China’s Bullish GDP Growth Stabilizes Yuan

The first quarter data of China has come out after a solid positive gain causing a slowdown in capital outflows to stabilize the currency following a selloff last year. They are optimistic to attain the 6.5 percent GDP growth for this year as mentioned by the Finance minister Xiao Jie. This is a good signal indicating the strengthening of yuan and capital flows are gaining back by the country.

The interest rates are moving in an upward direction despite tighter policies to curb the fast growth of credit hampering the economic progress. Yet, economic growth advanced faster-than-expected 6.9 percent in the first quarter, weakening capital outflows and more stable cross-border flows have strengthened yuan substantially. This has then eased the pressure regards to Foreign exchange reserves as it retreated with the surge of the greenback.

However, further tightening cannot be ruled out as it may change again abruptly especially when the currency come again under pressure with the global appreciation of the U.S. dollar.

March New Home Sales Surge by 5.8%

    The new home sales data reading for March saw a drastic increase, clocking in at a 5.8% surge, an indication that the demand for new homes are now gaining momentum as the peak selling season commences. The March reading for new home sales data is the highest level since July 2016, wherein home sales data peaked its highest within a 9-year period. Economists are now anticipating that new home sales could possibly continue climbing up within the year as more buyers are now returning to the marketplace for starter homes.

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U.S Economy Probably Expand by 3% in Two Years, Says Mnuchin

According to Steven Mnuchin, U.S Treasury Secretary, the economic growth of the United States could possibly grow by 3 percent in two years upon implementing the restoration of the regulatory reform and tax system and offering better trade agreements.

The job market of U.S revived gaining 12 percent increase in the prices of stock considering the fact that the election of Trump coupled with the consumer sentiment reached the highest peak in 16 years have painted a positive illustration of the economy.

In spite of that, the economy improved on its weakest pace within three years acquiring 0.7 percent in Q1 as it highlighted the dispute that the government dealt with as it aims to attain an annual growth higher than 3 percent.

Moreover, the administration of Trump had established the overhauling of the tax rate system labeled as the largest revision in history, since this is on the top list of their legislative program.

The plan was already published previously, it further contains the proposal for trimmed taxes intended for the citizen and businesses, creating comprehensive filer system and prohibiting the rich from loopholes. The package is expected to be signed and put into law within the current year.

On the other hand, the International Monetary Fund have given its forecast that the world's largest national economy will bolster hitting 2.3 percent in 2017 while 2.5 percent for next year.

As Unemployment Rate Drops, US Economy on its Way to Recovery

    The US Labor Department has released its US job report for April, wherein it indicated that business had topped up a total of 211,000 jobs last month, a far cry from March’s reading of only 79,000 jobs. This upward trend in hires has confirmed market projections that the country’s overall economic growth is well on its way towards a significant recovery. Economists are now saying that this evidently very strong economic data for the country signals that consumers might soon have the power to amplify their spending habits during the second quarter of 2017.