Technical Overview of USD/CAD and EUR/USD Currency Pair

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3048.

USD/CAD is trimming gains on reports calling a victory for Canada's PM Trudeau. The pair may come under pressure if Trudeau forms a minority government with NDP's support.

Canada Retail Sales m/m show changes in the value of goods sold in retail stores in the specified month compared to the previous month. The indicator is calculated based on statistics from several thousand retail stores, and the data is then extrapolated to the whole country.

The indicator evaluates the consumer activity and inflation. The indicator growth can have a positive effect on CAD quotes.

Canada Core Retail Sales m/m reflects the change in retail sales in the reported month compared to the previous one. The indicator is calculated based on statistics from retail stores of different types and sizes. The index calculation does not include sales of autos and spare parts.

Retails Sales are an indicator of consumer activity in Canada, and an important component of national GDP. The indicator growth can have a positive effect on CAD quotes.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3077 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3063. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3123 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3137.

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1148.
•    Positive risk extends in Asia, E-mini S&P +0.1% and AsiaxJP stocks +0.3%
•    Flat in a low key 1.1147/1.1156 range - fundamentals unchanged look to techs
•    Charts - daily momentum studies, 5, 10 & 21 MAs head higher - bullish setup
•    Sustained cloud break, 1st since July - 1.1104 horizontal cloud top supports

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1142 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1132. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1172, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1182.

Important Economic Events of the Day

•    CAD: Retail Sales m/m
•    CAD: Core Retail Sales m/m
•    USD: Existing Home Sales

For More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Technical Overview of AUD/USD and GBP/USD Currency Pair

AUD USD

AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6784

•    Flat in a quiet tight 0.6785/0.6795 range as options contain
•    0.6785-95 1.1BLN and 0.6900 500M strikes dominated in Asia
•    Risk bounce in Asia after a soft week, Nikkei +0.6%, AsiaxJP +0.3%
•    Charts - momentum studies, 5, 10 & 21 DMAs head south - bearish setup
•    Dip recently stalled at 0.6769, which remains pivotal and vulnerable
•    NY 0.6783 low and earlier 0.6795 high initial support and resistance

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6786 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6785. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6788 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6789.

GBP USD

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.2913.

•    Cable saw steady interest and trades +0.1% in a 1.2903/1.2921 range
•    Conservatives to raise property purchase tax for non-UK residents
•    A revenue raiser that will be popular with UK voters
•    FT's poll tracker, Conservatives hot favorites, +13pts from +11 over Labour
•    Charts - 5, 10 & 21 DMAs gently edge higher - modest topside bias
•    Six week 1.2770/1.3012 range looks set to extend unless the USD trends

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2917 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2916. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2923, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2924.

Important Economic Events of the Week (18 Nov, 19 to 24 Nov, 19)

•    CAD: Core Retail Sales m/m
•    EUR: ECB President Lagarde Speech
•    EUR: GDP q/q
•    SGD: GDP q/q
•    USD: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change

For More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Technical Overview of GBP/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair

GBP USD

GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3155.

•    Flat in a 1.3153/1.3161 range, but decent interest once Asia fully opened
•    EUR/GBP saw modest volumes with a very tight 0.8438/0.8341 range
•    Conservative election victory expectations attracted fresh demand this week
•    Initial significant resistance at 1.3168/90, 50% 2018/19 fall and May high
•    1.3168 capped in NY, but is under pressure - strong resistance into 1.3200
•    Close above 1.3200 would be a strong positive into the election next week
•    Sustained 1.3200 break would open the door to the 1.3380 2019 high in March
•    Close below the prior 1.3000 range high needed to undermine topside bias

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3120 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3105. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3166 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3181.

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 108.75.

USD/JPY's CTA positioning and notes that it's mainly close to neutral and sidelined around current levels.
"CTAs having held back on going long in the USD/JPY market (buying USD and selling yen) during the recent risk-on phase, they have managed to avoid simultaneous stock selling and yen buying.

CTAs' USD/JPY positions are close to neutral at present, and they are not currently moving either to buy or to sell.

"With the latent risk of yen appreciation being suppressed, if fundamentals-oriented investors begin tentatively dip-buying below 23,000, this downward move by the Nikkei 225 could be brought to a close relatively soon.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 108.66 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 108.58. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.92, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.00.

Important Economic Events of the day

•    JPY: Household Spending y/y
•    USD: Nonfarm Payrolls
•    USD: Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count
•    CAD: Employment Change

For More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and USD/CAD Currency Pair

EUR USD

EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1096.

•    EUR/USD is gaining ground on broad-based dollar selling.
•    The pair is closing on a crucial trendline hurdle at 1.1140.
•    With gold rising amid trade optimism, a breakout looks likely.

The easing of trade tensions is good news for Germany. The 18-month US-China trade war had pushed the Eurozone's manufacturing powerhouse and biggest economy to the brink of recession.

As a result, the dollar could continue to lose ground in Friday's European session – more so, as the equity market buoyancy is expected to continue with Amazon, the e-commerce giant, reporting record holiday season.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1087 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1080. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1107 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1114.

USD CAD

USD traded lower against CAD and closed at 1.3121.

•    USD/CAD on track for a test below 1.31 the figure on firm commodity complex.
•    Phase-one trade deal between the US and China is in the making, supporting commodity currencies.

Funds are under pressure as the commodity complex catches a bid on the so-called 'phase-one' trade deal that is scheduled to be signed in January between the US and China.

The trade, ownership and technology practices of Chinese companies for the past two decades will not vanish overnight, nor will optimism of US and Canadian executives return with two signatures. 

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.3100 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3087. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3144, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3157.

Important Economic Events of the Day

•    JPY: Retail Sales m/m
•    USD: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
•    USD: Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count
•    GBP: Nationwide HPI m/m

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP/USD Currency Pair

EUR /USD

• EUR traded lower against USD and closed at 1.1193

The market is well placed to retest resistance at 1.1197- 1.1240 – namely the 55-week ma, the 2019-2020 down channel, and the recent high. This guards the 200-week ma at 1.1360 which continues to represent a critical breakpoint medium term.”

“Dips lower are well supported by the 55 and 20-day ma at 1.1095/1.1065 and the 3-month uptrend at 1.1045.”
“Failure at the uptrend would target the 1.0981 29th November low.”

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1167 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1156 The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1205 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1216.

GBP/USD

• GBP traded higher against USD and closed at 1.3167

“We look for dips lower to remain well supported by the 55-day ma at 1.2987. The low on the 23rd December was 1.2908 and while above here we will assume an upside bias to retest the December high at 1.3515.”

“The December high at 1.3515 guards the September 2017 high and 38.2% retracement (of the move down from 2014) at 1.3658/68. This guards the more important 1.3918 2007 -2020 downtrend.”

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.2841 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2604. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3461, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.3607.

Important Economic Events of the Day

•    EUR Retail Sales m/m.
•    EUR Retail Sales y/y.
•    GBP 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction.
•    USD Trade Balance.

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit economic Calendar Page!https://xtreamforex.com/Economic_Calendar.html

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and USD/JPY and Currency Pair
EUR USD
EUR traded higher against USD and closed at 1.1094

•    Touch softer - closed up 0.05% after recording a fresh 1.1076 Jan low
•    UK to set out goals for EU trade talks - PM Johnson's spokesman
•    Charts show momentum studies, 5, 10 & 21 DMAs edging lower - negative setup
•    1.1080/85, 61.8% of the Nov-Dec bounce and Jan double bottom held on close
•    Sustained 1.1075 breaks a bearish signal, next stop 1.1042 76.4% Nov-Dec rise
•    1.1113, 38.2% of the January dip and 5 DMA is initial resistance
•    1.1100 350M, 1.1125 230M, and 1.1140-50 1.5BLN strikes cap

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 1.1082 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.1076. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.1102 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.1108

USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 110.18.

USD/JPY extends losses while taking rounds to 110.00 during early Tuesday. The pair shrugged off the BOJ’s widely anticipated monetary policy decision as risk aversion seems to be in the play.

•    USD/JPY extends the recent losses despite BOJ holding its monetary policy intact while keeping forward guidance on interest rates intact.
•    News of coronavirus outbreak recently triggered risk-off; trade-positive news from the Chinese Commerce Ministry failed to please buyers.
•    Geopolitical plays in the Middle East, trade headlines will welcome the US traders returning from the extended weekend.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 110.13 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 110.10. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 110.21 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.24

Economic Events of the Day
   
•    JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision
•    JPY BoJ Press Conference
•    GBP Claimant Count Change
•    EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment Indicator

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Technical Overview of AUD/USD and USD/JPY Currency Pair
AUD/USD
• AUD traded Higher against USD and closed at  0.6686

AUD/USD sustains the bounce above 0.6700 amid mixed Australian NAB Business Survey and Home Loan data. The spot draws support from a risk-on rally in the Asian stocks, as coronavirus fears take a back seat.

•    AUD/USD is reporting marginal gains despite below-forecast NAB data.
•    The 14-day RSI is reporting a bullish divergence.
•    Australia's Home Loan data bettered estimates by a big margin.
•    That alongside the uptick in the equities could help the Aussie eke out notable bounce.
•   

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6673 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6663. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6703 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6713.

USD/JPY
USD traded higher against JPY and closed at 109.74

•    USD/JPY holds onto recovery gains from 21-day SMA.
•    A sustained break of monthly high will divert the bulls towards the yearly top.
•    200-day SMA acts as key support.

USD/JPY registers 0.10% gains while rising to 109.85 by the press time of the pre-European session on Tuesday. In doing so, the quote justifies the bullish candlestick formation portrayed the previous day.
As a result, prices are now gearing up to the monthly top surrounding 110.05, a break of which will escalate the latest recovery towards January 17 high near 110.30.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 109.65 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 109.58. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 109.85 , and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.92.

Important Economic Events of the Day
•    GBP  Manufacturing Production m/m
•    GBP  GDP q/q
•    GBP  GDP m/m
•    GBP  GDP 3m/3m

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Technical Overview of USD/JPY and AUD/USD Currency Pair
USD JPY

USD traded lower against JPY and closed at 110.42
USD/JPY stalls its bounce near 110.40 regions and meets fresh supply over the last hour, as the risk-off sentiment intensifies amid rising coronavirus risks and knocks-off the US 10-year Treasury yields to a new record low just above the 1.30% level.
•    USD/JPY printed a bullish inside day candlestick pattern on Wednesday.
•    The pair could find bids and challenge resistance at 110.70-111.00.
•    USD/JPY: Bulls and bears jostle below 111.00 amid coronavirus fears
•    USD/JPY fails to hold onto the previous day’s recovery gains.
•    Traders smell fears in the US President Donald Trump’s measured comments.
•    Coronavirus updates keep the risk-tone under pressure; US data will decorate the economic calendar.
•    USD/JPY drops back towards 110.00 as US 10-year Treasury yields hit record lows

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 110.18 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 110.05. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 110.62, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.75.

AUD USD
AUD traded higher against USD and closed at 0.6543.

AUD/USD extends the bounce above 0.6550 after Australia's Q4 Capex data release. The headline number missed forecasts; however, estimates for 2020/21 bettered expectations. The risk-off tone in the markets could cap the further upside in the spot.

•    AUD/USD looks oversold as per the daily chart RSI.
•    The 4-hour chart RSI is reporting a bullish divergence.
•    The broader trend remains bearish with the pair stuck in a falling channel.
•    AUD/USD may witness a corrective bounce as technical charts are signaling seller exhaustion.

The 4-hour chart RSI has charted higher lows, contradicting lower lows on price. That bullish divergence indicates the bearish momentum has ebbed. The inverted hammer seen on the 4-hour chart is also echoing similar sentiments.

According to the Analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.6540 and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.6524. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.6590 and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.6606.

More information about the release time of news and its impact visit Economic Calendar Page!

Major Economic Events in the 1st week of August 2020

Get all updates on international economy, Business news, Global market news, world business, and global business trade on Business Standard. Major Economic Events in the Market this week are as following:

3 August 14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index

It shows the business conditions in the US manufacturing sector to predict the overall conditions of the US. It will be consensus with the 48.4 and the previous forecast was 52.6 it will predict that it will seem 50-50 positive and negative effect for USD.

4 August 22:45 NZD Employment Change and Unemployment Rate (Q2)

Unemployment Rate: It shows the unemployed workers divided by the total civilian force. It will be expected that if the rate is up it will weaken the New Zealand economy on the other side decrease in the Figure will seem as positive or bullish for the NZD when the increase is seen as the negative.

Employment Change: Employment change measures the change in the number of employed people. It will be expected to implications for consumer spending to economic growth. High is seen as positive for the NZD and low reading is seems negative.

5 August 9:00 EUR Retail Sales (YoY) (Jun)

Retail Sale measures the performance in the retail sector in the short term. It will reflect the rate of change in sales. It will expected usually the positive economic growth in Bullish while the low reading seems Negative.

14:00 USD ISM Non-Manufacturing (PMI)(Jul)

It shows the business conditions in the US non-manufacturing sector. The non-manufacturing sector does not influence either positively or negatively.

6 August 06:00 GBP Bank of England Monetary Policy

It will analyze the quarterly report in the inflation projections based on the Monetary Policy committee bases. Expected that high reading is seen as positive for the GBP.

7 August 12:30 USD NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls)

The monthly changes in payrolls can be extremely volatile, due to its high relation with economic policy decisions made by the Central Bank. The number is also subject to strong reviews in the upcoming months, and those reviews also tend to trigger volatility in the forex board. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish), although previous months reviews and the unemployment rate are as relevant as the headline figure, and therefore market's reaction depends on how the market assets them all.

For More information about Economic Events click here: https://xtreamforex.com/economic-calendar/

Technical Overview of EUR/USD and GBP/USD

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair will run out of the stream and reached the level 1.1916 on Thursday that indicates the technical indicators.

The EUR/USD pair daily chart indicates the bearish divergence according to the Relative strength index with slow stochastic. Moreover, the bearish divergence occurs that indicates the chart lower highs that opposed the higher lows and the Higher highs in Price that will take to be the sign of the Bullish momentum.

On Friday the pair was a decline at the level 0.78% to validated the uptrend exhaustion by the Thursday formed the spinning top candle that confirmed the short term bullish to a bearish trend change.

All things considered, a more grounded pullback might be seen for this present week. Quick help is situated at 1.1696 (Aug. 3 low), which, whenever entered, would declare a double top breakdown on the day by day chart and open the entryways for 1.1482 (focus according to the planned move strategy). On the higher side, 1.1916 is the level to beat for the bulls. At press time, the pair is sidelined close to 1.1791.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD was traded around the level at 1.3050 during the early Monday's Asian meeting. In doing as such, the Cable trims increase following a U-turn a seven-day-old helpline. The information could be followed by the pair's failure to cross 200-HMA.

Other than the 200-HMA and quick helpline, weak RSI conditions and waiting for MACD furthermore bring up issues for the pair traders. Subsequently, they search for an away from of any of these key specialized levels for new headings.

The Cable pair will be traded upside that breaks the 200 HMA at level 1.3067 that will aim to go at the level 1.3100 the pair further go up with the ascending trend line and currently traded at the level 1.3190.

It will be expected, a drawback break below the referenced helpline, close at the level  1.3020, can attack the 1.3000 points to return to July 28 top close to 1.2950.

It ought to likewise be noticed that the pair's ascent past-1.3190 will require approval from 1.3200 before examining the bulls. In the interim, the bears' strength past-1.2950 can feature at the level 1.2840/35.

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EUR/USD Goes Deeper Below and Strengthening Momentum

The EUR/USD pair used the gauge trend strength and the trend changes on the daily chart histogram that producing the deeper bars below the zero line on the bearish momentum.

The trendline support of the 14-day relative strength Index is dived out and signaling to the end of the uptrend to the low level near to the 1.08 that observed in May.

That alongside Friday's bearish covering light recommends scope for a decrease to the level at 1.1729 the lower end of the everyday chart sideways channel. A violation there would move the concentration to the rising trendline support, presently traded at the level 1.1620. On the higher side, a nearby over Friday's high of 1.1883 is expected to negate the bearish viewpoint.

GBP/USD Slipped below to the Monthly Support Line

The GBP/USD was traded at level 1.3090 during this early Monday. The cable pair slipped below to the 100-bar SMA level during this late Friday that breaks the short term support line to the convince seller.

Thus, bears may search for sections under an upward inclining pattern line from July 30, at the level 1.3055 now, before expressing their strength.

In doing as such, 1.3000 and the month to month base around at the level 1.2980 could come back to the figures in front of featuring 1.2915 and July 28 low close to the level 1.2840.

In the interim, an upside break of 100-bar SMA, right now around 1.3105, can focus on the early-month top containing the level at 1.3185 before standing up to March month's top near 1.3200.

If the cable pair stays effective past-1.3200, the ongoing high at the level 1.3265 and December 31, 2019, top close to 1.3285 will be on their radars.

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Technical Analysis of EUR/ GBP USD

EUR/USD Defend For the Bulls to Defend at the level 1.18

The EUR/USD pair will be traded in a sidelined to the near at the level 1.1837 during this Monday Morning according to the Asian Hours.

The pair will be created the long-tailed candle for the second straight day on this Friday marking to the bear failure below the support level 1.18 and shows the signaling for the reversal higher.

Nonetheless, a move over Friday's high of 1.1865 is expected to confirm a finish of a pullback from the ongoing high of the level 1.2011 and set the bulls back into the driver's seat. On the other hand, a break under trendline ascending from May 14 and July 1 highs would suggest a bullish-to-bearish pattern change. At press time, the trendline uphold is situated at the level at 1.1765.

GBP/USD Old Line Goes Around 1.3250 Seller attack at Seven-Week Support Line

The GBP/USD pair remains on the back foot to the declining level to the 1.3248 goes down 0.23% on the day during the early Monday Trading.

In doing as such, the Cable affronts Friday's Doji light, suggesting an inversion of the past bearish move, in the midst of increasing chances of a no-deal Brexit.

The statement as of now trades almost a momentary helpline, at 1.3245 presently, sponsored by the bearish MACD signals.

In any case, 21-day SMA and a two-month-old rising pattern line, separately around 1.3185 and 1.3140 can scrutinize the traders after.

Then again, a day by day shutting past the 10-day SMA level of 1.3282 will stand up to a momentary flat opposition around the level 1.3360.

For a situation where the bulls figure out how to cross 1.3360, 1.3400 round-figures, and the as of late reflected multi-week high around 1.3480/85 will be at the center of the spotlight.

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