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		<title><![CDATA[Forex Software — How to avoid curve fitting over optimization]]></title>
		<link>https://forexsb.com/forum/topic/8711/how-to-avoid-curve-fitting-over-optimization/</link>
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		<description><![CDATA[The most recent posts in How to avoid curve fitting over optimization.]]></description>
		<lastBuildDate>Sat, 26 Jun 2021 18:15:07 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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			<title><![CDATA[Re: How to avoid curve fitting over optimization]]></title>
			<link>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/65470/#p65470</link>
			<description><![CDATA[<p>Some generals tips to avoid curve fitting. Not all tools are applicable for all types of trading/strategies. Use when required. Some may or may not be available in EA Studio</p><p>- Monte Carlo testing<br />- Walk Forward Testing<br />- Increase sample size<br />- Reduce the degrees of freedom of steps for SL, TP, indicators etc. For example, minimum ATR step of 0.5 (0.5, 1, 1.5 etc).<br />- Round values to nearest 5, 10, logical number etc. For e.g, if a SL is 197, round it to 200. Is it still profitable?<br />- Apply strategy to multiple time frames, broker data and instruments.<br />- Use (and understand how to use) OOS/IS.</p><p>Ultimately it is very hard to avoid curve fitting and generally you will require further analysing post-generation in the live environment.</p>]]></description>
			<author><![CDATA[null@example.com (burrup.lambert)]]></author>
			<pubDate>Sat, 26 Jun 2021 18:15:07 +0000</pubDate>
			<guid>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/65470/#p65470</guid>
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			<title><![CDATA[Re: How to avoid curve fitting over optimization]]></title>
			<link>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/64538/#p64538</link>
			<description><![CDATA[<p>Hi double OOS don´t help so&nbsp; much.</p><p>For example:<br />I generate 1000 Strategies.<br />The first OOS filter remove 500 Strategies 1000-500=500<br />The second OOS filter half of this strategies 500-250=250</p><p>In the rest pool are too much curvefitted strategies.</p><p>The best way is to find a good generation setting. Choose the optimal indicators and SL TP settings.<br />OOS filter, Walkforward and Montecarlo are tools to decrease the curvefitting a little, but don´t solve this problem.</p><p>I think the best way is to use an optimal setting.<br />Choose strategies with many trades, more trades means less curvefitting.</p><p>for example:<br />You have an trading idear, you can set your indicators<br />You need good knowledge in forex and trading to use optimal settings.</p>]]></description>
			<author><![CDATA[null@example.com (tnickel)]]></author>
			<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2021 20:54:17 +0000</pubDate>
			<guid>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/64538/#p64538</guid>
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			<title><![CDATA[Re: How to avoid curve fitting over optimization]]></title>
			<link>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/64135/#p64135</link>
			<description><![CDATA[<p>You can do double OOS validation</p><p>Cut the historical data, for example the end date would be 12-31-2018, and then you can set OOS percentage and set the acceptance criteria for the OOS data.</p><p>After you get the strategies you can revalidate them again with uncut/whole historical data.</p>]]></description>
			<author><![CDATA[null@example.com (yonkuro)]]></author>
			<pubDate>Sat, 27 Feb 2021 16:06:01 +0000</pubDate>
			<guid>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/64135/#p64135</guid>
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		<item>
			<title><![CDATA[How to avoid curve fitting over optimization]]></title>
			<link>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/64127/#p64127</link>
			<description><![CDATA[<p>Hi,</p><p>did you have some tricks or settings to avoid over optimization and or curve fitting?</p>]]></description>
			<author><![CDATA[null@example.com (Roughey)]]></author>
			<pubDate>Fri, 26 Feb 2021 12:28:31 +0000</pubDate>
			<guid>https://forexsb.com/forum/post/64127/#p64127</guid>
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