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IMF Cut Growth Forecast for US Economy
The International Monetary Fund downgraded its growth outlook for the United States due to concerns regarding Trump’s capacity to carry out his promises to the economy to stir the American economy.
Although the Washington-based organization provided a positive forecast in April, they had trim it down to 2.1 percent for this year and based on earlier projections for 2018, the US economy will gain 2.3 and 2.5 percent growth.
While the global growth was held at 3.5 percent in 2017 and 3.6 percent for the next year according to the prediction of IMF managing director Christine Lagarde and described it as "quite well anchored".
However, based on the World Economic Update, the IMF mentioned about the uncertainty towards the policies of President Donald Trump since it is a major factor in the leery growth projections for the US.
Pres. Donald Trump got the presidential position six months ago, citing his plans about tax reductions, looser regulation and major infrastructure spending which triggered a rally on Wall Street. But the policies were stalled in the US Congress as the government continues to battle over other issues, like health care reform.
Growth in UK Film Industry Lift Economy in Q2
The British economy was able to accelerate slightly during the second quarter after a lackluster growth at the beginning of 2017. The little speed of Britain is driven by the services sector and the breakthrough in the film industry, as indicated in the official data showed on Wednesday.
This quarter gained 0.3 percent growth compared with the 0.2 percent recorded in the Q1, the results could possibly trigger expectations that the Bank of England will maintain the interest rates steady next week with a record low level.
In 2016, the economy of Britain increased by 1.8 percent which is the fastest, compared with other seven largest major advanced economies in the world, regardless of the rampant projections about recession after the Brexit vote. However, the referendum caused an extensive decline towards the value of the pound and moved the inflation up, gnawed at the disposable income of consumer this year.
The services sector alone is the economic growth driver for the Q2 and supported the retailers, motion picture activities and hotels and restaurants.
According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), the fast-growing film industry of UK rose by 72 percent on 2014, which likely raise tax credits proposed by the former finance minister George Osborne. Moreover, the movies released from April to June also helped.
On Monday, the International Monetary Fund cut its 2017 economic forecast for the United Kingdom, showing predictions of 1.7 percent expansion versus with the 2.0 percent earlier estimate. But foresees a decline to 1.5 percent next year.
Japan Household Spending Grew 2.3% in June
Japan’s household expenditure in the previous month accelerated most in 2015 since the available jobs heightened to its fresh 43-year highs. This shows that as the labour market tightens, it helps push wages and consumer spending up in a gradual pace.
Last week, the BOJ retained its monetary policy, however, pushed back again to reach its price goal, underlining the gap between the weak inflation and steady growth. And further emphasized that it may take some time to scale down its massive stimulus.
The Japanese economy grew at an annualized 1.0 percent earlier this year, indicating a consecutive growth for the fifth time on strong exports and expansion in personal consumption.
According to analysts, the domestic demand is the main driver for a sustained growth in net exports but would probably reduce growth in GDP for the second quarter.
The positive signs for household consumption consist of 60 percent of the economy and gained 2.3 percent in the year until June, that jumped for the first time after 16 months and acquired the largest annual gain in August 2015. While the median estimate of the economists is 0.6 percent which is further based on the polled data of Reuters by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications issued on Friday.
Moreover, the retail sales gained 2.1 percent in the year to June as shown in another set of data.
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GST Weighed on the Economy of India
The status of businesses in India has suffered the worst scenario during the 2008 financial crisis, considering the rise in sales tax extensively that rattled the supply and distribution chains after months of implementing the cash ban on roiled markets by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
Based on the report issued on Thursday, the Nikkei India Composite PMI Output Index shrink from 52.7 in June to 46 in July while the sharpest fall was March 2009. Activities in the services industry also decline to 45.9 from 53.1, which is the lowest since September 2013, after the data revealed the manufacturing had extremely dropped since 2009. A reading that is less than 50 reflects contraction.
According to a report, the principal economist at IHS Markit, Pollyanna De Lima said, "Private sector activity dipped for the first time since the demonetization shock" and "most of the contraction was attributed to the implementation of the goods and services tax and the confusion it caused"
The mentioned data served as an indication of the underlying weakness in the country. On Wednesday, the Indian central bank decreased its interest rates to the lowest since 2010 and appeal to the government to boost projects due to "an urgent need" to improve private investment.
Most likely, companies are convinced that the outlook will become positive as the ruling of GST (Good and Services Tax) are being clarified, De Lima said.
Oil Price Up Amid High U.S. Demand and OPEC Supplies
Oil prices increased on Thursday because of the narrowing of the U.S. market as well as the large supply from OPEC producers that have a greater impact in the overall sentiment. The benchmark for Brent crude increased by 20 cents per barrel at $52.56 while the U.S. light crude up by 20 cents at $49.79. A high demand in the U.S. has pushed the price higher. Statistically, the recorded gasoline demand was 9.84 million barrels per day (bpd) for last week and a decline in commercial crude inventories worth 1.5 million barrels to 481.9 million barrels which is much lower than the barrels recorded last year.
Members of OPEC and other producers such as Russia pledged to limit the output by 1.8 million bpd until March next year to support price and lower inventories. Yet the organization reached a record high of 33 million since July which is higher by 90,000 bpd from the previous month according to the Reuters survey.
It seems that the oil industry in this era has become accustomed to low prices and function in levels that would have been impossible before as reflected in the field.
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ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar is a real-time, customizable, and multifunctional, forex tool that allows traders to be updated with the latest and most relevant market events. All information that could be potentially impact your trading will be listed and analyzed here.
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ForexMart Won as Best Forex Newcomer 2016
ForexMart was recognized as the best young company of 2016 year in the field of financial markets activity according to the business publication Global Business Outlook, having won a new award in the nomination "Best Forex Newcomer 2016".
Global Business Outlook Awards – the annual international award which recognizes and rewards businesses, both private and public, showing impressive innovations and progressive strategies in business activity at various economic industries. The new award, received by ForexMart, proves the high professionalism level of its specialists and quality of the offered services. And surely it reflects the highest degree of customer confidence. The award «Best Forex Newcomer 2016» from the authoritative British edition is a great distinction in a highly competitive market.
ForexMart President Ildar Sharipov is thankful for the award commenting:
«We are proud of getting this important and significant award and very thankful to our clients for their firm trust. This new award is a symbol of ForexMart’s excellent service that brings clients the complacency and security they need in the volatile forex exchange market. We always aim to provide our clients with the most advanced technologies for successful trade, without forgetting about safety and comfort of our interaction. We are planning to develop our services further, helping traders and partners to remain at the top of financial success».
ForexMart continues to make progress, creating and improving optimum, convenient and safe conditions for trade. Receiving of this award – is a significant achievement, indicating that ForexMart and its clients are on the right path - the path to success!
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U.S. Job Openings Soared to 6.2 Million in June
There are about 6.2 million jobs available in the U.S. as companies are searching for new employees. The number of job openings rose to 417,000 for private sector while there are 44,000 postings for government vacancies including state and local government as stated by the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) from the Labor department. Since April 2015, the jobs data has started to rise during the recession as it moves over the years.
Although, the job vacancies varies for every industry. In particular, those job opening includes education and health-services related industry, and professional and business services which have significantly increased in openings compared before the recession.
The report implies the stagnant hiring situation despite a surge in job openings. This has been happening for years and has risen fastly while the actual hiring has been flat since 2014.
Bank of New Zealand Hold Rates
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand maintained interest rates on hold after the CPI inflation came in flat in the second quarter. The decision made by the RBNZ was already anticipated by analysts which is followed by the unexpected decline in the employment rate in Q2 together with the weak growth in gross domestic product.
During the first quarter of 2017, the economy of New Zealand increased by 0.5% below trend, after the slight growth of 0.4% in the last quarter due to temporary factors such as earthquake.
The central bank failed to push higher rates prior the Q3 of 2019 as shown in the forecasts issued associated with the monetary policy statement as indicated in the previous projections. The banks further downgrade its assessment on inflation for 2018 and 2019.
Amid dovish tone of the RBNZ regarding interest rates, the Kiwi dollar in terms of trade weighted rose. This is one of the concern of the bank for it has the potential to weigh downward pressure on prices.
The New Zealand dollar made light changes versus the greenback after the announcement.
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Risk Warning: Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result to substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge and understand the risks relative to forex trading. Seek financial advice, if necessary.
Japanese Trade Surplus Decline in July as Exports Rise
The merchandise trade surplus in Japan reduced lower than the anticipated in July while the growth of exports and imports gained double-digit percentage. According to the Ministry of Finance, the trade balance came in at ¥418.8 billion ($3.8 billion) last month, after the ¥439.9 billion surplus in June. The country was able to maintain its trade surplus in five of the last six months.
Exports rose at annual rate of 13.4% in the previous month, after a 9.7% increase in June. On one side, imports grew by 16.3 earlier this year, next to 15.5% expansion a month before.
Tokyo reported that the trade surplus last month accounts to ¥337.4 billion ($3.07 billion) based on a seasonally adjusted basis, as the surplus prior that month is ¥81.4 billion ($740.6 million), according to the official figures released.
The Japanese economy showed its highest level of economic growth in more than two years, despite the external demand decrease the GDP by 0.3 percentage point. This is considered significant as the economy tend to depend on exports to resume expansion. Japan’s economy increased by 1% versus the previous quarter and surge by 4% yearly. The development occurs every last six quarters which indicates the longest duration after 10 years. Moreover, exports from the world’s third largest economy are projected to continue its rise due to the momentum attained by the global economy. As imports also have the potential to boost because the domestic production mounted.
The current Money Fall contest has already started on August 21, 2017 and will end on August 25, 2017.
You can register for the next competition which will take place from August 28, 2017 to September 1, 2017
Note:
Registration for the next competition finishes 1 hour before the contest starts.
More Jobs in South Korea; In-depth Plan to Counter Rise in Household Debt
South Korea will implement an extensive plan in September that targets the rising household debt as stated by the country’s finance minister on Thursday. He also stated that concern regarding the household debt could not be fixed in a short-period of time. His rhetorics came out the day after the household debt data has been released as the mortgages also continue to increase in the second quarter but a slower pace contrast to the first quarter.
The most recent report from the central bank states that the household debt persists to rise worth 1,400 trillion won in the second quarter. This data was published following the implementation of financial restrictions in the last month to curb the overheated housing market. Some of the cities including Seoul was labeled as "overheated speculative districts" to limit money borrowers. However, homeowners shell out higher capital gain taxes needed in selling their houses.
On the other hand, the government intends to boost employment by allocating 12 percent focused on job creation in the budget for 2018. At the same time, the minimum wage will also be increased to make sure the people are given proper income as part of its attempt to raise the income of regular people. Primarily, the goal is to secure household gains through higher earned income.
Economic Calendar for August 25, 2017, Friday
Know what will happen next in the financial markets with ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar.
ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar is a real-time, customizable, and multifunctional, forex tool that allows traders to be updated with the latest and most relevant market events. All information that could be potentially impact your trading will be listed and analyzed here.
A trader that knows more, profits more. Use ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar and become a better trader today.
The current Money Fall contest has already started on August 28, 2017 and will end on September 1, 2017.
You can register for the next competition which will take place from September 4, 2017 to September 8, 2017
Note:
Registration for the next competition finishes 1 hour before the contest starts.
Brazilian Economy Increased nearly in Q2
The economic growth of Brazil slightly slowed down in the second quarter, as polled by Reuters’ economist on Tuesday. Despite the increase in consumer expenditure that indicates recovery from the depression 100 years ago. While the GDP of the country would likely pick up to 0.1 percent in the quarter from the first three months of 2017 in the rear of seasonal adjustments, as shown in the median forecast made by 34 analysts.
According to projections, the quarterly drop ranges from 0.3 percent to 0.7 percent growth, linked with the prediction of Banco Santander which is a highly accurate GDP forecaster, but growth is not expected at all. The survey underlined both the possible blow and feasible support for policymakers and investors upon the publication of data on Thursday 9 AM (1200 GMT)
Moreover, the GDP of the largest economy in Latin America declined by 8 percent amid Q4 in 2014. The end of the fiscal year 2016 is the greatest recession for the country since the last recorded in 1901. Inflation was initially seen to escalate but slumped to its lowest level in eight years with a faster pace than anticipated. This influenced policy makers to trim their target for annual inflation. The central bank of Brazil also cut their interest rates by 500 basis points since October by which eventually held some impact as stated by economists.
The current Money Fall contest has already started on September 4, 2017 and will end on September 8, 2017.
You can register for the next competition which will take place from September 11, 2017 to September 15, 2017
Note:
Registration for the next competition finishes 1 hour before the contest starts.
ForexMart App is Now Available on Mobile
You can now use the ForexMart application on mobile.
We are launching ForexMart application on 11 january. It can be downloaded from both App store for Apple and Play Store for Android users. This allows users to trade anytime and anywhere at their own convenience by just connecting to an Internet service provider.
More and more consumers are shifting toward mobile platforms with continuous improvement in technology. Forex trading apps simplifies trading and allows accessibility through mobile phone that makes it more convenient. There is still wide range of options in placing orders from mobile devices such as iPhone or Android.
ForexMart app offers different features. Traders can access multiple charts that give real-time quotes as well as relevant economic news and latest forex analysis. Exchange rates over 100 different currencies are also available with buy and sell options. The application is especially designed for forex trading that is easy to navigate and works glitch-free for more efficient trading.
Forex traders will find this app very useful and handy. Check out this new app from your App Store or Play Store!
Positive Corporate Australian Rates; Rise in Wages for Q2
This has been the largest rise in salaries and wages in two years for the past quarter with an optimistic outlook to consumer expenditure yet the decline in inventories has influenced the general economic growth.
The gross profit of companies has dropped by 4.5 percent within the months of April to June after a growth of 6 percent in the beginning when profits soared to historic levels from Australian Bureau of Statistics on Monday. Mining has been affected by the decline of greater than 15 percent at pre-tax level.
On the other hand, salaries and wages climbed to 1.2 percent or A$1.6 billion in the second quarter implying that employees also benefit from businesses. The Gross Domestic Product scheduled on Wednesday was predicted to imply advancement of 0.8 percent worth A$1.7 trillion in the Australian economy as it recovered from a slow rise of 0.3 percent for the period of January to March. Overall, the yearly growth is noted to be subdued with 1.9 percent.
The growth rate of the Reserve Bank of Australia for 3 percent in the succeeding years with the low mining ventures that has been dwindling down for a protracted period while costly prices of commodities traded internationally affect the economy.
The RBA will have its policy meeting for September on Tuesday which is presumed to maintain the current borrowing rates at 1.5 percent since August in the previous year.
Economic Upturn of Euro Benefited the British Manufacturers
Reports in the British factories shows huge volume of book orders which are triggered by the sluggish pound after the Brexit referendum plus the robust economy of the euro zone.
According to the survey on business expectations for Q3 in 2017, shows an increase of 34% in output among companies polled by business advisory firms, BDO and EEF which are the manufacturers' body. It presented an expansion from 26% in the past three months.
Based on the report, order books further reached record levels due to higher demand levels from overseas. As 47% of the companies deemed that EU exports grew during the third quarter compared in 2016. Meanwhile, the demand from Asia and the United States also helps negate the relative weaknesses in the UK brought by Brexit.
Moreover, the decline in the pound’s value led to a surge in various economic prices since the EU exit raised costs for imports. This also helped UK products to be more competitive in foreign lands.
It’s been awhile before the exporters gained the benefits. As shown in the report, the demand bolstered by the expansion of economic growth in Europe which weakened the economic performance of UK during the financial disaster until this year.
Britain is Certain for a Post-Brexit Immigration Policy
The Britain intends to push through a balanced policy on immigration when the Brexit was finalized and left the European Union. They intend to look for highly-skilled workers while attempting to push the general statistics to move lower according to the Defense Secretary Michael Fallon on Wednesday.
A certain publication disseminated a government document on Tuesday that is supposed to be private where the scheme to lower the number of skilled workers E.U. in Britain after Brexit in 2019.
The defense secretary also noted that final plans later will be published later this year. They wanted highly-skilled people to come over their country and will open doors. At the same time, British companies are anticipated to be able to train their fellow British workers as the public also agrees with the concept of controlling the immigration instead of totally closing doors. Needless to say, they voted for Brexit referendum.
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