Crude Oil - A fall is possible.

On the daily chart, the first wave of the higher level (1) formed, and a downward correction develops as the second wave (2), within which the wave А of (2) forms. Now, the fifth wave of the lower level v of A is forming, within which the wave (iii) of v is developing.

If the assumption is correct, the price of the asset will fall to the area of 67 – 52.25. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 90.30.

EURUSD turns to decline

The EURUSD pair couldn’t manage to reach 1.04 barrier, to face negative pressure and start testing 1.0285 level now, and by taking a deeper look at the chart, we find that the price completed forming double top pattern that we expect to push the price to turn to decline, as breaking this level represents the key to confirm rallying towards 1.0175 followed by 1.0135 levels as main negative targets.

Therefore, the bearish bias will be suggested for today unless breaching 1.0370 and holding above it. The expected trading range for today is between 1.02 support and 1.0360 resistance, and the expected trend for today is Bearish.

EURUSD - Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the downward wave of the higher level А ended, within which the fifth wave (5) of А formed, and the development of the upward wave B started. Now, the first entry wave 1 of (1) of B is developing, and the third wave of the lower level iii of 1 is forming.

If the assumption is correct, the EURUSD pair will grow to the area of 1.0790 – 1.1196. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.0092.

USDCAD- Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the fifth upward wave of the higher level 5 develops, within which the wave (3) of 5 develops. Now, the third wave of the lower level 3 of (3) has formed, a local correction has ended as the fourth wave 4 of (3), and the development of the wave 5 of (5) has started, within which the wave i of 5 is forming.

If the assumption is correct, the USDCAD pair will grow to the area of 1.382 – 1.3978. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3222.

USDCHF - Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the first upward wave of the higher level (1) of 3 forms, within which the wave 3 of (1) formed, and a local correction ended as the fourth wave 4 of (1). Now, the development of the fifth wave 5 of (1) has started, within which the first entry wave of the lower level i of 5 is developing.

If the assumption is correct, the USDCHF pair will grow to the area of 1.0054 – 1.02. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.9350.

Gold Price Keeps its Negative Stability

Gold price tested 1746.40 level and kept its stability below it, to resume the negative trades and attempts to move away from this level, which keeps the correctional bearish trend valid, waiting to test 1721.65 as a next main target. The EMA50 forms negative pressure that supports the expected decline, which will remain valid unless breaching 1746.4 – 1754 levels and holding above them.

The expected trading range for today is between 1715 support and 1750 resistance, and the expected trend for today is Bearish.

AUDUSD - Growth is possible.

On the daily chart, the first wave of the higher level (1) formed, a downward correction ended as the second wave (2), and the development of the third wave (3) started. Now, the first entry wave of the lower level i of 1 of (3) is forming, within which the wave (iii) of i is developing.

If the assumption is correct, the AUDUSD pair will grow to the area of 0.6916 – 0.7142. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 0.6572.

USDJPY - The asset is in correction, the probability of the fall is maintained.

On the daily chart, the third wave of the higher level 3 has completed and a downward correction is being formed as the fourth wave 4. At the moment, a wave of the lower level a of 4 has already appeared and a local correction is developing as a wave b of 4.

It is predicted that the quotes of the USDJPY pair will fall to the area of 133.2 – 127.36. The level of 146.42 is critical and stop-loss for this scenario.

CAC 40 - French stock market continues to rise actively

French companies continue to demonstrate fairly strong financial results, despite another decline in business activity in the country: in November, the figure corrected from 103 points to 101 points against the forecast of 102.0 points. However, at the moment, the attention of investors is drawn to the statement of representatives of the automotive corporation Renault Group on the conclusion of cooperation with the energy companies Engie SA, Voltalia SA and Electricite de France SA for a 15-year supply of electricity from renewable sources, which can cover up to 50% of the needs of the automaker in the country. Recently, the issue of decarbonization of production in France has been quite acute, and reports of a deal may cause approval from the environmental community, allowing the issuer to attract additional investment.

On the daily chart, CAC 40 quotes continue to trade above the resistance line of the descending corridor, and the technical indicators strengthen the buy signal.

Support levels: 6610, 6340 | Resistance levels: 6800, 7160

Euro maintains gains near four-month highs against dollar

Euro rose in European trade against dollar for the fourth straight session, almost hitting four-month highs amid fading concerns about the policy gap between Europe and the US. The greenback is trading near three-month lows under pressure from Fed's minutes, which bolstered the case for a 0.5% rate hike in December. EURUSD rose 0.2% to 1.0428, after closing up 0.15% yesterday, the third profit in a row as risk appetite improves in the market.

Euro is up over 1% so far this week against dollar on track for the second weekly profit in three weeks.
Euro hit four-month highs at 1.0481 earlier this month before entering a wave of losses on active profit-taking.
Current gains come amid fading concerns about the policy gap between the US and Europe, with the ECB expected to raise rates by 75 basis points in December.

The Dollar

The dollar index last traded near three-month lows at 105.34 against a basket of major rivals. Latest Federal Reserve minutes showed US policymakers are content about their ability to move forward and raise interest rates in a slower place.

Gold Technical Analysis

Gold price tests the key support 1746.4 and keeps its stability above it until now, which keeps the bullish trend scenario valid for the upcoming period, supported by the EMA50, waiting to resume the bullish bias to visit 1765 initially. On the other hand, we should note that breaking 1746.4 and holding below it will stop the positive scenario and push the price back to the correctional bearish track again, to head towards testing 1721.65 areas initially.

The expected trading range for today is between 1735 support and 1775 resistance, and the expected trend for today is Bullish.

AUDUSD - Australian economy shows signs of decline

The reason for the negative dynamics was poor macroeconomic data: according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, retail turnover in October fell by 0.2% after rising by 0.6% in September, which was the first decline since falling by 4.1% in December 2021 and is a consequence of the weakening in all leading industries, except for products retail trade. The leaders of the negative movement were department stores, which lost 2.4%, closely followed by the clothing trade sector (–2.0%), and for the first time since January, the indicators of restaurants and cafes decreased (–0.4%). ABS Head of Retail Statistics Ben Dorber said the correction results from higher interest rates and could be long-term.

On the daily chart of the asset, the price is moving in a downward channel, and after reaching the resistance line, a reversal begins to form. The technical indicators maintain a weakening buy signal.

Resistance levels: 0.6765, 0.6970 | Support levels: 0.6600, 0.6410