Re: FreshForex team

Year of Dragons: what will follow the easing of covid restrictions in China

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/465d257a007161bb2e8d2160d764997c

Dear clients,

The gradual easing of the zero-covid policy once again makes China a platform for promising investments, analysts at Morgan Stanley say.

Since the start of the month, cities across the country, including Shanghai and Shenzhen, have been relaxing their Covid-19 testing requirements. According to many analysts, this indicates the curtailment of tough restrictive measures by Beijing in favor of economic recovery. In 2023, according to the bank's experts, China and Hong Kong will experience rapid growth in the stock market. We are talking about a rise of 13-14%.

At the same time, Morgan Stanley advises against rushing, as the real economic effect will be noticeable only by the second quarter of the year.

"The path will be bumpy," the strategists note. "Market volatility could stay high owing to wide swings in sentiment between over-optimism for a fast reopening and at times rapid disappointment regarding a seemingly slow and zig-zagging move towards a Covid-zero exit." 

However, don't let volatility interfere with your trading plans, with a drawdown bonus 101% your account will get the support it needs!

Oil hikes: how the price of fuel changes

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/995fee94570a4167cf4ba71232ab76dd

Dear clients,

Against the backdrop of instability in the global economy and changing demand for fuel, hydrocarbon prices are under the influence of strong volatility.

Yesterday, December 8, the price of the Brent brand fell below $76, which is comparable to December last year. The fall is about 12% from the price since the beginning of the week.

At the moment, oil has won back the position in the $80 area. According to analysts, the pricing is due to market fears regarding excess raw materials due to recession forecasts among the world's leading economies.

At times like these, you should always be prepared, keep your account in fighting shape with a deposit bonus 300%.

The Crypto Three: Main coins to look after in 2023

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/e4b26565093e1a00a3395705c25a3f8d

Dear clients,

This year is coming to an end, so it's about time to make some plans for the next one. This time we'll be looking at 7 most popular cryptocurrencies and choose the best 3 in the coming year.

Join us on December 14 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

If you missed the previous webinars, you can always find them here.

Re: FreshForex team

New Year on Wall Street: a poll from Bloomberg
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/4df2cfa96c2cb1fcc3b212c5e276107c
Dear clients,
Bloomberg conducted a survey among investment firms, including BlackRock Inc., Goldman Sachs Asset Management and other major players, regarding the outlook for the market for next year. The mood is generally positive: with the expectation that inflation has peaked, and the Fed will start easing its monetary policy, 71% of respondents believe in stock growth. They are expect an average rise of 10%.

There are also talks about renewed interest in the Chinese market, recovering from the pandemic and the IT industry, which has suffered due to interest rates. Here, Apple, Amazon and Alphabet are considered the most promising.

The main fear of the coming year being considered a possible stagflation: 48% of investors are worried about high inflation, 45% about a serious recession. Experts also point to the likelihood of a weak start for the stock market and full growth only in the second half of the year.

The new financial year is just around the corner, so why not get ready for it in advance with a deposit bonus 300%.

Boosting rates. How did the market react to the Fed's decision
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/34b16879c15059179a810d084b247279
The US Federal Reserve has announced another rate hike. As predicted, the growth amounted to 50 basis points. The previous value, put forward 4 times in a row, is 75 points.

According to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, the rate at 2% inflation remains unchanged. Reducing rates is possible only with confidence in a steady decline in inflation.

American indices reacted negatively to the continuing high rate. Declines are seen in the Dow Jones, S&P500 and NASDAQ. Many experts see a recession in the US economy as the most likely scenario. A further increase in the rate will contribute to the exit from risky assets.

At the same time, analysts say that the market does not believe in the Fed's intentions to hold the bar and counts on a more favorable scenario. Investors are betting on a February's advance being as high as 25 basis points when officials are talking about a possible 75. The FedWatch tool shows the probability of seeing a rate of 4.5-4.75% — 62%, while before the press conference there was a value of 58.1%

No bottom in sight: the largest drawdown of Tesla shares
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/34b16879c15059179a810d084b247279
Dear clients,

Shares of Tesla Inc. trading at the lowest levels on at least one measure, the tech giant is facing a slew of challenges, from falling demand in China to investor worries about priorities of the CEO, Elon Musk.

The stock is now trading at its lowest level since the IPO, according to the data. Among the reasons are a drop in demand in China, a cuts of production in Shanghai, and Musk's acquisition of the social network Twitter. Analysts say that if the issues are not resolved, then Tesla shares could fall to $150 before investors are interested again.

Got some ideas already? Make them work with a 300% deposit bonus!

Re: FreshForex team

Weekly Outlook: Oil, Natural Gas

https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/8d86ed7617d89e288800139252170a4b

Dear clients,


Forecasts of a warmer weather cooling down the prices on gas, as oil is slowly correcting. This time we'll be looking at these instruments and their movements.


Join us on December 21 at 12:00 GMT.


During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.


Ways to go: ECB's highest rate in 13 years

https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/7076ad54f1afdc1510fa8e4cc789f250

Dear clients,


The European Central Bank raised its key rate by 50 basis points to 2.5%. This is the highest rate since January 2009. The central bank warns that aggressive rate hikes are far from over. Like the US Federal Reserve, the ECB expects to bring inflation to the level of 2%. Experts expect to see the final rate in the region of 3.5%.


Although rate hikes have slowed down, compared to previous moves of 75 basis points, President Christine Lagarde insists that investors should not read too much into that. Shorter moves are still acceptable, she said,even while acknowledging that a “shallow” economic slump is likely to have arrived.


The forecasts for inflation have also been revised, the target value of 2% is expected only by 2025. In particular, the scenario of a "relatively short" recession is being considered.


The surprise effect. How the Bank of Japan blindsided the markets

https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/c65aa74759e27bb8238db27116d043f0

Dear clients,


The Bank of Japan shocked markets after it unexpectedly revised its yield curve control policy, signaling that the last stronghold of minimum interest rates among developed countries is gradually moving towards policy normalization.


Japanese government and treasury bonds tumbled while the yen soared after the BOJ raised its benchmark yield cap to around 0.5% from 0.25%. Such a move surprised almost all analysts who did not count on any revisions, at least until the change in the bank's management.


The sudden decision could have a noticeable ripple effect in global financial markets, as the BOJ's unwavering commitment to protecting its 10-year yield cap has acted as an anchor, indirectly helping to keep borrowing costs low around the world. However, some analysts believe that this move is primarily aimed at improving the functioning of the bond market, rather than tightening monetary policy.


According to experts, the surprise effect is the Bank of Japan's signature move to achieve its strategic goals. So far, the biggest shock from the central bank in recent times was the decision in October 2014 to expand the easing program.

Re: FreshForex team

Meet the '23 with 14th! iPhone 14 Plus raffle from FreshForex

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/a1129496a45a09021de19781e080d40d

The New Year is right on our doorsteps, and with it the festive mood, the holiday atmosphere that fills everything around. And to make this time even more special, we have prepared not one nor two gifts: we'll giveaway 200 iPhones of the 14th model!

Entering the raffle is extremely easy, in the period from 22.12.2022 to 19.01.2023:

1. Make a deposit from $202;

2. Close transactions with a volume of 3 lots or more;

3. Share the draw on your social networks.

In addition, a prize pool of $1,000 will be shared among the 10 participants with the most likes under the repost.

Winners will be randomly selected by January 23rd and will receive a notification to clarify the details*.

Participate, trade, share and may the New Year's miracle smiles upon you.

*If it is impossible to send the prize to the Client's address, or at the written request of the Client, the Company reserves the right to credit the face value of the gift to the Client's trading account in US dollars.

One-two-three: 123% drawdown bonus!

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/10d824a585371603a8f6f068be0c80c7

Dear clients,

Due to the upcoming celebrations, FreshForex has a special holiday offer for you. Until January 20, make a deposit from $101 and get a 123% drawdown bonus to your account.

Support your account during a drawdown or increase your trading volume and let this year end with a profit, and the next one begin with it!

We wish you a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

Market's Number One

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/021d4ca628c115af705b5e38d6bcd733

Dear clients,

Tesla has overtaken Apple as the most popular stock among retail investors in 2022, according to research firm Vanda. A large decline in the price of the electric car maker led to a surge in acquisitions.

Cumulative net retail purchases of Tesla shares are up 424% to $15.41 billion this year from $2.94 billion in 2021. That's higher than Apple's $15.21 billion, up 18% from $12.85 billion in 2021.

Tesla continues to maintain a fairly broad reach, with shares accounting for about 11% of the average retail portfolio. Investment in Tesla dwindled when the company did a 3-for-1 stock split in August, but it has since outperformed the iPhone maker.

Elon Musk's actions as CEO of Twitter damaged the stock quite a bit. Tesla shares are approaching a 60% drop in 2022 with their worst performance since their 2010 listing. YTD losses outpace the S&P 500's 18% and Nasdaq 100's 31% decline. In turn, Apple shares lost 23% in a year.

According to experts, the situation may change after Musk transfers leadership of the social network and refocuses on the company.

In general, Tesla, Apple and other tech giants have suffered this year due to a sharp rise in borrowing costs. The Fed continues to raise interest rates and investors worry about a looming recession.

Re: FreshForex team

"Shorts" out of season

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/e3d9056ab5c509deba7c2c2ac28e419d

Dear clients,

The sharp drop in U.S. stocks this year has boosted the returns of shortists, who may finally be celebrating their first annual gain since 2018, thanks in part to betting on Tesla, Amazon and other mega-cap stocks that have been building markets for years.

According to S3 Partners, an analytics firm, short sellers — investors who bet on a company’s share price to fall — generated $303.7 billion in realized and unrealized profits in 2022. This is four times more than in 2018, their last profitable year.

The most attractive shorts were Amazon, Meta Platforms, Apple Inc and used car dealer Carvana Co. Tesla's collapse was especially helpful for shorts. The S&P 500 fell nearly 19% on its way to its biggest annual percentage decline since 2008 after the Fed's rate hikes dried up risk appetite.

According to experts, this year was favorable for shorting, as the economic environment stood against the entire market. For years, short positions just didn't work.

Not all short strategies have worked out this year, however. According to data provider HFR, hedge funds that bet on rising or falling stock prices lost 9.7% in November.

Recent years for the "bears" were quite difficult. The anti-covid measures of 2020 brought a loss of $241.7 billion, and in 2021 the shorts lost another $142.4 billion when big rallies in meme stocks like GameStop hurt firms that were betting against such companies.

Gold for the Win
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/1d0499a0144011308dc9d439f7d0e0c3
Dear clients,

Gold prices rose above $1,800 an ounce as China lifted lockdown measures and inflation in the US decline. The metal returned to July levels, having won back a two-year minimum of September.

Gold is up more than 9% this quarter on the back of a dollar retreat and hopes that the Fed will slow down its aggressive monetary tightening.

Markets cheered up after Friday's data from the US, which indicated lower inflation and consumer spending, which could dampen the need for further rate hikes. A positive signal was the steps taken by the largest consumer of gold, China, to fully return to the market.

The best gift for a trader is profit, so why wait for the New Year — use the drawdown bonus 123% now!

Looking for the best strategies for the cryptotrading
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/bebf9f82270e53d831d091fdca322fd4

Dear clients,

As cryptomarket has yet to recover for the recent events, it would be unwise to waste the opportunities provided by the turmoil. This time we'll continue the topic of cryptocurrency and pick the best trading strategies.

Join us on December 28 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

Re: FreshForex team

Back to the Future. Tesla shares at the level of 2020
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/d7c70ca48b4a2d2527c57d137802ad21
Dear clients,

Decline in Tesla Inc. accelerated on Tuesday, continuing their longest black streak since 2018. The announcement of a possible temporary shutdown of production in China due to new outbreaks of the disease raised doubts about the risks of demand.

Shares of Elon Musk's company tumbled down 11% to $109.10, the seventh consecutive drop and the sharpest one-day drop since April.

The news of the Shanghai production cuts comes on the heels of a report that Tesla is offering American consumers a $7,500 discount to ship two of its highest-volume models before the end of the year, adding to fears of declining demand. For Tesla, whose value depends on its growth prospects, these concerns represent a significant risk.

The hope that Tesla will become a leading company in an EV-dominated future led to an impressive eightfold rally in the stock in 2020, earning its place in the S&P 500 and at one point making it the fifth most valuable stock of the group.

In this year however, the manufacturer lost about $720 billion in shareholder value. The crash is one of the biggest drivers behind the S&P 500's decline in 2022 after Amazon.com Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc.

However, the overall analyst stance on Tesla remains bullish, with the highest share of buy or equivalent ratings since early 2015. In their opinion, despite stock performance, Tesla's innovation curve is accelerating, in stark contrast to other big tech companies whose product updates seem stagnant at best.

A Rough Year
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/3d4738c43e608a4a3570c4a36940e8f6
Dear clients,

Asian equities rallied while European and US stock futures fluctuated on the final trading day of a rough year for financial markets, with stocks and bonds posting their worst annual gains in more than a decade.

Stock benchmarks in Japan, Australia and China strengthened as S&P 500 contracts faltered, shading the best day this month for the index on Thursday, when it jumped 1.7%. The dollar rebounded from the previous session's decline, with Treasury yields rising and the yen rising as the Bank of Japan announced a third day of unplanned bond buying.

Uncertain direction is undermining hopes for a strong rally in late 2022, a year in which inflation has reasserted itself, wiping out a fifth of global equities in the worst performance since the financial crisis. Few regions have escaped the effects of Asian equities falling more than 19% this year. Bonds lost 16% in value, the biggest drop for a single leading measure since at least 1990, as central banks sought to slow consumer price growth by raising interest rates around the world.

Nasdaq 100 futures also fell sharply after the benchmark index jumped 2.5% on Thursday. The index has lost a third of its value this year as tech stocks have been among the most vulnerable to rising rates.

Concerns about the global implications of a rise in Covid-19 cases in China eased in part when Italy said it had found no new strains of the virus in recent arrivals from China. Italy and the US this week introduced testing requirements for air passengers arriving from China as a wave of infection swept through the world's most populous country.

At the same time, oil rose after a three-day decline due to concerns about increased inventories of raw materials and a possible decrease in demand from China, as a major importer.

Analysts are cautious about predictions, waiting for the next year to begin. Central banks fight against inflation and the resumption of trade in China are among the main benchmarks.

Re: FreshForex team

Picking a Match: 6 currency pairs to chose this year
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/Image/91f53927778d4cf6eaec8bbe57bc88c3.png
Dear clients,

New year has began and brought some new trading opportunities. This time we'll be looking at 6 instruments with a soild investment potential in this year.

Join us on January 11 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

If you missed the previous webinars, you can always find them here.

Re: FreshForex team

Weekly Outlook: Natural Gas, Brent Oil
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/Image/3ed6aca87b25a00cf4a329d967cf57bc.png

Dear clients,

Entering midwinter with gas prices at a 2-year low, whie oil is keeping steady growth. This week we'll be looking at these instruments, their positions now and further down the line.

Join us on January 18 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

Trading Signals: Bank of Japan Decision on Interest Rates
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/Image/db7c6ba4612e7f5b2e6e5b347f73150d.png
Dear clients,

January 18 is expected to announce the interest rate of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Japan on short-term interest rates. The decision to set interest rates depends mainly on the outlook for growth and inflation.

What is the expected result, our expert says:

The Japanese Central Bank will keep the interest rate at the current level, but may signal to traders about the need to increase rates in the future due to rising inflation, which will lead to the strengthening of the Japanese yen against most competitors. On Wednesday, consider selling AUDJPY, GBPJPY, EURJPY positions.

Don't sleep on market trends — always be ready with a 300% deposit bonus!

Re: FreshForex team

Meet the winners of the iPhone 14 Plus New Year draw
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/fe12fc461b6f5b40c0193a454f182625

Dear clients,

In December, we announced a New Year draw of multiple iPhone 14 Plus. It's time to announce the winners! Participants traded very actively to compete for the prize.

See who gets smartphones. Perhaps your account will be there.


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Congratulations to the winners! You will receive a notification in your Client Area and will be able to choose a convenient way to grab the prize.


Weekly Outlook: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple

https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/4c6db9300f31e64c277d11165e790550
Dear clients,

It's been some time since the domino effect caused by FTX, so how about we'll see what's going on with the market right now. This time, we'll be looking at Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple, their current and future performance.

Join us on January 25 at 12:00 GMT. 

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

Re: FreshForex team

Short month for long positions
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/a6a1fb5615a23ea06bc0ebf155a7e634
Dear clients,

The last month of winter, although the smallest, can be the most profitable for you. Many key currencies are entering a transitional period, the opportunity like this should not be missed, and therefore we have prepared an excellent offer for you. For the whole February, make a deposit of any amount and trade USD currency pairs without swaps.

Terms of promotion:

1. The promotion is valid from February 1 to February 28, 2023.

2. When trading EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, USDCHF, the Company does not deduct Swap and Swap Free commissions for a rollover of opened positions through the night. The instruments' specification can be found here.

3. Promotion is available for any type of trading accounts.

4. The company reserves the right to change promotion terms and promotion period.

A Simple Secret to Successful Sales
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/5d201777e431c6e68a0016555115f1e7
Dear clients,

When people hear of trading secrets, they usually think of complex patterns,charts and theories. But in reality, those can be simple things, yet just as effective. This time we'll be looking at some secrets of a news trading.

Join us on February 1 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

If you missed the previous webinars, you can always find them here.

Trading signals: US Federal Reserve meeting
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/ffcb85fc9a21ae84cfc8cb1e80f76f4e
Dear clients,

On February 1, a meeting of the US Federal Reserve System, the body that performs the functions of the Central Bank of America, will take place. The decision on the interest rate will determine the further movement of the market, which draw attention of traders.

How the situation with rates is developing right now, we will find out from our expert:

The Fed may raise rates by 0.25% and signal to the market that inflation is starting to decline, which will allow in the coming months to stop raising interest rates. On Wednesday, consider buying EURUSD, AUDUSD, XAUUSD, #SP500.

Get ahead from the start — make a deposit with cryptocurrency and get an additional 10% to your account.

Re: FreshForex team

"No Dead-Cats": China's Fuel Demand Strongly Grows
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/cab2b50c52d4b0cdeec87f79524e3f50
Dear clients,

Oil consumption in China, the world's largest importer, has strongly risen since the coronavirus lockdown was lifted, OPEC member Kuwait assured.

"There is pent-up demand that has built up during the pandemic", said Sheikh Nawaf Al-Sabah, chief executive officer of Kuwait Petroleum Corp. "Now, after the opening, we are seeing a steady increase in demand. It's not a dead-cat rebound."

Traders are closely watching China, believing that the pace of its recovery will be the most important factor determining the movement of energy prices this year.

Brent has fallen nearly 7% since late December to just over $80 a barrel, largely because data from China showed the economic recovery has been patchy. However, analysts including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley, predict that the price will exceed $100 in the second half of the year.

Kuwait is the fourth largest oil producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. It exports about 2 million barrels a day, or 2% of the world's supply, and China is its biggest buyer.

Natural Interest in Artificial Intelligence
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/d9223c1e6d348b1736fd00de6579e949
Dear clients,

Shares of Chinese AI makers have been causing a stir in mainland markets of late as the global buzz around chatbot ChatGPT fuels speculative bets on the revolutionary computing technology.

Just two months after launching, ChatGPT, which can generate articles, essays, jokes and even poetry in response to requests, has been voted the fastest growing consumer app in history.

Although ChatGPT is not available in China, mainland investors are still pumping up shares of AI technology companies.

However, at the moment there are no signs that these companies are ready to release a product like ChatGPT. The closest seems to be search giant Baidu Inc, which plans to complete testing of its "Ernie bot" in March. Their shares rose more than 13% on Tuesday after the announcement.

"The industry as a whole tends to speculate on expectations first and then trade on the actual results," said analysts at Beijing Gelei Asset Management.

The new trend has not gone unnoticed among tech giants. Thus, the owner of Google, Alphabet Inc. announced planning its own chatbot service and increasing the amount of artificial intelligence in its search engine. Microsoft, meanwhile, said it had scheduled its AI presentation for Tuesday.

Weekly Outlook: Brent Oil, Natural Gas
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/7e2a72efaa3a8a94de4249090a23c5f7
Dear clients,

The market expectations on China are so high, Saudi Arabia intends to raise their oil prices. This time we'll be looking again at Brent oil, natural gas, their positions and perspectives.

Join us on February 8 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

If you missed the previous webinars, you can always find them here.

Re: FreshForex team

Hot Winter Spread Sale!
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/7c816e6a0ce6b4a6f087c83f9c5b2639
Dear clients,

The resumption of trade with China after a long quarantine is without exaggeration called the most important event of the year in the oil market. The imbalance of supply and demand, together with the revision of oil policy by key countries, is actively provoking a wave of volatility.

Do you want to conquer this wave? We will help you with that!

From February 15 to February 28, all Classic account holders will receive a 66% discount on the fixed spread on the #BRENT and #WTI oil contracts. The spread is reduced by 3 times  — this is a profit of $160 per lot in each trade.

Weekly Outlook: Bitcoin, Ethereum
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/807d8865d5b6daba6e4f2d33b894bee9
Dear clients,

Bearish trend is slowing down, so the crypto market should be able to breathe easier. However, there are other things at play. This time, we'll be looking at Bitcoin and Etherium.

Join us on February 15 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

Trading Signals: U.S. Crude Oil Stocks
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/9e493e05afb1bb6a73e57fa95787d5d0
Dear clients,

February 15 will be announced data on crude oil reserves from the US Department of Energy. Crude Oil Inventories The Energy Information Agency (EIA) estimates the weekly increase in barrels of commercial oil held by US firms. Inventory levels affect the price of petroleum products, which in turn affect inflation and other economic forces.

What data is expected this time, we will find out from our expert:

The American Petroleum Institute reported an increase in black gold reserves in US storage facilities by 10.5 million barrels, which is negative for oil prices. The US Department of Energy plans to deliver 26 million barrels of oil from the strategic reserve to the domestic market in the spring, which will put additional pressure on prices in the coming months. Today consider selling #WTI, #BRENT, #Exxon.

Two hikes and no cuts: the experts' opinion on interest rates
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/c58ab3d48ec8b80f9dadff2afe217a5d
Dear clients,

The US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at least twice in the coming months, with the risk of further hikes, according to most economists in the Reuters poll.

Thus most private sector forecasters are in agreement with central bank' own forecasts and rhetoric, leaving financial market traders only to hope that rates start to fall later this year.

With much stronger-than-expected US employment data earlier this month, Fed policymakers, including the Chairman Jerome Powell, have reiterated a higher-for-longer mantra that market traders have been wrestling with for months.

As inflation still more than doubling the Fed's 2.0% target, 46 of the 86 surveyed economists predicted the US central bank would go for two more 25 basis point increases, not only in March, but also in and May.

That would mean a peak of 5.00-5.25%, 25 basis points higher than most had forecast since November. All 37 people who answered an extra question said the bigger risk was that the federal funds rate could rise even higher.

There was no clear consensus on the Fed's discount rate by the end of 2023. But more than two-thirds of respondents in the latest poll do not expect a cut this year, as inflation is expected to remain above target until at least 2024.

When asked what is more likely to result in a rate cut, 21 economists named a significant reduction in inflation, and 14 saying a significant increase in unemployment.

Re: FreshForex team

Weekly Outlook: Gold, Silver, Gas
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/257130c26a8b7c569956200beace2f56
Dear clients,

Gas prices in Europe are settling down, but warnings of a cold snap are keeping market on edge. Meanwhile, anticipation of new rate hikes by the Fed is holding gold down. This time, we'll be looking at gold, silver and gas, current and future movements.

Join us on February 22 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

The Shaky Market of Stablecoin
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/313bbe36cd066488ef0ffdb9707556b4
Dear clients,

The $137 billion market could see shifts after New York-based Paxos Trust Company, which issues the Binance stablecoin, said it would stop issuing new BUSD tokens after US regulators designated the asset as a non-registered security.

However, the immediate effect was not negative for the stablecoin market as a whole; in fact, its total value has risen by $2 billion since February 13.

Instead, competitors are trying to capitalize on the woes of BUSD, the world's third-largest stablecoin, whose market value has shrunk from $16.1 billion to $12.9 billion and its market share has fallen from 12.1% to 9.4%, according to CoinGecko.com.

Market leader Tether (USDT) has won the most, increasing its market capitalization by $1.9 billion to reach $70.3 billion since the announcement. Now it controls 52.6% of the stablecoin market from just over 51%.

USD Coin, the second largest stablecoin, rose over $700 million to $42 billion, boosting its market share to 31.3%.

Stablecoins are a key part of the cryptosphere, and their more stable value allows them to be used to facilitate transfers between cryptocurrencies or fiat money. Traders also use these tokens to hedge their positions and hence the decline in market value is due to the drop in liquidity and leverage in the broader crypto market.

[img]Staying Negative: the Future of the Bank of Japan' policy[/img]
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/9dc716479e73d84ec0d0a20ba41cafa4
Dear clients,

While bond investors are betting that the BOJ will change its much-discussed yield curve control policy, they still see new governor Kazuo Ueda sticking to negative rates for now.

Benchmark 2-year government bond yields have fallen since mid-January, while 10-year yields remained at the 0.5% target set by the Bank of Japan.

The central bank has set an interest rate of minus 0.1% on the portion of deposits that commercial banks hold at the Bank of Japan since January 2016. This policy tool has helped keep two- and five-year yields flat, but the BOJ's 10-year yield cap forces it to make unprecedented debt purchases and risks exacerbating market distortions, an issue that the monetary authority says prompted it to take decision to double the yield ceiling in December.

Ueda's previous actions also confirm rumors that he may be in no hurry to reverse his negative rate policy. He voted against abandoning the zero rate policy when he was a board member of the Bank of Japan in August 2000.

Strong demand for Japan's five-year bonds at Thursday's auction also suggests that investors are not particularly worried about the end of the policy of negative interest rates. On sale, the cut-off price was higher than expected, and the demand-to-coverage ratio rose sharply, which is an indication of investor interest.

In the currency market, traders see a peak in perceived volatility around the time of current Governor Haruhiko Kuroda's last political meeting in March, and then a decline until Ueda's first meeting in April.

Re: FreshForex team

Get ready for NFP
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/03907c2ec6476283d4fdd89c47291b22
Dear clients,

Non-farm Payroll is borderline most important trading point of a month. And you really want to be prepared for it. This time, we'll be looking at a simple, but fruitful strategy to use in NFP trading.

Join us on March 1 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

The First Day of Spring Profit: 202% drawdown bonus
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/159da188e37ec1c2a59bf2c518b3c8ea
Spring is just around the corner and with it comes new trading opportunities. Whether you decide to go uncharted paths or stay on the old beaten road, the main thing is confidence. And to give you double the calm, we double the drawdown bonus!

If you want to support your account or boost it, make a deposit from $202 and get 202% of the drawdown amount.

Meet spring with profit!

A New Challenger. Meta enters the AI race
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/c3b5e49ef8a2008f94b64142259b8610
Meta Platforms Inc has announced last Friday it is releasing a large language model, the core software of a new AI system, to researchers, fueling the AI race as big tech companies rush to integrate the technology into their products and impress investors.

The battle for AI dominance began late last year with the launch of Microsoft-backed OpenAI ChatGPT and prompted tech heavyweights from Alphabet Inc to China's Baidu Inc to pitch in with their solutions.

LLaMA, short for Large Language Model Meta AI, will be made available under a non-commercial license to researchers and organizations associated with government, civil society and academia, according to a promo blog.

The model, which Meta says requires "much less" processing power than other alternatives, is trained in 20 languages, with a focus on Latin and Cyrillic languages.

AI has reinvigorated investments into the tech industry, whose slowdown has led to mass layoffs and cuts to experimental bets.

Meta claims that LLaMA outperforms competitors who explore more parameters or variables taken into account by the algorithm. In particular, the LLaMA version with 13 billion parameters could outperform GPT-3, the recent predecessor to the model on which ChatGPT is built.

Re: FreshForex team

Trading Signals: NFP of February
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/0d4f03fb4f05698899f4856f2e9a8d9c

Dear clients,

March 10 is expected to publish data on the Nonfarm Payroll, an indicator of US employment in the industrial sector. The report significantly affects the movement of the US dollar and related instruments.

What values are expected this time, our expert tells:

Leading indicators of employment from ISM for the industry and services indicate the release of positive data on Non-Farm Employment, which is favorable for the growth of the US stock market. On Friday consider buying #SP500, #NQ100, #Exxon, #JPMorgan.

Month of indexes without swaps
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/b184d7482c288f0421e0ebd9fe7b4ad2
The spring thaw is approaching the market. Good news from China, oil volatility and prospects for new realities spur the growth of world indices, which favors market players.

We want to do our part aswell, trade the #DAX30, #DJI30, #NIKKEI and #FTSE100 indices from March 7 to April 2 without swaps!

Indices from different regions participate in the promotion, reflecting the value of the stock market in their zone.

    DJI30 — one of the oldest indicators of the state of the US economy, includes stocks of 30 companies.
    DAX30 is Germany's most important stock index and tracks the performance of the 40 largest German companies based on market capitalization on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
    NIKKEI — Includes shares of 225 of the most actively traded companies on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.
    FTSE100 is an English stock index that reflects the state and development of the UK economy. Includes 100 shares of companies listed on the London Stock Exchange.

"For the Alliance!": The Merging of Microsoft and Activision Blizzard
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/875fc3835ae8792ce1755bf331a88007
Microsoft Corp is expected to win EU antitrust approval for its $69 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard by offering licensing deals to rivals, sources close to the matter said.

Microsoft announced its acquisition of Activision Blizzard last January, its biggest deal ever, to take on industry leaders Tencent and Sony for the booming video game market. Sony, in turn, voiced concerns about Microsoft's expanding monopoly.

The main stumbling block has become the popular multi-platform Call of Duty series of games, which, once acquired by Microsoft, will cause an imbalance in the market, according to Sony.

The European Commission, which is due to decide on the deal by April 25, will not require Microsoft to sell assets to get approval, sources said.

Microsoft stated that it is "committed to offering effective and easily implemented solutions in order to remove the doubts of the European Commission." Last month, Microsoft announced it had signed 10-year licensing deals with Nintendo and Nvidia that would bring Call of Duty to their gaming platforms, subject to the agreement with Activision Blizzard being approved.

The deal is facing hurdles from regulators in Britain, where the UK competition agency has asked Microsoft to drop Call of Duty to alleviate the issue, while the US Federal Trade Commission has asked a judge to block the deal altogether.

Re: FreshForex team

Up to Day: Intraday strategy for beginners

https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/1a2c278a6c0af9ba530ae24442eca4c1
Dear clients,

Simple is the best, as people tend to say. Indeed, you don't need to play 5D chess with the market to make a profit. This time, we'll be looking at another solid stategy, useful for beginners.

Join us on March 22 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

ETFs, the new instruments for profitable trading
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/54584010a860d632fcac59c1ecd61336

Good news, we have added a new group of instruments — ETF contracts!

Every investor knows the principle of asset diversification. Spreading your capital across different instruments is a direct way to reduce investment risk. Even if the yield on one instrument falls, this does not lead to a complete collapse. However, building a large portfolio and even more so controlling it is a rather difficult task. This is where ETFs come to the rescue.

An Exchange Traded Fund, or ETF, is an exchange-traded investment fund, which can include stocks, bonds of many companies at once, as well as gold, oil, real estate and other valuable property. The fund buys a large, diversified portfolio of assets and then sells it piecemeal. To do this, the fund issues its own shares. That is, by purchasing one ETF share, a trader invests money in several attractive instruments at once. This option is well suited for novice investors who are not yet familiar with the market and\or do not have the funds to make their own portfolio:

#GLD, SPDR Gold Trust is part of the SPDR family of exchange-traded funds managed and marketed by State Street Global Advisors. For several years, the fund was the second largest exchange-traded fund in the world, and for a short time, the largest. Aims to match the return of the fund to the dynamics of the LBMA Gold Price PM index, minus expenses and fees.

#VOO, Vanguard S&P500 is part of the Vanguard Group, the largest provider of mutual funds and the second largest provider of exchange-traded funds. The fund's investment strategy is to follow the S&P 500 index, which includes the top 500 US companies. Therefore, this fund has a high degree of diversification within the US economy.

#IWM, iShares Russell 2000 is a set of exchange-traded funds managed by BlackRock, which acquired the brand and business from Barclays in 2009. iShares Russell 2000 aims to track the investment performance of an index comprised of small-cap US stocks. Most of the fund's assets are invested in shares of financial services, energy and healthcare companies.

#QQQ, Invesco QQQ (Power Shares Trust, Series) is an American boutique investment management firm that manages a family of exchange-traded funds. The company is part of Invesco, which has been selling the PowerShares product since 2006. PowerShares covers and simulates many market indices; for example, PowerShares QQQ (Nasdaq: QQQ) is designed to reproduce the NASDAQ-100 index. ETF is popular among stock players and is one of the most liquid stock market instruments.

#VEA, Vanguard FTSE DM is another Vanguard Group product aimed at tracking the investment performance of the FTSE Developed All Cap ex US index. This index includes about 1385 ordinary shares of companies from the developed markets of Europe, Australia, Asia, the Far East, with the exception of companies from the USA.

#SCHD, Schwab US Dividend equity — Charles Schwab Corporation is one of the largest US banking companies and one of the largest brokerage companies in the United States. The goal of the fund is to track as closely as possible, before commissions and expenses, the overall return of the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100. This index includes common stocks of the 100 largest US companies, with consistently high dividend yields and fundamentally strong financial performance. The fund invests at least 90% of its assets in stocks and companies included in the index.

The #USO, United States Oil Fund aims to match share price performance with USO's Benchmark Oil Futures Contract index net of costs and fees.

Detailed trading conditions can be found in the CFD Specifications.

We'd also like to remind you about newcomers in the current line of metals; our traders have already tested their strength, XAUGBP is especially popular — the most profitable deal on it was $1698. Why not update the record?

Discover brand new ways to make a profit!
Ahead of the plan: Gold passes the $2,000 threshold
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/1145f7d043f3ca9a795b53abde8be879

In volatile trading on Monday, gold prices initially fell 1% but reversed course and jumped to their highest level since March 2022 at $2009,59 as investors pondered the impact of measures taken by several central banks to contain the banking crisis and stabilize global markets. financial markets.

Gold prices slipped on Tuesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting as expectations rise that the US central bank will slow down its monetary tightening given the turmoil in the banking sector.

A pause in rate hikes could bring gold back above $2000, experts say, but it will need a lower dot chart and a dovish press conference for it to hold those gains. Despite the fact that banking regulators are rushing to strengthen market confidence, the uncertain macroeconomic environment continues to encourage purchases in gold.

Gold is considered a safe asset in times of financial uncertainty, and lower interest rates make unprofitable bars more attractive by lowering the opportunity cost of holding them.

In December last year, Bank of America analysts already predicted a rise in gold prices above $2,000, but the calculation was made for the second half of 2023.

Re: FreshForex team

Slow and Steady: A Profitable Strategy for Long Term Traders
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/eb738f135056107cd8f3823fc99bb849
Dear clients,

We talk a lot about intraday, but what about those who play the long game? This time we'll be looking at some strategies for a long-term trading.

Join us on March 29 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

Trading Signals: U.S. Crude Oil Stocks
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/9773b1209d4e5cec3f629cfcdd5fb7a9
Dear clients,

March 29 will be announced data on crude oil reserves from the US Department of Energy. Crude oil reserves of Energy Information Agency (EIA) are estimated by the weekly increase in barrels of commercial oil held by US firms. Reserve levels affect the price of petroleum products, which in turn affect inflation and other economic forces.

What data is expected this time, we will find out from our expert:

The American Petroleum Institute reported a reduction in black gold reserves in US storage facilities by 6 million barrels, which is favorable for rising oil prices. The oil market enters the "high season", when the consumption of petroleum products increases every week. Today consider buying #WTI, #BRENT, #Exxon.

Slippin' Crypto Market
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/edcb73968d16a055bb409d8c0f58c6fd
Bullish Bitcoin has been the surprise winner of the banking crisis. However, investors seeking to increase their rates are faced with a hurdle: lack of liquidity, which can cause prices to fluctuate wildly.

The price of the #1 cryptocurrency has jumped 40% to around $27,700 since March 10, when the Silicon Valley Bank bankruptcy spread to major markets. However, on the other hand, its liquidity is dwindling.

According to data provider Kaiko, Bitcoin's market depth indicates the asset is at its lowest liquidity level in 10 months, even lower than after the FTX crash in November.

Slippage, a measure of liquidity that describes how much prices move between placing and executing a trade, has also increased. Slippage when buying bitcoins for US dollars on the Coinbase exchange is 2.5 times higher than it was at the beginning of March. Slippage for a $100,000 simulated sell order has doubled in the last month, meaning the average price received per bitcoin is worse than it was a month ago.

Market makers say there is a big network effect and liquidity will remain a problem at least in the short term. The network effect was the collapse of Silvergate Capital and Signature Bank, whose networks have long been used by market makers who increase liquidity through the rapid purchase and sale of tokens for transactions on exchanges.

Further restricting liquidity, Binance — the world’s most liquid crypto exchange — last week ended zero-fee trading for almost all of its bitcoin trading pairs, hitting the ability of market makers to charge higher fees for executing trades on the platform.

The disappearing liquidity can be traced back to the collapse of the FTX exchange and the Alameda Research hedge fund. Alameda was one of the largest liquidity providers in the crypto industry and its bankruptcy left a void that was exacerbated by the 2023 banking sector turmoil.

Although most market participants expect the gradual arrival of new contenders to take over Silvergate and Signature' spot, no one expects a complete replacement to appear overnight.

Re: FreshForex team

Weekly Outlook: Gold, Silver, Natural Gas
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/cfc110570b8b4d08ea4cb734ab8b600c
Dear clients,

With banks falling, fuel prices soaring and inflation roaring, the markets are going full Pinball. The only safe haven so far would be precious metals. This time, we'll be looking at gold, silver and gas, current and future movements.

Join us on April 5 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

Again with the Charts: FreshForex Forecast Contest
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/63f42f9d2b0631298442d2786c170122
Dear clients,

The contest is back!

Do you have specific data, are confident in your numbers, or just want to test yourself?

From April 5 to 30, join traders on FB and test your trading instincts. The reward will be a prize of $50 to the account.

Forecasts of the first stage are accepted until April 7, 12:00 GMT.

Follow the details of the stages on our official page.

Oil Shock and Awe
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/cf36420dd5d6aae67a77da84f8178de1
Dear clients,

The unexpected OPEC+ production cut on Sunday changed the oil price outlook, bringing $100 a barrel back into view.

Saudi Arabia has taken the first step by pledging to cut its supplies by 500,000 barrels a day. Other members, including Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Algeria, followed suit, while Russia said the production cuts it implemented from March to June would last until the end of 2023.

This is a significant decline for a market where, despite recent price fluctuations, supply was limited in the second half of the year. Oil futures rose 8% in New York on Monday, while gasoline also ramped up, adding to inflationary pressures that could force central banks around the world to keep interest rates higher for longer.

Traders were taken by surprise by the move, given that just weeks ago, senior Saudi oil official Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman insisted that OPEC+'s 2022 production quotas "are in place until the end of the year, period."

Previously, the cartel's own data suggested that the group would have to produce more oil in the second half of the year, not less. With the International Energy Agency expecting a surge in demand later this year, the risk of a new inflationary momentum for the global economy has now re-emerged.

After the decision was made, leading oil analysts started talking about oil at $100, some expect that the global balance of supply and demand will be in deficit earlier than expected. This view is reflected in Brent's increasing backwardation, with the premium for on-time deliveries rising over later deliveries, signaling tension. This view is reflected in Brent's increased backwardation, with the premium for on-time deliveries rising over later deliveries, signaling tension.

Options markets are now showing a bullish shift in sentiment. According to ICE Futures Europe, the most popular option on Brent crude over the next 12 months allows the holder to buy futures at $100, equivalent to nearly 140 million barrels of open interest.

Re: FreshForex team

Weekly Outlook: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/8a2dab1bce627af07f15983db5984604

Dear clients,

Bitcoin is surely taking ground, while Ethereum is preparing for a huge update. This time we'll be looking the cryptomarket and what to expect of it in the coming weeks.

Join us on April 12 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.
Trading Signals: US March Inflation
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/c2fc222495b2bb9f5fc248a5506d2c0a
Dear clients,

A closely watched US inflation report could help address one of the most pressing questions among traders: whether the market has set the short-term path for interest rates correctly. Belief in rate cuts has driven bond yields down, supporting giant tech stocks and growth stocks that have an impact on broad stock indices.

What you can expect this month, our expert says:

Leading indicators point to declining inflation, which is negative for the dollar and positive for equity markets as the US Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates. On Wednesday, consider buying AUDUSD, #NQ100, #SP500 and selling USDCAD, USDZAR.
"Shanghai" Noon. Major upgrade of Ethereum
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/b71db1fbf0f85e877ec54c7bc4ae4d5b
Dear clients,

On April 12, the Ethereum network will undergo a technical upgrade that will allow users to withdraw tens of billions of dollars of their own Ether token. Referred to as “Shanghai”, this is a necessary step after the world’s most important crypto platform moved to a less energy-intensive process of ordering transactions. Investors affected by the recent turmoil in the crypto markets are wondering if some Ethereum holders will run when presented with the first opportunity to get their tokens out of the way.

The value of Ethereum fell during the “crypto winter” of 2022, when investors abandoned many digital assets. But the appeal of the underlying Ethereum technology has remained unchanged.

Until September 2022, Ethereum relied on a costly and energy-intensive process known as proof-of-work to order transactions. The situation changed when the technical overhaul known as the "Merge" took an alternative approach - proof-of-stake. People who put up or stake Ethereum can become “validators” of transactions on the Ethereum blockchain and receive income in return, just like deposits in a bank. As of 2020, users can stake their Ether but cannot withdraw it. "Shanghai" will allow them to take out these coins. About 16% of the total supply of Ethereum, worth about $37 billion, was stuck in the staking protocol as of early April.

It is not clear how many users will want to cash out once their Ether is unlocked. The value of the token has fluctuated wildly in the years since staking was first enabled – rising sharply as it grew in popularity among institutional and retail investors, then falling in 2022. At least initially, withdrawal demand is expected to outweigh new Ethereum staking deposits. It could take months for Ethereum holders to withdraw their coins as Ethereum has set limits to ensure that too many people do not withdraw at the same time, leaving it vulnerable to attack.

After the Merge, Ethereum attracted the attention of regulators, including the US Securities and Exchange Commission, which pointed out that some services offering income from the placement of cryptocurrencies amounted to illegal offerings of securities. An upgrade to unlock staked Ethereum may result in increased checks.

Re: FreshForex team

The candle is lit! A profitable pin bar strategy
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/c9c856809c8322a97162f3b909abe5f3

Dear clients,

The beauty of a pin bar is how simple yet useful it is, always ready to reveal more. This time, we're going back to pin bar strategies.

Join us on April 19 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.
Trading Signals: U.S. Crude Oil Stocks
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/932cd4736147fe345ffb93a7701eb419

April 19 will be announced data on crude oil reserves from the US Department of Energy. Crude oil reserves of Energy Information Agency (EIA) are estimated by the weekly increase in barrels of commercial oil held by US firms. Reserve levels affect the price of petroleum products, which in turn affect inflation and other economic forces.

What data is expected this time, we will find out from our expert:

The American Petroleum Institute reported a reduction in black gold reserves in US storage facilities by 2.6 million barrels, which is favorable for rising oil prices. The oil market enters the "high season", when the consumption of petroleum products increases every week. Today consider buying #WTI, #BRENT, #Exxon.
All according to Plan
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/932cd4736147fe345ffb93a7701eb419

Oil prices edged up on Tuesday after falling 2% in the previous session, as stronger economic data from the world's biggest crude oil importer, China, supported the demand outlook.

Brent rose 34 cents to $85.10 a barrel at 06:18 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate got 29 cents to $81.12 a barrel.

Official data showed that China's economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter, expanding 4.5% year-on-year as policymakers seek to maintain growth after the end of tough lockdown restrictions in December.

A notable recovery in the Chinese economy has supported the recent rebound in oil prices, analysts said. In addition, May is the seasonal peak travel period in China and fuel demand is expected to increase very strongly year on year.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that China will account for most of the growth in crude oil demand in 2023.

However, the agency also warned that production cuts announced by OPEC+ producers could exacerbate the supply shortfall expected in the second half of the year and could hurt consumers and slow down the global economic recovery.

Oil prices also remain under pressure from a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields, analysts at National Australia said in a client note.

The US dollar is strengthening along with rising interest rates, and traders are betting that the US Federal Reserve will raise the lending rate again in May, which could dampen hopes of an economic turnaround.

Re: FreshForex team

News Flash! Advantages of Incorporating News Into your Trading Strategy
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/5c94b3b9d4b989ca307657cdf3b4860c

Dear clients,

Unless you are insider, investor or a corporate spy, news are the primary source of information on the market. However, that's only one way to use them. This time, we'll be looking at news strategy and why you should incorporate news into your strategy.

Join us on April 26 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

Soft Shell. Bank of Japan policy
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/2fc8e798ffe4e9c3c87b0f0819b6201e
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday stressed the need to maintain a super-loose monetary policy for the time being, but pointed to the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation and wage growth exceed expectations.

“In light of the current economic, price and financial developments, it is appropriate to maintain monetary easing, which is currently being implemented through yield curve control,” Ueda told parliament.

The shape of the Japanese bond yield curve has normalized in part due to falling global yields, Ueda said in response to an opposition lawmaker's question about the drawbacks of prolonged monetary easing.

Ueda reiterated the need to maintain Japan's monetary easing in order to achieve the Bank of Japan's 2% inflation target in a sustainable and stable manner, accompanied by wage increases.

“But if wage growth and inflation accelerate faster than expected and require monetary tightening, the Bank of Japan is ready to respond, for example by raising interest rates,” the governor said.

Ueda's comments come ahead of a two-day BOJ policy meeting starting Thursday, the first meeting he has chaired since he took over the bank earlier this month.

Markets are full of speculation that Ueda will direct the Bank of Japan to phase out his predecessor Haruhiko Kuroda's massive stimulus that has drawn criticism for distorting market prices and hurting financial institutions' profits.

In a sign that he's in no rush to raise rates, Ueda said tightening monetary policy now could push down future inflation, which is already slowing amid peak import costs.
Written by code. Google's Bard Chatbot Update
https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/1b1add5b03071bb7c54d0040b0c54fc4

Google said Friday it will update Bard, its generative artificial intelligence (AI) chatbot, to help people write code for software development as the tech giant seeks to catch up in the fast-paced AI technology race.

Last month, the company began publicly releasing Bard to win back ground from Microsoft Corp.

The release of ChatGPT, a chatbot from the Microsoft-backed startup OpenAI, sparked a leap in the tech sector last year to put AI in the hands of more users.

Google describes Bard as an experiment to collaborate with generative AI, a technology that relies on past data to create rather than identify content.

Bard will be able to code in 20 programming languages, including Java, C++ and Python, as well as help debug and explain code to users, Google said on Friday.

Bard can currently be accessed by a small set of users who can chat with the bot and ask questions instead of using the traditional Google search tool.

The initial launch of the product was rather unsuccessful due to mistakes and poor impression. Last week, it was reported that Samsung and Apple may be phasing out Google Search in favor of Microsoft's AI-powered Bing. This has become an additional incentive for the introduction of AI technologies in Google products.

Re: FreshForex team

YELLOW SIGNAL
https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/Image/02ba21d3b8ae3c86802b008e7c9907a7.png
Why does gold continue to gain popularity?Dear clients,

Now is the best time to invest in gold, at least according to Bank of America. The dollar kept rising after the data on inflation, but is moving towards a monthly decline. Precious metals consolidated last month on "growth fears that led to higher expectations for a U.S. rate cut, lower bond yields and continued banking sector concerns," analysts said.

A weaker dollar makes bullion cheaper for foreign buyers. Due to the banking crisis and the threat of a recession, the precious metal is regarded as a reliable defensive asset.

Interest in gold is also actively shown by central banks, only last year demand grew by 20%. In fact, they account for a record 33% of monthly global demand and are buying more gold than at any time since data collection began in 1950.

The buying spree helped lift the price of gold to near-record levels and more than 50% higher than models based on real interest rates suggest. Experts see this as an attempt to get away from the dollar as the dominant currency.

The difficult macroeconomic environment makes gold one of the most reliable investments, and with a drawdown bonus 101%, it is also the most profitable.

Re: FreshForex team

BEHIND THE WALLS: WALL STREET ON THE DECISION OF THE FED
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Dear clients,

Wall Street was stumped by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

In a statement accompanying a quarter-point rate hike, the central bank ditched previous language that said "some additional policy tightening" might be warranted. Chairman Jerome Powell then said banking sector conditions had “generally improved” since early March.

But investors still had many questions. Despite Fed officials' forecasts of a mild recession, Powell expects the US economy to grow at a modest pace this year. And while he said rates are "maybe at" a fairly restrictive level, getting back to the 2% inflation target won't be a "smooth process."

As Powell spoke, the S&P 500 went up and down, then closing down 0.7%. Treasury revenues fell.

The fact that the stock market is having a hard time figuring out where to go next is evidence that this has already been priced in, experts say. Looking ahead, investors want to know what value the Fed will place on tightening lending conditions caused by stress in regional banks.

Powell's speech failed to reassure the market, investors heard what they expected, but not exactly what they wanted; the lack of clear guidance from the Fed is also worrisome. The general mood is quite calm, no revelations from Powell have been made and the situation is still developing according to market forecasts. A number of analysts note that the Fed is still set to tighten: they will need confirmation from the data that the monetary policy stance is quite restrictive.

The prospects for a pause or rate cut are viewed very cautiously, with particular attention to the possibility of a recession. At the same time, few people believe in further increases, according to analysts, this will require catastrophic inflation.

Fed futures showed that the likelihood of a rate hike in June had dropped to around 2%.

TRADING SIGNALS: US FEDERAL RESERVE MEETING
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Dear clients,

On May 3, a meeting of the US Federal Reserve System, the body that performs the functions of the Central Bank of America, will take place. The decision on the interest rate will determine the further movement of the market, which draw attention of traders.

How the situation with rates will develop now, our expert tells:

The Fed may raise the rate by 0.25% and signal to the market that it will not raise the rate at the next meetings, as inflation is declining, which is favorable for economic growth. On Wednesday consider buying AUDUSD, GBPUSD, #NQ100, #SP500.

A reversal can quite shake up the market — be ready with a 300% deposit bonus!

Re: FreshForex team

GREEN HARVEST
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Dear clients,

Apple Inc's results beat expectations on Thursday, demonstrating the tech giant's resilience amid the global economic slowdown, thanks to stronger-than-expected iPhone sales and notable gains in India and other emerging markets.

Shares of the largest US company by market value rose 2% after Apple beat Wall Street's earnings and profit expectations for the quarter on April 1st. The company's results contrast with disappointing performance from major chip makers due to a slower-than-expected recovery in China's economic growth.

Apple executives on Thursday said gross profit for the current quarter will be better than forecast, despite an expected drop in revenue due to the resolution of supply chain problems.

Apple said sales for its fiscal second quarter ended April 1 fell 2.5% to $94.8 billion, beating expectations for a 4.4% decline, according to data from Refinitiv. Earnings remained unchanged at $1.52 per share, compared to $1.43 per share forecast.

iPhone sales rose 1.5% to $51.3 billion, beating expectations for a 3.3% fall, even as consumers and businesses cut spending due to rising inflation. Analysts expect growth of 2.1% to $84.7 billion in the third financial quarter, which ends in June.

Apple shares outperformed most Wall Street stocks in 2023, up 28% year-to-date. Investors view the company as a protective measure during a period of economic uncertainty.

Apple raised its dividend to 24 cents per share from 23 cents a year ago. The Board authorized a $90 billion share buyback program, just as it did a year ago.

Investors are still waiting for the company's next big product. Bloomberg reported that the iPhone maker could unveil a mixed reality headset as early as next month when it holds its annual Software Developers Conference. The company recently announced new services such as a high yield savings account.

TRADING SIGNALS: THE BANK OF ENGLAND'S INTEREST RATE DECISION
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Dear clients,

On May 11 the Bank of England, the key financial authority of Great Britain, will make a decision on the interest rate, which is among the most important events affecting the pound sterling quotation.

Our expert comments on how the situation with the rates develops:

The Bank of England may raise the rate by 0.25% and signal to the market the need for further interest rate hikes at the summer meetings due to high inflation in the United Kingdom economy. On Thursday consider buying GBPJPY, GBPUSD, GBPCHF.

On any twists and turns, confidently keep your balance with a drawdown bonus 101%!

Re: FreshForex team

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ELECTIONS IN TURKEY
12 May 2023

Elections in TurkeyDear traders!

We would like to draw your attention to the fact that presidential elections in Turkey will be held on May 14, 2023. This event may provoke a sharp increase in volatility of Turkish Lira instruments and, as a consequence, lead to increased trading risks.

As we care about our clients, we strongly recommend all traders to be more attentive and also:

Maintain a margin level of at least 500%;
Use protective Stop-loss orders;
to adjust the volume of current open positions at their own discretion, if necessary.

It should be noted that in case of significant increase of volatility on financial markets with changing conditions at the liquidity providers of the company the following is possible: increase of spreads and levels of orders setting, change of margin requirements for any instruments both for previously opened positions and for new ones, introduction of "Close only" mode or suspension of trading in accordance with the regulatory documents of the company.

Please consider this information when planning work on the financial markets.

DOWNWARD SPIRAL. A LONG DROP IN OIL PRICES
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A long drop in oil pricesDear clients,

Oil prices fell Friday, setting a fourth weekly decline, as renewed economic troubles in the U.S. and China revived worries about fuel demand growth in the world's two largest oil consumers.

Brent crude futures fell 48 cents, or 0.64%, to $74.50 a barrel by 06:35 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate, on the other hand, lost 39 cents, or 0.55%, to $70.48.

Both benchmarks will fall about 1.1% over the week, marking the longest streak of weekly declines since November 2021.

With negotiations over the U.S. government debt ceiling deadlocked and renewed fears that another regional bank is in crisis, fears that the U.S. will enter a recession are growing. A decline in new corporate loans in China and weaker economic data released there earlier in the week raised doubts again about the stimulation of oil demand growth as the country recovers from COVID restrictions.

The price rose earlier Friday, after falling during the previous two sessions, on some demand expectations following comments from the U.S. Secretary of Energy that the States might buy oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The U.S. government has said it will buy oil when prices are at or below $67-72 a barrel at all times.

However, negotiations to raise the $31.4 trillion U.S. federal debt limit may not reach an agreement in time to prevent a default on the national debt, which could cause serious market turmoil. China's consumer price data for April rose slower than expected and factory price deflation has deepened, suggesting more stimulus is needed.

The oil market largely ignored the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) global oil demand forecast for 2023, which projected demand growth in China, the world's biggest oil importer.

HERE WE GO AGAIN: THREATS TO THE TECHNOLOGY SECTOR
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Dear clients,

A prolonged period of economic downturn in the U.S. will cause tech stocks to plummet at a time when they are attracting a lot of investor money, strategists at Bank of America Corp. say.

Michael Hartnett's team expects the recession to "crack credit and tech" just as it did in 2008, according to Friday's note.

Investors poured $3.8 billion into technology stocks in the week ended May 10, the largest inflow since December 2021, BofA reported, citing data from EPFR Global. On the other hand, $2.1 billion was pulled out of financial stocks, the biggest buyout since May 2022, amid turmoil at regional U.S. banks.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is up 22% this year as investors expect the Federal Reserve to begin easing monetary policy soon, easing pressure on the rate-sensitive sector. And while earnings in this sector will continue to fall from last year, traders already expect a recovery in 2024.

Hartnett, who correctly predicted last year that recession fears would cause stocks to pull back, warned that the U.S. central bank was unlikely to pause rate hikes amid high inflation, as well as low unemployment and presidential approval. That echoes the views of Bloomberg Intelligence strategists, who view the likelihood of weakening tech, media and telecom stocks as they "face the reality of longer-term interest rate hikes and a softening of the earnings outlook."

Hartnett thinks negative wage data will be a buying signal for cyclical economic-related stocks, such as tech stocks, in 2023. The U.S. labor market has proven resilient, with hiring and worker wage growth accelerating in April.

Other notable flows over the past week included a slowdown in cash inflows - $13.8 billion went into that asset class. At the same time, Treasuries saw the largest inflows in the past six weeks, with $6.3 billion. U.S. and European equity funds bought $2.7 billion and $2.2 billion each, respectively.