GBP/USD Technical Analysis: August 24, 2017

There was a choppy session in trading British pound against U.S. dollar on Wednesday. Traders were unsuccessful in their attempt to bring the price higher. There was a breakdown at the level of 1.28 which gives a bearish tone in trading. Although, the 1.2850 level and above could offer sufficient selling pressure to reverse the trend. It is advisable to sell in short-term rallies as the market continues to be cautious to possess the British pound ahead of the negotiations.

A resistance is found at the 1.29 level which could appeal to sellers between the levels of 1.2850 and 1.29. On the other hand, a break lower than the lows of the day could lead to a further decline with a short-term target of 1.2650 level.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: August 25, 2017

During the Thursday session, the U.S. dollar dropped against the Canadian dollar as it reached the 1.25 handle once again. If the market was able to breakout below, this could fasten the pace to proceed downhill. Although, this would not be a facile process. A rebound is also plausible which is already foreseeable if it happens but the 1.26 level remains resistive. A breakout in the upper channel which would have a big influence to the pair as traders react to the speech with Janet Yellen for today. Volatility could exist in the market, despite the ones in power are the sellers.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: August 30, 2017

The rates are still maintained despite high volatility during the Tuesday trading session. The volatility is not surprising as the market reacted to the speeches from Draghi and Yellen on Friday. The speeches finished late for the day when the U.K. market closed as well as on Monday which is a holiday in the U.S.

Volatility is already anticipated which is what happened yesterday. Furthermore, the monthly end currency flow added to it. It supported the pair to move higher over the 1.20 level as it moved towards 1.2070 prior to the U.S. session. Higher global risk also partly contributed to the movement which directly involves the U.S. as the DPRK persists to threaten with different missile tests. Nevertheless, the situation has been handled pretty well and the same time supported the dollar to strengthen in the later in the day.

There was a correction seen that further pushed the pair towards the 1.20 level that closed the day when it started. The movement occurred quite fastly as traders are anxious on how long the trend will last. They are also cautious and trying to see how long before the ECB will intervene in the event of strong euro. These have had a big impact on euro and there will most likely be choppiness for short-term.

For today, the preliminary GDP data and the ADP report from the U.S. are anticipated to be released today which could greatly affect the pair and monitor its impact on the increase of rates. This would also determine if it big enough for the Fed to proceed with a quick rate hike by the end of the year. Hence, volatility is already anticipated and the holiday period is about to end as the EUR/USD pair would have a big change in action for short-term.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: September 5, 2017

Primarily, the sterling moved sideways on Monday, however, drove downwards to find some support and in order to make a rebound. The United States is currently in a holiday to celebrate the Labor Day, hence, the trading volume will be heightened during the European session.

Moreover, the market is having some conflicting pressure while players lack confidence about the possible increase of the Fed interest rates for this year. However, there are various concerns regarding the British exit from the European Union.

It is possible that the market will continue its choppiness which suggests to better trade in small positions. We should search for some pullback while the market should push lower touching the 1.2850 in the longer term. The 1.30 region appeared to be really resistive but when the 1.3050 area will be broken, buyers would likely take the driver’s seat once again.

It is expected that the market will keep on having some noise, but there is also a possibility that the market is seeking for clarity which is hard to look for because of the increasing noise in the markets.

It should be noted that the liquidity will not raise until the following week, considering that majority of the traders are not present due to the holiday.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: September 6, 2017

The British pound soared to 1.30 and labeled as the strongest currency for the day during Tuesday session. Currently, it moves to the highs of the range in the 1.3030 region and put a risk for a breakout. It seems to be not performing well in the past whole week but this was supported by the expected data from the U.K. and the weakened dollar which has assisted the recovery of the GBP/USD pair.

The center of attention has been the U.S. dollar majority of the day since the U.S. market opened after the long weekend as well as rhetorics from various speakers of the Federal Reserve. The market anticipates what will happen to the U.S. economy and when will be the next rate hike. It seems that they do not really think about it. It is mainly dovish on both issues but this did not appeal to investors which resulted in another round of selling the greenback.

In turn, this has supported the GBP/USD pair to ascend towards 1.3000 level and the 1.3030 is now an important resistance region. If it successfully breaks through the said region in a clean manner, the pair is anticipated to move towards 1.3250 region for short term. Yet, there is a possibility for this to happen when the dollar further weakened.

There is no major economic news from the U.K. for this day. The dollar will once again be the center of attention and if the market can recover for short-term. It seems that the dollar index is at a crucial stage where it could decline or bounce up from this point. It is ideal for traders to be careful and determine its next move whether it will go down or up prior to placing orders.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: September 13, 2017

The U.S. dollar moved sideways at the beginning of Tuesday session. Soon after, the pair rallied much higher. Currently, the level of 110 is being tested but there is still a gap that could raise some concerns. Nevertheless, this gap has been filled. However, traders should still be careful since there is a sign of “overbought” in the market. A pullback could happen after some time since the market is sensitive enough to react suddenly before going forward. Consequently, a breakout occurred at 110.25 level and the price will most likely move forward towards 111 level.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: September 25, 2017

On Friday, the EUR/USD had another range trading and consolidative day and attempted to break the 1.2000 level. However, a sudden strong selling beat the pair back which pushed the single European currency under the 1.20 region. This scenario was already anticipated since the elections in Germany is scheduled over the weekend, considering the fact that there is no one who would like to have large positions until the weekend.

The elections took place and the results were announced, showing already anticipated outcome which is the victory of Merkel’s party. However, something unexpected happened as the formation of a coalition started since many have said that Merkel is incapable to lead a government by herself only. Moreover, this could continue for some days or even weeks and the market is not in favor with this. There are only some instances where markets preferred some uncertainties and this situation could probably keep going and could lead for the euro sell-off.

During the trading session this morning, we saw some sell-off in EUR, but a retracement developed. As of this writing, the EURUSD appeared to be weak which might continue until the end of the day. The London session is much awaited due to a lot of news regarding the elections that the markets would receive, allowing the market to make its own decision about which way to go. Hence, the indecision and uncertainty brought an impact to the euro.

Ultimately, the ECB President Mario Draghi is expected to have his speech along with Germany’s election results which could possibly control the EUR trend for this day. According to projections, the euro-dollar pair will be under pressure throughout the day.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: October 4, 2017

The EUR/USD bounced back after the report for wholesale price inflation came in better than expected. As the yields provided some support which made the single European currency to gain more attraction in relation to the US dollar, with the continuous boiling of the Catalonian issues.
The greenback was able to sustain its gains due to a stronger than expected results of same-store sales, as it jumped almost to 5%.

The euro-dollar pair rebounded yesterday, followed by testing of the support region at 1.1661 area near the August lows. The pair’s resistance touched the 1.1822 level which is close to the 10-day moving average. Whence, the 10-day moving average moved beneath the 50-day moving average which indicates a downtrend in the medium-term in place.

Moreover, the momentum preserved its negative position while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) histogram is printing in the red accompanied by a descending trajectory. This further shows that exchange rate became lower.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: October 13, 2017

The GBP/USD pair keep on trading in an up and down direction which seems directionless, by the weakness of the U.S dollar helps the Cable pair to boost amid this period.

The struggle of the British currency continues due to the risks linked with the Brexit process, however, the dollar weakening appeared to be massive which affected others in moving up over the greenback. Until now, the Brexit process is ongoing but it remains to be seen any major development.

The delay in the talks continues while other discussion also does not provide any progress so far. This trigger doubts if Brexit talks could possibly break down and further led to question if the United Kingdom will depart from the European Union even without any accomplished deal. This could be the possible thing to happen at this particular moment, which further resulted in lot of uncertainty.

Moreover, the position of PM Theresa May seems to be threatened since last week because most of her party are against her leadership technique. Albeit, she was able to surpass such mess, she remains involved in a complicated scenario. These combined events pushed the sterling pound under pressure but the weakening of the dollar made it acceptable.

Ultimately, the retail sales and CPI data from the United States are scheduled today while the United Kingdom has no major data for this day. These set of data should be monitored carefully by market participants because inflation is considered a major parameter by the Federal Reserve, particularly, in making the decision about the rate hike in December. In case the figures showed strong data, the GBPUSD is expected to wane.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: October 23, 2017

The EUR/USD pair closed the day with a decline during the course on Friday and up to this day, the weakness keeps going. Also, the US dollar strengthens while the eurozone continues to manage the Spain’s condition that placed further pressure on the single European currency in the near-term. The market could possibly trend sideways in the next couple of days while waiting for the decision of the European Central Bank (ECB) on the short-term direction for the EUR. The complicated situation in Catalonia is not yet over since the Spanish administration dismissed the Catalonia government and appealed for new elections with an attempt to abandon the independence proposal. This caused uncertainties and confusion that affected the euro for today.

While traders keep on carefully tracking the situation to assess the impact on Spain and other parts of the European region.

There is not so much action expected during the first half of the week as the market count on the ECB. The central bank is anticipated to talk about the QE tapering in the meeting and Draghi’s statement and the press conference would likely lead to high volatility towards the euro after some time.

Moreover, the ECB did not yet provide any definite timeline for the tapering and the markets are waiting to receive some information from them. The greenbacks persist to remained steady despite the fact that the arriving figures from the United States seem choppy. This resulted in a disorganized state of the dollar. Also, it is projected to fix itself over the following weeks which could possibly prompt a strong trend.

Ultimately, there are no major economic releases from the European Union or the United States scheduled for today. Hence, the complicated condition of the Korean region and the risks in Catalonia are predicted to rule over the market trend for today.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 2, 2017

The EUR/USD pair waited for the FOMC minutes throughout the trading day on Wednesday, the minutes are expected to be issued during the American session. Aside from this pair, there are other many currency pairs that desire to know the thoughts of Fed members regarding the future rate hikes with expectations to help them determine the short-term trend for the U.S dollar.

This ensures that the single European currency was fixed in a very tight range at 30 pips, while markets in a long position understand that any choppy movement would lead to an unprofitable trade. Since the focus is centered on the positioning of trades prior the major news events coupled with large trends once the news was issued.
It became more interesting due to the subsequent news later this week which has equal of importance with concerns of the greens. It further opened the door for the possible reversal by the FOMC with the approaching news events.

The FOMC failed to achieve its target, however, most of the text remained unchanged, particularly the talks of future outlook that came in lower than market expectations. This resulted in a sudden minor shock for the USD, met some buying and pushed the bucks to a tight range until the end of the course after the minute's publication.
Considering all the projections formulated the entire day, the minutes conversely disappointed the markets which further triggered choppy data by means of the ADP report released earlier the day.

There are reports that confirmed Jerome Powell as the next head of the Fed Reserve but caused the dollar to weaken later this day, nevertheless, the effect of this news would likely be temporary.

Ultimately, the attention was turned towards the British pound as there are no releases from the United States or the European region for today. Hence, it is safe to say that there is some tight ranging and consolidation within the euro-dollar pair amid the trading day while waiting for the US employment statistics tomorrow which could roughly confirm the rate increase in December.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 9, 2017

The British currency declined throughout the trading day on Wednesday as fears continue to influence the sterling relative to the Brexit negotiations, as well as the potential of Britain to maintain its economic stability during this period. The GBP went down to the 1.31 level for a short period of time prior the rebound from that point, which allowed the currency to close the day over the 1.31 mark but remained to be weak as of this moment.

Another reason for the decline of the GBPUSD is the continuous dollar strengthening that boosted the discussion on the tax reform bill. The U.S. dollar trades with little strength since the approval of the tax bill by President Donald Trump and his team. However, the confirmation is not yet through since it is currently brought into law while there are reports about the possible delay of the actual implementation. On the other hand, some say that Trump will not allow this to happen amid the uncertainties regarding this matter that would likely influence the greenbacks in the near-term.

Moreover, the GBP was supported by the entire talks concerning the slow Brexit process which continued to bog down every single day. The sterling was also affected by the pessimistic UK economic outlook brought by the latest rate announcement by the BOE, this could possibly be the reason for the continuous trading near the range lows by the Cable pair despite rate increase. Aside from the fact that the market priced in the rate hike, it further expects more from the Bank of England but the bank did not provide some positive statement that put pressure on the pound.

Ultimately, the United States or the United Kingdom will not release any major report. Therefore, consolidation is projected on either side of 1.31 mark throughout the day. The support came in at 1.31 region which is very strong along with sudden bounces which indicates that the pound is not subjected to any decline sooner or later.