forex software

Create and Test Forex Strategies

forex software
Forex Software
Products
Expert Advisor Studio Forex Strategy Builder Professional Top 10 Robots App Express Generator CoinRang Trading Courses Historical Forex Data
Purchase Partners Repository Docs & Guides Forum

Skip to forum content

Forex Software

Create and Test Forex Strategies

You are not logged in. Please login or register.

(Page 49 of 49)

Forex Software → Market Analysis → Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Pages Previous 1 … 47 48 49

You must login or register to post a reply

RSS topic feed

Posts: 1,201 to 1,211 of 1,211

1,201 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

USDCHF: the Swiss franc continues to lose ground against the US dollar

A rise in US industrial production and retail sales could drive the USDCHF rate up to 0.9040. More details in our analysis for 17 December 2024.

USDCHF forecast: key trading points

  • SECO economic forecasts for Switzerland

  • US retail sales (m/m): previously 0.4%, projected at 0.6%

  • US industrial production (m/m): previously -0.29%, projected at 0.10%

  • USDCHF forecast for 17 December 2024: 0.9040

Fundamental analysis

Fundamental analysis for 17 December 2024 takes into account that Switzerland’s State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) will release updated economic growth forecasts today. The previous forecast, published on 19 September 2024, expected GDP growth of 1.1%, significantly below the average. The inflation forecast for 2024 was revised down to 1.2% from 1.4%, and the 2025 outlook was reduced to 0.7%. Today’s SECO report will provide the latest data on economic conditions and the outlook for 2025.

The forecast for 17 December 2024 suggests that US retail sales may rise to 0.6%. Actual data may differ from expectations; however, increased sales in November may support the US dollar.

US industrial production is also projected to rise to a positive level from the previous -0.29%, with the forecast for 17 December 2024 suggesting a production level of 0.10%. Although this is a modest increase, it may instil hope in investors.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,202 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Gold (XAUUSD) remains within the range: the Fed is in the spotlight

Gold (XAUUSD) is consolidating around 2,650 USD, with the market awaiting news from the Federal Reserve. Find out more in our analysis for 18 December 2024.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Market focus: Gold (XAUUSD) remains flat without any news from the Federal Reserve

  • Current trend: the asset’s prospects depend on the Federal Reserve signals for 2025

  • XAUUSD forecast for 18 December 2024: 2,690.00 and 2,735.25

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) prices hover around 2,650 USD per troy ounce on Wednesday.

Consolidation is a natural development ahead of today’s US Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The Fed’s December meeting will conclude this evening. The baseline scenario suggests a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut. The market will look for clues about how the Fed intends to act in 2025 amid multiple uncertainties around monetary policy and the country’s economy.

Gold prices have risen 28% this year, which could be the highest annual gain since 2010 by the end of the year. This was primarily due to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy easing, demand for safe-haven assets, and systematic purchases of Gold by global central banks.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,203 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

EURUSD declines after Powell’s comments

The EURUSD rate retreated sharply to 1.0350 following the US Federal Reserve meeting and subsequent comments from Jerome Powell. Find out more in our analysis for 19 December 2024.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • The US Federal Reserve lowered the interest rate by 0.25%

  • Stock markets are in negative territory, while the US dollar strengthens after the Fed’s decision

  • EURUSD forecast for 19 December 2024: 1.0400 and 1.0330

Fundamental analysis

The US Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50% following its two-day meeting on 17-18 December. The decision was expected, but subsequent comments from the regulator’s chief and new economic forecasts adversely affected the stock market (the S&P 500 index fell by 3% at once), strengthening the US dollar against all other currencies.

The US dollar strengthened mainly due to the Fed’s revision of its inflation outlook for 2024 and 2025. Inflation is projected to run at 2.4% at the end of 2024, up from 2.3% in the September release. The Federal Reserve expects inflation in 2025 to be 2.5%, up from 2.1% in the previous forecasts.

At a press conference following the meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted that the Fed’s current policy does not negatively affect the economy, allowing the regulator to adopt a more cautious approach to future actions. The Fed wants to see a tangible slowdown in inflation before implementing the next rate cut.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,204 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

The AUDUSD pair appears weak, but there are signals for recovery

The AUDUSD pair declined to 0.6223, and recovering from the two-year low will not be easy. Find out more in our analysis for 20 December 2024.

AUDUSD forecast: key trading points

  • The AUDUSD pair remains at a two-year low

  • The market is confident that the RBA is closer to an interest rate cut, which could happen as early as February 2025

  • AUDUSD forecast for 20 December 2024: 0.6239 and 0.6288

Fundamental analysis

The AUDUSD rate fell to 0.6223 on Friday. The pair remains at a two-year low and appears relatively weak from a fundamental perspective.

The market believes the Reserve Bank of Australia will soon be ready for its first rate cut amid slowing economic activity. The rate could be lowered as early as February 2025, with the current level at 4.35% per annum. The minutes of the RBA’s previous meeting, due in December, may provide further insights into these plans.

Externally, the AUD remains under pressure from the strong US dollar. This driver became more influential after the Federal Reserve announced its cautious plans to lower the interest rate next year.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,205 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

USDJPY: uncertainty in the BoJ actions weakens the Japanese yen

The USDJPY rate reversed from the support level, with the current price at 156.55. Discover more in our analysis for 23 December 2024.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • The Japanese yen remains under pressure due to uncertainty regarding a Bank of Japan interest rate hike

  • Americans’ income rose by 0.3% in November, with spending increasing by 0.4%

  • The core US PCE Price Index increased by 2.8% year-on-year

  • USDJPY forecast for 23 December 2024: 157.85 and 160.15

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate rises on Monday, holding above the key resistance level at 155.95. The Japanese yen remains under pressure amid persistent uncertainty regarding the timing of a potential BoJ interest rate hike.

Last week, the Bank of Japan kept the rate unchanged, citing the need to carefully analyse wage changes, global economic uncertainties, and the impact of the new US administration on the economy.

Meanwhile, Americans’ incomes increased by 0.3% from October, while spending rose by 0.4%. Analysts had forecasted higher figures of 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively.

The core PCE Price Index, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve to assess inflation risks, increased by 2.8% year-on-year, unchanged from the October reading. This is the most substantial growth since April; experts had expected it to accelerate to 2.9%. Today’s USDJPY forecast suggests that robust US inflation data will help strengthen the US dollar.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,206 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Brent attempts to regain ground after a decline

Following a decline, Brent crude oil is attempting a recovery, with a potential growth target of 73.00. Discover more in our analysis for 24 December 2024.

Brent forecast: key trading points

  • Brent crude oil futures show growth on the London Stock Exchange

  • Market participants anticipate a pre-New Year rally

  • Brent forecast for 24 December 2024: 73.00 and 72.30

Fundamental analysis

Brent crude oil continues to strengthen amid a reduction in global hydrocarbon reserves.

Brent prices are experiencing moderate growth on 24 December 2024, following slight declines in the previous days. This morning, February futures on London’s ICE Futures exchange increased by 0.35 USD (0.48%), reaching 72.98 USD per barrel.

Analysts attribute this growth to the recovery from the previous decline and market participants’ expectations ahead of the upcoming holidays, which could lead to lower trading volumes and increased volatility.

Nevertheless, the market remains concerned about an economic slowdown in China, one of the world’s largest oil consumers, and the strengthening of the US dollar. All these factors could exert pressure on prices in the near term.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,207 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Gold (XAUUSD) holds steady above 2,600 USD

XAUUSD quotes are experiencing slight volatility this week, remaining firmly above the 2,600 USD support level. Find out more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 27 December 2024.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Market focus: Gold is trading within a limited range due to the holiday week in Europe and the US

  • Current trend: consolidating within a sideways range

  • XAUUSD forecast for 27 December 2024: 2,640 and 2,600

Fundamental analysis

Gold is set to end this week with moderate gains, having returned to the area above 2,600 USD following a recent downward correction. The decline was driven by the strengthening of the US dollar amid expectations that the US Federal Reserve will pause its monetary policy easing cycle in early 2025.

Overall, XAUUSD maintains a confident position, rising about 30% this year. Gold continues to benefit from demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions and monetary easing policies pursued by global central banks.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,208 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Increasing oil demand from China may boost Brent barrel prices

Brent oil is consolidating near the 76.00 USD support level. Discover more in our analysis for 9 January 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

  • Brent prices plunged after a rapid rise

  • The oil market expects demand from China to increase

  • Brent forecast for 9 January 2025: 78.00 and 74.80

Fundamental analysis

Brent prices continue to correct amid last week’s decline in commercial supplies. According to data from 9 January 2025, oil prices stand at 76.00 USD per barrel. Various factors influence price behaviour, including changes in US oil inventories and demand from China

In particular, on 2 January 2025, it was reported that US oil stocks decreased, which pushed Brent prices above 77.50 USD. Fundamental analysis for 9 January 2025 suggests that higher demand from China may trigger growth in Brent prices.

Overall, the oil market remains influenced by numerous factors, including geopolitical situations, economic forecasts, and actions of key oil producers. Oil quotes continue to respond to changes in supply and demand, and geopolitical risks.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,209 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

USDJPY is on the rise again, and there is more to come

The USDJPY pair rose to 158.36 on Friday. Uncertainty persists regarding the Bank of Japan’s stance on interest rates. Find out more in our analysis for 10 January 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • The USDJPY pair reaches new multi-year highs

  • The yen will remain under pressure until the Bank of Japan clarifies its interest rate policy

  • USDJPY forecast for 10 January 2025: 158.45 and 159.00

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate ended the week even higher, hovering around 158.36.

The Japanese yen has now fallen to a new multi-year low. Uncertainty about the timing of an interest hike by the Bank of Japan exerts significant pressure on the JPY. As Japan’s Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa said yesterday, the country’s economy is at a critical stage where overcoming the public’s deflationary mindset is essential. However, he did not specify when the BoJ might be ready to raise borrowing costs.

Japan’s household spending fell by 0.4% year-on-year in November, while earnings rose by 0.7%.

Externally, the yen faces additional pressure from a strong US dollar. The USDJPY forecast appears positive.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,210 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Political instability in Canada supports USDCAD growth

The USDCAD rate is rising for the fifth consecutive trading session, with buyers poised to test the 1.4465 resistance level. Discover more in our analysis for 13 January 2025.

USDCAD forecast: key trading points

  • US jobs increased by 256 thousand in December, marking the most significant gain in nine months

  • Positive US labour market data heightened expectations of a slower pace of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts

  • Canada’s unemployment rate decreased to 6.7% in December, surpassing the forecast of 6.9%

  • USDCAD forecast for 13 January 2025: 1.4465 and 1.4515

Fundamental analysis

The USDCAD rate is strengthening within an ascending channel. The pair’s growth is supported by the increase in US job numbers, which stood at 256 thousand in December, marking the most substantial growth in nine months. The unemployment rate decreased from 4.2% in November to 4.1% in December, exceeding analysts’ expectations of a 165-thousand job increase. This data has boosted expectations of a slower pace of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.

According to preliminary data, the US Consumer Price Index declined to 73.2 points in December, down from 74.0 in November. Analysts had forecast a less significant decline to 73.8. A year earlier, in January 2024, the index was 79.0.

Meanwhile, Canada’s unemployment rate stood at 6.7% in December, exceeding the expected 6.9%. However, the figure remains the second highest since September 2021, reflecting the softening labour market conditions noted by the Bank of Canada. The economy faces additional pressures from political and fiscal uncertainties, including budget deficit risks and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s resignation.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

1,211 Reply by Vlad RF

  • Registered: 2019-08-07
  • Posts: 492

Re: Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Gold (XAUUSD) continues to rise after a correction

The stabilising PPI and John C. Williams’s speech may weaken the US dollar and push Gold prices towards 2,692. Discover more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 14 January 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • US Producer Price Index (PPI): previously at 0.4%, projected to remain unchanged

  • A speech by FOMC member John C. Williams

  • Current trend: moving higher

  • XAUUSD forecast for 14 January 2025: 2,692 and 2,658

Fundamental analysis

Today’s XAUUSD analysis indicates that the pair is nearing the end of its correction and may soon begin a new upward movement.

The US PPI is a key inflation indicator tracking the average price change for goods and services of domestic producers. It records price changes from the sellers’ perspective and covers three production sectors: manufacturing, commodities, and processing. The PPI is often regarded as a leading inflation gauge, as rising costs for production and services typically filter through to consumers. According to the forecast, US PPI data is expected to remain steady at 0.4%.

Today, 14 January 2025, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President and FOMC member John C. Williams is expected to deliver a speech. Given his earlier statements, he will likely discuss the Federal Reserve’s current monetary policy and future actions.

In December 2024, Williams noted the need to proceed with interest rate cuts, emphasising that these decisions will depend on incoming economic data and the current policy, which restrains positive economic momentum.

He also stressed the importance of achieving the 2.0% inflation target and pointed out that while the Fed’s policy remains restrictive, it has successfully guided inflation towards this goal. In today’s speech, Williams will likely address the following issues:

Assessment of current economic conditions and inflation trends

The Federal Reserve’s future interest rate-cutting plans and the conditions required for these cuts

The impact of the fiscal policy and other external factors on the US economy

However, the specifics of his address will only become clear after his speech, which could significantly affect XAUUSD quotes.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Posts: 1,201 to 1,211 of 1,211

Pages Previous 1 … 47 48 49

You must login or register to post a reply

Forex Software → Market Analysis → Forex Fundamental Analysis & Forecast by RoboForex

Similar topics in this forum