Re: Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Brent. November 18, 2020 – Oil in positive territory despite negative external background
Brent oil quotes continue to rise. Current price is $44.20 per barrel. «Bulls» were not stopped even by data from the American Petroleum Institute (API), according to which oil reserves in the United States rose by 4.2 million barrels over the week. Today you should pay attention to a similar report from the US Department of Energy.
Yesterday, a meeting of the OPEC+ ministerial monitoring committee was held, which ended without recommendations for a production cut in 2021. Previously, market participants expected the committee to propose OPEC+ countries to extend the current level of production cuts until the end of the first quarter of 2021. The next meeting of the organization will take place only on December 16-17.
The worsening epidemiological situation in the world can also change the current trend to a downward one. The high rates of spread of infection are forcing countries to introduce new social restrictions and quarantines, which, in turn, will inevitably lead to a decrease in economic activity and demand for hydrocarbons.
EUR/USD. November 18, 2020 – Euro weakly hovers below 1.19 level
The EUR/USD pair continues to feel confident and is approaching the 1.1900 level. The current quote is 1.1880.
The dollar is still under pressure from the likelihood of a new stimulus to the US economy. Earlier it became known that the Republicans have finally approved a new stimulus package, but now they are talking about an amount of$ 500 billion, although the volume of $1-1.5 trillion was previously discussed. Another uncertainty over the stimulus issue alarmed the markets again.
However, the data from the US released yesterday provided some support to the dollar rate today. Industrial production in the country rose 1.1% m/m in October against the forecast of 1.0% m/m increase. In annual terms, the indicator slightly improved and amounted to -5.3% (-6.7% previously). Capacity utilization in October was at 72.8%, higher than the expected 72.3%.
Thus, today the pair will fluctuate below the level of 1.19 in an attempt to determine the further direction of movement. The released data on inflation in the eurozone did not have a visible effect on the dynamics of the pair, since the indicator remained at the level of -0.3%, as expected.