forex software

Create and Test Forex Strategies

forex software

Skip to forum content

Forex Software

Create and Test Forex Strategies

You are not logged in. Please login or register.


(Page 36 of 63)

Forex Software → Market Analysis → Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Pages Previous 1 34 35 36 37 38 63 Next

You must login or register to post a reply

RSS topic feed

Posts: 876 to 900 of 1,568

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Markets focus on Bitcoin as volatility takes it to 5-month high
https://i.postimg.cc/nczyHPPG/img-007.png

The much publicized 'crypto winter' has been a long, drawn out period of relatively low values among major cryptocurrencies, lasting now for several months.

Along with the depressed values compared to the incredible volatility of 2021 which showed Bitcoin race to over $60,000 and below $20,000 and back again, there has been a stagnant market for long enough for those who were on the edge of their seat a just a year and a half ago to fall asleep during the winter of 2022.

This weekend, however, has caused some market participants to wake from the months-long slumber and begin to take note as Bitcoin values suddenly climbed to $23,900 by Sunday evening (UK market time).

That is almost $1000 higher than the value at which Bitcoin began the very same day, its value having been at $23,003 at 00.30 in the first half hour of the morning UK time.

Over the 24 hours until 12.00pm today UK time, Bitcoin had risen by 2% which is significant considering the millpond-like doldrums it has been in over the past few weeks.

This sudden rally was short lived, however, and by 13.00 UK time, Bitcoin values had descended to $23,100 which is a similar value to the pre-rally price on Sunday morning.

Whilst the return to the low $23,000 range may appear a damp squib to those who had become excited by the sudden upward direction which took place yesterday, the movement does at least demonstrate that some market volatility was present after a long period of stagnation, hence why this has been a talking point among many analysts and reporters over the past 24 hours.

What is of perhaps greater interest is that the high point reached yesterday evening put Bitcoin value at its highest point since August 12, 2022, when it traded at $24,412 and despite tailing off a bit during the course of today, Bitcoin is still at its second highest point in the last six months.

Therefore, whilst perhaps a small blip in the market value of the world's most popularly traded cryptocurrency may appear short lived, this is the highest value in the past five months, which is definitely something to write about.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Brent Crude Oil price takes a bashing overnight
https://i.postimg.cc/52mKL5T2/img-009.png

During the past two years, oil, along with many other raw material commodities which are used to produce energy products, has been very volatile.

Perhaps given the nature of its supply, which is largely in the hands of the OPEC+ countries whose national economies depend on the export of oil around the world, the 'oil cartel' has a lot of bargaining power over its consumers, hence in times of economic strife or geopolitical instability, oil prices have always been ones to watch.

First of all there was supply chain and logistical curtailment due to lockdowns across many Western countries, which led to the increase in the price of oil during 2020 and 2021, and then the sanctioning of the settlement accounts of Russian oil companies by European governments which led to any oil bought having to be settled in Rubles in bank accounts in Moscow, leading to rapidly accelerating ruble prices and oil supply constraints for European customers.

Therefore, oil prices have been high for 2 years, however this morning during the Asian trading session, Brent Crude Oil (WTI) took a dive in value and by 8.45am UK time, it was languishing at $76.92 per barrel, a steep drop over yesterday's values and a very noticeable drop compared to this time last week when the value was $82.27 per barrel on January 23, its highest value this month.

During the past 30 days, Brent Crude Oil has been very volatile in its values, having begun the month at a low point of $73.08 on January 4, before accelerating past the $80 mark by mid January, then retracting again before heading back to the high of over $82 last week, and now it is back down to the mid-$70s again.

Despite the overall rollercoaster ride of volatility this month, Brent Crude Oil is down overall by 4.3% during the past 30 days.

This has been an interesting period for commodities traders, and whilst in many Western markets, gasoline prices are now far lower than they were six months ago, the price of crude oil continues to fluctuate considerably.

In some cases, vehicle fuel prices at the pumps on the retail market have decreased by over 50p (British) or 50c (Euro) per liter in six months. For example, in July 2022, motorists in the United Kingdom were paying approximately £1.99 per liter, now unleaded fuel is readily available at around £1.50 per liter, and in France, in July 2022 unleaded fuel was retailing at an extremely high 2.20 Euros per liter, whereas during January 2023 it has been selling at anywhere between 1.70 and 1.87 Euros per liter.

Volatility is the the lifeblood of trading, so says the old adage, and the oil price this month has certainly been on point in this respect.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

USD down slightly ahead of Fed announcement as interest rates look toward 15 year high
https://i.postimg.cc/NGHW8g0K/usdx.png

Today, the Federal Reserve bank in the United States is set to make an announcement regarding another potential interest rate increase, which would represent the latest in a long string of such actions over the past year.

Should this proceed, it may dampen the enthusiasm of investors, and therefore have a negative effect on the US economy overall.

However, the US Dollar has remained strong, and when looking at this morning's chart analysts across the world are predicting that the interest rates in the United States may once again be increased.

As a result, it would perhaps be very understandable to consider the possibility that the US Dollar, which has been has been very strong this year against other major currencies, could perhaps decrease in value rapidly.

The reality is quite different and the US Dollar has only made a very slight dip against some of its major peers.

The British Pound was up to the high 1.23 range against the US Dollar early this morning during the London trading session.

This is because a number of central banks around the world are set to increase interest rates, and during the course of this week it is widely estimated that the combination of central banks in many key nations with developed financial markets economies may increase interest rates to highest levels since the financial crisis, stoking anxiety among some investors that this month’s bond market rally underestimates evidence of persistent inflation.

At the end of the 2000s, when the global financial crisis hit and major financial institutions with long heritages began to collapse - notably the high profile and catastrophic demise of Lehman Brothers, and subsequent other disasters such as the bankruptcy of Bear Stearns - the world's oldest investment bank - and nationalization of many large banks such as Barclays, HSBC and Lloyds due to their over-exposure to secured and unsecured credit, as well as the aggressive takeover attempt by Royal Bank of Scotland which resulted in it having to be bailed out by the British taxpayer, the interest rates were at around 5% in the United Kingdom, the Eurozone and the United States.

Since then, they have been incredibly low across the 2010s, and only in 2021 did they begin to rise again. It is looking likely that they will be up to the 5% mark again.

Of course, it is still a far cry from the 15% interest rates that were commonplace in the United Kingdom and some other key markets during the early 1990s, which is perhaps remarkable considering the geopolitical circumstances of the past three years, but 5% is a massive increment over the less than 1% many consumers have been used to for many years until 2021.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

British Pound hits the deck as Western markets raise interest rates
https://i.postimg.cc/L4kTY3hH/gbp.png

At the end of last week, the much anticipated action from many central banks across the Western world took place, and interest rates were increased once again.

There were many forecasts during the advent of the interest rate rises which largely focused on the United States Federal Reserve Bank's anticipated rate rise, however the European Central Bank and the Bank of England both conducted interest rate increases at the same time.

In the United Kingdom, which has been reported to have the least investable provincial economy in Europe, placing it alongside Greece, the effect has been the greatest.

The British Pound dipped to its lowest point against the US Dollar in over a month, and is currently trading at 1.21.

This has ended the steady climb in the value of the British Pound which has taken place over the past few weeks, as it hauled itself out of oblivion after many months of declining values during the summer of 2022, ending in November.

Interest rates in the United Kingdom were raised to 4%, which is not far off the 5% that was predicted by many investment banks in the summer of 2022, whose analysts predicted that by January 2023, interest in the UK would rise to approximately 5% which appeared a grave prediction given their very low position back then which was under 2%.

Now, at 4%, there is grave concern, and even before this level had been reached, mortgage lenders across the United Kingdom had been removing mortgage products from the market to avoid borrowers being unable to service monthly payments should the interest rates increase to these levels.

Whilst it may sound alarmist, 4% is nowhere near the 15% interest that was demanded back in 1991 and 1992, but back then borrowing was quite low, and even though that period was considered to be very much a period of austerity, it was recoverable quite quickly.

Today, borrowing is at a much higher level and mortgage lenders are often exposed to individual borrowings exceeding £500,000 whereas in the early 1990s it was between £10,000 and £20,000. At the end of the 1990s, the average property price rocketed and more than doubled in just one year, and has been rising ever since, but salaries have not kept up with this, hence greater exposure to debt.

When interest rates were less than 1%, this was not a problem, but now with increasing rates, the cash strapped are finding themselves lumbered with unserviceable repayments.

London remains a global powerhouse and has its own economy which is still flourishing as it is an influential capital which conducts global business at top level, however the rest of the country is a very different matter.

Just two weeks ago, the Institute for Public Policy Research, a well recognized think tank, noted that outside London, especially the north of England is fiscally barren. The report stated that only Geece has lower levels of public and private investment in a ranking of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, and that if it was not for London, the UK would be alongside Greece in its economic performance.

A very grave set of statistics, which perhaps show why the British Pound showed the biggest decline of any major currency over the past few days despite all of Europe and the United States also having conducted interest rate rises.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

After a long decline, Tesla leads the charge as EV stocks are back in vogue
https://i.postimg.cc/L4chZbXw/img-091.png

The past few months have demonstrated that, like most extremely high profile phases and fads, the euphoria surrounding the world’s sudden focus on electric vehicles after over 120 years of celebrating the internal combustion engine faded, and with that, down went the massively inflated stock prices of some of their manufacturers.

Tesla was the disrupting influence that suddenly appeared from Silicon Valley just over 10 years ago with a roadster based on the Lotus Elise which very few people can remember, before suddenly heading onto the streets with its first ever sedan, the Model S, which in 2014 took the world by storm largely because it looked and drove like a normal luxury car, but was fully electric.

Before this, there had been some electric car prototypes by mainstream car manufacturers, and one or two that had gone to market, only to be met with derision and criticism, and were largely viewed as extremely unfashionable examples of social awkwardness on wheels.

Tesla changed all that, and since then has changed quite a lot of other aspects of how technology firms do business - it is the first publicly listed company to become a cryptocurrency whale for example, and did so without any concern or objection from shareholders or the exchange it is listed on.

This year, however, the extreme faddishness which has surrounded electric vehicles to the extent that almost every mainstream manufacturer has spent the past three years rallying to introduce new electric models when they had no intention of doing so prior to the Tesla era, and marketing campaigns everywhere from the internet to billboards are depicting the very latest electric car from almost everywhere across the globe, has faded.

Tesla stock, listed on the NASDAQ exchange, has been depreciating like a 1970s Lancia after a winter in Manchester, and some newcomers to the electric vehicle market, set up as new companies over the past few years and which only produce electric vehicles, have been following the declining trend that Tesla has experienced.

Perhaps it was inevitable, as some of them, total newcomers to the automotive industry and without a credible product, had raised billions of dollars via Special Purchase Acquisition Company (SPAC) listings on NASDAQ, meaning that they could bypass the usual levels of due diligence required to list on a public exchange and simply raise billions without, in some cases, even delivering a single product.

In this arena of newcomers to the auto industry, Tesla remains the stalwart and its stock has started to rebound.

Tesla stock was up a considerable 4.78% at the close of the US trading session yesterday, and some of the less well known electric vehicle producers are also experiencing a resurgence in values.

Currently analysts are looking at Rivian, the electric truck manufacturer, North American luxury electric car brand Lucid and Polestar, Volvo’s performance electric car division.

Tesla stock has been rising from the doldrums over the past month, and is a remarkable 62% higher than it was 30 days ago, showing that whilst the world has got used to Tesla models now that they are no longer a novelty and are utterly ubiquitous, and even have been subject to some degree of criticism for being bland or less of a quality product than the established luxury brands, there is still a degree of interest in Elon Musk and his forward thinking ideology.

Unlike other car brands which tend to toe the conservative line, Tesla is the product of Elon Musk, who is well known for edge-of-the-seat commercial decisions and for the public not knowing what he will do next!

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Bitcoin values decline as major exchange halts Dollar transfers
https://i.postimg.cc/1Rj8BYhZ/btc.png

The now rather infamous 'crypto winter' which referred to the latter part of 2022 had appeared to show some signs of subsiding recently.

After many months of relatively low and somewhat stagnant cryptocurrency values, some of the more popular digital currencies had begun to make a little bit of headway over the first few weeks of 2023.

By the end of January 2022, it looked as though the value of many of the most popular cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum, were emerging from the doldrums and beginning to make a resurgence in value, with Bitcoin hitting $23,783 on January 30.

Of course, this is a far cry from the $60,000 ballpark which Bitcoin reached in 2021, but considering the under-$20,000 range it has been languishing in for a few months, it is a considerable upturn in fortunes.

However, since yesterday, Bitcoin has been declining in value once again, going from $23,380 during the night (1.15am UK time) to $23,159 by 11.00am UK time today.

That is a 66 point decrease in value, 0.28% in percentage terms, which may not seem a large movement, but it does represent a downturn of considerable monetary value, putting an end to the climbing values.

It could be that accessibility may be a factor, as Binance, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges announced yesterday that will suspend U.S. dollar withdrawals and deposits for international customers beginning today, resulting in a significant capital outflow from Binance and Bitcoin withdrawal figures going up overall.

Binance stated that it remained 'net positive' after the withdrawal run took place, however such a rush to divest from an exchange in one go means that actual trading volume in Bitcoin would likely be affected, which may also be contributing to the lower values today.

Binance has stated that this suspension of US dollar transactions is temporary, but of course any action which causes a mass withdrawal of assets from a trading venue is always likely to affect overall trading volume.

So, whilst overall Bitcoin is being viewed through a bullish lens, largely because of the US Federal Reserve bank's latest less aggressive rate hike of just 25 basis points, which helped Bitcoin to maintain its rising trajectory and outperform as compared to other asset classes, any action affecting trading in which a mass withdrawal takes place is likely to have some effect.

It may be temporary, and if so, volatility is definitely on its way back to the crypto market.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

British Pound and Euro head for 1 month low against US Dollar
https://i.postimg.cc/KvPMZvJr/gbp.png

The once-lacking volatility among major currencies is back again, and this time it is the remarkably steady US Dollar which is creating a gulf between itself and some of its peers on the other side of the Atlantic.

This morning, the US Dollar rose in value against the Euro and British Pound so significantly that it plunged the Euro and British Pound to sudden lows, with the Euro hitting its lowest value against the US Dollar in over a month, and the British Pound hitting its second lowest point in over a month against the greenback.

The sudden upsurge of the US Dollar against these two majors is quite fascinating, and demonstrates the US Dollar's continued strength despite the precarious economic and geopolitical circumstances that surround the United States.

This morning, the British Pound headed down to 1.20 against the US Dollar, and the Euro to 1.07.

The United States has been faced with similar economic challenges to those faced by Europe over the past two years, and in some cases has had greater difficulties such as higher inflation this time last year, before it subsided in November 2022, and even more stringent lockdowns and involvement in geopolitical instability than some parts of Europe.

Despite this, the US Dollar has held up extremely well, and now that the inflation level in the United States is back to 6.5% and has been for some momnths compared to double figures in the United Kingdom and Europe ranging from 10% in the western European nations to over 25% in some of the Baltic states which are European Union members, things continue to improve for the Dollar.

It may appear that the lower US inflation figure compared to that of Europe and that of the US a few months ago is a good thing, but this has caused higher costs for large corporations in the United States who have to continue to pay more for supplier contracts or to operate their subsidiaries in Europe, leading to lower revenue figures for many.

The US involvement in the ongoing Ukraine war is also a huge cost, and potentially destabilizing factor, however despite having spent over $100 billion on it, plus pledging to escalate the situation by sending more munitions and last week's revelation by an American investigative journalist that the Nord Stream explosion which occurred in November 2022 was allegedly the work of the US armed forces, the Dollar continues to grow.

Whether its overall stability compared to European and British currency is artificial, or whether the US economy is genuinuely less encumbered than that of mainland Europe or Britain is debatable - however this level of volatility in the light of such unusual times is of great interest within the currency markets.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

FTSE 100 hits 1-year high as 8,000 points is in sight
https://i.postimg.cc/5NJdm7F1/img-008.png

Another exciting period for the FTSE 100 index is in full swing.

The basket of stocks, which consists of the 100 most prestigious and well capitalized publicly listed companies on London Stock Exchange, is once again heading for the stratosphere.

This morning, the FTSE 100 index is trading at 7,982.99, which represents its highest point in over one year, following a gradual climb which began some four months ago, with only a minor slowing in mid-December which soon gave way to the consistent climb gaining momentum once again.

Over the course of 12 months, the FTSE 100 has increased in value by an 499 points, which is a steady 5.9%, proving that whilst across the Atlantic in New York, the tech stocks listed on NASDAQ are less steady or reliable than the old-school array of mining, pharmaceutical, transport and retail stocks listed on London's FTSE 100.

Old tech appears to be performing better than new tech, if these recent months are anything to gauge it by.

On London's stock exchange, perhaps one of the most ubiquitous sectors is the telecommunications industry, which is well represented within the FTSE 100 index given that Britain is home to some long standing corporate giants, once again alluding to the 'old tech' nature of this particular index. In that regard, Vodafone's stock has risen after Liberty Global has acquired a 4.9% stake, giving a substantial lift to the index.

As the opening bell rang in London, things were on the up and by 9.00am the blue-chip index was at 7,993.23, up 45.63 points (0.57%) putting it within touching distance of the 8,000 mark.

Despite clear signals from economists that inflation is not showing any signs of slowing, and with Britain dealing with a real inflation figure of around 10.5%, the economy is growing and wage inflation appears to be in line with price inflation.

Yes, there are high interest rates, and the economic issues concerned around that would potentially be a weakening of access to private home ownership, therefore denting the overall prosperity of the nation, but London's stock exchange is made up of firms that do not become affected by such overall circumstances.

For example, Coca-Cola HBC (the UK-based bottling firm which packages soft drinks) was in demand, having reported a strong year of organic growth. Retail products and foodstuffs will always be in demand regardless of overall economic circumstances such as high inflation or interest rates, whereas expensive electric trucks manufactured by companies with no provenance and listings on NASDAQ via the SPAC method of bypassing due diligence are not essential items with sales affected if the economic woes are too high.

Hence, NASDAQ has been suffering, especially in the electric vehicle stock and internet stock department, whereas the trad stocks of London are prosperous.

Should the 8,000 point barrier be crossed, this will mark a milestone for the London Stock Exchange's FTSE 100 index, similar to the euphoria surrounding its break through the 7,000 barrier in 2021 during the period of recessions, supply chain woes and ongoing draconian lockdowns hampering the economic situation, with the FTSE 100 being the beacon of light in a very dark tunnel.

Interesting times indeed.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

884 (edited by Resolve 2023-02-15 15:32:31)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Apple stock maintains highs, flying in face of tech drop
https://i.postimg.cc/vmW41dXR/img-009.png

The dystopian reality that has plagued the stocks of large technology and internet companies which are listed on North America's most prestigious exchanges is now a few months long.

The overall decline in US tech stock values over a prolonged period compared to the buoyant baskets of 'old fashioned' stocks on the other side of the Atlantic is a clear indication that relative newcomers to a big cap market with little provenance are not necessarily that favorable among investors at the moment.

London's mining, entertainment, food production, telecommunications, construction, travel and retail stocks have held up well, despite being legacy industries, compared to the avantgarde internet giants and EV startups of Silicon Valley which are listed on NASDAQ and NYSE. Even Tesla has been losing value at the rate of a depleting battery over recent months.

There is one exception, however, and that is Apple.

Two days ago, Apple stock was at its highest point in over one month, and today, whilst that steady climb that has taken place during the past 30 days has begun to tail off, the value of Apple stock is still strong, finishing the New York session and beginning today's trading at $153.20.

Over the past month, Apple stock has been relatively volatile, however the overall upward direction demonstrates a 12.7% increase over its price this time one month ago, with the five-day moving average looking a little more volatile, with some sharp upward and downward movements having taken place during the past week. However, despite those sharp movements, the overall value has remained steady with only a 0.41% drop over the past five days.

Perhaps one of the factors that has made Apple stock stand out from the other big tech stocks which have experienced value decreases compared to Apple's increases is that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway investment company has increased its stake in Apple this week.

Berkshire Hathaway already had a very large steak in Apple, however the fund management company has now acquired Alleghany, which is an American insurance company which owned shares in Apple. As part of the takeover by Berkshire Hathaway, Alleghany's share in Apple was transferred to Bershire Hathaway.

Berkshire Hathaway's overall Apple stake, which includes around 20 million shares held by its New England Asset Management subsidiary, stood at 916 million shares or 5.8% of the company at the end of December last year, however the position was worth over $140 billion as of Tuesday's close, making it easily the most valuable holding in Berkshire's portfolio.

Warren Buffett is well known for his astute shrewdness and conservative attitude to risk, which puts his interest in Apple at a different end of the spectrum to those SPAC listings which took place 2 years ago where a gung-ho approach was taken and previously unknown companies with unproven products had suddenly become valued at tens of millions of dollars, only to decrease once the reality sets in.

Apple's reality is solid business and backing by one of the world's most prudent and astute fund managers. That difference is clear when looking at investor response.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

885 (edited by Resolve 2023-02-20 14:23:53)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Oil volatility in vogue once again as crude production set to decrease
https://i.postimg.cc/hjQ8bb7t/img-009.png

After a very brief period of stagnation, crude oil prices are once again becoming volatile.

Oil, along with many other raw material commodities which are used as energy sources, has been at the center of discussion for over two years, first of all due to restrictions on supplies caused by logistical channels being hampered by national lockdowns in key markets such as the Antipodes, Europe and North America, swiftly followed by a curtailment of supply by many of Russia's energy giants to European and American customers during the course of 2022.

This resulted in a huge rise in oil prices across the world, because once again the demand was unable to be met by supply as European settlements to Russian energy companies were unable to be claimed by the suppliers due to sanctions on their Euro-denominated bank accounts, resulting in many customers having to pay for oil via direct settlement to a ruble-denominated bank account in Moscow.

By the summer of last year, the cost of everyday consumer products based on oil such as fuel for motor vehicles rocketed and compounded and already serious cost of living crisis.

This subsequently dwindled and many national governments stepped in to put price caps in place, however that has not been as simple a solution as it may have initially seemed.

The price of crude oil has remained volatile despite the end user cost of fuel and domestic energy having reduced due to a combination of market conditions and government incentives, and this week, a further sudden movement has taken place.

At the end of last week, Brent Crude Oil was heading toward the $80 per barrel mark. By Thursday it had reached $79.2 per barrel, but as the European trading session opened on Friday, this high value suddenly crashed to $75 per barrel.

During the early hours of this morning, the price began to rise substantially again and is now heading toward the $78 mark, largely caused by an announcement that Russian oil firms are going to proceed with the planned cut in oil production by 500,000 barrels a day in March in response to the Western governments imposing price caps on its oil and oil products.

These price caps are bizzare in their nature, in that G7 governments have agreed that all oil from any other oil producing country will be bought at market prices, whereas oil from Russian energy firms should be capped at $45 per barrel.

Of course, Russian energy firms subject to such a cap will not supply oil on those terms, as it would represent a loss-making endeavor, so they will cut the production and not supply regions in which this cap is implemented.

This has caused the price of oil to rise, because there will once again be a supply shortage in Europe.

As a coincidence, Additionally, the overall OPEC+ nations last October stated that they would cut oil production targets by 2 million barrels per day until the end of 2023, so this cut by Russian firms in March is a sudden step to curtail production against a wider backdrop of scaling back oil production by the overall OPEC+ bloc of nations.

Supply and demand has always dictated the price of consumable commodities such as oil, and today's circumstances are no exception.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

8,000 was a pipe dream for the FTSE 100... for now!
https://i.postimg.cc/hPzhYT77/img-009.png

It has been clear for almost two years that the FTSE 100 index, which consists of the 100 most prestigious and well capitalized blue-chip companies listed on the London Stock Exchange, has been the exception to the overall direction of most other assets in the United Kingdom.

Whilst the Pound, along with many other business sectors, floundered, and a cost of living crisis engulfed the nation whilst energy prices and the cost of everyday consumables and necessities rocketed due to 50-year highs in inflation, the FTSE 100 remained not only very buoyant but reached unprecedented highs.

Back in mid-2021, euphoric analysts were waxing lyrical on financial news channels in mainstream media about how the FTSE 100 index had broken the 7,000 point barrier. That was during a time at which the British government was lining up its ministers on an almost daily basis to tell the public how intent on locking down the country's businesses and public on a repeated basis, disabling businesses and impoverishing the general public.

Now, here we are a year and a half later, and whilst the lockdowns have stopped, they have been replaced by geopolitical uncertainty and an intent involvement by the British government in sanctions against one of the world's largest oil and gas producing country as well as massive public spending during a time of recession in which millions of people are having to tighten their belts and interest rates are four times higher than they were two years ago with inflation still in double digits.

Despite this perhaps alarming backdrop, the FTSE 100 is not only hovering above the 7,000 points mark that it was during the equally surprising trends demonstrated in 2021, but it has been almost reaching 8,000 points!

Just last week, many seasoned analysts in financial institutions had looked toward the 8,000 point mark being reached.

This looked very likely last week, as the value of the FTSE 100 index continued to rise rapidly, but today things have taken a turn.

The FTSE 100 index dropped by 0.68% during the early hours of the London trading session and by 9.00am UK time, it was trading at 7,954 points.

That is still very high and is still at its highest point in over a year apart from last Thursday when it briefly broke through the 8,000 points mark and reached 8012 points which is an all time high.

Whilst it is still very interesting and quite fascinating that these high levels are being reached by the performance of long-established traditional companies that make up the FTSE 100 index in such bleak economic times, the seemingly endless upward surge has stopped and momentum has tailed off.

That it is still high is of course remarkable, but the real news here is that the one economic measure that has been bucking the trend for a long time has begun to stop increasing in value at such a rapid rate.

What is perhaps odd here is that FTSE 100 opened lower this morning even though there has been better than expected news on public sector debt in the United Kingdom - something many people are very worried about - and ahead of a raft of PMI announcements.

It is highly likely that some macro data has affected the values, and the only negative information that has come to light is that medical firm Smith & Nephew announced a drop in annual operating profits as margins dipped.

The global medical technology company said operating profit margins slipped to 8.6% from 11.4% reflecting higher inflation in freight and logistics, the impact of China VBP, as well as sales and marketing expenditure levels returning to more normal levels. However despite this, its stock rose in value by over 6%!

InterContinental Hotels PLC experienced a drop in share value of 2.1%, following its announcement of a forthcoming $750 million share buyback. That is still not much to rock the entire index however.

Perhaps this is just a small blip, but it is definitely one of interest.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

British Pound suddenly jumps against Euro and Dollar in surprise revival
https://i.postimg.cc/HL6CHMF3/img-009.png

Anyone who has walked the streets of rural England over the past two years would be led to believe that there is no end to the continual economic doom and gloom.

Very concerned residents, combined with news headlines focusing on recessions, cost of living crises, virulent inflation and a noticeable downturn in standards of living would have likely been very visible.

Certainly these are not sentiments without basis. Despite the British calmness, there has definitely been cause for grave concern for many residents of the provincial areas of the country for at least two years now.

London continues to prosper, due to its status as an international capital, unaffected by national ups and downs, as well as being the world's largest and most developed financial center, hence there have been some very stable stock market trends in the capital despite the backdrop of austerity in the wider United Kingdom.

The decline of the British Pound over the latter period of last year against the US Dollar and Euro was a very concerning dynamic. It clearly demonstrated the woes of Brexit, as well as the clear reality that even a wounded US economy was able to get back on track quicker than the blighted British economy.

Inflation in the United Kingdom remains at around 10.5%, against 6.5% in the United States, and whilst the North American corporations have had their revenues affected by the decrease in inflation in their own domestic market which has meant that they have to pay more to support their European subsidiaries in areas of high inflation, as well as pay suppliers more as the US inflation decreases and European inflation continues to rise, domestic business is doing quite well in various states.

The US Dollar has been holding its own, and has been very strong against the Pound and Euro for many months.

However suddenly the British Pound has arisen from its downward spiral and by yesterday evening, a sudden spike was evident.

At 16.00 during the London trading session, the British Pound had risen from the low 1.21 mark earlier in the day to almost 1.22.

That may seem only a small movement on the face of it, but it is actually the highest point in five days by far, half a percent above the five day moving average.

The same applies to the Pound's movement against the Euro. Early this morning it suddenly gained ground and reached 1.137, another five day high against a major currency.

The sudden upward surge that the Pound has experienced has now leveled off, but it has not dropped in value to the lows of earlier this week.

One possible explanation for this could be that figures released by the British government yesterday showing stronger customer demand contributed to renewed increases in backlogs of work and employment across the private sector economy during February, therefore alluding to a possible increase in growth for the British economy which has languished for so long.

The Pound's journey has been interesting over recent months, now the conundrum of whether the British economy is getting itself back on track or not is another item to watch.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

888 (edited by Resolve 2023-02-24 09:51:03)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Gold Price Faces Hurdles And Crude Oil Price Could Recover Steadily
https://i.postimg.cc/nryXzRBR/gold.jpg

Gold price declined from the $1,850 resistance zone. Crude oil price is attempting a recovery wave above the $75.50 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

  • Gold price started a strong decline below the $1,832 level against the US Dollar.

  • A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $1,835 on the hourly chart of gold.

  • Crude oil price started a fresh increase from the $73.75 support zone.

  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near $75.70 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price struggled to clear the $1,850 resistance against the US Dollar. The price started a strong decline and traded below the $1,832 support zone.

The bears even pushed the price below $1,825 and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The price traded below the $1,820 level. A low is formed near $1,817 on FXOpen and the price is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $1,828 level or the 50 hourly simple moving average.

Gold Price Hourly Chart
https://i.postimg.cc/63t9qs81/goldx.jpg

The stated level is near the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,846 swing high to $1,817 low. The next key hurdle is near the $1,832 level.

There is also a key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $1,835 on the hourly chart of gold.  The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,846 swing high to $1,817 low.

A clear upside break above the $1,835 resistance could send the price towards $1,850. If there is no upside break, the price might correct lower.

An immediate support on the downside is near the $1,820 level. The next major support is near the $1,812 level, below which there is a risk of a larger decline. In the stated case, the price could decline sharply towards the $1,800 support zone.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

889 (edited by Resolve 2023-02-26 01:49:41)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Watch FXOpen's February 20 - 24 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

  • Oil volatility in vogue once again as crude production set to decrease

  • 8,000 was a pipe dream for the FTSE 100... for now!

  • British pound suddenly jumps against euro and dollar in surprise revival

  • Minutes of the Fed meeting show determination to further increase the rate

Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.
https://i.postimg.cc/q7JyXxTH/img-0019.png

FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenuk #weeklyvideo

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

GBP/USD Declines Heavily While EUR/GBP Attempts Recovery
https://i.postimg.cc/qqcyVLKQ/gbp.png

GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2200 support zone. EUR/GBP is rising and trading above the 0.8920 support zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

  • The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.2150 resistance against the US Dollar.

  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2000 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

  • EUR/GBP found support near 0.8780 and is currently recovering higher.

  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.8805 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound started a major decline from the 1.2150 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair gained pace below the 1.2050 level to move into a bearish zone.

There was a clear move below the 1.2000 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The bears even pumped the price below the 1.1950 level and a low is formed near 1.1928 on FXOpen. It is now consolidating losses and trading below the 1.2000 level.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart
https://i.postimg.cc/Pxw1Khrg/gbpx.jpg

On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.1985 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2041 swing high to 1.1928 low.

The first major resistance is near the 1.2000 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2000 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. The trend line is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2041 swing high to 1.1928 low.

A clear move above the 1.2000 level could spark a decent increase. The next major resistance sits near the 1.2020 level. Any more gains might send the pair towards the 1.2100 resistance zone.

On the downside, an initial support is near the 1.1925 level. The next major support is near the 1.1880 level. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.1800 support zone.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Things are beginning to look up for the British Pound
https://i.postimg.cc/0y8Xrs9p/img-0099.png

The British Pound, which for many years was a bastion of solidity, its position as the world's most valuable sovereign currency giving it a unique status among other majors, and its low volatility giving it a guilt-edged reputation for low volatility and dependable long term value.

That all changed during the course of last year, when the combined result of the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union, one and a half years of lockdowns, and involvement in global geopolitical affairs along with a cost of living crisis which is now over a year long, resulted in the British Pound sliding down to very low points against the Euro and US Dollar over a period of several weeks.

As 2023 began, this constant reduction in value began to subside and volatility began, with the Pound sometimes regaining ground against the Dollar and Euro despite the clear economic concerns about the recession-bound British economy.

Today, a little more volatility has been demonstrated, and the Pound rose this morning quite noticeably against the US Dollar, going from 1.19 to the high 1.20 range within an hour of the London markets opening.

This may be the result of a few interesting factors, one of which may be the Office of National Statistics (ONS) having released data that the value of total goods imports into the United Kingdom increased by £155.5 billion (32.3%) and the value of total goods exports increased by £66.2 billion (20.8%) in 2022 when compared with 2021, which is an interesting and confidence-inspiring metric considering 2022's poor economic outlook for the country.

Perhaps the most pragmatic way to view this is that imports did grow, but that is compared to 2021 when supply chain restrictions and lockdowns impeded imports, and consumers were saving their money due to uncertainty about the reopening of the economy.

Either way, this is a positive direction and the Pound is responding in line with it.

Additionally, as London continues to be an international financial and economic powerhouse despite the woes in the rest of the country, global consultancy EY has released figures which forecast that London's economy is on track to expand 2.6 per cent each year between 2024 and 2026, pushing it to the top of the countrywide growth table.

Perhaps it is fair to assume that if this is the case, London is continuing to expand its economy despite the struggles in the provincial areas, denoting two distinctly different economic structures in one country.

London's standing as a global financial capital with the world's best infrastructure for Tier 1 trading bodes well for growth as international business is the backbone of the city's financial ecosystem, therefore an increase in the value of the Pound on the back of such a report is perhaps to be expected.

Certainly despite London’s GDP being expected to undergo a minor slowdown, shrinking 0.2 per cent this year, also the lowest of any region, it is tipped to race past Britain’s average yearly growth of 2.1 per cent between 2024 and 2026.

Therefore the analysis depicts volatility, and the national currency is echoing it very clearly.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

892 (edited by Resolve 2023-03-01 04:38:57)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 28th FEB 2023
https://i.postimg.cc/j5WKtdVd/btc.png

BTCUSD: Bullish Doji Star Pattern Above $22796

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bearish momentum last week and after touching a low of $22796 on 25th Feb the prices started to correct upwards against the US dollar, touching a high of $23873 on 27th Feb.

We have seen a bearish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see a bullish Doji star pattern above the $22796 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday high of 23557 in the Asian trading session, and an intraday low of 23214 in the European trading session today.

We can see that the MACD indicator is back over zero in the weekly time frame indicating bullish trends.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near horizontal support in the weekly time frame indicating a bullish trend.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are indicating Overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near the support of the channel in the 15-minute time frame indicating a bullish scenario.

The relative strength index is at 55.00 indicating a strong demand for bitcoin, and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving below its 100 hourly simple moving average and below its 100 hourly exponential moving averages.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a buy signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 24000 and 25500.

The average true range is indicating less market volatility with a bullish momentum.

  • Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $22796.

  • The Williams percent range is giving an overbought signal.

  • The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $23729.

  • The short-term range is mildly BULLISH.

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $22796
https://i.postimg.cc/63DK3JwV/btcx.png

The price of bitcoin is now moving into a consolidation channel below the $23500 handle which also means that now we are preparing for the next upwards move in bitcoin towards the $25000 level.

The commodity channel index indicator is giving an oversold signal which indicates a neutral tone in the markets.

Some of the technical indicators are also giving a neutral tone present in the markets.

Bitcoin has resumed its rising trend channel with a positive momentum that is building at levels above the $23110.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $22711 which is a 14-day RSI at 50% and at $22893 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 24948 and Fibonacci resistance level of 26119 after which the path towards 27000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 0.58% by 135.92$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 22.280 billion. We can see a decrease of 2.34% in the trading volume as compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

We can see that the price of bitcoin is now almost 53% up against the lows formed in November 2022.

The consolidation in the levels of bitcoin also indicates that the global investor sentiment continues to improve and will lead to the higher price of bitcoin in the month of March 2023.

The daily RSI is printing at 50.79 which indicates a neutral demand for bitcoin and the continuation of the bullish phase present in the markets in the short-term range.

We can see the formation of a bullish trend line from $22796 towards the $23989 level.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone located at $24030 at which the price crosses 9-day moving average and $24095 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 70%

The weekly outlook is projected at $24500 with a consolidation zone of $24000.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

EUR/USD Eyes Recovery While USD/JPY Remains In Uptrend
https://i.postimg.cc/ZYXx6Y56/eurusd.png

EUR/USD is correcting higher from the 1.0520 zone. USD/JPY is also rising and might rally further above the 137.00 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

  • The Euro started an upside correction above the 1.0550 resistance zone.

  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.0570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.

  • USD/JPY is showing a lot of bullish signs above the 135.80 support zone.

  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 135.80 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the Euro saw bearish moves below the 1.0600 support against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair even broke the 1.0580 support zone.

The pair gained pace below the 1.0550 support zone and traded as low as 1.0532 on FXOpen. The pair started an upside correction and traded above the 1.0550 resistance. There was a clear move above the 1.0580 level.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart
https://i.postimg.cc/PfCMLvTt/eurusdx.jpg

Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.0570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. A high was formed near 1.0645 and the pair started a fresh decline. There was a clear move below the 1.0600 support zone, but the pair stayed above the 50 hourly simple moving average.

There was a spike below the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0532 swing low to 1.0645 high. It is now consolidating near the 1.0590 level.

On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 1.0600 level. The next major resistance is near the 1.0640 level. An upside break above 1.0640 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might visit 1.0700.

Any more gains might send the pair towards 1.0750. If not, it could continue to move down. An initial support on the downside is near the 1.0570 level. The first major support is near the 1.0550 level.

The main support sits near the 1.0535 zone, below which the pair could start a major decline. In the stated case, the pair might dive towards the 1.0450 support zone.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

894 (edited by Resolve 2023-03-02 14:00:02)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 02nd MAR, 2023
https://i.postimg.cc/3N1z6PQG/eth.png

ETHUSD: Three White Soldiers Pattern Above $1558

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of $1558 on 25th Feb, the prices started to correct upwards against the US dollar ranging above the $1640 handle today in the Asian trading session.

The prices of Ethereum are ranging near a new record high of 1 month.

The price of ETHUSD is back over the pivot point in the weekly time frame indicating a bullish scenario.

We can clearly see a three white soldiers pattern above the $1558 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of 1645 and moving into a mildly bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1650 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1656 after which the path towards 1700 will get cleared.

We can see the formation of the bullish harami pattern in the weekly timeframe.

The relative strength index is at 52.40 indicating a neutral demand for Ether and a shift towards the consolidation phase in the markets.

The commodity channel index, CCI, is giving a neutral signal, which means that the prices are expected to remain in a consolidation phase.

Some of the technical indicators are giving a buy market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a buy signal at the current market level of $1645.

ETH is now trading above both the 100 hourly simple and 100 hourly exponential moving averages.

  • Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1558 mark.

  • The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish.

  • ETH continues to remain above the $1640 level.

  • The average true range is indicating less market volatility.

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1558
https://i.postimg.cc/d0Cpv7Kw/etx.png

ETHUSD continues to consolidate its gains and is now moving above the $1600 handle with an upside focus of $1700 and $1800 levels.

We can see the formation of the bullish trend reversal pattern with moving averages MA20 in the daily time frame.

The resistance of the channel is broken in the 15-minute time frame indicating a bullish outlook present in the markets.

ETHUSD touched an intraday high of 1677 in the Asian trading session and an intraday low of 1638 in the London trading session today.

The key support levels to watch are $1593 which is a 14-day RSI at 40%, and at $1637 at which the price crosses 18-day moving average stalls.

ETH has decreased by 0.73% with a price change of 12.10$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 6.909 billion USD.

We can see a decrease of 11.89% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which is due to the market consolidation.

The Week Ahead

ETH has retracted after touching a high of $1677, and after this consolidation phase gets over, we are looking to cross the $1700 handle.

We can see the formation of a bullish ascending channel from $1558 towards the $1691 level.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.

The resistance zone is located at $1686 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 80% and at $1694 at which the price crosses 9-day moving average stalls.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1750 with a consolidation zone of $1700.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

895 (edited by Resolve 2023-03-03 09:07:18)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

AUD/USD Aims Recovery While NZD/USD Remains In Uptrend
https://i.postimg.cc/Z5xXn0fm/aud.png

AUD/USD declined below the 0.6780 level before it found support near 0.6700. NZD/USD is rising and might aim a move above the 0.6250 resistance.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

  • The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from the 0.6840 resistance against the US Dollar.

  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6755 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.

  • NZD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6150 resistance zone.

  • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 0.6220 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis


The Aussie Dollar started a major decline from the 0.6840 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair declined below the 0.6800 and 0.6780 level.

The pair even moved below the 0.6750 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near the 0.6706 on FXOpen and the pair is now recovering losses. The pair is now trading near the 0.6750 resistance zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

AUD/USD Hourly Chart
https://i.postimg.cc/XYbTn9kx/audx.jpg

On the upside, the AUD/USD pair is facing resistance near the 0.6750 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6783 swing high to 0.6706 low.

The next major resistance is near the 0.6755 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6755 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. The trend line is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6783 swing high to 0.6706 low.

A close above the 0.6755 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.6800.

On the downside, an initial support is near the 0.6725 level. The next support could be the 0.6700 level. If there is a downside break below the 0.6700 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.6665 level.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

896 (edited by Resolve 2023-03-05 09:49:16)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Watch FXOpen's February 27 - March 3 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

  • US indices post worst week of 2023

  • SEC continues to put pressure on the crypto market

  • February removes the January positive

  • GBPUSD: Bearish pattern and CBR uncertainty

Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.
https://i.postimg.cc/G2sp56HL/img-009.png

FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenuk #weeklyvideo

897 (edited by Resolve 2023-03-06 07:24:58)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

GBP/USD Starts Recovery While USD/CAD Faces Key Resistance
https://i.postimg.cc/KvzyTdTs/gbp.png

GBP/USD is correcting losses and trading above the 1.2000 zone. USD/CAD is struggling to clear the 1.3650 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD

  • The British Pound started a decent recovery wave above the 1.2000 resistance zone.

  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1965 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

  • USD/CAD is struggling below the 1.3640 and 1.3650 support levels.

  • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3640 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound started a fresh decline from well above 1.2120 against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair gained bearish momentum after there was a break below the 1.2050 support.

The pair even broke the 1.2000 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The recent swing high was formed near 1.1925 on FXOpen before the price started an upside correction. There was a move above the 1.1980 level.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart
https://i.postimg.cc/cHBN7WTP/gbpx.jpg

There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1965 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. Besides, there was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2142 swing high to 1.1925 low.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.2050 level. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2142 swing high to 1.1925 low.

The next major resistance is near the 1.2080 level. Any more gains could lead the pair towards the 1.2120 barrier in the near term. If not, the pair could move down and might break the 1.2000 support. The next major support is near 1.1980.

If there is a downside break, GBP/USD might test the 1.1920 support. The next major support sits at 1.1850, where the bulls might take a stand.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

898 (edited by Resolve 2023-03-06 14:59:54)

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Inflation top of the agenda as Euro slumps
https://i.postimg.cc/HxFHCz8X/euro.png

The rampant inflation that has blighted the everyday lives of European citizens for over a year has now reached the high profile dialog of Christine Lagarde.

Ms. Lagarde, who is the President of the European Central Bank, has publicly stated that "inflation is a monster that we need to knock on the head”.

This may appear an obvious remark considering that consumers and businesses across Western Europe have been faced with inflation levels at around 10% to 11% for almost a year now, and in parts of Eastern Europe over 25% which has resulted in discernible levels of hardship for many citizens and businesses.

Perhaps the most concerning part of Ms. Lagarde’s direction on this matter is that she, along with many other central bankers across the Western world who are charged with the responsibility of managing inflation levels in the markets over which they preside, views interest rate increases as a solution.

This is a well-worn method of curtailing consumer spending and putting a stop to consumer borrowing, however it is also a generator of barriers to economic strength in that many members of the public can often become disenfranchised by being unable to afford to buy a house due to mortgage payment increases that are not in line with their earnings, and those who already have a mortgage feel the pinch as they have to find extra money to cover the increasing payments and spend less on other items.

Ms. Lagarde explained to press in Spain this week that the European Central Bank is not seeking to “break the economy” with rate increases as she appealed for banks to reschedule debt repayments for households struggling to cope with soaring borrowing costs on variable-rate mortgages.

That perhaps is one soundbite which attempts to try to soothe the fears of borrowers but ultimately the message remains that interest rates are increasing and have been for over a year now.

The Euro is now at almost parity with the US Dollar, this morning weighing in at 1.06, against a backdrop of US inflation having decreased from double figures last year to around 7% in recent weeks.

Of course, US inflation having decreased has its own disadvantages for US-based multinational businesses as they have to now pay more to supply and operate their European subsidiaries, however overall the domestic US economy appears to be settling down and the depreciation of the currency against everyday life expenses is nowhere near at European or British levels.

Certainly volatility is in the air for the Euro and likely the Pound too, as the British inflation level and monetary policy appears to resemble that of mainland Western Europe.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 07th MAR 2023
https://i.postimg.cc/Y0CK8syq/btc.png

BTCUSD: Evening Star Pattern Below $23963

Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bullish momentum last week and after touching a high of $23963 on 01st March, the prices started to correct downwards against the US dollar, touching a low of $22048 on 03rd March.

We have seen a bearish opening of the markets this week.

We can clearly see an evening star pattern below the $23963 handle which is a bearish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of an uptrend and a shift towards a downtrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday high of 22544 in the Asian trading session, and an intraday low of 23370 in the European trading session today.

The momentum indicator is back under zero in the 4-hour time frame indicating bearish trends.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near a new record low of 1 month.

Both the STOCH and Williams percent range are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

We can see the formation of bearish engulfing lines in the 1-hour time frame.

The relative strength index is at 43.75 indicating a weak demand for bitcoin, and the continuation of the selling pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving below its 100 hourly simple moving average and below its 100 hourly exponential moving averages.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a sell signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 22000 and 21500.

The average true range is indicating less market volatility with a bearish momentum.

  • Bitcoin: bearish reversal seen below $23963.

  • The STOCHRSI is indicating an oversold market.

  • The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $22414.

  • The short-term range is mildly bearish.

Bitcoin: Bearish Reversal Seen Below $23963
https://i.postimg.cc/d3NMfjzR/btcx.png

The price of bitcoin is now moving in a consolidation channel above the $22000 handle after which fresh declines could be expected, or we can see some market correction upwards if the demand for bitcoin increases in the global markets.

Some of the technical indicators are also giving a neutral tone present in the markets.

We can see the formation of a bearish price crossover pattern with the adaptive moving average, AMA 50, in the 30-minute time frame.

The price of bitcoin is ranging near the resistance of the channel indicating a bearish trend present in the markets.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bearish, the medium-term outlook has turned bearish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin’s support zone is located at $21780 which is a 3-10 day MACD oscillator stalls, and at $21851 at which the price crosses 18-day moving average stalls.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic support level of 22376 and Fibonacci support level of 22404 after which the path towards 22000 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 0.03% by 5.75$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 15.799 billion. We can see an increase of 1208% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

We can see that the price of Bitcoin has resumed its downtrend, which may extend to $21500 after which we may see some correction and change in the trend present in the markets.

There is a descending channel forming with the current support located at $20785 which is a 50% retracement from a 13-week high/low.

The daily RSI is printing at 43.26 which indicates a weak demand for bitcoin and the continuation of the bearish phase present in the markets in the short-term range.

We can see the formation of a bearish trendline from $23963 towards the $22141 level.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its resistance zone located at $22695 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 20% and at $22774 which is a 14-day RSI at 50%

The weekly outlook is projected at $21500 with a consolidation zone of $22000.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Re: Technical Analysis by FXOpen

EUR/USD Gains Bearish Momentum While USD/CHF Extends Rally
https://i.postimg.cc/ncjRf01C/eur.png

EUR/USD started a major decline below the 1.0620 level. USD/CHF is rising and might aim more gains above the 0.9450 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF

  • The Euro started a fresh decline from the 1.0700 resistance against the US Dollar.

  • There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 1.0620 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.

  • USD/CHF started a fresh increase above the 0.9350 resistance zone.

  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.9315 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

After struggling to clear the 1.0700 resistance, the Euro started a fresh decline against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair traded below the 1.0620 support zone to enter a bearish zone.

The pair even declined below the 1.0600 level above the 50 hourly simple moving average. There was also a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 1.0620 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The decline gained pace below the 1.0580 level.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart
https://i.postimg.cc/v8SqKpfJ/eurx.jpg

A low is formed near 1.0531 on FXOpen and the pair is now showing a lot of bearish signs. An immediate resistance is near the 1.0570 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0694 swing high to 1.0531 low.

The next major resistance is near the 1.0610 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0694 swing high to 1.0531 low.

A clear move above the 1.0610 resistance zone could send the pair further higher. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards the 1.0650 level. If there is no recovery, the pair might continue to move down below the 1.0530 level.

On the downside, an immediate support is near the 1.0520 level. The next major support is near the 1.0500 level. A downside break below the 1.0500 support could start steady decline towards the 1.0450 level.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

Posts: 876 to 900 of 1,568

Pages Previous 1 34 35 36 37 38 63 Next

You must login or register to post a reply

Forex Software → Market Analysis → Technical Analysis by FXOpen

Similar topics in this forum