Generalized Forex Forecast for 26-30 January 2015

Generalizing in a table the opinions of 35 analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be expected:
- before returning to its main trend and continuing towards 1.1100, EUR/USD may go up to the level of 1.1380-1.1460;
- GBP/USD, also under bearish pressure overall, may at first rise to 1.5065 and then continue its fall to 1.4900;
- USD/JPY is expected to mirror the movements of its counterparts – after a fall it will rebound from 113.50 and rush up to its nearest target of 119.00;
- after surviving the recent shock, USD/CHF can be expected to continue its sideways trend with a rise to 0.8910-0.9000 and then a decrease to 0.8350.

As for the last week’s forecast:
- ECB President Mario Draghi met our expectations and helped our forecast for EUR/USD to fulfil to the tee. After his speech, the Euro swiftly broke through 1.1400 and, as was predicted, finished the week near 1.1200;
- following the Euro, GBP/USD succumbed to Mr. Draghi’s charms which resulted in the level of 1.5020, predicted to be the lower boundary, reversing direction and becoming the upper boundary of the corridor;
- the forecast for USD/JPY was confirmed 100% –  the pair was in a sideways trend, then reached the predicted mark of 118.75 and returned to 117.70, the level of the beginning of the week;
- it turns out that no prediction can also be a prediction, which was backed up by the USD/CHF pair. Along with the analysts, we refused to make any suggestions regarding its fluctuations last week. Apparently, in sync with our doubts, the pair decided not to leave the rigid boundaries of its sideways trend throughout the whole week.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Generalized Forex Forecast for 16-20 February 2015

Dear traders and forum users!

From now on you can read our FX forecasts at the following thread:

http://forexsb.com/forum/topic/5197/weekly-fx-forecast-from-nordfx/

We will be glad to read your comments and suggestions!

Julia

05.05.2015  06:40 GMT

A Slight Hike on Markets 

On Monday, the world’s financial markets closed mainly on the rise, with the exception of the commodity market where the price of oil dropped a little.   

In Europe as such, the British FTSE 100 grew 0.36 percent to 6985.95 points on Friday. On Monday, there was no trading on the London exchange due to a holiday. Also on Monday, the German DAX 30 advanced 1.57 percent up to 11,634.34 points, and the French CAC 40 gained 0.84 percent reaching 5,088.82 points.

European investors’ sentiment was influenced by the news about an interim agreement between Greece and its lenders.   

The Russian market was closed for May Day holidays on Monday.

In the USA, the Dow Jones grew 0.26 percent to 18,070.40 points, the S&P 500 gained 0.29 percent up to 2,114.49 points, and the NASDAQ added 0.23 percent getting to 5,016.93 points.

Oil prices, however, posted a slight drop yesterday. The NYMEX price of WTI oil futures for June went down by $0.22 and reached $58.93 a barrel. On London’s ICE, the cost of Brent oil futures for June delivery was down by $0.01 ending up at $66.45 a barrel.

On the Forex market, EUR/USD is returning to the breakthrough point in the double bottom pattern on the daily chart. The pair may start moving up again from 1.0970.

Anna Gorenkova
NordFX Analyst

08.05.2015  07:30 GMT

EUR/USD Is Correcting   

Yesterday world financial markets posted mixed results again. In Europe, the FTSE 100 fell 0.67 percent to 6,886.95 points, the DAX grew 0.51 percent to 11,407.97 points while the САС 40 shed 0.29 percent down to 4,967.22 points.

Russia’s indices went down following oil prices – the MICEX index dropped 1.59 percent to 1,686.98 points, and the RTS index fell 0.51 percent to 1,060.73 points.

In the USA, the Dow Jones added 0.46 percent making 17,924.06 points, the S&P 500 grew 0.38 percent to 2,088 points, and the NASDAQ advanced 0.53 percent up to 4,945.54 points.

Thursday evening oil prices went down. The NYMEX price of WTI oil futures for June dropped by $1.71 and reached $56.59 a barrel. On London’s ICE, the price of the Brent oil future for June was down by $2.03 and got to $65.74 a barrel.   

On the global currency market, EUR/USD was slightly short of the 1.14 target and is experiencing a downward correction. Nonetheless, in case of favorable macroeconomic data, the pair may reach   1.1470.

Anna Gorenkova
NordFX Analyst

13.05.2015   08:10 GMT

Drop in European Equity Due to Greek Situation

Yesterday world financial markets closed mixed. In particular, European stock markets slumped following the interim meeting of the Eurogroup and the Greek government. According to media reports, both parties still couldn’t reach an agreement on key issues. In this light, the FTSE 100 fell 1.37 percent to 6,933.80 points, the DAX dropped 1.72 percent to 11,472.41 points, and the CAC 40 shed 1.06 percent down to 4,974.65 points.

On Russia’s stock market, the MICEX index fell 0.23 percent to 1,704.62 points whereas the RTS index grew 1.01 percent finishing the trading session at 1,070.19 points.

In the USA, the Dow Jones declined by 0.2 percent to 18,068.23 points, the S&P 500 shed 0.29 percent down to 2,099.12 points, and the NASDAQ fell 0.35 percent down 4,976.19 points.

Oil prices posted a rise, however. On the NYMEX, the price of WTI oil futures for June went up by $1.5 and made $60.75 a barrel. On London’s ICE, the Brent oil future for June rose by $1.95 and reached $66.86 a barrel.

On the Forex market, EUR/USD is experiencing some correction at this point. Nevertheless, the prospects of moving up to 1.1470 still remain.

Anna Gorenkova
NordFX Analyst

Generalized Forex Forecast for 18-22 May 2015

Let us start with a few words about the forecast for last week, which turned out to be quite accurate overall:
- the prediction for EUR/USD was that most probably the pair would stay in a sideways trend with fluctuations around the line of 1.1230, which did happen in fact. At first, EUR/USD went downwards, then returned to its Pivot Point, after which the bulls gained strength and began to persistently push the pair towards the upper boundary of the corridor. The level of 1.1440 was set as the final bastion of resistance, and the pair tried to break through it all Friday long. However, it failed and finished the five days in this very zone;
- one of the possibilities for GBP/USD was breaking through the resistance level of 1.5600, which was also supported by 87% of the indicators. The breakthrough happened already on Tuesday, and then the pair tried several times to rise above the upper boundary of the corridor – 1.5785. It didn’t succeed, though, and so settled down finishing at 1.5727;
- the Pivot Point for USD/JPY was set at 119.70, which was confirmed – the pair crossed it twice during the week, having stayed exactly in the average values of the specified corridor 118.75-120.30;
- USD/CHF turned out to be the only pair regarding which both analysts and indicators were only partly right. At first, everything seemed to go as planned – the pair began to grow and tried to consolidate above 0.9300. However, on Tuesday, in a powerful spurt, the pair broke through the support line and went down sharply to the low of a week ago.

***
   
Now regarding the forecast for the coming week. Generalizing the opinions of 35 analysts from world leading banks and broker companies, as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can note the surprising unanimity of the analysts who predict growth for all four pairs. Such forecasts always raise strong suspicions because some of the pairs are generally characterized by multi-directional rather than direct correlation:
- for EUR/USD the opinions of the experts are as follows: ↑ – 40%, → – 3%, ↓ – 6%, ↔ (at a loss) – 51%. The indicators provide similar readings: ↑ – 83%, → – 17%, ↓ – 0%. However, graphical analysis shows that the pair has almost completed the Inverted Hat pattern and has to form just the second brim of the hat. Thus, it can be assumed that this week EUR/USD will hold in a sideways corridor of 1.1070-1.1530, and, after a small rise, the pair is expected to have a relatively strong rebound downwards;
- the D1 chart clearly shows that GBP/USD has reached the upper boundary of the corridor (1.5800) where it stayed for a month and a half at the end of last year. The pair is very likely to linger in the range of 1.5500-1.5815 for some time again. Therefore, despite the vast majority of the analysts and 91% of the indicators pointing to growth, one can expect prevailing bearish tendencies and the pair’s rebound downwards;
- the opinions of the experts and the readings of the indicators for USD/JPY diverge (the experts: ↑ – 42%, → – 3%, ↓ – 3%, ↔ – 52%; the indicators: ↑ – 26%, → – 4%, ↓ – 70%). Hence, the level of 119.40, at which the pair finished the previous five days, can be considered as a Pivot Point, and the readings of the indicators on the H1 timeframe and smaller can give further guidance. Support will at 119.20, 118.90, 118.75 and 118.50; resistance – 119.60, 119.90, 120.00 and 120.30;
- as for the near future of USD/CHF, the data for both analysts and indicators are similar to USD/JPY (the experts: ↑ – 40%, → – 6%, ↓ – 4%, ↔ – 50%; the indicators: ↑ – 17%, → – 9%, ↓ – 74%). At the same time, as USD/CHF is in an inverse correlation with EUR/USD, it may go up at least to around 0.9290-0.9380. In the case this forecast is not fulfilled, the support levels will be 0.9110, 0.9075 and 0.8980, resistance – 0.9500. 

Roman Butko, NordFX

19.05.2015  08:20 GMT

EUR/USD Reached 1.12 Rate

Yesterday world financial markets closed mixed. In Europe as such, the British FTSE 100 grew 0.12 percent to 6,968.87 points, the German DAX advanced 1.29 percent up to 11,594.28 points, and the French CAC 40 gained 0.37 percent up to 5,012.31 points.

On the Russian floors, the MICEX index fell 0.76 percent to 1,678.55 points whereas the RTS index posted a slight rise of 0.07 percent making 1,075.47 points.

In the USA, the Dow Jones grew 0.14 percent to 18,298.88 points, the S&P 500 added 0.3 percent reaching 2,129.20 points, and the NASDAQ picked up 0.6 percent getting to 5,078.44 points.

On the NYMEX, the cost of June futures for WTI oil went down by $0.26 and made $59.43 a barrel. On London’s ICE, the price of Brent oil futures for June was down by $0.54 and reached $66.27 a barrel.

Yesterday on the Forex market, EUR/USD started to pull back from the daily MA and reached 1.12 today.

Anna Gorenkova
NordFX Analyst

Generalized Forex Forecast for 1-5 June 2015

Let us start with a review of the forecast for the previous week:
- two scenarios were suggested for EUR/USD. One of them, supported by 52% of the analysts and 82% of the indicators, came true – the pair broke through the strong support at 1.1000, reached the zone of 1.0800 and, after a rebound, on Friday returned to where it had started – the level of 1.1000, which has now changed from support to resistance;
- there was total discord regarding GBP/USD among both analysts and indicators last week. Yet this pair also behaved decisively by immediately breaking through the strongest support at 1.5500 and running stepwise to the level below – the next support around 1.5300;
- the forecast for USD/JPY was fulfilled and even exceeded expectations. The pair was predicted to go up to 122.00 while it actually managed to rise above 124.00, reaching the high of July 2007;
- the behavior of USD/CHF has become very predictable lately – a strong mirror correlation with EUR/USD. Something similar took place last week – USD/CHF was expected to rise to a very strong resistance level of 0.9500 followed by a rebound downwards, which did happen.

Now regarding the forecast for the coming week. Generalizing the opinions of 35 analysts from world leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be said:
- the majority of experts (↑ – 69%, → – 12%, ↓ – 19%) predict a steady rise for the EUR/USD pair. The technical indicators on the H4 timeframe concur. Yet on D1 they show the opposite – a downward movement. Furthermore, the systems of graphical analysis clearly draw a rebound downwards from the strong level of resistance 1.1000 to at least last week’s support around 1.0800. In fact, this appears to be a most likely scenario;
- there’s a real clash between the analysts and the indicators regarding the forecast for GBP/USD.  Most of the former are for a rise (↑ – 61%, → – 15%, ↓ – 24%) whereas the latter predict a fall (↑ – 17%, → – 8%, ↓ – 75%). Considering that last week, contrary to the expectations, instead of rebounding off the support of 1.5500, GBP/USD broke through it, the pair can be expected to hold out in the range of 1.5250-1.5500 for at least a week this time. Already on Monday or Tuesday it should be clear whether the pair will take a timeout or continue its fall to 1.5000;
- both experts (↑ – 57%, → – 14%, ↓ – 29%) and indicators (↑ – 78%, → – 18%, ↓ – 4%) foretell USD/JPY to rise further to the next symbolic high of 126.00, which the pair reached last all of 15 years ago. This historic charge may turn out not so easy to execute, and the pair may have to keep charging, pushing off the support in the area of 123.20-123.60;
- yet again, there is nothing original for USD/CHF – an inverse correlation with EUR/USD and no independent escapades. The most probable scenario is a rebound from 0.9400 to 0.9540. Or alternatively, a fall to 0.9280.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Crownless Krone
Currency Basket 2015-2016: How to Avoid Financial Setbacks
Causes and Effects of Black Thursday

Without question, the reliability of a currency concerns not only representatives of the IMF, central banks and other systemically important financial institutions but anyone deciding what country’s banknotes will at the very least safeguard their savings and ideally increase them. 

For the past five or six years, currency ratings have been topped mostly by the Norwegian krone and the Swiss franc rather than by the US dollar or the euro.  Back in 2008, HSBC analysts declared the Norwegian krone the most stable currency in the world. The same was said about the Swiss franc by nearly all world leading experts.

In 2011, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) reaffirmed its commitment to the minimum exchange rate of CHF 1.20 per euro and was prepared to buy foreign currency extensively in order to maintain it.  Thus, taking into account the average interest rate Libor, the pair was supposed to be trading at 1.22-1.24 in the medium term. Rumor had it that the SNB might raise the EUR/CHF rate to 1.3-1.4 due to a sluggish economic situation in Switzerland. 

Over the recent years, the Swiss National Bank kept the established rate.  On 12 January 2015, SNB vice president Jean-Pierre Danthine officially called the cap on the franc a cornerstone of the country’s monetary policy. But already on Thursday, 15 January, catching the majority of financial market players off guard, the SNB decided to abandon all the restrictions for the currency market. As a result, the franc soared up almost instantaneously, even up to 30 percent at a time, which hasn’t happened for the past 25 years. 

Who were the losers? In fact, there were many:
■ Firstly, it’s the SNB itself, whose assets were kept mainly in dollars and euros. As these currencies depreciated, the bank sustained a loss of about 60 billion.
■ Secondly, Switzerland’s economy was dealt quite a heavy blow. According to national stock market data, on Thursday, 15 January, the Swiss Market Index (SMI), comprising 20 largest companies, dropped 8.67 percent. One of the country’s main revenue items is exports. Swiss goods aren’t generally cheap, and if, for instance, Swiss chocolate becomes more expensive even by 15 percent, it will quickly start giving way to French and Belgian chocolate. The same applies to medicines and other export products. In Jean-Pierre Danthine’s words again, exporters may come short of 5 billion francs.  On top of it, the share of tourism might contract whereas it currently stands at 7 percent of Switzerland’s GDP.   
■ Thirdly, steep losses were sustained by those who had taken out Swiss franc loans as they got more expensive by 20 percent overnight. In France, for one, such contracts made 50 percent. Millions of private borrowers in other countries were affected by that turn of events – they considered the franc the most stable currency and thus believed that Swiss franc mortgages would be the most secure.   
■ Deutsche Bank lost nearly €130 million due to the exchange rate, about the same as the US group Citibank in Europe and Barclays. 

John Gordon, a leading analyst with international brokerage NordFX comments, “The exchange rate plunged so swiftly that brokers simply couldn’t close positions fast enough and those who traded against the franc suffered huge losses. The consequences for the Forex market were very grave, and hundreds of thousands of people worldwide said goodbye to their capitals.”

The next logical questions are why all that happened and who benefitted from it?

Some analysts tend to believe it was a plot by financiers (like what George Soros did with the British pound on Black Wednesday 1992).  To prove it, they refer to a recoil 20 minutes after the fall of the dollar and euro rates – the profits gained by the initiators of the crash. They say that the initiators actually skimmed a 20 percent profit in just a few minutes!

Despite the fact that such a recoil did happen, most international experts hold a different view of the event.  According to Alessandro Bee, a strategist at J. Safra Sarasin AG in Zurich (one of the oldest banks in Switzerland), the Swiss National Bank didn’t see any future for the franc rate cap, considering the strong US dollar and quantitative easing ahead in the eurozone. 

Pick your reason (a possible Grexit, imminent ECB plans or the UK’s in-out EU referendum), the euro itself is facing a serious crisis and soon – so much so that, in Swiss bankers’ opinion, there’s just no time to contrive smart moves. Therefore, regardless of the losses, they decided to unpeg the franc from the euro.  Otherwise, the sinking ‘euro Titanic’ would inevitably pull down the Swiss economy in its wake. Switzerland’s GDP certainly looks impressive with its $600 billion but, in comparison with the EU’s total GDP of 15,669 billion, it’s just too small to keep the euro afloat.

“What occurred has once more proved that it’s hardly possible to find an absolutely quiet and all-around sheltered haven for one’s savings,” says John Gordon from NordFX. “For instance, see what happened to the exchange rates of two of the most stable currencies supposedly. On January 15th, the Norwegian krone fell against the Swiss franc by over 17 percent.  Krone investors lost majorly. Recently, I’ve come to realize once again that only a multi-currency basket can provide real capital protection. As for its makeup for the upcoming year or two, I wouldn’t concentrate on Norway’s krone. It’s just too dependent on oil prices and has dropped against the US dollar by about 25 percent over the past year alone. So, despite the Black Thursday developments, I still wouldn’t get rid of euros but actually stick with the classic combination – euros, US dollars and Swiss francs.

NordFX analysts believe that these three currencies aim at exchange rate parity around 1.0000, and the formation of such a congruent triangle should become the main trend for the next 6 months to a year. By the way, it’s not just our opinion but according NAB (National Australia Bank) forecasts, the EUR/USD exchange rate will reach 1.0000 already by this December and stay around it till at least the summer of 2016. Besides, SNB vice chairman Bruno Gehrig assured that the Swiss Central Bank would carry out large-scale interventions in order to curb growth of the domestic currency.  To sum up, the tri-currency basket may not yield spectacular profits but, in any case, will help to prevent any tangible setbacks by acting like a gyroscope in a stable position regardless of the fluctuations on financial markets.”

Generalized Forex Forecast for 22-26 June 2015

First, let’s review last week’s predictions:
- the forecast for the EUR/USD pair for the previous five days was based on the assumption of a monthly sideways trend in the range of 1.1050-1.1350 with Pivot Points along 1.1260. With that, the possibility of a rise at the start of the week was not excluded. Until Wednesday, EUR/USD followed the forecast to the letter but later, due to the news from the US Federal Reserve, it shot upwards, breaking through the level of resistance at 1.1350. Then, however, the pair quickly returned to the mentioned range and finished the week near its upper boundary;
- the analysts and the indicators were certain that GBP/USD would grow to 1.5680. Before that, according to graphical analysis, the pair was supposed to fall to the support level around 1.5440. That actually happened – on Monday the pair fell to 1.5487 and then went upwards, reaching the target upper boundary by Wednesday. Later on, the news from England and the USA started to actively push the British pound even higher, which resulted in the pair reaching the level of last December;
- despite the reports from the USA, the USD/JPY pair managed to remain in the mentioned range of 122.45-125.00 with the Pivot Point at 123.50, fulfilling the forecast 100%;
- in the standoff between the analysts and the indicators about the future of USD/CHF, the latter came out to be right, supported by graphical analysis. As predicted, the pair first went up and then dropped down, reaching the support level at 0.9250. Then, due to the very same news from the USA, the pair decisively broke through it and turned the support into the upper level of a sideways trend.

Now regarding the forecast for this week. Summarizing the opinions of 35 analysts from world leading banks and broker companies, as well as forecasts based on different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be put forward:
- the absolute majority of the experts tend to believe that EUR/USD will remain in the monthly sideways trend and thus will have to fall to its bottom boundary around 1.1200 and even further to 1.1160. Graphical analysis confirms this. The indicators are definitely (74%) against all of the above. Most likely, the pair’s movements early in the week will make it clear which of the forecasts should be trusted; 
- the indicators show just one thing for GBP/USD – only an upward movement. The analysts, in turn, are again at a loss: ↑ – 33%, → – 12%, ↓ – 55%. Graphical analysis as an arbitrator supports the pair’s entering into a sideways trend and a fall to the levels of the beginning of May. Support will be around 1.5800 and 1.5740;
- most experts (60%), indicators (52%) and even graphical analysis agree that GBP/USD should first fall to 121.50-122.00 but their further forecasts diverge. Even with graphical analysis, there is an antagonism – the H4 timeframe clearly shows a rebound upward and a 122.00-124.50 sideways corridor while D1 pulls the pair further down to support at 120.00,  the level off which the pair may rebound and rise even above 126.00;
-  all forecasts of the experts regarding the USD/CHF pair continue to spin around 0.9250. At first, it was support, then became resistance, and now the experts consider it a Pivot Point. Yet the indicators propose a slightly lower Pivot Point around 0.9180-0.9200. In both cases the talk is about a sideways trend, the difference being that in the former case, the boundaries are set in the range of 0. 9080-0. 9390 while in the latter, upper resistance will be about 0.9250.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Generalized Forex Forecast for 6-10 July 2015
First, a few words about last week’s forecast:
- the predictions for EUR/USD turned out to be correct – a further  sideways trend with an advantage for the bears that were expected to push the pair down to the 1.1035 support level. Even a formidable gap over the weekend didn’t get in the way. After the gap, the pair quickly recovered its initial standing and started to follow the forecast – it descended to a 1.1032 support level under bearish pressure and then, confirming the prediction about the sideways trend, slowly continued upward to month old rates;
- as for GBP/USD, the analysts put their foot into it this time. For the first half of the week, as predicted, the pair tried to stay in the sideways corridor but then rushed downwards, finishing at a strong support level around 1.5550;
- the experts and the indicators agreed that the bulls would have the upper hand with USD/JPY and would push it upwards. It would have happened but for the gap on the weekend. In fact, the bulls had to clear up the consequences of that fall and succeeded, for the record.  Already by mid-week, the pair returned to the sideways corridor it had stayed in since the beginning of June;
- USD/CHF finished the week exactly at the predicted level of 0.9400, albeit with some delay.

Forecast for the upcoming week.
One can be certain that this week the results of the Greek referendum would have the final say on currency fluctuations. For this reason, it would stand to reason to focus on the opinions of analysts from world leading banks and broker companies rather than indicator readings this time round:
- 64% of the reviewed experts don’t foresee a bright future for the euro. They believe that EUR/USD should fall by 100-200 points at least. Only 18% of the analysts claim that the euro would rise to 1.1250. Interestingly enough, they include an expert from Greece. But even his short-term optimism is overshadowed by the long-term forecast that that by the end of the summer the pair should get to a 1.0500-1.0700 level;
- the opinions of the analysts about GBP/USD have split almost equally – 44% argue for its fall, 44% for its rise and 12% remain undecided. According to graphical analysis, the pair should descend to 1.5430-1.5500 by the middle of the week and then return to the 1.5550-1.5616 range;
- the experts, the technical indicators and graphical analysis stay unanimous that the Pivot Point for USD/JPY should be at 124.00, meaning that the pair is on the threshold of an upward leap to 125.00. Support can be at 122.00;
- the USD/CHF pair is expected to continue to fall but this time to 0.9330 and possibly even lower to 0.9280.

In conclusion, it’s worth mentioning again that the accuracy of this forecast largely depends on a rather small country called Greece. Therefore, it would make sense to not only wait for the referendum outcome but also for ensuing reactions on financial markets.

Roman Butko, NordFX

Generalized Forex Forecast for 20-24 July 2015

The accuracy of last week’s forecast was significantly influenced by statistical reports and speeches by high-ranking officials, with the following outcomes:
- the support level for EUR/USD was set at 1.1000, and the pair tried to break through it for the first half of the week. It eventually happened on seemingly less important news from the USA, and by Friday the pair reached last May’s low;     
- GBP/USD was expected to fall to around 1.5350, then rise and possibly break through the resistance level of 1.5555. The pair did fall, although not as much as predicted – to 1.5450. After that, following the speech by the head of the Bank of England, GBP/USD soared, broke through 1.5555 and turned this level into support; 
- the forecast for USD/JPY can be considered 100% accurate. As put forward, the pair went down to the support level of 122.00 for a short while and then moved into the earlier mentioned zone with the Pivot Point at 123.50;
- there were two alternative scenarios for USD/CHF’s direction, and the start of the week was supposed to show which of them would play out. That was the case – it was clear already on Monday that the pair would follow the indications of graphical analysis and go up, making 0.9380 its initial support level.

Forecast for the coming week. Generalizing the opinions of 35 analysts from leading banks and broker companies, as well as forecasts based on a wide variety of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be said:
- the EUR/USD pair appears to be in a unique situation – 100% of the experts predict its rise and 100% of the indicators predict its fall. However, both suggest only minor fluctuations, which seems to be due to the lack of any major news in the upcoming week. Support is likely to be at 1.0750-1.0800 while resistance – at 1.1110. Graphical analysis confirms this, showing a sideways trend with some advantage for the bulls;
- GBP/USD is also expected to be in a sideways trend with the Pivot Point at 1.5615, support around 1.5550 and resistance at 1.5760. All of the experts and an ascending corridor, clearly visible on Н4, suggest that the pair should reach this level within the first half of the week. According to graphical analysis on H1, there may be a short-term drop to the support level before the pair rises;
- last week USD/JPY reached its 2007 high. Both experts and indicators are of the opinion that, with support at 123.75, the pair will continue to move upwards to 126.00 for some time. The next support level will be at 123.00;
- the USD/CHF pair is widely believed to continue to rise to 0.9600 and further to 0.9700. This week the main support will be around 0.9520.

Roman Butko, NordFX