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FXGLORY · 2025-01-07 06:20:45

FXGLORY
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Registered: 2012-04-23
Posts: 574

Re: Daily Analysis By FXGlory

ETHUSD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 01.07.2025

Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The ETH/USD pair is currently under the influence of a potential "Alcoin season," indicating a surge in interest and investment within the alternative cryptocurrency market. Today's key economic indicators for the USD, including the ISM Services PMI expected to rise to 53.5 from 52.1 and JOLTS Job Openings slightly decreasing to 7.73M from 7.74M, are scheduled for release at 3:00 PM. A stronger-than-expected ISM Services PMI could bolster the USD, potentially exerting downward pressure on ETH/USD. Conversely, stable JOLTS figures are likely to have a neutral impact. Additionally, the increasing interest in alternative coins suggests a bullish sentiment that may support ETH/USD's upward trajectory.

Price Action:
On the H4 timeframe, ETH/USD has embarked on a bullish wave, striving to breach the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. The price action reflects a strong upward momentum, with ETH/USD maintaining its stance above key support levels at 3605.70, 3557.5, and 3486.00. This bullish movement suggests sustained buying interest and the potential for further price appreciation. The current attempt to surpass the Fibonacci level is a critical juncture that could either confirm the continuation of the bullish trend or lead to a consolidation phase if the resistance proves too strong.

Key Technical Indicators:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is displaying a positive divergence, with the MACD line positioned above the signal line. The increasing histogram indicates growing bullish momentum, supporting the current upward trend in ETH/USD.
Ichimoku Cloud: ETH/USD is trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, which is a strong bullish signal. The cloud's configuration provides robust support for the ongoing upward movement, suggesting that the bullish trend is well-supported by this indicator.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels: Immediate Support: 3605.70 – This level aligns with recent price consolidation and serves as the first line of defense against potential downward movements. Secondary Supports: 3557.5 and 3486.00 – These additional support levels provide strong floors that can absorb further declines, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Resistance Levels: Primary Resistance: 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement Level – This is the key barrier that ETH/USD is attempting to overcome. A successful breach could lead to significant upward movement. Additional Resistance Levels: Previous highs and psychological price points should be monitored for potential resistance zones that may challenge the bullish momentum.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The ETH/USD pair on the H4 chart exhibits robust bullish momentum, underpinned by key technical indicators such as MACD and the Ichimoku Cloud. The current price action, striving to break above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, indicates a strong potential for continued upward movement. Supported by solid support levels at 3605.70, 3557.5, and 3486.00, the bullish trend appears well-supported. However, traders should remain vigilant of the critical resistance at the Fibonacci level and the impact of upcoming USD economic data releases. A successful breakout could present lucrative trading opportunities, while any failure to breach resistance may lead to a retracement towards the established supports.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for ETH/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on ETHUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

FXGlory
01.07.2024

FXGLORY · 2025-01-08 08:04:07

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Re: Daily Analysis By FXGlory

EUR/USD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 01.08.2025

Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The EUR/USD news analysis today includes upcoming U.S. labor data such as ADP employment changes and initial jobless claims, which could indicate the health of the U.S. labor market and influence Federal Reserve policy. Strong employment data will likely bolster the dollar, further adding to the EUR/USD bearish outlook. On the Eurozone side, attention turns to German industrial orders and retail sales data. Weak results from these indicators may indicate softening economic activity in the Eurozone, adding to bearish sentiment on the Euro.

Price Action:
the EUR/USD technical analysis today on its H4 candle chart shows mixed sentiment, with the price hovering near a significant support level at 1.0315. The market attempted an upward move but was rejected at the 1.0340 resistance level, forming bearish candlesticks. Sellers appear to have regained control, driving the price back below the key Ichimoku Cloud.

Key Technical Indicators:
Ichimoku Cloud: The price has broken below the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling bearish momentum. The lagging span further supports a EURUSD bearish bias, and the resistance offered by the Kumo suggests that upward attempts will face strong selling pressure.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line, and the histogram is negative, confirming bearish momentum. This aligns with the pair’s price action below the Ichimoku Cloud, further supporting a bearish outlook.
RSI (14): The RSI is at 45.63, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum. The value is well below the overbought zone, suggesting room for further downward movement.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels: 1.0315 (key horizontal support), followed by 1.0280 (next potential downside target).
Resistance Levels: 1.0340 (near-term resistance), with further resistance at 1.0375 (a prior high).

Conclusion and Consideration:
The EUR/USD forecast today highlights bearish momentum supported by the pair’s technical indicators and its fundamental headwinds. If the price sustains below the 1.0340 resistance level, it may test the 1.0315 support and potentially move toward 1.0280. Traders should monitor U.S. labor data closely, as stronger-than-expected results could accelerate the pair's bearish trajectory. The Ichimoku Cloud and MACD both indicate bearish trends, suggesting that short positions may be favorable with appropriate risk management. However, a surprise improvement in Eurozone data could provide temporary relief to the pair.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for EUR/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on EURUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

FXGlory
01.08.2025

FXGLORY · 2025-01-09 03:08:32

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Posts: 574

Re: Daily Analysis By FXGlory

AUDUSD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 01.09.2025

Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The AUD/USD currency pair reflects the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD). Today, the US Dollar might experience heightened volatility due to multiple scheduled Federal Reserve speeches. With FOMC members including Michelle Bowman and Patrick Harker discussing monetary policy and economic outlook, traders will look for any hawkish tones that could signal future interest rate adjustments. Simultaneously, the Australian Dollar's movements will be influenced by recent data on trade balance and retail sales, which serve as key indicators of consumer spending and export performance. Strong retail sales or trade surpluses tend to boost the AUD as they reflect economic resilience.

Price Action:
The AUD/USD pair in the H4 timeframe is showing signs of bearish momentum, with 6 out of the last 10 candles being bearish. However, the last two candles have been bullish, suggesting a potential short-term correction. The price is moving within the 61.8% and 100% Fibonacci retracement levels, signaling a zone of support at 0.6193 and resistance at 0.6255. Additionally, the price remains in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, attempting to breach the middle band after bouncing from the lower band. The overall bias remains bearish unless the price closes above the middle Bollinger Band.

Key Technical Indicators Analysis:
Bollinger Bands: The AUD-USD price is trading in the lower half of the Bollinger Bands, signaling bearish momentum. After touching the lower band, the price has started correcting upward, heading toward the middle band. However, it remains below this level, indicating continued downward pressure unless a breakout occurs.
Volumes: Volumes have remained moderate, with no significant spikes indicating strong bullish or bearish conviction. This suggests that the recent price movement may be part of a consolidation phase or a weak corrective rebound rather than a trend reversal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 45.86, slightly below the neutral 50 mark, which reflects weak bearish momentum. It is far from overbought or oversold levels, leaving room for further price movement in either direction.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 40.31 (K line) and 29.88 (D line), indicating a near-oversold condition. This hints at a potential short-term upward correction, though the bearish trend remains dominant overall.

Support and Resistance:
Support: 0.6193 aligns with the 100% Fibonacci retracement level and a recent price rejection area, serving as a key support for the current bearish momentum. 0.6145 is a historical support level below recent lows, which could act as the next downside target if bearish pressure persists.
Resistance: 0.6255 coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and has been a key resistance during the current price correction phase. 0.6310 is the middle Bollinger Band and a potential pivot point for a shift in trend, marking a critical area for bullish attempts.

Conclusion and Consideration:
The AUD/USD pair on the H4 chart shows an ongoing bearish trend, with recent bullish candles signaling a possible short-term correction. Traders should watch for a decisive move above the middle Bollinger Band or a breakdown below 0.6193 for further confirmation of direction. Key technical indicators like RSI and Stochastic suggest potential upward correction, but bearish momentum remains the broader trend. Fundamental drivers, including upcoming FOMC speeches and Australian retail sales figures, could add volatility to the AUD USD pair. A hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve would likely strengthen the USD, while robust Australian trade data could lend support to the AUD.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for AUD/USD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on AUDUSD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

FXGlory
01.09.2025

FXGLORY

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Re: Daily Analysis By FXGlory

USD/CAD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 01.10.2025

Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)

Fundamental Analysis:
The USD/CAD news analysis today remains at the forefront of traders' focus due to upcoming key economic releases for both the US and Canada. For the USD, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), unemployment rate, and labor cost index data are expected to bring heightened volatility. Strong labor market data could reinforce expectations of further tightening by the Federal Reserve, supporting the US Dollar. On the Canadian side, upcoming employment numbers will serve as a barometer of the country's economic resilience. With Canada’s heavy reliance on commodities, stable or improving oil prices might further bolster the Canadian Dollar. However, the market sentiment of this pair, commonly known as the “Loonie,” will depend on the interplay of these fundamental drivers and their divergence.

Price Action:
The USD/CAD H4 chart indicates consolidation within the pair’s moderately bullish trend. USDCAD’s price has rebounded from recent support levels but faces resistance near the upper boundary of the current range. The Loonie’s price action demonstrates narrow candlesticks, signifying indecision among traders. A break above the resistance level at 1.4430 could signal further upward movement, while a failure could see the pair retesting lower support at 1.4350.

Key Technical Indicators:
Bollinger Bands: The price is hugging the middle band, indicating neutral momentum. A breakout above the upper band would confirm bullish continuation, while a drop below the lower band could suggest bearish sentiment.
Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic is hovering around the overbought region near 77, suggesting potential exhaustion in the pair’s bullish bias. A downward cross may signal a short-term correction.
Volume: Volume levels remain subdued, suggesting a lack of strong conviction among traders at the current price range. A spike in volume could validate a directional breakout.

Support and Resistance:
Support Levels: 1.4350 (key psychological support) and 1.4280 (lower Bollinger Band).
Resistance Levels: 1.4430 (key short-term resistance) and 1.4500 (higher target in case of a breakout).

Conclusion and Consideration:
The USD/CAD analysis today on its H4 candle chart is in a phase of consolidation with potential for a breakout. Fundamental releases, including the NFP and Canadian employment data, are likely to set the tone for the pair's next major price movement. Technical indicators suggest cautious optimism for bulls but highlight the risk of a pullback from overbought conditions. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels alongside volume for breakout confirmation. Employing tight stop-losses is recommended due to the volatility expected around the upcoming economic data.

Disclaimer: The analysis provided for USD/CAD is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders are encouraged to perform their own analysis and research before making any trading decisions on USDCAD. Market conditions can change quickly, so staying informed with the latest data is essential.

FXGlory
01.10.2025

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276 Reply by FXGLORY 2025-01-07 06:20:45

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278 Reply by FXGLORY 2025-01-09 03:08:32 (edited by FXGLORY 2025-01-09 04:02:18)

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279 Reply by FXGLORY Yesterday 08:16:58 (edited by FXGLORY Yesterday 08:27:27)

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