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Top 10 Trading Psychology Books

Author: Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

This article is about the Top 10 books on trading psychology. They accumulate the experience and knowledge that have helped many famous market experts to succeed.

The books will provide you with information on trading psychology and some advice that will help you realize what you need to become a successful trader.

1. The New Trading for a Living: Psychology, Discipline, Trading Tools and Systems, Risk Control, Trade Management

Alexander Elder is a PhD in medicine, a professional trader and professor. He is the author of several masterpieces that have become modern classics for traders. Elder used to be a psychiatrist in New York and a professor at the University of Columbia. His experience as a psychiatrist gave him a unique understanding of trading psychology.

The New Trading for a Living teaches a calm and disciplined approached to markets. The book offers several templates for trading plans and estimation of your readiness for trading: all in all, you get knowledge and instruments for developing an individual trading system.

2. Trading in the Zone

Trading in the Zone helps to broaden a beginner’s understanding of work at the market. It provides a comprehensive view of problems that one might face upon accepting a challenge from financial markets.

According to Mark Douglas, the author, success in financial markets needs a special mind frame. Trading in the Zone is based on life-long trading experience of the author and his work as a coach in Chicago.

3. The Psychology of the Foreign Exchange Market

The book by Thomas Oberlechner on Forex psychology is revealing the psychological lining of the currency market. By the author’s theory, the market is not remote from traders; instead, it is their creation that reflects their thoughts, feelings, and ideas.

The author of The Psychology of the Foreign Exchange Market states that fundamental changes in stock markets happen not because of economic conditions but because of some alterations in the collective attitudes to the market.

The language of the book is scientific, with quotes enforcing its ideas. Thomas Oberlechner describes mutually dependent relationships between those who make financial decisions and newsmakers. He points out that the currency market is chiefly managed by the complicated market psychology.

4. Hedgehogging

This book is quite a rare chance to encounter some naked facts about financial markets behind the scenes, diving in the world of Wall Street with the author Barton Biggs.

He describes some features and details of investing, showing how he learned to find and use the best ways of making money. Each chapter of Hedgehogging generously offers dozens of storied from the life of different people who fell prey to their ignorance of trading psychology or arrogance and were punished by the cruel world of market trading.

5. Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience

This book by Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi suggests quite an unusual approach to a person’s emotional life. Though the book is not directly devoted to trading in financial markets, it will definitely be useful for traders.

The research of the Optimal Experience carried put by the author demonstrated that personal efficacy can by enhanced by living in the so-called Flow. People living in the Flow feel lots of pleasure, confidence, and creativity. The author suggests ways of controlling this state of mind.

Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience teaches its readers to sort out the incoming information and to develop their creativity. This book can improve your understanding of how you approach trading and your life.

Closing thoughts

Psychology is a vital intricate part of market trading. To succeed in trading, one needs to know psychology and make use of it. In the article, you can find a Top 10 list of popular books on trading psychology that can help you with it. Clearly, this is quite a subjective set of books, and each trader make have their own view of which books to consider the best.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How can a Trading Style Depend on a Trader’s Temperament?

Author: Vadim Kovalenko

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In their operations, both beginners and experienced traders often face psychological issues. Despite being rather subtle, this aspect of trading is extremely important. Market players try to improve their skills in technical and fundamental analyses, capital and risk management, but suffer losses nonetheless. Of course, post factum mistakes are clear. Most of them are the result of an early exit from the market, a late market entry, or a fear of opening a position in general.

A person makes decisions guided by not only logic but emotions as well. Sooner or later, traders come to a conclusion that they should work on improving both themselves and their psychology. The Internet is already full of advice on what habits one should build and how to discipline oneself but most of them offer to “break” yourself and change radically. As a rule, applying such advice in practice doesn’t result in any success. The reason for that is that a person has several natural dynamic behavior aspects, which build a temperament.

In this article, we’ll talk about temperament and how it can influence a trading style and susceptibility to risks and losses. If you see yourself in any of these descriptions, take it easy, and don’t try to change your attitude to trading right away. First of all, this material is intended for self-analysis and exploring your knowledge about yourself as both a person and a trader.

What is temperament?

Once I was involved in teaching beginner traders and watched them becoming who they wanted to be. It helped me to identify a certain pattern: the most emotional and energetic students tended towards scalping or day-trading, while quieter and calmer ones showed good results in mid-term deals. Tellingly, they did it unconsciously during their classes on demo accounts. I was intrigued by this, that’s why today we’ll talk about temperament. Let’s start with the definition.

Temperament is a set of individual aspects of human psychology, which defines a person’s “modus operandi” in any given situation. The keyword here is a “set”. If we want to define a personality type, we should take into account all responses and processes that form a disposition towards any given behavior model.

When it comes to trading, the most important processes are:

  • Emotional excitement – implies strength and speed of emotions induced by external stimulus.

  • Reaction speed – indicates how quick response is shown. It is often can be detected in the pace of speech.

  • Responsivity – shows how a person responds to external environmental factors.

  • Activity – implies a speed of interaction with the outside world.

  • Rigidity/flexibility – demonstrates a person’s ability to adapt to external influence.

How does a trading style depend on a trader’s temperament?

It’s very important to understand that it’s extremely difficult to find a “clear” temperament type in real life. Quite often, a person has a prevailing type and a slight mixture of others. This is one of the reasons why you shouldn’t consider the descriptions below as guidelines for action first of all, this article is for self-analysis.

Choleric traders

My observations say that choleric traders start trading on an M1 timeframe “ex improviso” without even being slightly prepared. For them, all timeframes longer than H4 are not worth paying attention to.

In the eyes of such traders, a financial market is a kind of gambling, although they often fail to realize that. They easily fall for false promises of win-win trading strategies. The key preference is scalping, while other strategies are not even considered.

In the early days, choleric traders do not consider losses as a reason for stopping and analyzing the situation. On the contrary, losses provide an extra incentive to continue pursuing easy solutions to get profit. More often than not, such pursuits lead to a loss of either interest in trading or a lot of money.

To achieve results, for these traders, it pays to focus on day-trading combines with swing trading. Short-term intraday deals will provide them with necessary adrenaline, while swing trading will help to compensate for losses incurred in ill-considered transactions. The strength of such traders is quick reaction and decision-making, while their weakness is impetuosity, which turns trading into another game of chance.

Sanguine traders

Just like choleric traders, they sometimes are be fascinated by scalping. On the other hand, unlike choleric traders, they are ready for changes and switch to intraday deals much quicker. Due to excessive emotional sensitivity, they may get carried away and spoil all they achieve their monthly results in a couple of days.

It’s difficult for them to maintain mid/long-term positions due to the lack of patience, although they are much more patient than choleric and melancholic traders. Such traders have no problems with swing trading, they often change trading instruments. Sanguine traders are acceptive to losses and failures but lack perseverance in self-improvement.

Phlegmatic traders

Scalping in their early trading days is not a thing for phlegmatic traders; it might be good for them after, let’s say, 5 years of active practice. False promises of fantastic profits may force them to waste time studying scalping strategies (luckily, they are very persistent) but their low response rate won’t let them make quick decisions necessary for this trading method.

Phlegmatic traders can find more success in swing trading and they can also make decent mid/long-term investors. As a rule, phlegmatic people are very good in this area.

Melancholic traders


Melancholic traders are recommended to avoid any active trading. A good option for them is to focus on long-term investments from 1 year. The key principle is to check the terminal as seldom as possible and spend more time on sharpening skills in macroeconomic analysis. Stresses are very harmful to melancholic traders and make them want to leave the market.

Such people are very sensitive to losses, can waste a lot of time in “drawdown”, and go up in smoke eventually. Therefore, their time on the market is rather short: after incurring a loss or losing their entire deposit, melancholic traders usually decide not to be engaged in trading activities.

Closing thoughts

Our psychological reactions to market events directly depend on our temperament type. Most people come in trading being adults when this part of their personality is impossible to change.

Consider a temperament type when choosing a trading strategy? Definitively yes. Define your future trading career using the temperament alone? No, for sure. Don’t forget that any strategies should be tested on a demo account first and only after that applied to real trading.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Use Euronis: Settings and Testing

Author: Timofey Zuev

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Today we will get acquainted with Euronis, a scalper that does not use averaging, but has some smart money management techniques. Euronis is a high-frequency trading algorithm that uses a popular technique such as "trading from price channel boundaries".

When to use Euronis

The use of price levels in trading is one of the most popular tactics in trading and not only in the foreign exchange market. A price level is a certain price of a financial asset, which for one reason or another is considered important to the market or to a particular trader. With this level in mind he tries to enter the market.

Price levels can be calculated using an algorithm, formula or historical data. They can also be used in trading in different ways, either on a breakout or a rebound.

The idea behind Euronis is that it only trades on rebound levels and only during quiet times, i.e. during the Pacific session, when market fluctuations are minimal. During the night, it is less likely that the price will change sharply. This allows the price corridor boundaries to be defined more accurately and trades to be closed with profits more often.

The Euronis advisor can also be used at any other time, but the developer does not recommend it.

What are the technical features of Euronis advisor?

The initial deposit size can be chosen according to your trading style, so all other parameters should be adjusted according to your trading balance.

Leverage should be set as high as possible, usually from 1:100 and above. Such leverage will be needed in case of a drawdown, when Euronis will need all the funds to be able to trade further.

Both major currency pairs and cross rates are suitable for trading. The former are EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF and USD/CAD, the latter are EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, CAD/CHF, EUR/CAD, GBP/CAD and GBP/CHF. It is recommended to trade on the M15 timeframe.

Euronis has a very interesting feature that allows you to trade cross rates through the American dollar. For example, you set Euronis on the EUR/CHF pair and activate the "trade via USD" function. In this case, Euronis will open corresponding positions on pairs that have USD in them, namely EUR/USD and USD/CHF. This method saves a lot on spread, which is very important for scalping.

How to test and optimise Euronis

Fully testing and optimising all the copies of Euronis would have taken a long time, so we settled on the oldest version available to us.

Euronis has enough recommended instruments to trade, so to save time we tested only the major currency pairs.

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Testing Euronis on EUR/USD

We can see that the pound was tested with the best result, although the euro is considered the most popular trading instrument. Therefore, we performed optimization on the same section of the chart, but we only touched those parameters, which are responsible for the trading algorithm - SettingsNumber, LowRiskSettingsNumber and TimeRiskFactor.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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RoboForex became the Official sponsor of Club Cienciano

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Dear Clients and Partners,

We are proud to announce that RoboForex became the Official sponsor of Club Cienciano in the 2022/23 seasons. This team with over 100 years of history was founded by a group of students of the National Science School of Cusco (Peru), and has gradually become a significant part of Latin American football.

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Football and trading

Trading and football are similar in many aspects – the fast rhythm, the competitiveness, and the participants’ drive and determination to break new grounds and reach new heights. Just like football fans want to root for an ambitious team with great history, so do investors who look for a reliable broker with dynamically developing products.

RoboForex and Cienciano are experienced winners with many more new achievements to strive for.

Join the winners!

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Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Three Indicators Trading Strategy: Detailed Description

Author: Andrey Goilov

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Today we're going to talk about the Three Indicators strategy. It's based on the use of tools such as the Accelerator Oscillator, the Awesome Oscillator, and the Parabolic SAR.

The idea is to try to catch the beginning of an impulse, and earn money on this movement. Trading is done only on the major currency pairs, and on an hourly timeframe.

We will show you how to combine signals from the three indicators, in an attempt to catch the beginning of an impulse long before it forms a reversal on the price chart. We will study the intricacies of this procedure, and detail the rules for opening and closing positions.

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How to set up the three indicators

The processing of signals according to the "Three Indicators" strategy could take hours or days. It all depends on the size of the potential profit: the bigger it is, the higher the risk and the longer the waiting time.

Now let's talk about the indicators:

1. The Awesome Oscillator is used with standard parameters. Traders note its similarity to the MACD indicator: it shows the difference between simple moving averages with periods of 34 and 5. It is represented by a histogram that changes colour when moving averages are crossed, with green indicating an uptrend, and red a downtrend.

2. The Accelerator Oscillator is also added with the standard parameters. It is calculated taking into account the values of the Awesome Oscillator and displays the acceleration and deceleration of the driving force. In most cases, traders trade in the direction of the histogram: if its colour is red – you should not buy, if it is green – do not consider selling.

3. The Parabolic SAR represents points that are above or below the price. The trend is said to be upward as long as the dots are below the price chart. If the price breaks through the indicator and a point appears above, then the trend changes downward, which means you should sell. Often traders use the Parabolic SAR to place a floating Stop Loss: if the indicator point is broken by the price, this means the market is changing direction, and the trade should be closed.

An example of buying with the Three Indicators strategy

Consider the situation on the EUR/USD chart on 3 October 2022. On a large bullish candlestick, the Parabolic SAR has positioned a point below the indicator chart. The Awesome Oscillator and Accelerator Oscillator histogram bars immediately became green on two indicators, so we mark the candlestick as the "signal".

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We open the trade at the opening of the next candlestick at 18:00 at 0.9813. We set the Stop Loss below the level of the "signal" candlestick at the price of 0.9756. Take Profit is equal to the Stop Loss size of 57 points, and set at 0.9870. The profit made 57 points; the price reached this target within 16 hours.

If the second variant of trade closing had been applied, when it was necessary to wait for the Awesome Oscillator and Accelerator Oscillator histogram bars to change colour from green to red, then the trade would have had to be closed at the price of 0.9819. The profit would be only six points.

Example of a Three Indicator Strategy sale

Let's look at the EUR/USD chart for 26 January 2022. The price had been declining for some time, but could not leave the limits of the sideways correction. The support level of 1.1260 is broken and a signal from the Parabolic SAR is formed: a point appears above the price chart.

On the Awesome Oscillator and Accelerator Oscillator, the bar graphs have changed colour from green to red. Mark this candlestick as the "signal" candlestick. We can open a deal when the next candlestick opens at 1.1254 at 22:00 terminal time

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Use Interest Compounding Calculator

Author: Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

interest calculator. Let's take a closer look at this tool. Let's find out what it is, where and how it is used, and look at examples of its use.

What is compound interest?

Compound interest in finance is interest income accrued on deposits or investments, taking into account interest previously accumulated for previous periods. Financiers use another term – capitalisation of interest. Although the field of application of compound interest is much broader than capital accumulation, it is still the most popular in this segment.

Compound interest on a deposit with capitalisation can be calculated daily, monthly, quarterly, and yearly. If not paid out, it can be added to the interest deposit amount to accrue a larger amount in the next period. Thus, the essence of compound interest is that the calculation base increases with time.

This scheme is also sometimes called "interest on interest". Compound interest multiplies capital at an accelerated rate. The longer the periods in which it is compounded, the greater the return. Combining compound interest with regular investments over a long period of time is a highly effective way of preserving and increasing capital.

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Why use a compound interest calculator?

The calculation of compound interest (accruing income with constant reinvestment) is a complex mathematical operation. The formula for the calculation is as follows:

A = P(1+r/n)^nt

In the formula:

  • A is the future amount of capital, including accrued interest

  • P is the principal amount of the investment

  • r is the interest rate (decimal)

  • n is the number of interest accruals per period

  • t is the number of periods in which funds are invested

The formula is not the easiest to calculate, so if you want to avoid making a mistake, you'd better use a tool to help you: a compound interest calculator.

If, on the other hand, you're not afraid of errors and only need to calculate an approximate return on compound interest, the "Rule of 72" can help. We talked about it earlier in one of our articles.

Nevertheless, for an accurate and detailed calculation, it is recommended that you use the above tool. It is essentially an investment calculator that helps to calculate the potential return on investment. It can be used to calculate daily, monthly or yearly interest. This versatile tool can be used in many ways, including as a forex interest calculator.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Scalping Strategy with EMA

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Dear Clients and Partners,

This article is a review of a trading strategy based on a combination of moving averages under - "Scalping Strategy with EMA". Its tactics imply quickly closing profitable positions on minute and five-minute charts. For such active work we need tools with minimal spreads. Every point of profit is important, therefore the major currency pairs EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD are used.

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The strategy will clearly show how to combine signals from three moving averages with different periods, the total number of which on the chart will be 38. We will detail the rules for opening positions, adding to the short term trend and closing options.

Adding Scalping Strategy Indicators with EMA

Only EMA indicators with different periods should be added to the chart. Traders usually use this tool to determine the trend on the market - if the price is above the EMA line, then the trend is bullish and a buy is anticipated. If the price is under the EMA line, then it is a bearish trend and you are supposed to sell.

The very crossing of the lines of the indicator will also give a signal to open positions, if the EMA with a smaller period crosses the EMA with a larger period downwards - it is a signal for the development of the downward movement. If there is a crossing of EMA with a smaller period and EMA with a larger period from the bottom upwards - it is a signal for an upward movement.

Often, even a test of the EMA line signals an imminent breakaway from it and the continuation of the existing trend. In our case, 38 lines of the EMA indicator will form support and resistance areas on the chart, the test of which the price will be a signal to open a position.

How to open a buy position on an EMA scalping strategy

The rules of the strategy imply several options for opening buy positions. For example, if a trend is developing, the tactic allows you to work in the direction of this trend, instead of just entering only at the beginning of its formation. This is a significant advantage of the scalping strategy, because you do not have to wait for the trend to change, just identify the trend and work according to the proposed rules.

Let's look at the basic rules for opening a long position on the M1 chart:

The first long position is opened when the purple EMA lines cross the green EMA lines from top to bottom.

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Conclusion

The EMA scalping strategy is a unique tactic where 38 indicators are used at once. The entry rules are quite simple, although they differ from the usual use of moving averages. In this strategy, a sell position is opened when the fast EMA crosses the slow one from the bottom upwards. A buy position is opened when the fast one crosses the slow one from above downwards.

The strategy also provides an opportunity to work in the direction of the prevailing trend, which is a significant plus, because there is no need to wait for a trend change to open positions. On the downside, it should be noted that the size of the Stop Loss is somewhat disappointing, as it turns out to be larger than Take Profit, which is not always right from the risk management point of view.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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NYSE — Probably Main Stock Market

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Dear Clients and Partners,

A stock exchange is a platform where market players can buy and sell securities and commodities. One of the oldest and largest stock exchanges in the US is the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). It opened in 1792.

Today daily turnovers reach billions USD, and total capitalisation of securities is over 27 trillion USD. Some calculations say that more than 65% of all trades with stocks happen in NYSE.

Today we suggest finding out some interest facts from the history of the exchange and discussing why traders worldwide keep a close eye on its activities.

How NYSE appeared

The story of NYSE started with signing the Buttonwood Agreement by which 24 brokers formed an investing society with only 2 rules to follow. They had to trade only between each other and pay a small fee for each such trade.

The first kind of an office was a coffee shop called Tontine Coffee House. There they traded stocks but only by barter method. 25 years later, the society decided to let other players to their trades. All trades went to the exchange that goes on this way these days.

Main facts in NYSE history

In spring 1817 the New York Stock Exchange and its inner Exchange Council elected Anthony Stockholm as President of the organisation. Every morning he opened trades and showed the list of shares available for buying and selling: let me remind you that initially only five companies traded in the exchange.

The new stage of development began in 1837, when telegraph was invented. Brokers grasped at the idea fast and dragged the telegraph line everywhere possible. The goal was facilitating instant exchange of information for making trading decisions faster.

The first exchange ticket appeared in NYSE in 1867. An American Telegraph employee designed a special machine that emissed paper stripes with description of trades. These papers were sent by managers via pneumatic pipes to typewriters, and they sent the info to brokers by telegraph. Only after this process investors got valid share prices.

The first stock index — the Dow Jones Transportation Average — appeared in summer 1884. It included 9 main transport companies in the US, and calculations for the index were made by the Dow Jones company founder and Wall Street Journal editor Charles Dow. He used to analyse market behaviour actively and designed the theory that tech analysis is now based on.

During World War I that began in 1914 NYSE was shut down. Foreign investors were looking for money for military purposes and massively sold their assets in exchanges. At that time the Dow Jones index lost more than 12%, and trades were closed to avoid more crashing.

This was the longest shut-down in the history of the platform: it took about 4 months. On the opening day, the index dropped even lower. The shut-down did not save the idex from falling but we can only guess how much deeper it could have fallen.

This was not the last major falling of the stock major: on 19 October 1987 Dow Jones again lost more than 22%, and this day got the name of the Black Monday

How NYSE works

A part of trades is done not just by computers but also by people: up to 1,000 brokers work at the exchange every day. This hybrid method of work remained only there — on other platforms everything is automatic. Trade is open on weekdays, from 9:30 to 16:00.

An interesting tradition is the signal for closing trades: they ring a bell. Previously it was a large gong used for notifying brokers and dealers about the beginning of work but in 1903 it was replaced by an electronically controlled brass bell.

Ringing the bell in NYSE became a symbolic act. Representatives of companies that are just beginning to trade in NYSE get the honor to ring it.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Trade the Bat Pattern

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this review we will get acquainted with the popular harmonic pattern "Bat". We will learn how to find it on the price chart and what trading signals it gives. We will consider the rules and examples of its formation.

Description of the “Bat” pattern

The harmonic Bat pattern is a 5-point graphical pattern formed by taking into account certain Fibonacci ratios. It was introduced by Scott Carney in 2001. The figure has a similar structure to the Gartley's Butterfly, but they differ in Fibonacci ratios.

It has five points (X, A, B, C and D) and four price swings (XA, AB, BC and CD). The last point in the pattern is D, which is a potential reversal zone. Its appearance is seen as a signal to open buy or sell positions.

This chart pattern is formed on a variety of timeframes. Often it represents a correction area, after the end of which the preceding trend is likely to continue. For more reliable signals, this pattern can be used in conjunction with classic means of technical analysis - trend lines, support and resistance levels.

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Rules for shaping the “Bat” pattern

Like many other harmonic patterns, the Bat is defined by Fibonacci ratios. There are automated ways to find this pattern on the chart - special indicators. But you can also determine it yourself, knowing the rules of formation:

  • XA is the first impulse of the price movement on the chart.

  • AB - correction from the first XA movement, ranging from 38.2% to 50%.

  • BC - can range from 38.2% to 88.6% of the wavelength of AB.

  • CD, the final wave, is an extension of 161.8% to 261.8% of the BC section and ends at about the 88.6% correction level of the XA wave.

  • The emergence of the D-point is the final stage of formation.

How a bullish Bat pattern is formed

  • Wave XA is formed as a result of an upward price impulse.

  • The price then reverses in AB and corrects from 38.2% to 50% of the XA segment.

  • On the BC section, price reverses again and rises to 38.2-88.6% of the AB wave.

  • In the final CD phase, the price reverses downwards and reaches approximately 88.6% of the first XA impulse.

  • After the formation of the pattern, quotes are expected to rise from point D.

Rules for trading the bullish Bat pattern

  • A buy position can be opened once the D-point has been formed and quotations have started to reverse upwards.

  • The Stop Loss should be placed just below the pattern low at point X.

  • The Take Profit can be based on the B point, the C point or the maximum value of the pattern at the A point.

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Example of bullish trading in the Bat pattern

A pattern has formed on the H1 chart of the GBP/USD currency pair. After the start of the upward movement from point D, a buy position can be opened. Stop Loss is placed just below point X, profit taking targets are points A, B, C and higher if there is a strong upward movement.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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RoboForex: upcoming changes to the trading schedule in view of Thanksgiving holiday in the US

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Dear Clients and Partners,

We are informing you that changes will be made to the trading schedule due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the US.

This schedule is for informational purposes only and may be subject to further change.

MetaTrader 4 / MetaTrader 5 platforms

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US indices (US30Cash, US500Cash, and USTECHCash) and CFD on the Japanese index JP225Cash

  • 24 November 2022 – trading stops at 7:40 PM server time.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on Metals (XAUUSD and XAGUSD) and CFDs on oil (Brent and WTI)

  • 24 November 2022 – trading stops at 7:40 PM server time.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US stocks

  • 24 November 2022 – no trading.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

R StocksTrader platform

Schedule for trading on US stocks and ETFs

  • 24 November 2022 – no trading.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US stocks and ETFs

  • 24 November 2022 – no trading.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on US indices (US500, US30, and NAS100)

  • 24 November 2022 – no trading.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

Schedule for trading on CFDs on Metals (XAUUSD and XAGUSD) and CFDs on oil (WTI.oil, BRENT.oil)

  • 24 November 2022 – trading stops at 7:40 PM server time.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

cTrader platform

Schedule for trading on CFDs on Metals (XAUUSD and XAGUSD)

  • 24 November 2022 – trading stops at 7:40 PM server time.

  • 25 November 2022 – trading stops at 8:00 PM server time.

Please take note of the above trading schedule changes when planning your trading activity.

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Is the Interest Rate Growth Cycle Coming to an End?

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Market participants expect that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy tightening cycle is coming to an end. The US inflation rate eased to 7.7% in October, further strengthening the belief that the regulator's head, Jerome Powell, will soften his rhetoric. Against this background, the S&P 500 index (US500) is up 15% in two months.

Is there really any reason for optimism? In this article, we will try to analyse what is happening to the US economy now, what parameters Mr. Powell is focusing on, why the inflation rate fell in October, and whether there is a chance that this dynamic will continue in the future.

What parameters does Jerome Powell monitor?

After the COVID-19 pandemic crisis, we saw a sharp rise in inflation. At the time, many investors were saying that it was time to raise the interest rate, otherwise, it would not be possible to control inflation with monetary means.

In his speeches, Jerome Powell said that inflation is temporary, there is no need to rush to tighten the monetary policy, and the interest rate hike will start after unemployment has fallen to 2019 levels.

In March 2022, the unemployment rate fell to 3.8% in line with pre-crisis levels, and the Fed started a cycle of interest rate hikes already in April.

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Many market participants are now wondering when the Fed will bring its monetary policy tightening cycle to an end. On 3 November, Jerome Powell said: "Before rates peak, we need to see a sustained decline in inflation and a series of declining monthly figures will be good evidence of that. Continued rate hikes will be needed to have a sufficiently restrictive effect on the economy and bring inflation back to the Fed's 2% target."

This means that one month's data would not change anything, while all the attention of the head of the regulatory body is currently not on the labour market, but on the inflation rate.

Has the US economy suffered from the Fed’s actions?

A further interest rate hike could bring down the US economy – this is the view increasingly being relayed by the media. If we look at the rate increase, it has risen from 0.25% to 4% in 7 months. Such an increase was only seen in the 1970s during the economic crisis, which was accompanied by high inflation.

The first thing we will look at when seeking to find out whether the US economy has been hurt by the Fed's actions is the labour market. Yes, large companies – like Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META), Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA), and Snap Inc. (NYSE: SNAP) – have reported layoffs, but if we take a look at the number of layoffs in the country, we can see that the figure has been declining since 2021.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Trade With the ABCD Pattern

Author: Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this review, we will get acquainted with the ABCD harmonic pattern. We will take a look at how it is formed, and how it can be used in trading. We will tell you what tools you will need to find it on the chart.

What is the ABCD pattern in trading?

ABCD is one of the simplest harmonic patterns. It has only four points (A, B, C, and D) and three price swings (AB, BC, and CD). It looks like a diagonal lightning bolt on the price chart. The last point, D, is formed in the model, which is a potential reversal zone. Its appearance is considered a signal to open buy or sell positions.

The ABCD trading pattern in trading is a three-wave correction, after which the price movement towards the main trend can continue.
Stages of pattern formation

AB is the first movement impulse in the pattern

  • BC is a 61.8-78.6% Fibonacci retracement of AB

  • CD is the final wave. It is an expansion of 127.2-161.8% Fibonacci from the BC segment and should be roughly equal to the AB impulse

  • D is the last point of the pattern, and once it has been formed, the quotes are expected to reverse

  • The ABCD pattern is relevant for the Forex, stock, commodities, and other financial markets. It gives signals for both buy and sell trading. It is suitable for trading in all market conditions (range, uptrends, and downtrends) and in different time frames.

https://blog.roboforex.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/ABCD-1-768x533.jpg

How an ABCD bullish pattern is formed

  • The first impulse of the AB price movement is downwards

  • In the BC section, the price reverses and rises to 61.8-78.6% of AB

  • On the final stretch CD, the price reverses downwards and reaches 127.2-161.8% of the BC wave. The CD segment should be approximately equal to the first AB impulse

  • Once the pattern is formed, quotes are expected to rise from point D

Rules for trading the bullish ABCD pattern

  • A buy position can be opened once the D-point has been formed and quotations have started to reverse upwards

  • The Stop Loss should be placed just below the pattern low at point D

  • Take Profit can be based on the C point or the maximum value of the pattern at A

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Main Order Types on MetaTrader

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

This overview is devoted to the main types of orders used on MetaTrader platforms. Orders serve to open and close positions, limit losses and take the profit.

Main order types in trading

For trading in financial markets, there are two main types of orders used:

Market order is the simplest and most understandable of all. This is an order to sell or buy the asset at the current market price immediately. The priority of the order is obligatory execution, if only there is enough liquidity in the market. Positions open (or close) at once. When volatility is high, so-called "slips" occur, which means the actual execution price differs from the Bid or Ask price at the ordering moment.

Limit order is an order to sell or buy the asset at the specified price. Limit orders will not allow making trades at a worse price than said in the order, yet it is not guaranteed that the order will be executed. In other words, the order will be executed only if there is the limit (or best) price in the market. If otherwise, the order will not be executed.

Based on these two orders, there have been creates several order types on MetaTrader platforms. On other platforms, things might work differently.

Opening orders

Buy Limit

This is a limit order to buy the asset at a price no worse than the specified one. Also, this order can be used when you need to limit the price of a not most liquid asset you are buying.

For example, when Brent oil price is $80, while the trader wants it cheaper — at $70 — they can place a pending Buy Limit order at the desirable price level. The position will open as soon as the Ask price reaches the specified level.

Sell Limit

This is a limit order to sell the asset at a price no lower than the one set in the order. This type can be used when you need to limit the selling price of a non-liquid asset.

For example, if gold now costs $1,800, and the trader wants to sell it when the price reaches $2,000, they can place a Sell Limit order at this level. As soon as the Bid price reaches the desired level, a selling position will open.

Closing orders

After a position is open, the trader needs to specify its closing conditions. As a rule, there are two options: Take Profit for a price going as forecast and Stop Loss for a price going against the trader.

Take Profit

Take Profit is a pending order that closes the position without trader's participation. A placed order automatically closes a gaining position as soon as the price reaches the specified level.

For example, the trader buys Brent oil at $70 and expects it to grow to $100 in the nearest future, where they will close the position with a profit. Hence, they can place a Take Profit at $100, and the position will close automatically, as soon as the quotations reach the level.

Margin Call and Stop Out

There are also such important phenomena as Margin Call and Stop Out.

Margin Call

This is a notification by which the broker informs the trader that due to the current losses in all open positions the money on the account is not enough to sustain those positions. The trader then needs either to deposit their account or close some of the positions, otherwise a Stop Out might follow.

Stop Out

Stop Out means forced closing of losing positions by the broker at the current market price when the ratio of the trader's capital to margin reaches a critical level (set by the broker). After the positions close, the trader's deposit will get corrected according to the losses they suffered. Losing positions will keep closing until the said ratio exceeds the Stop Out level.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to trade the Right Moment strategy

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this review we will look at the "Right Moment" indicator strategy. It is based on identifying and using overbought and oversold zones in trading. How to set up the indicators, and buy and sell using the strategy – find the answers to these questions and examples in our article.

Description of the “Right Moment” strategy

The "Right Moment" strategy is mainly designed to be used in a flat, sideways market movement. It requires the price to be in a limited sideways range for at least a week.

The strategy is based on signals from the Bollinger Bands trend indicator and two oscillators - Williams' Percent Range and Relative Strength Index (RSI). It can be used for trading different financial instruments. The recommended time frames are M15 and H1.

The "Right Moment" uses overbought and oversold zones to search for trading signals. They describe short-term extreme deviations of market instrument prices from average values: overbought - too high, oversold - too low. These zones are identified by the Williams' Percent Range and RSI oscillators.

Complementing the strategy is the use of the rebound of quotations from the outer limits of the Bollinger Bands indicator channel, which act as dynamic support or resistance levels. These boundaries serve as a reference point for opening and closing positions according to the strategy. The combined use of the signals of the three indicators is designed to help find promising trades in the market.

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How to set up indicators for trading the “Right Moment” strategy

To search for trading signals using the "Right Moment" strategy, you need to install three indicators - Williams' Percent Range, Relative Strength Index and Bollinger Bands - on the chart of a financial instrument. In popular MT4 and MT5 trading platforms, you can install indicators on the chart through the main menu: Insert / Indicators.

In their settings window, select the following options

  • Bollinger Bands: period 20, deviation 2.

  • Williams' Percent Range: period 25. The overbought and oversold zones are set at -20 and -80, respectively.

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI): period 5. The overbought and oversold zones are set at 70 and 30, respectively.

https://blog.roboforex.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/RightMoment-2-1455x828.png

How to buy with the “Right Moment” strategy

The conditions for opening a buy position:

  1. The Williams' Percent Range and RSI indicators should fall into oversold territory, below -80 and 30 levels respectively.

  2. When the RSI crosses the 30 line upwards, there should be a confirmation from Williams: the indicator line crosses the -80 line upwards. At this point the price should be near the bottom of the Bollinger Bands channel.

  3. A buy position is opened and the Stop Loss is set at the local low on the price chart. Loss is somewhat disappointing, as it turns out to be larger than Take Profit, which is not always right from the risk management point of view.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Create an Investment Portfolio on Forex?

Author : Anna Rostova

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Dear Clients and Partners,

How to become an investor? Where to start and what is an investment portfolio? Let’s try to see into the matter and find out what exactly a person, who decided to start investing, should do.

An investment portfolio is a set of financial instruments. The purpose of acquiring such instruments is of course making profit in the future. Options, stocks, futures, metals, real estate, currencies, and many other assets – all of them can be considered as financial instruments.

The purpose of any investor is getting maximum profit while incurring minimum risks. Unfortunately, it doesn’t always happen this way. In order to balance possible profit and losses, investors diversify their assets, which means that they don’t invest all their money in one particular instrument, and allocate their funds into several different items.

Investment portfolio on Forex

For example, we’ve decided to create an investment portfolio using the instruments traded on the forex market (it’s possible and happens quite often). What we do in this case is the following: decide on the invested sum and the profit we’d like to receive, and then explore, explore, and once again explore all available options.

Let’s get into more details. First of all, we must decide on the amount of funds we’d like to invest in this project and the amount of profit we’d like to receive. It makes sense to set minimum thresholds and not try to get all at once. There are several types of investment portfolios, with the most popular being conservative and aggressive. The first one implies getting a small positive result with minimum (if possible) risks. One shouldn’t expect this investment portfolio type to yield extra high profit – your profit will increase slowly. The second type is an aggressive investing, which may earn you a lot of money, but risks and possible losses in this case are much higher as well.

When investing in instruments of the currency market, investors supposedly create an aggressive type of portfolio. It happens because most of currencies and metals are highly volatile, in other words, their prices are very mobile and this fact can be successfully used to get investment revenue.

Creating a portfolio

Now let’s try to figuratively group several instruments for our portfolio. Of course, it will be approximate, because all investors have their own preferences. First off, we should start with those currency pairs, which are trading at lows: they are more likely to grow than those trading close to highs. When it comes to investments, it might be better to buy than sell.

After that, one should take the correlation into account, which is the way how currency pair movements depend on each other. From this point of view, it might be dangerous and unwise to buy two instruments that are trading in almost the same direction, because if they start falling, your losses may be doubled. On the other hand, buying two instruments that are moving in different directions might be rather dangerous and risky as well. For instance, in most cases EUR/USD and GBP/USD are moving in the same direction, so if we buy them in the same volume, both pairs will simultaneously be either profitable or loss-making. In this light, opening positions in these instruments in different directions is not a good idea, as the profit received from one of the pairs will only compensate losses incurred from the other one.

Long-term investments

So, what should we do then? The most viable option will be creating a long-term investment portfolio with currency pairs or metals, which are not correlated to each other. For this purpose, one may use cross rates as well, despite their spreads being quite wide. However, it won’t matter much for long-term or mid-term investments.

After your investment portfolio is created, it’s necessary to decide how to allocate your invested money, in percentage terms. For instance, you may equally divide your money into all instruments or invest more funds in some particular ones. In each case, investors make their own decisions, because there is no any universal schemes for this.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Trade the Crab Pattern

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this review we will get acquainted with the harmonic Crab pattern. We will consider the stages of its formation on the price chart, and the strategy for its use in trading. We will compare it with the Deep Sea Crab pattern.

What is the Crab pattern?

This harmonic pattern was introduced to the trading community by Scott Carney in 2000. Its structure is very similar to many popular harmonic patterns, including the famous "Gartley’s Butterfly". The difference is in the different Fibonacci ratios: in the hero of our material, the final segment has a longer extension.

The harmonic Crab pattern consists of five points (X, A, B, C and D) and four price swings (XA, AB, BC and CD). The last one is formed by the point D, which is a potential reversal area. Its appearance is considered as a signal to open the positions for buying or selling. The appearance of the pattern on the chart signals the end of the current price impulse and the forthcoming reversal.

Stages of formation

  • XA is the first impulse of the price movement on the chart.

  • AB is the correction from the first XA movement, ranging from 38.2% to 61.8%.

  • BC - can range from 38.2% to 88.6% of the length of AB.

  • CD, the longest wave, ends around the 161.8% retracement level of XA and is an extension of 224-361.8% of VS.

  • Point D is the final stage of formation.

A pattern can form on different timeframes. It can often represent a correction area, after the end of which the preceding trend is likely to continue. Relevant for trading in forex, stock, commodities and other financial markets.

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How a bullish Crab pattern is formed

  • The first impulse of the XA price movement is upward.

  • On the AB section, the price reverses and declines by 38.2-61.8% from XA.

  • On the BC section, the price reverses again and rises to 38.2-88.6% of AB.

  • On the CD, the price is actively declining and reaches about 161.8% of the XA. This is the longest wave.

  • After the formation of the D-point, an upwards reversal and a further rise is expected.

How to trade the bullish Crab pattern

  • A buy position can be opened once the D-point has been formed and quotes have shown an upward reversal.

  • The Stop Loss is placed just below the pattern low at point D.

  • The points X, B, C and the maximum of the model at point A can be used for Take Profit.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Trading on Forex – A Primary Source of Income

Author: Dmitriy Gurkovskiy

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Dear Clients and Partners,

There are a lot of discussions about trading within the boundlessness of the Internet, both in conventional businesses and state-financed organizations. People say and write a lot of different things. More often than not, they are sure that trading can’t be regarded as a primary source of income. Arguments in these judgment call are as follows: “No matter how professional, cold-blooded, or wise you are, all these personal qualities won’t help you if markets don’t give you a chance to earn money, because markets offer such chances only at some particular periods of time. And if you trade every day, you are doomed to failure.”

Forex stereotypes

Many people have similar views on the matter and say that trading may be considered only as some kind of a part-time activity in addition to one’s main day job, occupation or business, because like we’ve said before, markets offer chances to earn money only at some particular short periods of time, while the rest of the time is simply wasted. According to these discussions, to avoid wasting time one should think of trading as a secondary activity (income, earnings) or get a job at brokers, investments/asset management, etc. Independent, so called home-made, traders and investors are foretold only falling into a decline or losing all their money and going broke.

Of course, you can agree or disagree with this opinion, it’s your private stance. However, no one prohibits you to think of about a possibility of turning your personal trading activities on global financial market into something more than just a leisure, an opportunity to earn 100 extra bucks into a real business or a job that earns you considerable money. That’s why, I suggest you to decide on your approach to trading, its daily schedule, and the level of income you want to get from it to cover all your subsistence needs, because these are the criteria that you usually follow when starting your own business or applying for a job.

And of course, you have to make up your mind about an average weekly/monthly income. Probably, the income level issue may be the most essential for many of people, but it shouldn’t become a “stumbling block”, because trading is a complex matter, not a complexing one. Also, this issue may bring down to earth some beginners, who want to start trading with 100 USD and expecting to see 1,000 USD on their account balance at the end of the month. Yes, the reality is that stability and longevity on the market are controlled by modesty and common sense.

Trading system

Well, first things come first. If you plan a steady monthly income of 1,000-2,000 USD, you must have 10,000-20,000 USD on your account balance on the first day of trading. Of course, this level of income is possible if you trade very carefully and in a risk averse way. If you’re more advanced in risk management, you can start trading with 5,000 USD and hope for 1,000-1,500 USD a month. In other words, this is a basis for “home/couch” trading. Still, you must always remember that your entire work should be based directly on your trading system! It means that your trading system should adapt to all periods of market activity and earn 40-50 pips every day. Given this, we can assume that a daytrader’s standard trading volume is 0.2-0.4 lots.

Yes, it can! Your task reduces to find and track a trading instrument that can match this speed and distance and then just copy successful trades/deals. At the same time, you should realize that not all deals will be profitable, that’s why think of increasing profitable periods to cover losses suffered during drawdowns. If you survive this rhythm/schedule for at least 6 months, you can count on a glittering future and start your career as an asset management company in CopyFX and RAMM. You can create trader communities to attract investors and manage big money. This scaling, if not to say socializing, method, will help you to avoid risks of asocial burnout due to lack of social communication, which is a very common thing for retail traders and investors.

Conclusion

To put it shortly, one can draw the following conclusion: it is possible to turn trading into a primary source of income if you create your own strategy and abide by its rules. However, if you don’t have what it takes yet, I mean strategy, knowledge, skills, money, don’t rush to quit your job. Just continue practicing, accumulate experience and money.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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RoboForex: changes to the trading schedule in view of the Christmas and New Year holidays

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Dear Clients and Partners,

We are informing you that there will be some changes to the trading schedule during the Christmas and New Year holidays.

This schedule is for informational purposes only and may be subject to further change.

MetaTrader 4 / MetaTrader 5 platforms

Schedule for trading on DE40Cash

  • 26 December 2022 – no trading

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading CFDs on US stocks

  • 26 December 2022 – no trading

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 2 January 2023 – no trading

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on other instruments

  • 26 December 2022 – trading starts at 10:00 AM, server time

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 1 January 2023 – no trading

  • 2 January 2023 – trading as usual (cryptocurrencies)

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual (all instruments)

R StocksTrader platform

Schedule for trading on GER40

  • 26 December 2022 – no trading

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on UK stocks and UK100 index

  • 24 December 2022 – trading stops at 2:30 PM, server time

  • 26 December 2022 – no trading

  • 27 December 2022 – no trading

  • 28 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 30 December 2022 – trading stops at 2:30 PM, server time

  • 2 January 2023 – no trading

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on German stocks

  • 26 December 2022 – no trading

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 30 December 2022 – trading stops at 3:00 PM, server time

  • 31 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 2 January 2023 – no trading

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on Austrian stocks

  • 26 December 2022 – no trading

  • 27 December 2022 – trading stops at 3:15 PM, server time

  • 28 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 2 January 2023 – no trading

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on CFDs on EU stocks

  • 26 December 2022 – no trading

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 2 January 2023 – no trading

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual

Schedule for trading on other instruments (including CFDs on cryptocurrencies)

  • 26 December 2022 – trading starts at 10:00 AM, server time

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 1 January 2023 – no trading

  • 2 January 2023 – trading as usual (cryptocurrencies)

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual (all instruments)

cTrader platform

Schedule for trading on all instruments

  • 26 December 2022 – trading starts at 10:00 AM, server time

  • 27 December 2022 – trading as usual

  • 1 January 2023 – no trading

  • 2 January 2023 – no trading

  • 3 January 2023 – trading as usual

Please take note of the above trading schedule changes when planning your trading activity.

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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What is the Cost-of-Living Index?

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this article, we will look at the Cost-of-living index (COLI), and find out what it is useful for. We will look at what items of expenditure it takes into account, how it is calculated, and how it differs from the Consumer price index (CPI).

What is the cost-of-living index?

The Cost-of-living index (COLI) is a price index that captures changes in the relative cost of living over time and across regions. It characterises changes in the prices of consumer goods and services in relation to a fixed set of goods and services that make up the basket of goods and services for certain categories of the population.

COLI is an estimate of how much money a person needs to live in a certain place. It is therefore a widely used indicator to compare living standards in different regions.

The index is not an official government statistic but is calculated by various private companies around the world. This indicator can help a person determine whether the income or wages they receive are sufficient to cover basic expenses where they want to live and work.

How the cost-of-living index is calculated

There are many different methodologies that have been developed to calculate the cost of living index. The general formula compares the costs to the consumer of one year's prices with the equivalent costs of another year's prices. In a simplified format, it looks like this:

P = C(u,p1) / C(u,p0)

  • P is the cost-of-living index

  • C(u,p1) is the cost to the consumer for a given set of prices p1

  • C(u,p0) is the cost to the consumer for a given set of prices p0

Many COLI calculations use a "base" cost of living, which is usually taken as 100. This base can be the cost of living in Chicago, for example, or an average of several regions. Other regions are measured in relation to the baseline. If it is 20% more expensive on average to live in New York than in the "base" city, the COLI for New York would be 120.

It is also important to consider the average income for the chosen region. For example, a city in the south of the US may have a lower cost of living than most cities on the east or west coasts. However, the average income in that southern city may be lower than the cost of living there.

https://blog.roboforex.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Coli-calc-1402x828.png

The difference between COLI and CPI

The government and the Central Bank of a country are usually guided by changes in the official, regularly published Consumer Price Index (CPI) when estimating the rate of inflation. This is essentially the change in the value of a basket of basic goods and services chosen to measure price growth in the economy.

The COLI is a cost-of-living measure that more fully accounts for changes in consumption expenditure associated with current economic conditions. It estimates the entire set of goods and services consumed by households, also taking into account those received free of charge from government or non-profit institutions.

Read more at R Blog - RoboForex

Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Intraday Trading – What is It?

Author :Anna Rostova

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Day trading or intraday is short-term transaction on stock exchanges performed during the same trading session without roll-overs. This way of trading is quite peculiar, because this approach requires traders to consider all incoming information, such as news, statistics, external factors, and a lot of other events. Market responses can be very quick, but short-term at the same time. This is exactly what is interesting for intraday investors. When trading within the same trading session, they have an opportunity to save their time and get profit in much shorter periods.

Nowadays it’s safe to say that intraday trading is a major driving force on financial markets. The current statistics shows that In the USA, where intraday trading is allowed since 1996, about 70% of intraday investors were losing their profit on NASDAQ stock exchange during the period from 1996 to 2000. Why? Because traders, who wanted to increase their margin, increased their risks as well. This is a subtle aspect of intraday trading.

Capital and risk management

Below you will find a lot of theoretics about this, but the only thing that should be remembered for sure – no positions are rolled over. The position opened today must be closed today. In order to minimize risks, trades must have a good knowledge of daily volatility (it can be figured out in advance by monitoring the market to know what to expect). Of course, there are life hacks, for example, the time, when the Asian session is ending and the European is starting, is pretty good for opposite positions.

When managing risks, it’s very important to remember that daily limitations for profit and losses is a necessary and essential aspect for intraday traders.

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Day trading strategies

As a matter of fact, there is only one strategy: close all open transactions before the current trading session is over. To scratch beneath the surface, intraday strategies may be of two types, scalping and news trading. Let’s discuss both of them in more details.

Scalping is very simple and efficient. To use this method of trading, you have to set a clear threshold to close an order. If your plan implies “5x5” approach, then in case the current trend changes by 5 points in any direction, your order must be closed (with profit or loss, it doesn’t matter). In one case a scalper will get profit of 5 points, in the other one – lose the same amount. To minimize risks when the current trend starts moving in the wrong direction, traders use technical analysis of an asset behavior and place Stop Loss orders quite close to the price. Taken together, these things may really prevent traders from running many risks. One doesn’t have to follow “5 points rule” – as time passes and experience comes, traders find their own best way to close orders. The key thing is to close them no matter what.

Another thing that should be mentioned here is that liquidity of an asset is very essential for intraday trading. One is recommended to work with the assets that are highly liquid or the assets with strong trends and higher volatility. These factors are required to expand trading opportunities to earn more during the day.

Advantages and disadvantages of intraday trading

Intraday trading is a very energy-consuming process, which may be very challenging and exhausting, especially at first. Psychoemotional state is very important. When they talk about being a “cool head” and “getting rid of all emotions”, they mean intraday trading. When an intraday order is open, there won’t be time to calm down. One should remember this from the very beginning.

In order to handle emotions, one should limit risks and decide on the part of deposit one is going to use on a particular day. By opening an order worth 5-6% of the entire portfolio, a trader skates on really thin ice. For starters, 1-2% of the deposit will be enough. As experience comes, this number can be safely increased.

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Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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What is Scalping on Forex?

Author : Dmitriy Gurkovskiy

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Who in the world of trading hasn’t heard of scalping? Probably, you may know it as pipsing, but all traders surely heard a lot of different things about it, some of them tried it in practice, others are just going to, that’s why I guess it would be interesting to go into details of such thing as scalping.

Scalping definition

Let’s start with the definition. Scalping is a type of a trading strategy for trading on currency, stock and commodity markets. The distinctive feature of scalping is closing an order when the profit reaches several pips. This definition is offered by a lot of public trading-related web resources. In addition to that, some of they say that a scalping position is held from several second to several minutes. Under this approach to scalping, it may be regarded as an element of a high frequency trading.

We can go deep in the theme and “lift the curtain” over scalping, which is considered by many traders as almost perfect and advanced method of trading.

The question above helps expand the concept of scalping as it is, because the period of holding an order is too small, the profit may be almost equal to spread expenses, and the risk level for a position may by far exceed the potential benefit. In today’s technology intensive world, computers are vastly superior to enthusiasts of manual trading, but this competition allowed traders to expand the border of scalping as a trading instrument.

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One should realize that there is a difference between scalping on the Forex and stock markets. In case of the former, traders use additional tools, such as Time & Sales and Depth of Market. Some Forex brokers make concessions and reduce commissions for scalpers. However, efficiency of scalping on stock markets even with additional helpers is rather questionable. The key thing in trading is the market liquidity, while scalping can be used even during periods of low volatility and liquidity.

Scalping strategies

Most scalping strategies are based on breakouts of support and resistance areas, for selling and buying respectively. Additional tools that are used by traders for determining support/resistance levels are line charts embedded in trading platforms (MT4, MT5, R WebTrader, etc), as well as fractal indicators, Parabolic SAR, and almost full range of Envelope-type indicators, which form mobile support/resistance levels taking into account volatility and averaged price movements per specified numbers of candlesticks.

The figure shows an example of scalping strategy using the VoltyChannel_Stop indicator. The logic of this system is based on a breakout of the indicator’s endpoint as a signal to open an order. The price movement range after the control level had been broken was from 4 to 34 pips, which is quite enough for a scalper. The only thing that may raise questions is where exactly every scalper intends to close their order.

In other words, possible profitability can be calculated in some specific range. We should also note that scalpers use quite large parts of their deposits in trading, from 10% to 50%. Depending on the opening/closing strategy, a scalper opens from 5 to 50 orders in case of constantly being in front of a computer and trading very actively. Consequently, we can calculate that scalper’s daily profitability may vary from 2% to 100%, but it requires a lot of work without any breaks.

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Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Harmonic Patterns in Trading

Author : Victor Gryazin

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this article, we will consider the use of harmonic patterns in trading. We will get acquainted with the history of their emergence, and the principles of their formation, and tell you about the most popular patterns.

What are harmonic patterns?

Harmonic patterns are graphical price patterns based on a combination of Fibonacci ratios and Elliott wave elements. The basis for such patterns was laid down in the works of Harold Gartley, a renowned analyst, and technical analysis specialist. His book "Profits in the Stock Market" describes his trading methodology in detail.

The harmonic patterns became widely known and popular at the end of the last century when Gartley's works were further developed by his followers – Scott Carney, Larry Pesavento, and Bryce Gilmore. They have refined the description of already known models, and also identified and described new ones.

Harmonic patterns are versatile: they can be used to trade on different timeframes and financial markets. The most popular are Gartley, Butterfly, 5-0, Crab, ABCD, Bat, and Shark.

Gartley pattern

The Gartley pattern is one of the first harmonic patterns described. It is also called "Gartley's butterfly" because of the similarity in the outlines of price movements, and the Fibonacci lines on the chart resembling the wings of a butterfly.

Stages in the formation of the Gartley pattern:

  • XA is the first impulse of the price movement on the chart

  • AB is the correction from the first XA movement at approximately 61.8%

  • BC can be 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.6% of the AB wavelength

  • CD can be 127.2%, 146%, 150%, and 161.8% of the BC wavelength and ends around the correction level of 78.6% of the XA wavelength

  • The D-point is the final point in the pattern, where a reversal of quotes is expected

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Butterfly pattern

The Butterfly pattern, created by Bruce Gilmore, is very similar to the one mentioned above. Therefore, understandably, many traders confuse the two.

Stages in the formation of the Butterfly pattern

  • XA is the first impulse of the price movement on the chart

  • AB is the correction from the first XA movement at approximately 78.6%

  • BC can range from 38.2% to 88.6% of the AB wavelength

  • CD can range from 161.8% to 224% of the BC wavelength and ends at about 127.2% of the XA wavelength

  • The D-point is the final point in the pattern, where a reversal of quotes is expected

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5-0 Pattern

The 5-0 pattern was first described in detail in Scott Carney's book "Harmonic Trading: Volume Two", which was published in 2007. Visually, it resembles the Head & Shoulders and Wolf Waves patterns.

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Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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11 Rules of Effective Capital Management On Forex

Author : Timofey Zuev

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Dear Clients and Partners,

There is no successful Forex player that has achieved a good and stable result without an efficient money management system. Wise and weighted up capital management allows for playing on the high-risk market thanks to marginal trading. In this article we are going to have a look a the main rules and principles of money management on Forex.

Rule № 1

The size of the margin must not exceed 10-15% of the deposit.

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This rule helps calculate the margin for the orders to open. The remaining sum is necessary for normal work of the trader and for avoiding force majeure on the market: Forex may behave unexpectedly.

As for the suggested margin, its maximum size is not always the same. For example, Murphy suggested that it should not exceed 50%; however, other sources advise to stick to the margin amounting to 5 to 30% of the deposit. Anyway, the approach should go in line with the initial size of the deposit, as long as the smaller it is, the harder it is to go along the conservative way.

Rule № 2

The investment into one instrument or a group of assets with high correlation coefficient must not exceed 15% of the deposit.

This helps diversify risks and avoid strong dependence on the result of the trade.

On Forex there are groups of instruments as yen pairs, groups of allied currencies like EUR/USD и GBP/USD, AUD/USD и NZD/USD, metals like XAU and XAG and so on. Currency pairs of one group normally move in the same direction, slightly lagging behind one another. Thus, large investments into one instrument or the assets of one group go against the rules of risk control. The principles of efficient funds use are also to be kept in mind. Money should be allocated in such a way that a trade resulting in a large loss does not rid the trader of the whole deposit.

Rule № 3

Each instrument must imply a risk no bigger than 5% of the deposit.

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This rule seems rather arguable, and its feasibility to a big part depends on the size of the trading capital. The risk of the trade may vary from several tenths of a percent to 10-20%. It does not relate to traders who do not regulate risks at all, the only limit being the size of their deposit.

If we turn to classics, Elder suggested 1.2-2.0% risk for one trade, Murphy – 5.0%.

Rule № 4

Define the level of diversification of instruments.

Regardless of diversification being one of the most efficient ways of protecting money, one should not overuse it. There should be a certain balance between concentration and diversification of assets. Excess diversity of the instruments used in trading makes the trader lose their concentration which may lead to untimely reaction to the market movements and a decrease of productivity.

Allocation of assets to 5-6 different instruments of various groups is considered most efficient. The bigger the coefficient of inverse correlation is, the higher is the diversification level.

Rule № 5

Put Stop Loss orders.

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The main purpose of Stop Loss order is to limit the trader’s losses. Some put them every time opening a trade, others do so only for the time of their absence from their workplace. However, it is always worth remembering that Forex is an unpredictable market, and the movements of currency pairs can be sharp and quick. As a consequence, traders may suffer excessive losses, because they may not react in time, even sitting in front of the computer screen.

The size of a Stop Loss depends on two factors: the size of the loss that the trader is ready to suffer and the situation on the market.

Let me give you an example. The trader’s deposit is 1,000 USD. The risk of a trade is 5%. The volume of the trade is 0.02 lot. In such circumstances they can afford a loss of 50 USD, and in case the price is 0.1 USD per 0.01 lot for a pair, as, say, with GBPUSD, the Stop Loss should be no farther than 250 points from the entrance to the position.

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Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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Gann Concept in Trading: Fundamentals, Algorithm

Author : Timofey Zuev

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Dear Clients and Partners,

In this article we shall discuss the trading method of William Delbert Gann. While alive, Gann managed to become a legend thanks to his exact market forecasts. First, a bit of his biography. He was born in the family of a poor farmer that cultivated cotton. In early childhood William got to know that the family’s income depended on the prices on “some market”. So, he was eager to know, how and why the prices for cotton change. Later this desire led him to the New York stock exchange, where he opened his broker company 5 years later. However, real success found him when he forecast the capitulation of Germany in the World War I.

Gann became known for his “sniper” forecasts based on his unique trading method, which later transformed into a whole concept.

As a great sportsman of present time said, the main thing that is left after a person is their legacy. Well, Gann left a great intellectual baggage after himself. Perhaps, not every trader knows his name, but each and every has at least come across the phrase “Gann’s theory”, not to speak about William Gann’s many followers.

Gann’s theory: main theses

The main thesis of Gann’s theory is based on the postulate about the necessity of the balance between the price (quotation) and time.

Financial markets are very dynamic in essence, which, naturally, makes them attractive for speculators. The level of volatility (variability) of markets can be different. Rate fluctuations on Forex can differ in frequency and amplitude. Meanwhile, Gann’s theory states that in any price change one may see certain patterns. In other words, though chaotic at he first sight, fluctuations of quotations presuppose a certain degree of order in their structure. The ability of a speculator to identify this data timely guarantees that their forecasts will have a real basement and come true in the end. As the author of the theory said: “Future is a repetition of the past”. Which means that all actions on the market are cyclic and can be forecast.

An argumentative forecast of the market dynamics is an indisputably important factor of success of any speculative trade.

Gann’s theory states that a very important moment of the market analysis is to define the so-called balance points correctly. These points of balance between the price and time let the player forecast future rates and detect the priority vector of further market dynamics.

Gann developed a lot of instruments meant to help the analyst (trader) define the aforementioned points:

  • using patterns, formed by market fluctuation patterns;

  • using “angles” and “squares” of time and price (quotations);

  • studying the factors of time.

Apart from this, on the basis of William Gann’s drafts, several indicators have been developed; they lay the foundation of the market analysis according to Gann’s method. By the way, Gann Grid is integrated into each MT4 and MT5 terminal, which proves the genius of Gann and his theory (Insert-Gann):

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According to the basic theses of Gann’s theory, financial market can be interesting for speculations in two typical cases only:

  • when time goes ahead of the price on the chart;

  • when the price goes ahead of time on the chart.

If the market remains in perfect balance for a long time, it is of no particular interest for trading as no significant movements are to be expected.

The essence of Gann’s theory

On the whole, Gann’s theory is based on drafting certain geometrical patterns and angles. When analyzing the market according to Gann, the main attention is paid to the interrelation of time, price and the patterns. Thus, for successful market forecasts one should know how to use squares, circles, angles, lines etc. What is more, each figure is to be used at the right moment and in the right order.

All the aforementioned reveal the main drawback of the theory – it does not suit inexperienced traders. Some traders use the main principles of the theory and certain indicators separately, which is wrong in the essence. For successful use of Gann’s theory all its components should be applied in complex, because they supplement each other, and the trader should perform the whole series of actions when analyzing market movements.

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Sincerely,
RoboForex team

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How to Start Trading on a Demo Account?

Author : Andrey Goilov

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Dear Clients and Partners,

Trading is a way of conquering financial markets to make a good profit by applying your skills and knowledge. We can trade from any place on the globe, having neither a boss nor subordinates, which is characteristic of very few jobs. Many beginners rush at trading, having no real experience and thus compromising their money, which, of course, might lead to poor results.

All beginners are attracted by high percents and wide perspectives often described by experienced traders in their books and blogs. Financial markets do provide such opportunities but you have to take into account your experience and get prepared for systematic trading to make a profit in the long run.

To gain experience and enhance your future results, you should start with a demo account, where you can test your trading system without risking your real money.

What is a demo account?

A demo account is an almost-normal trading account, with real quotations and financial instruments; the trader can open and close their positions following the market. It is identical to a real account in the quotations and the size of positions. The only difference is that the capital is virtual, i.e. the trader does not deposit such an account, only chooses a sum when opening a position, which is later shown in trading.

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Naturally, you cannot spend the profit you make, however, you can feel like you are a real trader, practice your trading methods, and make sure you are psychologically prepared to various market situations.

How to start trading on a demo?

After you receive your access data, which are the trader's login and password, you type them in the terminal. For example, if you are using MetaTrader 4 click "File" — "Access account" and introduce your data. After you accessed the account successfully, in the "Trade" section you will see your balance. Now you can start trading.

To open your first trade, click "New order", choose your financial instrument, choose your direction depending on what is expected (a decline or growth), and click "Sell by Market" if we are forecasting a decline or "Buy by Market" if we are waiting for growth.

How long do you trade on a demo?

There are a few opinions on this issue, most of them depending on the timeframe you prefer.

1. If you trade minutes, it is advised to stick to your demo account for about a month. If you use H4s, you should spend some three to four months on trading. The difference is explained by the fact that on minute charts you receive lots of signals in a small period, such as a week; conversely, trading H4s, you can receive few to no signals at all during the same week.

2. In most cases, you can have good signals in a flat, but as soon as a trend begins, you lose your funds. However, it may happen vice versa: in a downtrend, the signals are good but in a range or a bullish trend, they are executed poorly. That is why it is so important to sample trading at different stages of the market.

However, it should be remembered that a demo account will not get you emotionally prepared to trading large real sums. The psychological pressure will be quite strong at the moment of transition to a real account; what is more, to stick to the rules of your system on a real account, you will definitely need some experience with real money.

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Sincerely,
RoboForex team